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Retirement - the earlier the better!

Leongsam

High Order Twit / Low SES subject
Admin
Asset
Optimum Strategies for Creativity and Longevity
By Sing Lin, Ph.D.
Member of National Council of
Chinese Institute of Engineers – USA/Greater New York Chapter, and
Member of Board of Director of
National Taiwan University Alumni Association – Greater New York
March 2002

1. Most Creative Years in the Life

The Nobel Laureate, Dr. Leo Esaki, delivered the distinguished lecture entitled "Innovation and Evolution: Reflections on a Life in Research" in the University of Texas at Dallas in the afternoon of Feb. 23, 2002 during the 2002 US National Engineering Week. In this lecture, Dr. Esaki indicated that most of the great discoveries and innovations by the Nobel Laureates occurred at the average age of 32 even though the Nobel prizes were awarded 10 or 20 years afterwards. Furthermore, Dr. Esaki indicated that the peak creativity of most scientists occurred around the age range of 20 to 30 years. As one gets older, the experience increases but the creativity decreases steadily with the age.

It is, therefore, very important to stimulate, encourage and cultivate many young people to get interested in science and engineering at their young age and to provide the optimal R&D environment for these very powerful young scientists and engineers to unleash their very strong creativities during their most precious and creative years around the age of 32.

2. Longevity Vs. Retirement Age

The pension funds in many large corporations (e.g., Boeing, Lockheed Martin, AT&T, Lucent Technologies, etc.) have been “Over Funded” because many “late retirees” who keep-on working into their old age and retire late after the age of 65 tend to die within two years after their retirements. In other words, many of these late retirees do not live long enough to collect all their fair shares of pension money such that they leave a lot of extra-unused money in the pension funds resulting in the over-funded pension funds.

Dr. Ephrem (Siao Chung) Cheng provided the important results in the following Table 1 and the associated chart from an actuarial study of life span vs. age at retirement. The study was based on the number of pension checks sent to retirees of Boeing Aerospace.

Table 1 – Actuarial Study of life span vs. age at retirement.

<tbody>
</tbody>
Age at
Retirement
Average Age
At Death
49.986
51.285.3
52.584.6
53.883.9
55.183.2
56.482.5
57.281.4
58.380
59.278.5
60.176.8
6174.5
62.171.8
63.169.3
64.167.9
65.266.8

<tbody>
</tbody>


Table 1 and the chart indicate that for people retired at the age of 50, their average life span is 86; whereas for people retired at the age of 65, their average life span is only 66.8. An important conclusion from this study is that for every year one works beyond age 55, one loses 2 years of life span on average.

The Boeing experience is that employees retiring at age of 65 receive pension checks for only 18 months, on average, prior to death. Similarly, the Lockheed experience is that employees retiring at age of 65 receive pension checks for only 17 months, on average, prior to death. Dr. David T. Chai indicated that the Bell Labs experience is similar to those of Boeing and Lockheed based on the casual observation from the Newsletters of Bell Lab retirees. A retiree from Ford Motor told Dr. Paul Tien-Lin Ho that the experience from Ford Motor is also similar to those in Boeing and Lockheed.

The statistics shown in the Pre-Retirement Seminar in Telcordia (Bellcore) indicates that the average age that Telcordia (Bellcore) employees start retirement is 57. Therefore, people who retire at the age of 65 or older are minority as compared to the number of early retirees.

The hard-working late retirees probably put too much stress on their aging body-and-mind such that they are so stressed out to develop various serious health problems that forced them to quit and retire. With such long-term stress-induced serious health problems, they die within two years after they quit and retire.

On the other hand, people who take early retirements at the age of 55 tend to live long and well into their 80s and beyond. These earlier retirees probably are either wealthier or more able to plan and manage their various aspects of their life, health and career well such that they can afford to retire early and comfortably.

These early retirees are not really idling after their early retirements to get old. They still continue doing some work. But they do the work on the part-time basis at a more leisure pace so that they do not get too stressed out. Furthermore, they have the luxury to pick and chose the types of part-time work of real interest to them so that they can enjoy and love doing that “fun” work at a more leisure pace.

The late retirees are small in number, tend to die quickly after retirement and disappear from the population of old people beyond the age of 70. Late retirees, therefore, have very little weight on the statistical average life expectancy of the population of “old people” dominated by the early retirees.

Several years ago, a Japanese friend of mine told me that most Japanese people retire at the age of 60 or earlier. This may be one of the factors contributing to the long average life span of Japanese people.

3. Changing Trend of US Pension Plans

The traditional pension plans of many major US companies used to place a lot of value on the experience of long-term older employees by increasing the pension money rapidly and nonlinearly for long-term employees as their age + service year increases beyond the threshold of the rule of 75. Most long-term employees cross this critical threshold at about the age of 55. On the other hand, the early retirees incur very heavy penalty in pension and in other associated retiree benefits (e.g., employer paid medical insurance, employer paid life insurance, death benefits for family, etc.) when they retire before they meet the rule of 75.

However, in recent few years, many large US corporations are switching from their traditional retirement pension plans to the new portable Cash Balance Plans. The new portable cash balance plans are much more favorable to the younger employees but are very unfavorable to the long-term older employees. Some older long-term employees found that when their employers switched from the traditional pension plans to the cash balance plan, their pensions were reduced by 30% to 50%.

One of the implications of this trend towards the new cash balance plan is that the US corporations are now placing more value on the higher creativity and adaptability of younger employees and less value on the experience of the older employees. This is consistent with the accelerating pace of innovations and technology advances. The creative and dynamic younger employees are better positioned, than the older employees do, to keep up with the faster pace of technology advances.

4. Conclusion and Recommendations

The most precious, creative and innovative period in your life is the 10-year period around the age of 32. Plan your career path to use this precious 10-year period wisely and effectively to produce your greatest achievements in your life.

The pace of innovations and technology advances is getting faster and faster and is forcing everybody to compete fiercely at the Internet speed on the information super-highways. The highly productive and highly efficient workplace in USA is a pressure-cooker and a high-speed battleground for highly creative and dynamic young people to compete and to flourish.

However, when you get older, you should plan your career path and financial matter so that you can retire comfortably at the age of 55 or earlier to enjoy your long, happy and leisure retirement life into your golden age of 80s and beyond. In retirement, you can still enjoy some fun work of great interest to you and of great values to the society and the community, but at a part-time leisure pace on your own term.

On the other hand, if you are not able to get out of the pressure-cooker or the high-speed battleground at the age of 55 and “have” to keep on working very hard until the age of 65 or older before your retirement, then you probably will die within 18 months of retirement. By working very hard in the pressure cooker for 10 more years beyond the age of 55, you give up at least 20 years of your life span on average.
 

zhihau

Super Moderator
SuperMod
Asset
1. Most Creative Years in the Life

In this lecture, Dr. Esaki indicated that most of the great discoveries and innovations by the Nobel Laureates occurred at the average age of 32 even though the Nobel prizes were awarded 10 or 20 years afterwards. Furthermore, Dr. Esaki indicated that the peak creativity of most scientists occurred around the age range of 20 to 30 years. As one gets older, the experience increases but the creativity decreases steadily with the age.

It is, therefore, very important to stimulate, encourage and cultivate many young people to get interested in science and engineering at their young age and to provide the optimal R&D environment for these very powerful young scientists and engineers to unleash their very strong creativities during their most precious and creative years around the age of 32.

bro madmansg's mantra resonates in this article: NS is killing SG
 

johnny333

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
...


Table 1 and the chart indicate that for people retired at the age of 50, their average life span is 86; whereas for people retired at the age of 65, their average life span is only 66.8. An important conclusion from this study is that for every year one works beyond age 55, one loses 2 years of life span on average.


The how do you explain our very own LKY who is still a civil servant in his 80's :eek:
 

zhihau

Super Moderator
SuperMod
Asset
The how do you explain our very own LKY who is still a civil servant in his 80's :eek:

in a separate scientific study, those who worked past the retirement age must continue working else they drop dead within a couple of years the moment they retire.
 

Equalisation

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
Rule of thumb regarding retirement with adequate money to spend :

with the amount of time you have, go all out to do all things that you like and try new things!
 

Brightkid

Alfrescian
Loyal
Bottomline is MUST have enough money, savings, pensions, or otherwise, before one can retire without worry and can do whatever one wished to do but no time to do while actively employed.

If not, you find yourself fighting with old folks gathering cardboards, soft-drink cans, etc., and worry about meals till die early from stress!
 

LITTLEREDDOT

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
So now we know the strategy of the PAP: keep raising the retirement age so that the Sinkies die earlier and therefore there will not be a run on the CPF funds.
 

Equalisation

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
So now we know the strategy of the PAP: keep raising the retirement age so that the Sinkies die earlier and therefore there will not be a run on the CPF funds.

Tuan. Agree.

From what I gather, the killer is the increase in minimum sum of Medisave and huge increase in Medishield premiums year after year.

In this way, one has to top up from their ordinary or special account into the medisave account. In this way, they no need to pay so much when one reaches 65.

Coupled with the increase of withdrawal age to 70 in the forseeable futue, one can kiss goodbye to one's cpf.:(
 

Kuailan

Alfrescian
Loyal
based on the above study oldman should have gone 20 over years ago but today still kicking?

How does the study or survey answer to that ?
 

soIsee

Alfrescian
Loyal
So now we know the strategy of the PAP: keep raising the retirement age so that the Sinkies die earlier and therefore there will not be a run on the CPF funds.

You only got less than half of their 'strategy' the other half would be to keep the money all in their hands by making it a law that those whose descendent who die and when their related kins want to collect the dead kins CPF money in CASH, would be told the law says that the money would need to be 're-deposited' into their own living account, which faces a forever rising 'MINIMUM SUM' game which ensures that even they, the kins got nothing much to take out for themselves!:biggrin:
 

Equalisation

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
The strategy is basically to force you to work until you die. Seriously, this is not a joke. If the withdrawal age hits 70, good luck to all !!
 

Leongsam

High Order Twit / Low SES subject
Admin
Asset
The strategy is basically to force you to work until you die. Seriously, this is not a joke. If the withdrawal age hits 70, good luck to all !!

Nobody can FORCE you to do anything unless they put a gun to your head and nobody needs to work till they're 70. In fact, you don't have to work past 45 if you start planning for financial independence early.

Everyone should set a target of retiring at 40. This gives you ample time to get back on track should you experience a few hiccups along the way.

All you need to do is work out the minimum requirement needed for a comfortable retirement based on the lifestyle you desire. You then work backwards based on a yield of between 3% to 6% over the long term and this will give you what level of net worth (excluding the family home) you need to aim for.

Reaching your goal doesn't mean you stop work. It does mean that whatever you do from then on does not need to yield big bucks anymore. It can be pursued as a hobby.
 

slohand2

Alfrescian
Loyal
based on the above study oldman should have gone 20 over years ago but today still kicking?

How does the study or survey answer to that ?

He has "retired" long ago, busy writing memoirs, travelling, reading bedtime stories to Gecko, swimming, jogging, and basically enjoying the perks. I dont consider that working, so maybe that explains the dropout from the study.
 

Agoraphobic

Alfrescian
Loyal
Optimum Strategies for Creativity and Longevity
By Sing Lin, Ph.D. ..................


There may be many theories and statistics on life and stuff, but I don't pay attention to them.

Couple of years ago I was interviewed for a sales position by an Italian sales manager who was then 75 years old. I can see he was an old man but his vigour was that of a 35 year old. Commanding, assertive, and sure of himself but not stern, he was jovial. Unmarried, he told me he has a Vietnamese girlfriend of 40 whom he takes out every Friday night to dinner and the local casino. Seems like he was enjoying his life. Since that meeting, I have removed the word "retirement" from my vocabulary. Every morning when I wake up, I visualize this man and then head off to work.

Cheers!
 

johnny333

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
Nobody can FORCE you to do anything unless they put a gun to your head and nobody needs to work till they're 70. In fact, you don't have to work past 45 if you start planning for financial independence early.

Everyone should set a target of retiring at 40. This gives you ample time to get back on track should you experience a few hiccups along the way.

All you need to do is work out the minimum requirement needed for a comfortable retirement based on the lifestyle you desire. You then work backwards based on a yield of between 3% to 6% over the long term and this will give you what level of net worth (excluding the family home) you need to aim for.

Reaching your goal doesn't mean you stop work. It does mean that whatever you do from then on does not need to yield big bucks anymore. It can be pursued as a hobby.


I don't expect to get my CPF back. That's why when DBS contacted me about re-deploying my CPF investments into better performing investments I told them NO.
I'm already making a paper loss & even if I move to other investments there is no guarantee that it will do any better :(

Fortunately I've saved & invested through the years & I've enough for a decent lifestyle. Pity the new generation because I don't see how they can prosper with the current recession & the flood of cheap labor that's now in Spore.
 

Leongsam

High Order Twit / Low SES subject
Admin
Asset
Fortunately I've saved & invested through the years & I've enough for a decent lifestyle. Pity the new generation because I don't see how they can prosper with the current recession & the flood of cheap labor that's now in Spore.

The flood of cheap labour is the best thing that has ever happened to Singapore. It ensures that you'll be able to hire staff at relatively low wages in order to keep overheads as low as possible.

One of the reasons why I keep my Singapore office going is so that I can take advantage of the fact that I can hire programmers and designers for a song. If I tried to start a similar operation in NZ and hired Kiwis , it would cost me up to 4 times more.
 

Leongsam

High Order Twit / Low SES subject
Admin
Asset
Couple of years ago I was interviewed for a sales position by an Italian sales manager who was then 75 years old. I can see he was an old man but his vigour was that of a 35 year old. Commanding, assertive, and sure of himself but not stern, he was jovial. Unmarried, he told me he has a Vietnamese girlfriend of 40 whom he takes out every Friday night to dinner and the local casino. Seems like he was enjoying his life. Since that meeting, I have removed the word "retirement" from my vocabulary. Every morning when I wake up, I visualize this man and then head off to work. Cheers!

Like many others, you have misunderstood the term "retirement". It doesn't mean you don't do any work. It means you don't have to earn a living.
 

winners

Alfrescian
Loyal
My interpretation of "retirement" means, having achieved financial independence and guaranteed passive income, not having to worry about the next meal forever, not having to answer to the boss, having the time to do what you would have long wanted to do before but couldn't due to work commitment, and finally, live to your own contentment and satisfaction.

Whether you want it to become a dull and dreadful retirement or one with much meaning and fulfillment would greatly depend on your choice since you are now able to control your own destiny going forward.
 
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