My take on this matter is this.
1) The more PM delay the BE the worse it is for PAP in general
2) Mickey was a popular MP there,,the residents like him,,,so I was also told alot of new shitizens live there too,,that means they are highly PAPPIE supporters,,so opposition contest there start on the back foot.
3) The longer the delay, the more time it gives Oppo to work the ground...and it will show TSL as an asshole. Can any frens here who live in TSL constituency give us an indication on how popular TSL is? I dont think he is popular as I have frens who went to his MPS and was surprise by what a dick head he his..
4) I hope the WP bring this up in parliament to argue for a change in the constitution so that a BE is required if any MP vacate his seat,,within 6 months unless the GE is around the corner,,this is a fundamental law in singapore,,PAP has to play by the rules.,eventhough it will get nowhere,,it will put PAP and Pinky in the back foot,,make him look bad
5) There is a higher chance of PAP winning the BE,,it seems that there will be multi party fights,,but WP has to contest and if they contest and win 40%, PAP win 50% and 10% go to the 3rd rate oppo,,than it shows that WP has credibility and is popular, if PAP win by less than 50% but won due to the past the post system,,than it shows PAP has no credibility at all
6) PAP has no popular members now which are loyal to Pinky. MPs are chosen due to their loyalty and not their competence. If PAP really wants to win this BE hands down,,they have to select someone popular but not a Pinky Yes man/women.
These Popular PAP ones are (my personal opinion hor)
a) Tan Soo Khoon
b) Tan Cheng Bock
c) Wong Kai Yuen?
d) any others?
If a and b contest,,I will be torn in voting for them or Oppo,,
If PAP puts an unknow General or Civil Serpent, it will be harder for PAP to win,,and will be most likely a win based on Party preference,,
just my rants,,,