Actually, the PAP votes is nearer 50-55%. The real data is in the East areas. I am basing my analysis on the only 3 corner fight this GE. SDA Desmond got the clearest message that Singaporeans KNOW who and what quality they are voting for. With that in mind, we look at the oppo candidates in East and West and you see the difference. The oppos in the West are considered very weak in quality compared to those in the East. And the vote count attest to this. The West contributes to PAP vote bank so much, it pulled up PAP % from 50+% to 60.1%.
So if you throw in TCB and TJS, where the people know the quality, the result will be nearer the East results. That is why I say PAP vote share is really 50-55% max. Not 60%. And we must remember that TCB stronghold is in Ayer Rajah, smack right in the West of PAP vote bank. What does that mean? It means TCB has a very strong chance to challenge TT to very very draw to a close 50-50 vote count.
TJS is strong only to vocal internet people. They are strong group, but when you count how many they are, you will be disappointed how small the number is. But I still like TJS. I like his economics proposal, I like his personality. Just that this time, is not his time. I support him to continue to contest all future elections.
TKL, seriously he has damaged himself too much. I don't know what to say.
The only way to prevent TT from getting the full 60% of PAP votes is to have TCB in the race. As the only opposition, TJS will get the bulk of the 15% who will vote for any opposition. A TCB candidate with TJS support and the Presidency may swing away from PAP for the first time in history. The only issue is TJS gains nothing in the end and the only way is to offer a VP. But I don't know how much power a President has to appoint a VP etc.