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    The OTHER forum is HERE so please stop asking.

This thread is only for those good in math and not from lousy school

LITTLEREDDOT

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
1635087581699.png


Ministry of Health, Singapore


We are aware that a message has been circulating on WhatsApp, which claimed that vaccines are ineffective, as vaccinated persons make up 40% of ICU cases. This is misleading.

The fact is 94% of eligible persons are fully vaccinated, and they only make up 40% of ICU cases.

Conversely, 6% of eligible persons are not vaccinated, and yet they make up 60% of ICU cases.

COVID-19 vaccines approved for use in Singapore have been assessed to be safe and effective. They also offer protection from serious illness.

MOH has always provided the public with relevant data on our COVID-19 situation. However, we should avoid interpreting the data selectively, and spreading misinformation.

If you have not taken your vaccination, we urge you to do so as soon as you can, to protect yourself and your loved ones
 

LITTLEREDDOT

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
Poor math? Or is it poor or non-communication from the MTF?

Be careful of misleading WhatsApp messages and 'poor maths': Ong Ye Kung​


tan_sue-ann.png

Sue-Ann Tan


OCT 23, 2021


SINGAPORE - Health Minister Ong Ye Kung has warned members of the public to be careful of misleading WhatsApp messages circulating that claimed Covid-19 vaccines do not work.
During an update by the multi-ministry task force on Covid-19 on Saturday (Oct 23), he cited a message claiming that beds in the intensive care unit (ICU) are 40 per cent occupied by vaccinated individuals.
The message also urged the Ministry of Health (MOH) to "come clean" about this situation regarding vaccinated individuals falling seriously ill with Covid-19.
Responding, Mr Ong said: "I think this is selective use of data to mislead people and it's a disservice to people."
He said that MOH had been releasing as much data as it could to help the public understand the benefits of vaccination.
"It's not about transparency or data, it's about the right application of maths," he added.



For instance, if 100 per cent of the population is vaccinated, every single ICU case and death will be of a vaccinated person.
"It doesn't mean vaccines don't work," he said, noting that people have to look at the incidence rate and the base of the calculations.
"The very stark piece of data is this - we have a group of seniors that are still unvaccinated. They account for 1.5 per cent or slightly less of the total population.
"And over the last 28 days, (they) accounted for two-thirds of ICU occupancy and deaths, and that's how stark it is."
Singapore's director of medical services Kenneth Mak explained that about 3.5 per cent of all unvaccinated local cases had a more severe illness requiring either oxygen supplementation or ICU care, in contrast with 0.6 per cent of all vaccinated cases.
"The overall risk of infected Covid-19 patients who need oxygen supplementation or ICU care, or who have died, is 8.1 per cent of all unvaccinated people. And this compares to 1.4 per cent for fully vaccinated people," Associate Professor Mak said.
"This means there's a relative risk of 5.8 times more for an unvaccinated person to get a severe infection, compared to vaccinated people."
Mr Ong concluded: "So do get yourself vaccinated. Be careful of misleading WhatsApp messages and poor maths."
 

LITTLEREDDOT

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset

Is PSLE maths really that hard?​

 The Primary 6 cohort had experienced almost two years of disruptions and less-than-ideal studying conditions, including home-based learning.


The Primary 6 cohort had experienced almost two years of disruptions and less-than-ideal studying conditions, including home-based learning.PHOTO: LIANHE ZAOBAO
stephanieyeo.png

Stephanie Yeo
Senior Correspondent

Oct 24, 2021


SINGAPORE - Once again, parents are up in arms over the Primary School Leaving Examination (PSLE) mathematics paper.
Just over three weeks ago, the now-infamous "Helen and Ivan" four-mark question made its rounds on social media, prompting both outrage and memes galore.
This newspaper reported complaints from aggrieved parents who said the "difficult paper" left their children in tears.
Outrage over the PSLE maths exam is not new. A quick check of The Straits Times' archives revealed similar complaints from parents in 2019, 2017 and 2015.
In 2000, 26 parents called the ST hotline because some of the questions required pupils to apply higher-order thinking skills, which they said their children had not been trained in.
This year's controversy, however, comes against the backdrop of the Covid-19 pandemic. The Primary 6 cohort had experienced almost two years of disruptions and less-than-ideal studying conditions, including home-based learning.

Added to that were fears over the new PSLE grading system, which does away with the T-score in favour of an Achievement Level scoring system that is similar to the O levels.
Ms Stacy Cheng, 48, says her daughter Steffi, 12, told her that "the paper was okay, but some of her classmates broke down afterwards". Still, it was an emotionally fraught period for the family as Steffi was issued a leave of absence which ended just before her exams.
"I totally understand those parents who complained. This PSLE was especially stressful due to all the Covid-19 measures that changed every day," says the financial services director, who has two older children aged 17 and 20.
Why does PSLE maths spark such extreme reactions? Is it really that difficult?
On one hand, Singapore's maths syllabus has been celebrated around the world. Students shine in international tests, such as the Trends in International Mathematics and Science Study, in which local kids took the top spot in both subjects consecutively in 2019 and 2015.
Results for the 2019 edition were released late last year, and the test is administered by the International Association for the Evaluation of Educational Achievement, a non-profit research cooperative based in Amsterdam.
On the other hand, maths is the most popular tuition subject, according to a 2019 poll of 235 parents with primary school children who have tuition.
Sixty-five per cent of parents said their kids had maths tutors, versus 54 per cent for the second-most popular subject, English. The survey was commissioned by ST and conducted by consumer research firm Milieu Insight.
Maths expert Yeap Ban Har says international tests and studies measure the strength of the education system and show that "Singapore students are able to do what is expected".

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National tests differ from country to country, Dr Yeap Ban Har explains. PHOTO: COURTESY OF YEAP BAN HAR

The former lecturer at the National Institute of Education has written maths textbooks for various education systems. He is director of curriculum and teacher development at Pathlight School for children with autism, and holds a similar portfolio at the Anglo Singapore International School In Bangkok.
"The pervasiveness of tuition in maths indicates parental expectations in the subject," he says. "I am sure anecdotally, we know of kids already doing very well in school maths who receive tutoring."
Parents see maths as a subject "where if you know the concept, you will be able to answer the exam questions" and score well, he says.
He adds that the "Singapore syllabus is far from an accelerated one" as children in the United States and England are introduced to certain mathematical concepts much earlier than their peers here.
For example, American kids learn about algebra in Grade 3, when they are about nine years old, while Singapore children do this in Primary 6 if they are taking the standard syllabus.
National tests differ from country to country, Dr Yeap explains. While some may measure the bare minimum, others like the PSLE aim to find out several things - "if students can do basics, if they can use maths in routine applications and, finally, if they can also handle novelty and complexity".
An example of a basic question would be: Find the value of 40 x 2.7
In comparison, a routine application question would look like this:
Helen has 40 fifty-cent coins and Ivan has 40 twenty-cent coins. Each fifty-cent coin is 2.7 g heavier than each twenty-cent coin. The total mass of Helen's coins is 264 g. What is the total mass of Ivan's coins?
The Helen and Ivan from this year's PSLE one qualifies as a novel and complex question:
Helen and Ivan have the same total number of coins. Helen has a number of fifty-cent coins, and 64 twenty-cent coins. The total mass of her coins is 1.134kg. Ivan has a number of fifty-cent coins and 104 twenty-cent coins.
(a) Who has more money in coins? How much more?
(b) Each fifty-cent coin is 2.7g heavier than each twenty-cent coin. What is the total mass of Ivan's coins in kg?

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National tests differ from country to country. While some may measure the bare minimum, others like the PSLE aim to find out several things. PHOTO: ST FILE

Dr Yeap says: "The danger of having national tests that include only the basics is that students don't get opportunities to push their own thinking and have opportunities at skills that can open doors to subsequent opportunities."
He adds: "All kids should be fluent in the basics, able to apply concepts in routine, familiar content and have opportunities at challenging tasks, but they also need to know that as long as they have tried their best, that's good enough.
"Some adults can't accept this. They expect kids to be able to do everything, which is unrealistic."
Manager Y. Lim, 50, says she told her daughter that "it's really a test of her discipline and resilience, traits she needs to have her entire life and not just for the PSLE".
Her daughter, whom she declined to name, felt the PSLE maths paper was slightly easier than her school's preliminary exam paper, but was still not confident about her performance. "I asked if she cried. She said no, but she was crying on the inside," she says.
While she is concerned about her child's options for secondary school, the self-confessed "tiger mum" also reassured her daughter that she is loved unconditionally.
"All mothers love their children but may express it differently. This is what I tell my daughter, 'Will I be disappointed if you come back with bad grades? Of course I will be, just that my love for you will never change. Just like when you misbehave and I get angry with you, it doesn't mean I do not love you anymore.'"
She adds: "Grades are just one aspect of her life, but there are other aspects that need to be honed too."

Help your child with maths anxiety​

"Nurturing kids who love maths or other subjects is a tall order as passion is in the hands of the kids," says Dr Yeap Ban Har. "I think the question is how we can help them to not mind the subject, to not have the anxiety that we sometimes hear about."
He and Ms Joy Tan, head of Learning Solutions at Marshall Cavendish Education, which publishes maths textbooks, offer tips for parents.

1. Avoid maths "tricks"​

"Early rote memorising and mindless procedures can contribute to maths anxiety later," Dr Yeap says. "These activities will overload the working memory and make one feel inadequate."
Instead, teach kids to figure things out. For example, if they do not remember what 9x7 is, it is not a big deal. They can do 10x7, which is easier to remember, then subtract seven to get the same answer.

2. Build a good foundation in the basics​

"Every kid knows that one apple plus one orange is not equal to two watermelons," he says.
"They know you need the nouns to be the same in order to add. Likewise with one-half plus one-third."
"It's important to get kids to learn the basics (such as the way we name fractions) well. Some kids say 'two upon three' instead of 'two-thirds' (number and noun). When the basics are not well learnt, doing harder things can be stressful."

3. Start a journal​

Journalling helps children cope better with maths anxiety, says Ms Tan. She cites a 2014 research study which found that those who wrote about their fears outperformed those who did not.

4. Play maths games​

Age-appropriate games are a fun way to introduce maths concepts, Ms Tan says. Parents should also help their children reflect on what they have learnt in this game, which is called metacognition.
"Metacognition is crucial for the deep understanding needed to be a competent problem solver in maths," she says.
During the game, parents could ask metacognitive questions to help children clarify their thinking, such as:
• How do you know that your answer is correct?
• What is a quick way to arrive at the correct answer?
• Are there other ways to find the answer?
• Why did you choose this method?

5. Boost body and mind​

"Research has shown that physical exercise increases blood flow and connectivity in the hippocampus, a key region in the brain for memory formation and consolidation of learning," says Ms Tan.
PSLE parent Stacy Cheng also taught her daughter Steffi to put on an exam prep meditation from the Headspace app the night before every exam. "She also gave herself a pep talk just before all the papers to tell herself that she could do it," she says.
 

LITTLEREDDOT

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
Not only must you be good at math, you must also be good at reading charts and graphs.

MOH releases two new daily charts to better reflect Covid-19 situation in S'pore​

The chart will provide a clearer representation of the situation in the hospitals, especially the ICUs.


The chart will provide a clearer representation of the situation in the hospitals, especially the ICUs.
PHOTO: ST FILE
clarachong.png

Clara Chong

Oct 24, 2021

SINGAPORE - Two new charts have been added to the daily Covid-19 updates that the Ministry of Health (MOH) issues every night.
They are a chart of Singapore's daily adult intensive care unit (ICU) bed utilisation, and another showing the ratio of community cases in the past week compared with the week before.
The ICU chart details, over time, the number of empty ICU beds, patients critically ill in the ICU (such as those requiring ventilators), those unstable in the ICU (who require monitoring or are on oxygen support) and non-Covid-19 ICU cases.
The chart will provide a clearer representation of the situation in the hospitals, especially the ICUs, said Professor Teo Yik Ying, dean of the Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health at the National University of Singapore.
Looking at the bigger picture of ICU utilisation as a whole instead of just focusing on those who are critically ill and in the ICU also provides a better reflection of the situation in the hospitals as doctors are working equally hard to provide a high quality of care even for those who are just being monitored in the ICU, he added.
There is also a lag time in ICU utilisation and infection numbers as a person who is infected today may only progress to a critical stage requiring ICU care in seven to 10 days, Prof Teo noted.



"Given that every patient in the ICU has a real risk of experiencing severe symptoms that may result in death, we want to prevent as many cases in the ICU as possible... However, if we have already utilised in excess of two-thirds of the ICU beds, it is already pointing to a trajectory that our healthcare system is under pressure."
Health Minister Ong Ye Kung said on Oct 20 that the surge in Covid-19 cases here has placed significant pressure and strain on public hospitals, with 89 per cent of the 1,650 isolation beds and 67 per cent of the ICU beds occupied.
There are currently about 200 ICU beds for Covid-19 patients, who stay an average 15 days in the ICU. But the longest stay can be up to a month, Mr Ong said.
The chart also shows explicitly who is in the ICU with Covid-19 and who is desperately ill in the ICU with Covid-19, said Associate Professor Alex Cook, vice-dean of research at the NUS Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health.

He noted that even though the utilisation has gone up, temporary ICU facilities have been created to ensure that those who need it can access it, as seen from the overall increase in ICU capacity.
"I understand that we can continue to create more temporary ICU beds until about 1,000, but as the numbers go up, the quality of care will start to be sacrificed," Prof Cook added.
On the other new graph, looking at the ratio of two sets of case numbers is better than purely looking at daily case numbers as daily numbers will fluctuate, said the two experts.
"If you look at the daily case numbers, there's a weekly pattern. It's especially obvious on Tuesdays, which will see a higher case number as the results come in for people who went to a clinic on a Monday," Prof Cook said.
"The number of people going to a clinic on Monday is probably higher because clinics are usually shut over the weekend, so people delay the visit to a doctor till Monday," Prof Cook added.
This is a similar trend with influenza, and can be overcome by taking the ratio of today to one week ago, Prof Cook noted.

A consistent series of days or even weeks where the ratios fall below one will reflect the epidemic to be under control, and that there are few new cases being reported each week, Prof Teo said.
"However, this number does not necessarily reflect the strain on the healthcare system. If we have fewer cases being reported each week but many of these cases are unvaccinated people who are old or with underlying medical conditions, then the strain on the healthcare system will remain or even worsen," Prof Teo added.
"Right now, if we truly want the strain on the healthcare system to be alleviated, we need to get the remaining unvaccinated people to be vaccinated, as they are disproportionately taxing the healthcare system."
 

ChanRasjid

Alfrescian
Loyal
View attachment 125686

Ministry of Health, Singapore


We are aware that a message has been circulating on WhatsApp, which claimed that vaccines are ineffective, as vaccinated persons make up 40% of ICU cases. This is misleading.

The fact is 94% of eligible persons are fully vaccinated, and they only make up 40% of ICU cases.

Conversely, 6% of eligible persons are not vaccinated, and yet they make up 60% of ICU cases.

COVID-19 vaccines approved for use in Singapore have been assessed to be safe and effective. They also offer protection from serious illness.

MOH has always provided the public with relevant data on our COVID-19 situation. However, we should avoid interpreting the data selectively, and spreading misinformation.

If you have not taken your vaccination, we urge you to do so as soon as you can, to protect yourself and your loved ones
This is good maths, but bad information:
"The fact is 94% of eligible persons are fully vaccinated, and they only make up 40% of ICU cases.
Conversely, 6% of eligible persons are not vaccinated, and yet they make up 60% of ICU cases."

Should give :
1) all > 70 year old vaxx, % in ICU
2) all > 70 year old unvaxx, % in ICU

Any data?

Chan Rasjid.
 

Leongsam

High Order Twit / Low SES subject
Admin
Asset
Seniors don't need to be vaccinated because they're going to die soon anyway. You don't need any Mathematics to work that out.
 

sweetiepie

Alfrescian
Loyal
Imuho the final answer will onlee be known and acknowledged when left say 100 pax not vax and icu has 100 from vac and 100 from unvac :o-o:
 

mojito

Alfrescian
Loyal
Fact: 4 out of every 5 people vaxxed
Also fact: 6 out of 10 covid cases in ICU vaxxed
Both are true no? :cautious:
 

bobby

Alfrescian
Loyal
Another tricky maths PSLE question......

If only 2 fully vaccinated Singaporeans can dine-in, how many "fully vaccinated" foreigners with dubious vaccination certs issued by their own countries can dine-in ?

a) 2
b) 5
c) 10
d) 15
e) all of the above.
 

LITTLEREDDOT

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
You must be good in probabilities.

1635255148477.png


If infected with COVID-19, 1 in 4 unvaccinated seniors in their 60s will require oxygen supplementation, ICU care, or eventually pass away.
With vaccination, the risk drops to 1 in 50.
COVID-19 vaccination helps reduce the risk of serious illness and a bad outcome.
Help your seniors get vaccinated today, as well as booster shots when it is offered to them.
Source: MOH
 

laksaboy

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
You must be good in probabilities.

View attachment 125825

If infected with COVID-19, 1 in 4 unvaccinated seniors in their 60s will require oxygen supplementation, ICU care, or eventually pass away.
With vaccination, the risk drops to 1 in 50.
COVID-19 vaccination helps reduce the risk of serious illness and a bad outcome.
Help your seniors get vaccinated today, as well as booster shots when it is offered to them.
Source: MOH

Basically it boils down to this: do you trust Dr Fauci?

Because everything came from that source, the same talking points e.g. 'prevents serious illness and death'.
 

Scrooball (clone)

Alfrescian
Loyal
Cheebye..... what kind of idiot came up with this moronic chart?

Clearly some stupid data engineer who does not know how to make data more understandable. Could have included the percentage right?
 
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