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New Tory PM at no. 10, come tues?

yinyang

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Asset
Tory leadership candidates compared: Johnson v Hunt
_107489983_newhuntjohnson.jpg

Conservative MPs Boris Johnson and Jeremy Hunt are going head-to-head to become the next Tory leader and prime minister.

After getting the backing of Tory MPs, they are now waiting to hear whether they have won the support of around 160,000 Conservative Party members in the ballot for the top job.

Voting closes at 17:00 BST with the winner to be announced on Tuesday morning.

But where do the potential new prime ministers stand on key issues?

Jeremy Hunt
Foreign Secretary


Boris Johnson
Backbencher
More than half the ballot papers sent to the homes of party members are thought to have been returned so far, and the winner will be announced on 23 July.


In a recent Conservative Home poll of 1,300 party members, Mr Johnson came out on top.
_107841128_optimised-tory_polling_11_july-nc-1.png



https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-48395611
 

yinyang

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
The bookmakers are offering odds on who the next leader will be and Mr Johnson is the clear favourite.

_107970410_tory_odds_22_07-nc.png
 

yinyang

Alfrescian (Inf)
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The two candidates have been taking part in a series of hustings or debates to try to win over party members.
The last one was on Wednesday, 17 July.


_107910601_tory_leader_timeline_blue_640-nc.png
 

yinyang

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
Out of the two, Jeremy Hunt, who replaced Mr Johnson as foreign secretary last year, has more experience in government and has held more cabinet posts.

He was made culture secretary under the coalition government in 2010 and oversaw the 2012 London Olympics before becoming health secretary.

In 2018, Mr Hunt became the longest-serving health secretary, and arguably one of the most controversial, since the NHS was created, completing six years in the role.

During his tenure, Mr Hunt clashed with unions over contracts for junior doctors, who took part in a series of walkouts in 2015.

Mr Johnson was the MP for Henley for seven years before being elected Mayor of London in 2008. He returned to Parliament as MP for Uxbridge and South Ruislip in 2015.
_107910602_tory_experience_blue-nc.png
 

yinyang

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Asset
On a personal level, the two candidates have similar backgrounds - being educated at private schools
and both attending Oxford University.


Mr Johnson was born in New York to English parents, giving him dual nationality.
But he later renounced his US citizenship.


_107910603_boris_hunt_blue_640-nc.png
 

yinyang

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
How did we get here?
Tory MPs voted five times to choose their preferred candidates.

In the fifth and final round of voting, Boris Johnson came out on top with 160 out of the 313 votes cast.
One ballot paper was spoiled.

Jeremy Hunt was second with 77 votes and Michael Gove was eliminated after securing the support of 75 fellow MPs.
_107479565_tory_ballot_5-nc.png
 

syed putra

Alfrescian
Loyal
Boris being PM will end with a no deal brexit.
Current european countries not in the EU but free to trade with the EU and everyone else outside the EU uses the norwegian model and contribute to EU budget but have no say in EU parliament.
England wants to trade with EU but wants it for free, using the canadian/ japan model.
 

mojito

Alfrescian
Loyal
Look like Trump. High energy like Trump. Problem with UK is, nobody voted for him to be PM. Expect a GE very soon. :unsure:
 

yinyang

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
What’s in Boris Johnson’s in-tray if he makes it to No 10?
Brexit is the big one but the next PM has plenty to worry about – starting with Iran
Peter Walker Political correspondent



If he wins the Tory leadership contest, Boris Johnson will need to start with a cabinet reshuffle and immediate steps to avoid war with Iran.


If Boris Johnson is declared the winner of the Conservative leadership contest on Tuesday and moves into Downing Street the next day, the hard work will begin immediately.
Here’s a look at what will be top of the Johnson in-tray.


A cabinet reshuffle
This is the first task of any new PM and while it involves rewarding some loyal allies it means disappointing more. Several Johnson loyalists, old and new, for example, have had their eye on the post of chancellor, but only one can do it. While a complete clearout of May’s cabinet is expected, not least of remain-minded ministers, if a rapid changeover is required Johnson could always leave many junior ministers in their posts.


Brexit
The big one, and the issue that will – probably even more than for Theresa May – define a Johnson premiership. He has promised to rapidly renegotiate almost all of May’s departure deal, ditching the Irish backstop border guarantee policy, something that would seem a huge task over any timescale, let alone little more than 12 weeks, a fair proportion of which is taken up by a summer break. If this fails, he will be set on a no-deal departure for 31 October, and a likely huge clash with MPs.


Iran
If Brexit wasn’t enough, a new Johnson government must immediately take steps to make sure he doesn’t begin his time in No 10 with a slide into war. The seizure of a British-flagged tanker by Iran in what London says were international waters has many layers, not least the hugely hawkish stance towards Iran by Donald Trump and his team; divisions with the US over the Iran nuclear deal; and questions over how an already-stretched Royal Navy can protect other ships.
It is complex, fast-moving and hugely dangerous. Johnson did not cover himself in glory as foreign secretary, especially over Iran. It will be his task to prove he has learned.


Managing parliament and Tory MPs
Johnson will start as PM with a working Commons majority of four, thanks to the DUP, but within weeks it is likely to be down to three if as expected the Liberal Democrats win in the Brecon and Radnorshire byelection. If this wasn’t tricky enough, a small but significant section of Tory MPs openly detest Johnson, and will not want to help him out.
Expect Labour to call a no-confidence motion in the new PM at some point, though it remains to be seen whether this will happen before the summer recess or in the autumn.


Loosening the purse strings
Such has been the fiscal largesse on display from both Johnson and Jeremy Hunt during the hustings process that much as he will seek to kick any decisions towards an autumn budget, voters – especially Tory members – will be expecting both tax cuts and more spending on areas such as education and the police.
There are two problems with this. First, a no-deal Brexit would wipe out any “fiscal headroom” (ie permitted extra borrowing) Johnson might have, and his promise to instead spend the £39bn EU divorce settlement is election battleground fantasy. Also, piloting complex fiscal changes through parliament is hard enough at the best of times, let alone with a tiny working majority and a partly hostile backbench.


Everything non-Brexit
This might sound glib, but there is a lot to consider – during the three-plus years of Brexit introversion May’s government failed to properly grasp any of a series of long-term, pressing national problems: the crisis in social care; the future of the NHS; a climate emergency; the increasingly insecure future of work; a broken housing market; rampant poverty, including among many working people.
This is a huge workload for any new administration, not least one grappling with a never-ending constitutional crisis, a possible self-created recession and political instability.


Being prime ministerial
Critics might say this is Johnson’s single biggest challenge. The leadership process has shown that while he endlessly harked back to supposed successes as London mayor – an often ceremonial role with relatively few powers – Johnson was notably quieter about his period as foreign secretary.

Being prime minister is like the latter, to a factor of 10 – a never-ending succession of red boxes containing vital documents, of urgent briefings, of a whole system hanging on your decisions. It is wrong to call Johnson lazy – no idle person could combine being an MP with writing as many books and articles as he does – but he has a tendency to ignore advice, pluck statistics out of the air and rely on sudden, cheap glibness. Curbing these long habits will be a daily struggle.
 

Huatable

Alfrescian
Loyal
Look like Trump. High energy like Trump. Problem with UK is, nobody voted for him to be PM. Expect a GE very soon. :unsure:

Boris Johnson is my hero. Don't play according to hard rules. This kind of people will be more peace-loving. Expect Iran and UK to resolve their tankers dispute amicably.
 

Leongsam

High Order Twit / Low SES subject
Admin
Asset
Boris did a fantastic job as Mayor of London he will do an ever better job as PM.
 

yinyang

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
Beholden to Russkie big donor?

Special Report: In British PM race, a former Russian tycoon quietly wields influence

LONDON (Reuters) - For almost a decade, Alexander Temerko, who forged a career at the top of the Russian arms industry and had connections at the highest levels of the Kremlin, has been an influential figure in British politics. He’s one of the Conservative Party’s major donors. He counts Boris Johnson, the frontrunner to be Britain’s next PM, among his friends.

Temerko, born in what was then Soviet Ukraine, presents himself in public as an entrepreneur who opposes Britain’s departure from the European Union because it’s bad for his UK energy business, and as a dissident critic of Russian President Vladimir Putin.
But in more than half a dozen conversations with this reporter, conducted over the past three years as part of research for a book, he showed a different side of his career and views.


Temerko revealed himself to be a supporter of Johnson’s bid to lead Britain out of the EU, describing the 2016 public vote to leave the bloc as a “revolution against bureaucracy.” He praised senior Russian security officials, including the current and former heads of the Federal Security Service (FSB), successor to the KGB, and proudly recalled his past work with Russia’s Defence Ministry.
These new insights into Temerko’s private thinking about Johnson, Brexit and Russia come as the ruling Conservative Party is choosing its next leader, and as some British MPs are increasingly wary of possible Russian influence over British politics.
The result of the Conservative Party leadership contest is expected on July 23.


Temerko has gifted more than £1 million to the Conservatives since he gained British citizenship in 2011, electoral finance records show - a significant amount by UK standards.

Johnson is not among the politicians recorded as having received donations from Temerko. But the industrialist has financed some of Johnson’s important allies in parliament, including one of the men running his campaign for the Tory leadership, James Wharton, who also serves as a paid adviser to the UK energy firm where Temerko is a director.

Temerko spoke warmly about his “friend” Johnson, telling how the two men sometimes call each other “Sasha,” the Russian diminutive for Alexander, which is Johnson’s real first name. He described how, at the beginning of Johnson’s tenure as Foreign Secretary from 2016 to 2018, they would often “plot” late into the evening over a bottle of wine on the balcony of Johnson’s office at parliament in Westminster.
Johnson’s press secretary Lee Cain didn’t respond to repeated requests for comment for this article. The Conservative Party said only that “donations to the Conservative Party are properly and transparently declared to the Electoral Commission, published by them, and fully comply with the law.”
In one conversation in February this year, Temerko said he’d joined an unsuccessful attempt led by members of a group of hardline Conservative MPs, the European Research Group, to remove Theresa May as leader in December 2018. The MPs were unhappy at May’s failure to take Britain out of the EU almost three years after Britons voted to leave. Temerko didn’t detail his role in the move, but a senior Conservative Party member confirmed that Temerko was “very much behind the attempt to oust” May. The party member declined to be named because of the sensitivity of the matter. May finally resigned on June 7.


Jacob Rees Mogg, chairman of the European Research Group, said in response to Reuters’ questions that Temerko “has no link formal or informal” with the group. Rees Mogg said he didn’t know Temerko, but couldn’t speak for Temerko’s relationship with individual MPs. May’s office referred Reuters’ questions about the episode to the Conservative Party, which didn’t comment.
In the same conversation in February, Temerko spoke in positive terms about one of Putin’s closest and most powerful allies, Nikolai Patrushev, the hawkish head of Russia’s Security Council and former long-time head of the FSB security service, describing him as a “decent family man.” On another occasion, he said of Patrushev, “There is much more positive than negative about him.”
 

laksaboy

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
Beholden to Russkie big donor?

Special Report: In British PM race, a former Russian tycoon quietly wields influence

LONDON (Reuters) - For almost a decade, Alexander Temerko, who forged a career at the top of the Russian arms industry and had connections at the highest levels of the Kremlin, has been an influential figure in British politics. He’s one of the Conservative Party’s major donors. He counts Boris Johnson, the frontrunner to be Britain’s next PM, among his friends.

Temerko, born in what was then Soviet Ukraine, presents himself in public as an entrepreneur who opposes Britain’s departure from the European Union because it’s bad for his UK energy business, and as a dissident critic of Russian President Vladimir Putin.
But in more than half a dozen conversations with this reporter, conducted over the past three years as part of research for a book, he showed a different side of his career and views.


Temerko revealed himself to be a supporter of Johnson’s bid to lead Britain out of the EU, describing the 2016 public vote to leave the bloc as a “revolution against bureaucracy.” He praised senior Russian security officials, including the current and former heads of the Federal Security Service (FSB), successor to the KGB, and proudly recalled his past work with Russia’s Defence Ministry.
These new insights into Temerko’s private thinking about Johnson, Brexit and Russia come as the ruling Conservative Party is choosing its next leader, and as some British MPs are increasingly wary of possible Russian influence over British politics.
The result of the Conservative Party leadership contest is expected on July 23.


Temerko has gifted more than £1 million to the Conservatives since he gained British citizenship in 2011, electoral finance records show - a significant amount by UK standards.

Johnson is not among the politicians recorded as having received donations from Temerko. But the industrialist has financed some of Johnson’s important allies in parliament, including one of the men running his campaign for the Tory leadership, James Wharton, who also serves as a paid adviser to the UK energy firm where Temerko is a director.

Temerko spoke warmly about his “friend” Johnson, telling how the two men sometimes call each other “Sasha,” the Russian diminutive for Alexander, which is Johnson’s real first name. He described how, at the beginning of Johnson’s tenure as Foreign Secretary from 2016 to 2018, they would often “plot” late into the evening over a bottle of wine on the balcony of Johnson’s office at parliament in Westminster.
Johnson’s press secretary Lee Cain didn’t respond to repeated requests for comment for this article. The Conservative Party said only that “donations to the Conservative Party are properly and transparently declared to the Electoral Commission, published by them, and fully comply with the law.”
In one conversation in February this year, Temerko said he’d joined an unsuccessful attempt led by members of a group of hardline Conservative MPs, the European Research Group, to remove Theresa May as leader in December 2018. The MPs were unhappy at May’s failure to take Britain out of the EU almost three years after Britons voted to leave. Temerko didn’t detail his role in the move, but a senior Conservative Party member confirmed that Temerko was “very much behind the attempt to oust” May. The party member declined to be named because of the sensitivity of the matter. May finally resigned on June 7.


Jacob Rees Mogg, chairman of the European Research Group, said in response to Reuters’ questions that Temerko “has no link formal or informal” with the group. Rees Mogg said he didn’t know Temerko, but couldn’t speak for Temerko’s relationship with individual MPs. May’s office referred Reuters’ questions about the episode to the Conservative Party, which didn’t comment.
In the same conversation in February, Temerko spoke in positive terms about one of Putin’s closest and most powerful allies, Nikolai Patrushev, the hawkish head of Russia’s Security Council and former long-time head of the FSB security service, describing him as a “decent family man.” On another occasion, he said of Patrushev, “There is much more positive than negative about him.”


More of that 'Russian collusion' conspiracy from the libtards, anyone who doesn't subscribe to their 'progressive' values has ties with Russia. :rolleyes:

Brexit was a Russian plot. Nigel Farage was a 'Russian agent'. :roflmao:
 

yinyang

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
More of that 'Russian collusion' conspiracy from the libtards, anyone who doesn't subscribe to their 'progressive' values has ties with Russia. :rolleyes:
Brexit was a Russian plot. Nigel Farage was a 'Russian agent'. :roflmao:
To digress, Russkie connection has always been a bane for MI6. After the likes of (reknown?) Philby, it was said that colleagues didn't even dare shake hands:rolleyes:

Cuts both ways:
The Spy and the Traitor by Ben Macintrye – the astonishing story of a cold war superspy
The double life of a KGB insider recruited by MI6 features microfilm, Soviet secrets and a daring escape
https://www.theguardian.com/books/2018/sep/19/the-spy-and-the-traitor-by-ben-macintyre-review
 
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