Georgie should have shouted "Kwa simi lanjiow, knn "?:o
I believe when Georgie kena stared by the china minister, his lanjiow don't know fly where already..
Georgie should have shouted "Kwa simi lanjiow, knn "?:o
For the past 10 years, the US has been held to a stalemate in Iraq/Afghanistan. They have not had the resources to confront North Korea or Iran over their nuclear programs which notably are a much greater threat to US interests than China. It seems highly unlikely that the US can seriously commit to confronting China over the South China Sea.
Fighting on lands is anothing matter. Anyway, with the exception of China and Russia, the US could beat the hell out of any country on land if they want to and make up their mind to be cruel enough to forget casualty count.
Time and time again, history has shown that it is impossible for the US to defeat a well funded, determined guerilla resistance.
The tactic to take on the US military on land is therefore to preserve your forces and melt away.
You then provke the US by repeated terror/hit and run attacks so the US forces are pinned to a number of bases.
Eventually frustration will build and the US forces will start getting brutal with the civilian population.
The more civilllians they harass/kill, the more recruits you have for your guerilla army.
The recent documents that surfaced in Wikileaks show that for every US$1 billion the US spent in Iraq/Afghantistan, the insurgents fighting them spent less than US$ 1 million to hold the US to the current stalemate.
This very impressive spend ratio means that US defeat in Iraq/Afghanistan is all but certain.
The issue is Chinese harrassment of ships and oil exploration activities in the South China Sea. Added to that its claims of sovereinity of far away islands and the seabed.
The Alliance and the renewed exercises militarily are to twart any ambition of steam rolling the smaller countries.
If you drop by countries in Africa such as Tanzania and Kenya, you can see their presence and influence. You can see Chinese construction workers together with locals building roads. All done with Chinese aid.
The younger generation can't be bothered with might and the show of force. They are more interested in where innovation occurs, the manner in which you conduct yourself and your ability to hold your own in any dialogue and interactions. There is also an element of style and culture that is added. China and India are nowhwere in this space. They are associated with cheap labour, counterfeit foods, entrepreneurship in exploiting their own countrymen and building weapons of mass destructions and spending a fortune in defence to keep their mandate intact.
The best sign of a country's progress is where the young are and what the country can contribute. Look at Nokia and LG. Instead the best chinese and Indian brains are in Mountain View and in top Universities in the States. Both these countries have never developed anything of quality or substance over the last 100 years. Their accumulation of wealth is a result of cheap labour, cheap goods and substandard quality.
Countries like Singapore, Malaysia and Indonesia can only watch and smile while they have no doubt which wagon they should rely on.
For christ sake, they only have to compare themselves to the Koreans who turn out good stuff in many sectors. Have you ever seen anything of value that comes out of China/India that is local. These clowns can even build a decent tv or car but live on the backs of cheap and exploited labour. Sure they have impressive growth in national reserves. To me no different to human traffickers.
So as US influence wanes in the region, it is a tough choice on where to place one's bets.
As I've mentioned, the US are handicapped by their qualms and political cost considerations over overkill. Also, from Korea to Vietnam to Iraq to Afghanistan, there's been no real objective to conquer and occupy, just to install friendly governments. It may sound cynical, but there's also political motivation to maintain some balance of chaos in some regions.
Very hard to determine what are their political motivation. But fact is that their army is worn out, tired, and most impt of all the rewards are no longer worth the risks.
Give them another 5 years and US public will demand pullout of Iraq/Afghanistan regardless of political motivations. Reminds me of the Europeans pulling out of their colonies. the cost to maintain force there not worth
Give them another 5 years and US public will demand pullout of Iraq/Afghanistan regardless of political motivations. Reminds me of the Europeans pulling out of their colonies. the cost to maintain force there not worth
Singapore is just stupid to get entangled into this geopolitic games.
It is a given that the US will eventually pull out of Iraq/Afghanistan with their tail between their legs. The installed regimes will fall. In fact in Afghanistan, the current government should have falled via democratic vote. The US had to resort to allowing massive vote fraud so that their stooge stays in power.
When the US withdraws, what will then come of this coalition to contain China in the South China Sea?
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You are wrong to think that the USA will leave Iraq and Afghanistan in the manner you see.
What the USA has done is to show the middle eastern countries that if any one of them decides to side track from what the USA sees as decent behaviour, then they can count on the USA to come knocking on their doors with a huge missile.
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In due time, Iran will suffer Sadamm's Iraq fate. It's just a matter of time.
I tend to agree with you. From a military strategic standpoint, few people noticed the significance of Iraq and Afghanistan. They may be troublesome but what the hell? More people die in US roadkills and shootings everyday. Iraq and Afghanistan form a pair of brackets around Iran.
What the USA has done is to show the middle eastern countries that if any one of them decides to side track from what the USA sees as decent behaviour, then they can count on the USA to come knocking on their doors with a huge missile.
Georgie should have shouted "Kwa simi lanjiow, knn "?:o
Lets see if the US can afford to stay another 10 years and spend another trillion dollars to achieve absoultely nothing.
Nah
US Companies now have cheap access to crude oil and minerals like lithium in Middle East. Also it is not like they are paying for it themselves. Other countries buy their debt to support the war. There might be some arrangements to eventually forgive these debts without public acknowledgement.