Acccording to my political intinct, Obama has every reason to win. He cut down on military expenditure by pulling army out of iraq. He created jobs for the workers, he taxed the rich and ensure everyone has health insurance. If there is anything that he was not doing well, it was because the Bush administration has passed down a lot of shit to him and blocked him from doing his jobs proper. I believe many american would prefer to have him continue as president, those who didn't vote for him not because he did not do well but they were racist. Period.