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Goh Meng Seng sold his family home and jewels a short while ago, using the proceeds to pursue his ridiculous personal search for fame and fortune. And now, even before the GE date is announced, he frankly admits that the PAP team in Tampines is doing a great job and deserve at least 64% of the votes.
What can we say about someone selling his house to gamble on an outcome that he knows he has no way of winning?
RETARD!!!!!!!!!!
MBT will win 70% votes in Tampines...
so say a YPAP member. Why? Masagos is very popular and he has overwhelming support from the Malay community there. I believe they also have poll data to back up their claims as well.
In all probability, for NSP to win Tampines is really an uphill task, requiring a 20% vote swing against PAP. I have not seen any GRC effecting a 20% vote swing before in Singapore's electoral history.
The best vote swing in a GRC in recent history is about 11%, from 33% in 1997 (SDP) to 43.9% in 2006, Aljunied GRC.
So for Tampines to effect a vote swing of 20%, from 31% (2006) to 51% in 2010, it is almost unimaginable. But nevertheless, I will have to do my best.
But for the estimation of 70% favorable votes for PAP in Tampines, that is really a bold estimation. Well, you know they predicted over 80% win for PAP in AMK GRC last elections but it turns out to be 66%. In all fairness, if we are talking about a possible 5% vote swing against PAP, Tampines should have about 36% for NSP, leaving PAP with 64%.
So for those who ask me what is my aim in Tampines, I would say, any percentage above 36% will be reasonable.
Goh Meng Seng
__________________
What can we say about someone selling his house to gamble on an outcome that he knows he has no way of winning?
RETARD!!!!!!!!!!
MBT will win 70% votes in Tampines...
so say a YPAP member. Why? Masagos is very popular and he has overwhelming support from the Malay community there. I believe they also have poll data to back up their claims as well.
In all probability, for NSP to win Tampines is really an uphill task, requiring a 20% vote swing against PAP. I have not seen any GRC effecting a 20% vote swing before in Singapore's electoral history.
The best vote swing in a GRC in recent history is about 11%, from 33% in 1997 (SDP) to 43.9% in 2006, Aljunied GRC.
So for Tampines to effect a vote swing of 20%, from 31% (2006) to 51% in 2010, it is almost unimaginable. But nevertheless, I will have to do my best.
But for the estimation of 70% favorable votes for PAP in Tampines, that is really a bold estimation. Well, you know they predicted over 80% win for PAP in AMK GRC last elections but it turns out to be 66%. In all fairness, if we are talking about a possible 5% vote swing against PAP, Tampines should have about 36% for NSP, leaving PAP with 64%.
So for those who ask me what is my aim in Tampines, I would say, any percentage above 36% will be reasonable.
Goh Meng Seng
__________________