-
IP addresses are NOT logged in this forum so there's no point asking. Please note that this forum is full of homophobes, racists, lunatics, schizophrenics & absolute nut jobs with a smattering of geniuses, Chinese chauvinists, Moderate Muslims and last but not least a couple of "know-it-alls" constantly sprouting their dubious wisdom. If you believe that content generated by unsavory characters might cause you offense PLEASE LEAVE NOW! Sammyboy Admin and Staff are not responsible for your hurt feelings should you choose to read any of the content here. The OTHER forum is HERE so please stop asking.
Triple Witching OPEX trigger a stock meltup? What happen next?
- Thread starter k1976
- Start date
S&P 500 Technical Analysis
The S&P 500 rallied a bit during the trading session on Friday, at least early in the day.That being said, it looks like we are threatening the 4500 level, which of course is a large, round, psychologically significant figure.
However, it does look like this is a market that continues to see a lot of upward pressure in general, and therefore I think it’s more or less a “buy on the dips” scenario.
Ultimately, one thing that you need to keep in mind is that the underlying index will be closed for Juneteenth on Monday, and therefore trading this and the limited electronic hours will probably be somewhat difficult.
you are a CFD trader, you may have the ability to do so, but again, there is no underlying index to form impressions on the contract for difference markets. I think at this point in time we are very likely to have a pullback, perhaps all the way down to the 4300 level.
The 50-Day EMA is starting to reach that area, and it should offer a significant amount of support. On the other hand, we could just simply take off above the 4500 level, which of course could open the market to the upside for a bigger move.
A lot of this comes down to the fact that the Federal Reserve chose to pause its rate hikes this last week, but at this point it becomes a question as to whether or not they will raise them later. I think at this point the jury is still out, although it’s worth noting that it is being priced in the Fed Funds Futures markets that we are going to see more.
Whether or not that ends up being the case, it’s really a tossup at this point, but as long as inflation runs hot, there is probably going to be a lot of danger out there.
Regardless, the market needs the pullback in order to attract more buying, so I think this remains a “buy on the dip” scenario, but again, remember that the Juneteenth holiday will make Monday somewhat pointless for traders.
The 50-Day EMA is starting to reach that area, and it should offer a significant amount of support. On the other hand, we could just simply take off above the 4500 level, which of course could open the market to the upside for a bigger move.
A lot of this comes down to the fact that the Federal Reserve chose to pause its rate hikes this last week, but at this point it becomes a question as to whether or not they will raise them later. I think at this point the jury is still out, although it’s worth noting that it is being priced in the Fed Funds Futures markets that we are going to see more.
Whether or not that ends up being the case, it’s really a tossup at this point, but as long as inflation runs hot, there is probably going to be a lot of danger out there.
Regardless, the market needs the pullback in order to attract more buying, so I think this remains a “buy on the dip” scenario, but again, remember that the Juneteenth holiday will make Monday somewhat pointless for traders.
https://www.thestreet.com/dictionary/t/triple-witching
Don't be spooked by this quarterly phenomenon—triple witching simply refers to the simultaneous expiration of three different types of derivative contracts.
Don't be spooked by this quarterly phenomenon—triple witching simply refers to the simultaneous expiration of three different types of derivative contracts.
Triple witching sounds like something from a horror movie, but it’s actually a financial term. Options and derivatives traders know this phenomenon well because it’s the day when three different types of contracts expire.
It happens only once a quarter and can cause wild swings in volatility, as large institutional traders roll over futures contracts to free up cash.
Doing so creates a ton of increased volume—sometimes 50% higher than average, especially in the last trading hour of the day—but individual investors needn’t feel spooked. In fact, some might even view this volatility as a profit-making opportunity.
It happens only once a quarter and can cause wild swings in volatility, as large institutional traders roll over futures contracts to free up cash.
Doing so creates a ton of increased volume—sometimes 50% higher than average, especially in the last trading hour of the day—but individual investors needn’t feel spooked. In fact, some might even view this volatility as a profit-making opportunity.
There is profit lah, but not for u and me it is for prop desk, if that sorta thing still exist today.
Similar threads
