based on calculations pap will lose in 2016

[Qantas]

I hope at the very least, once the Old Fossil kicks the bucket, there is some form of ideological split within the PAP.

Even if the PAP doesn't care about the people, it should care about its own political future. Reform must come from within the party.

Hope that Old Fart dun kick bucket just before erection otherwise the MIW will win plenty of sympathy votes.

 

[tanwahp]

some blokes mentioned opposition unity is a mad man's notion previously.
my idea of a coalition government is where the people's voices are truly reflected in the running of the nation. referendums aplenty, we rule, we decide. no more blank cheques to the PAP.

Unite the opposition is not mad, but everyone needs to put something on the table.

Malaysia Pakatan can come together because got 1 Anwar party, 1 Chinese party, 1 Malay-Muslim party.

You put WP, SDP and NSP together, got 1 Chinese majority party and 2 smaller Chinese majority parties.

PKMS is a good alliance partner but it has gone from gangster to hotbed of PAP plants.

 

[Dark Knight]

You have underestimated that 60% group of cronies.
They rely heavily on the Sillypore gahbrament to provide them with stable jobs to feed their families.
These 60% group of people are always very loyal to their master who have been providing them with such a comfortable life.
They won't wanna rock the boat and bite the hands that have been feeding them for so long.
Unless something screwed up big time, or else they will still stick to the old ruling party.

 

[Kuailan]

For the PAPAYA yah yah gahmen the end is NEAR!!

2016 will be the down fall of PAPAYA!! its too ripe already, they are being too
much for Stinkaprean to appreciate!! they only knows how to screw us up!!

 

[zhihau]

Sometimes I wish Singapore were a fishing village like Kukup.

several aqua farming around northeastern region kena real bad, cash crop kena wipe out.

 

[iluvgst]

If I am the incumbent, I would fund the formation of a "credible" opposition party so as to create three cornered fights in the borderline GRCs and SMCs. That will be a sure way to dilute the opposition votes and ensure a repeated victory.

 

[Mystery]

I know Singaporeans are dumb but I didn't realise they're mentally retarded.

Yes I agreed, your description matches the 60.1%

 

[zhihau]

Unite the opposition is not mad, but everyone needs to put something on the table.

everybody wants to rule the world...

 

[zhihau]

I won't be surprised if the PAP engineers a party "split" to preserve their hegemonic hold onto power.

aren't you glad there's a mini-LKY in each of us? :p:p:p

 

[ZorrorroZ]

My predictions for 2016 - let's make this post a sticky!!

I won't be surprised if Kenneth Jeyaratnam wins a GRC in 2016, he's been gaining traction.

Vincent Wijeysinghe was foolish to give up so early - he'd definitely have won a seat in 2016, especially if he stood in an SMC. Now he's lost all credibility.

Tan Cheng Bock - if he stands in an SMC as an independent - he'll surely win; but I think at his age, he'd do better to try for the next PE.

I predict WP will will another GRC at least, expanding their little kingdom.

SDP ... 50-50, it's still haunted by images of internal strife.

Lina Chiam will lose her hanging-by-a-thread seat.

Lui Tuck Yew, Goh Chok Tong, Wong Kan Seng, Mah Bow Tan, Yaacob Ibrahim, Raymond Lim will all retire in 2016.

Lee Kuan Yew... will not make it to 2016, he'll be equally missed as well as reviled. What a way to end up in history! Of course, Singapore's version of history books will record his tale as he was a god.

 

[tanwahp]

I won't be surprised if Kenneth Jeyaratnam wins a GRC in 2016, he's been gaining traction.

I will be surprised. This person cannot connect anywhere anytime.

Vincent Wijeysinghe was foolish to give up so early - he'd definitely have won a seat in 2016, especially if he stood in an SMC. Now he's lost all credibility.

VW found himself more useful as an activist. No loss to anyone, be it himself, SDP or the people.

Tan Cheng Bock - if he stands in an SMC as an independent - he'll surely win; but I think at his age, he'd do better to try for the next PE.

Parliament is out for him. He already had 20 years there.

I predict WP will will another GRC at least, expanding their little kingdom.

Possible.

SDP ... 50-50, it's still haunted by images of internal strife.

About 40-60 I'd say.

Lina Chiam will lose her hanging-by-a-thread seat.

Agree.

Lui Tuck Yew, Goh Chok Tong, Wong Kan Seng, Mah Bow Tan, Yaacob Ibrahim, Raymond Lim will all retire in 2016.

Not Lui and Yaacob.

Lee Kuan Yew... will not make it to 2016, he'll be equally missed as well as reviled. What a way to end up in history! Of course, Singapore's version of history books will record his tale as he was a god.

LKY will survive past 2016 but not run.

 

[zhihau]

My predictions for 2016 - let's make this post a sticky!!

reckoned GST will be 10% for a start after the GE, i also see the minister's pay to take a small dip prior to GE, so as to pacify the public and only to be raised subsequently. sneaky lil' bastards...

 

[Hans168]

10% or even 15% swing in votes away from PAP not enough...........20% also not enough...........

the main thing is to keep squeezing those bastards...............

in order to have any progress made................must hope for 10% swing in 2016...........minimum............

if less than that then S'pore is finished..............all those that can abandon ship, better do it..............

yeah daz the way to go...............muttafarkers had too may good years!!!!!!!!!!
make them sweat for their salaries n perks

 

[Hans168]

So Singapore is going to vote the PAP out and replace them with a bunch of morons who don't have a clue how to run a country?

I know Singaporeans are dumb but I didn't realise they're mentally retarded.

so those who know how to mgmt the cuntry can forever mis-mgmt n abuse it???? Seen too much of it in Africa n IndoChina ........& Ukraine

 

[myfoot123]

Opposition major tirumph card - Tan Cheng BocK, if he stepped out and land opposition his support at the rally. I think, he kind of like WP? I hope other ex ministers will come out too. I wonder where is Tan Soo Koon and the rest who previously opposed PAP policies aggressively in parliament.

 

[Hans168]

Despite the numerous shortcomings of the incumbents, they are still poles ahead of the rest.

If WP or the SDP were to take over the reigns, it would be an almighty disaster. They're even less trustworthy plus they don't have the skills or the brains to run a country.

Give me the PAP anytime. I have full confidence that they'll protect my Singapore assets.

Aren't the bul of your assets in NZ?

 

[Hans168]

The cabinet was not a motley crew. They were amongst the best brains the country had to offer.

they were upright n NOT greedy......... imagine how rich Goh Keng Swee would hv become if he was greedy
it was reported that at the onset of a big financial crisis As Defence Minister he ordered CIS to buy copper in futures market... he cud hv punted himself n quit as multi millionaire!!

 

[GOD IS MY DOG]

Aren't the bul of your assets in NZ?

boh lah...............most of his assets are on Mars............his only asset here is the server for this forum lah...........

 

[palden]

Democratic? Wake up Gilbert. No room for freak result here.

What if the ruling party is voted out of office during the next election and a new government is formed? Will such freak result occurs in our fake democratic society thus elightening the hearts of many anti - establishment people here?

The loss of a first-ever GRC in GE 2011 plus two consecutive by-elections have jolted the conservative mindset of many Singaporeans here - who are used to traditional PAP victories at the polls. Forty over percent of the voters are rooting for the opposition now and swing voters are coming on board thick and fast if social media reaction is to be trusted.

The sweeping ground sentiments of the people going against the government is so swift and disturbing that anything can happen during the next election but something tells me that its the silent majority who do not access social media that will decide if this unprecedented outcome is to be realised.

There are at least 20% of the fence-sitters who will only decide days before the election who they want to manage their estate and speak up for them in Parliament. These are mainly PAP supporters but may be disappointed by the recent happenings in the country to swing their votes over to the opposition camp during the next election.

The shocking loss of Aljunied GRC to Worker's Party in GE 2011 has shown that more than 10% of the voters there have swung their votes over to the opposition camp and the same thing happened in Punggol-East SMC.

There are at least five GRCs and SMCs which registered more than 40% of the total electorate votes during GE 2011 and so a near-ten percent swing vote overall will bring all these areas over to the opposition camp threatening the power base of the incumbent.

However, the more important question to ask is - will the opposition be ready to form the next government?

Even WP has admitted before that they are not ready to form one yet and are more prepared to be the co-driver with the ruling party running the show but this has drawn much criticism from netizens who questioned the main opposition party's lack of ambition.

Our disunited multi-party opposition system and lack of a shadow government structure have inherently make it very difficult for a smooth transition to occur if a freak election result is to happen during the next election.

A coalition government is the most likely scenario here and the third opposition party to win another GRC looks like they are going to be the vital courted kingpin if this shocking result is to occur.

This equation may not seem so far-fetched especially if ex-PAP stelwarts decide to form their own party and contest the next election. Ex-PAP MPs like Mr Tan Cheng Bock and Mr George Yeo still hold quite alot of clout and can win any election hands down - only if they decide to contest against their ex-master.

If Mr Tan Cheng Bock can stand up and contested the last Presidential Election, it will not be a surprise if he wants to contest the next election as an independent or join one of the opposition party.

In fact, the eventual demise of Mr Lee Kuan Yew could split the party in two leading to a short power struggle with one team pitting themselves against the other in a one-fight-grabs-all general election. This perhaps will be the safest bet for a smoother transition if the incumbent is to be suddenly voted out during the next election.

Nevertheless, investors I heard are also uneasy at the current unstable political sentiments and are bracing themselves for a sharp drop in popularity votes for the ruling party with some even holding out their expansion plan before the next election.

With so many possible twists and turns for the next election, many have already coined it as the mother of all elections and rightfully so as not only will it be fiercely contested but true-blue Singaporeans know that if nothing happens by GE 2016 the sheer number of pro-government converted citizens will nullify any opposition votes in future.



Gilbert Goh

*Article first appeared on https://www.facebook.com/goh.gilbert/posts/10152659200253975

http://therealsingapore.com/content/what-if-pap-was-voted-out-next-ge

 

[steffychun]

My predictions for 2016 - let's make this post a sticky!!

I won't be surprised if Kenneth Jeyaratnam wins a GRC in 2016, he's been gaining traction.

Vincent Wijeysinghe was foolish to give up so early - he'd definitely have won a seat in 2016, especially if he stood in an SMC. Now he's lost all credibility.

Tan Cheng Bock - if he stands in an SMC as an independent - he'll surely win; but I think at his age, he'd do better to try for the next PE.

I predict WP will will another GRC at least, expanding their little kingdom.

SDP ... 50-50, it's still haunted by images of internal strife.

Lina Chiam will lose her hanging-by-a-thread seat.

Lui Tuck Yew, Goh Chok Tong, Wong Kan Seng, Mah Bow Tan, Yaacob Ibrahim, Raymond Lim will all retire in 2016.

Lee Kuan Yew... will not make it to 2016, he'll be equally missed as well as reviled. What a way to end up in history! Of course, Singapore's version of history books will record his tale as he was a god.

KJ is an insult to daddy. He won't get anything.