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  1. aurvandil

    GE2020 - Be Prepared for a Surprise

    The new citizens will ensure that the PAP has a clean sweep. GE 2015 showed just how potent a vote bank that they are. It will take at least 20 years before there is any kind of credible threat to the PAP.
  2. aurvandil

    Don't put your hopes on a vaccine it might never arrive

    These days, everybody seems to be an expert on covid-19. These are two links to articles to show why a vaccine is unlikely to succeed. https://www.scmp.com/news/china/science/article/3078840/coronavirus-low-antibody-levels-raise-questions-about It is a given assumption that anyone who has...
  3. aurvandil

    The Irrational Fear and the cost of the Wuhan Virus, Is it worth it?

    Based on the empirical evidence thus far, the novel coronavirus resembles H1N1 more closely than SARS. The following is the final record from the H1N1 outbreak - https://eresources.nlb.gov.sg/infopedia/articles/SIP_1759_2011-01-28.html For the H1N1 outbreak, only 0.4% required...
  4. aurvandil

    [COVID-19 Virus] The Sinkies are fucked Thread.

    In terms of infections outside of China, this will likely peak by 15 Feb 20. After that, it will most likely show a sharp decline. This is due to the travel bans implemented by the various countries. For within China, infections will probably continue to spread until Apr to May 20. Like SARS...
  5. aurvandil

    [COVID-19 Virus] The Sinkies are fucked Thread.

    The masks do work by reducing the viral load. Simple example: Person A and Person B both sit in front of infected Person C for 15 mins. Person C coughs continuously. Person A is wearing a mask while Person B is not wearing a mask. Both Person A and Person B rub their eyes 3 times during the 15...
  6. aurvandil

    end game for HK protests...

    The end game will be like this 1) Carrie Lam will resign. 2) There will be a new CE. This new CE will be one that is acceptable to the moderates among the protestors. This is currently the missing piece for the end game. 3) Upon taking office, the new CE will immediately go after the HK 4 big...
  7. aurvandil

    Youtube Series on Genting

    New Youtube Series on Genting. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P2oC...mu5sgcNACzc7J7 Part 1 - Room Tips and Hacks Part 2 - Sky Avenue / SIM / Groceries Part 3 - Cheap and Good places to eat
  8. aurvandil

    PAP's hospitalization financial power logic = you are always rich if you were once rich!

    This applies only for related illnesses. For example you go to A class for cancer treatment. After your initial treatment, you cannot downgrade to B3 for subsequent treatment related to your initial cancer treatment. You can however go to B3 if you come down with something else (e.g. heart attack).
  9. aurvandil

    An Attempt to Understand Why So Many People Dislike Minister Chan Chun Sing

    Singaporeans dislike him for his hubris. Humility stems not from wearing a cheap Casio watch or talking about your "humble" childhood. It stems from putting aside your past accomplishments and acknowledging your weaknesses and short comings.
  10. aurvandil

    Chitchat VERS / HIP 2

    There has been a lot of confusion over LHL's announcement over VERS / HIP 2. For reasons unknown, most Singaporeans think that they will get HIP 2 followed by VERS. This seems highly unlikely. Instead what the choice Singaporeans will most likely be given is VERS OR HIP2. Those who choose VERS...
  11. aurvandil

    Analysis of LHL's NDR speech on HDB flat upgrades.

    The next step will be announcement of a change in the financing rules for flats where the lease is less than 30 years.
  12. aurvandil

    Serious Price Collapse For 40 Years-Old HDB Flats! Buy!

    Only the foolish and gullible will believe what Lawrence Wong is saying. The truth of the matter is that all the HDB flats will get SERS. They are however doing everything possible to ensure that that the SERS valuation of old HDB flats will not be 400k to 500k. With the restriction of...
  13. aurvandil

    Wisdom...i heard

    Might need to brush up on maths here. Unless you began your 999 lease around the Middle Ages (e.g. 1200 - 1300), there is nothing much to worry about.
  14. aurvandil

    Big fart old man kena wacked

    Today's old man was yesterday's Ah Beng kia.
  15. aurvandil

    Chitchat The true nature of PAP pseudo caucus

    Although he is a snow (Game of Thrones), CCS has royal blood. He and only he can become PM.
  16. aurvandil

    Chitchat CCS on Leadership Qualities

    The body language of the old man suggest that CCS is a ward of some sort. The scandal should involve someone close to him but not himself directly. Given that the mother's identity is known, the link would involve a male member of the Lee clan. This male Lee would be close enough to the old man...
  17. aurvandil

    The PAP’s Terrifying process of choosing Singapore’s next PM

    There is a time limit to the current model of economic growth via immigration. Singapore has at best 20 years before the model collapses.
  18. aurvandil

    Serious Heavy Rain caused flash Flooding in Eastern Sgp 8 Jan 18

    If you run a time series analysis on the rainfall, you will probably find that there has a persistent upward mean shift. The weather patterns are coming more intense, something consistent with what scientists have been warning with regard to global warning. Many Christians mistakenly believe...
  19. aurvandil

    Chitchat Factional Fight over New PM

    He seems perfect for the job ! Just as the US deserves to get DT as President, we deserve to get CCS as Prime Minister.
  20. aurvandil

    Chitchat Factional Fight over New PM

    Unless a scandal for a long long time ago rears its ugly head and is made public.
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