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My Predictions

bigboss

Alfrescian
Loyal
I m pleasantly surprised by dylan. Looked like the quiet type but when he talks in rally he has fire . Solid.

... he looks like the kind of bloke who will ask questions endlessly until he gets the satisfactory answer. A good catch to masok Parliament and hantam the pappies' Ministers for their stupid policies.
 

bigboss

Alfrescian
Loyal
Fengshan is bao jiak one, east coast i say they'll get 53-55%.

If you been to Macpherson, u can sense that the people there are all lower working class and quite antiPAP.

Many folks in the lower strata of society in sinapor are supporters of oppos parties. Talk to them and they will blast the pappies for their elitism, pro foreigners policies, high cost of living and jobs lost to foreigners.
 

bigboss

Alfrescian
Loyal
....But I can safely say, a good 20-30% of true blue Singaporeans have already lost all faith in the PAP. Alot of fence sitters as nobody want to rock the boat.

First time local voters are generally oppo parties supporters. Hearing speeches made by CSJ is sure to move these young voters to support oppo parties. As for the older folks, they are also leaning to the oppo camp. Even locals in their 70s and 80s attended WP rallies despite the massive crowd and their restricted mobility.
 

bigboss

Alfrescian
Loyal
......My guess is the situation in Mp GRC is very uncertain as it 50-50. It could go either way....

MP GRC sure to fall to WP, lah. LHL dumb to tag JC onto MP as if he forgot JC nearly fell to WP in GE 2011 and MP under Woody also performed poorly against NSP rookie team in the same GE.

Added the current arrogance of Woody, and his lousy team members, WP got good chance to kick out Woody, an old man long due for retirement. WP team is full of vigour, vitality and has the credentials to show each one of them is as good as or even better than Woody's team.
 

bigboss

Alfrescian
Loyal
......Instead Singaporeans are flocking to listen to "un-desirables" like CSJ...

Judging CSJ from his speeches, he comes across as an intelligent bloke with a passion to improve livelihood of his fellow countrymen and to question policies implemented by pappies that have an adverse impact on their lives.

When LKY was alive, he called CSJ a liar. After LKY had kicked the bucket, pappies still wanted sinkies to believe CSJ as a liar and a hypocrite. This bloke did not have a chance to explain or put his views across to his countrymen as he was then a bankrupt and unable to participate in politics.

Now, he is a free man and voters can see he is an asset to the country if not elected as MP. He is not an undesirable. He was just idiotic and dumb when younger to challenge pappies in mobster fashion. Now he is older, he has mellowed but his zeal for social justice is fiercely burning.
 

bigboss

Alfrescian
Loyal
......not to worry about Tan Chuan Jin being out of a job that echoed her George Yeo quip in 2011.

Pappies will never allow their ex-Ministers to walk the streets without a job...George Y is now happily sailing in the commercial world. TCJ will also be lobbed onto a GLC if he got booted out of MP GRC. As for Woody, he will become roving ambassador.
 

rotiprata

Alfrescian
Loyal
The PAP top leadership is in a state of shock and denial. They cannot understand why they cannot get Singaporeans to trust and believe them. Instead Singaporeans are flocking to listen to "un-desirables" like CSJ. When LTK or Sylvia speak, their words seem to carry more weight than any PAP Minister.

By all accounts, the PAP's careful plans should have led to a vote swing in their favor. Instead every known indicator is showing that the vote swing is against them. The only unknown at this point in time is how bad the vote swing will be and how many Ministers/MPs will be lost.

francis seow was once asked on LKY contributions and faults.... and his reply was...
"equal education for all was one LKY biggest contribution to nation building.... however one LKY gravest mistakes was giving himself too much power"

if the present PAP leaders equate these comments deeper... they may well understand why singaporeans have lost trust in them
 

bigboss

Alfrescian
Loyal
....Contest maybe close but I just can't see CSJ beating VB. A lot will depend on the undecided 'swing' voters in this constituency...

When VB resorted to unpleasantness in names calling and running down characters of his opponent, an ugly and demonic side of him is revealed to the voters. Sympathetic votes may go to CSJ for being the underdog in this GE, especially from those Christian voters in the ward who see CSJ being slapped on one cheek and still offering VB the other cheek with his comment of no character assassination of VB and Simi Lan.
 

bigboss

Alfrescian
Loyal
...if the present PAP leaders equate these comments deeper... they may well understand why singaporeans have lost trust in them

even an uneducated sinkies can see the pappies are not working in the best interest of the country. Massive influx of foreigners, widespread lawlessness committed by foreigners, jobs taken away from sinkies by foreigners, and mountain of other grievances. How to trust a Govt that does not believe in ruling the country for the people?
 

GoldenDragon

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
MP GRC sure to fall to WP, lah. LHL dumb to tag JC onto MP as if he forgot JC nearly fell to WP in GE 2011 and MP under Woody also performed poorly against NSP rookie team in the same GE.

Added the current arrogance of Woody, and his lousy team members, WP got good chance to kick out Woody, an old man long due for retirement. WP team is full of vigour, vitality and has the credentials to show each one of them is as good as or even better than Woody's team.


They can and will redraw the boundaries again after loss of MP GRC this GE. Don't rule out parts of MP GRC going all the way to Jurong and some to Pasir Ris. The 2 DPMs will be able to absorb new voters.
 

GramStroker

Alfrescian
Loyal
They can and will redraw the boundaries again after loss of MP GRC this GE. Don't rule out parts of MP GRC going all the way to Jurong and some to Pasir Ris. The 2 DPMs will be able to absorb new voters.

I think so far they have not redrawn opp lines. MP voters should vote WP to ensure they stay in MP.
 

gingerlyn

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
They can and will redraw the boundaries again after loss of MP GRC this GE. Don't rule out parts of MP GRC going all the way to Jurong and some to Pasir Ris. The 2 DPMs will be able to absorb new voters.

very soon, Hougang / Punggol East / Aljuinied / Marine Parade / East Coast will be combined become 1 SMC.
so only 1 WP win election?
 

aurvandil

Alfrescian
Loyal
If the PAP is unable to turn the tide with SG50 and the death of LKY, what do you think is going to happen in GE 2020?

After GE 2011, LHL had every opportunity to make reforms to win back support. The likely electoral results of GE 2015 will show that he failed. There is no empirical evidence to suggest that LHL has any kind of idea/plan on how to win back support for the PAP post GE2015..

The Ministers/MPs that survive the culling in GE 2015 are will therefore have to live with the fear that they might be the next to go in GE 2020. In 2020, the P65 who are not supporting the PAP will constitute over 70% of the electorate.

Yes, CSJ is a real dark horse. I never expected him to shine in this manner. Many people who were formerly stanch critics of CSJ or who dismissed him outright in the past have warmed up to him.

WP will hold to all its existing seats and possibly win Fengshan and EC. If EC falls it will be a fantastic day for everyone. Finally the clown will be voted out.

NSP will perform badly due to its fiasco.
 
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mojito

Alfrescian
Loyal
If the PAP is unable to turn the tide with SG50 and the death of LKY, what do you think is going to happen in GE 2020?

After GE 2011, LHL had every opportunity to make reforms to win back support. The likely electoral results of GE 2015 will show that he failed. There is no empirical evidence to suggest that LHL has any kind of idea/plan on how to win back support for the PAP post GE2015..

The Ministers/MPs that survive the culling in GE 2015 are therefore in effect just waiting to be beaten in the next GE 2020.

Nobody is going to be beaten in 2020 when there is nobody to beat them. That is why PAP will rule all the way to SG100, laughing all the way to the banks and all the way back again.

HA HA HA HA
HEEE HEE HE HEE HEEE
HO HOO HOOO HO HOO
 

enterprise2

Alfrescian
Loyal
If the PAP is unable to turn the tide with SG50 and the death of LKY, what do you think is going to happen in GE 2020?

After GE 2011, LHL had every opportunity to make reforms to win back support. The likely electoral results of GE 2015 will show that he failed. There is no empirical evidence to suggest that LHL has any kind of idea/plan on how to win back support for the PAP post GE2015..

The Ministers/MPs that survive the culling in GE 2015 are will therefore have to live with the fear that they might be the next to go in GE 2020. In 2020, the P65 who are not supporting the PAP will constitute over 70% of the electorate.

Only way to stem the tide is to cancel 6.9m policy but it's too late! They r alr here!
 

aurvandil

Alfrescian
Loyal
If the PAP get less than 56% of the popular vote, Cherian George suggests that the PAP "accelerate leadership change" as the only way to save the PAP. Pity he truncates the graphic at 17 seats lost to the Opposition. I am interested on his take on what it would mean if the PAP lost the 2/3 majority.

what-if.jpg
 
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Thick Face Black Heart

Alfrescian (InfP)
Generous Asset
The loss of a second GRC (most likely EC) would be a rebuff of the PAP but it would not be a disaster yet. The PAP still has the chance to do a major overhaul of leadership and policies.

If 3 or more GRCs are lost, the PAP will then be in very big trouble. That scenario would almost certainly result in a major split in the PAP.
 

Seee3

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
very soon, Hougang / Punggol East / Aljuinied / Marine Parade / East Coast will be combined become 1 SMC.
so only 1 WP win election?
Haha I like your proposal but sorry to let you know that in the civil service, this concept is no longer original. The had used it before, about 20 over years ago, with great results to report and to this day, nobody is aware maybe not even lky when he was alive.
 
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