Jenny Wong. scroobal is looking for intellectuals in his threads. Not homosexuals. Stop confusing yourself!....LOL
Let me reiterate. For intellectuals not homosexuals. This where I stop. I cannot, must not derail his noble intent when starting threads. Now come the fuck out of the thread with you me Jenny you rectum for a vagina!....LOL
Even without gerry mandering, FPTP system favours incumbents.... You need a very large swing....It is almost impossible.
There has been a number of posts expressing the likelihood that PAP will lose the Government soon or in the near future. Both are not possible unless the Party splits or implodes.
1) PAP currently holds 80. It won 81 seats in GE2011 but lost one in a By-election. During GE2011. there was 26 contests, Tanjong Pagar was a walkover. It won 24 contests (SMC plusGRC). Those are powerful numbers.
2) The opposition must take 37 more seats from the PAP to remove its minority. Is that a possibility
3) Even if PAP only secures 43 seats, just missing the majority, can the Opposition unify to form a coalition or will the PAP end up running a minority Govt.
So we are looking at big numbers to see change and are there enough viable parties and candidates to mount the challenge.
PAP vs WP since 2011
Promise to listen more to people - Start National Conversation and implement policies according to Conversation results. More prove that they listen are incidents which took a different course of action like during the recent like LGBT uproar on library incident
Promise to make it easier to get BTO and reduce home prices - Mass produce new BTO flats, multiple cooling measures which seem to be working
Promise to help the poor and aged - Pioneer package. Change qualifying criteria for poor to income for each individual in household vs total household income allowing more families to qualify for government welfare
Promise to Reduce FT intake - Increase quota, reduce inflow of FT to the point where Low Thia Kiang came out to scold government on FT issue
Promise to improve public transportation - roll out $1.1B scheme to improve current infrastructure
Promise to reduce healthcare cost - Medishield Life
So far all GE2011 promises are being kept
What about WP?
Promise to slap govt if they fall asleep - Scold Government when they reduce Foreigner quota. Hawkers ask government to slap them when they try to charge money for FOC services
Promise to be a check and balance on government - Give their good friend company multi million dollar contracts without tender. $20M in items missing from their accounts
Promise to be voice of people - MIA from Parliament
We need a Gorbachev in the PAP ranks to introduce Presristoika and Glasnost!
Maybe Lao Goh can fit the bill?
You don't need them to lose. Just deprive them of their two thirds and that might wake them up.
Singaporeans shouldn't be so concerned who rules so long as they take care of Singaporeans. If it is a reformed PAP, why not ?
My sense is that PAP has already accepted that it will no longer command a big majority and will follow the norm that we see in western democracies where the party forming the Govt just garnered over 50% of the votes or they form a coalition. Both the UK and OZ are Coalition Government.
Many people have this misconception that having deny them 2/3 majority will stop govt from implementing unpopular policies. No, it not the case.
In no way it going to stop the ruling party from increasing GST to 10%, increase your water bill or increase population to 10m. If there is any influence to stop govt from implementing these unpopular policies, it works indirectly for the ruling party will be more wary that any unpopular policies will probably shave a few percentage of support away. This would be very dangerous if PAP only command say 42 out of 80 seats.
Not entirely impossible. While the difference in seats is big, the percentages aren't. There were many marginal wins in the last GE. Alex Au calculated that just a 5% swing and the PAP would lose 25% of its seats and its 2/3rds majority. The beauty of first-past-the-post.
Many people have this misconception that having deny them 2/3 majority will stop govt from implementing unpopular policies. No, it not the case.
In no way it going to stop the ruling party from increasing GST to 10%, increase your water bill or increase population to 10m. If there is any influence to stop govt from implementing these unpopular policies, it works indirectly for the ruling party will be more wary that any unpopular policies will probably shave a few percentage of support away. This would be very dangerous if PAP only command say 42 out of 80 seats.
The 2/3 majority would be a psychological turning point. The incumbent will want to stem further losses and will move to address the issues, assuming it is not completely paralysed by lack of leadership.
If PAP doesn't lose the 2/3 majority, it will remain complacent and less chance of it getting rid of its entrenched dogma.
From all your posts, you don't seem to understand the PAP let alone the general population of Sinkie who make up the middle and lower income group.
There is a saying " When push becomes shove" then you will see what is the reaction of the folks who got the shove, continuously.
Obviously in real life, you are a coward. Put you in JB and see when you kenna robbed and whacked what your reaction is.
I bet 101%, you will kpkb about it, afterall the incident is all over, bearing the bruises you so deserved! LoL
Proportional representation would be a better alternative, but how can we convince sinkies their MPs are not there to run town councils and make sure the trash gets cleared every morning?
Not entirely impossible. While the difference in seats is big, the percentages aren't. There were many marginal wins in the last GE. Alex Au calculated that just a 5% swing and the PAP would lose 25% of its seats and its 2/3rds majority. The beauty of first-past-the-post.
Not entirely impossible. While the difference in seats is big, the percentages aren't. There were many marginal wins in the last GE. Alex Au calculated that just a 5% swing and the PAP would lose 25% of its seats and its 2/3rds majority. The beauty of first-past-the-post.
There has been a number of posts expressing the likelihood that PAP will lose the Government soon or in the near future. Both are not possible unless the Party splits or implodes.
1) PAP currently holds 80. It won 81 seats in GE2011 but lost one in a By-election. During GE2011. there was 26 contests, Tanjong Pagar was a walkover. It won 24 contests (SMC plusGRC). Those are powerful numbers.
2) The opposition must take 37 more seats from the PAP to remove its minority. Is that a possibility
3) Even if PAP only secures 43 seats, just missing the majority, can the Opposition unify to form a coalition or will the PAP end up running a minority Govt.
So we are looking at big numbers to see change and are there enough viable parties and candidates to mount the challenge.