Hi,,with regards to the USA and China 'war'. My take is where is the war going to be fought? On China's soil? In South Korea via North Korea? In the South China sea? on on the USA West Coast? In Hawaii?
The point is China has a huge population and it also has a huge aging population,,and 1 child policy is still in place. Now how big is the Chinese armed forces? will it be able to continue growing when the next generation is shrinking? Like singkie NS...during my time,,the amount of KPKB about not enough boys to serve, units being understrength etc etc..is China not having such problems? or will have? Children now are precious to the Chinese as each couple has only 1,,,and the Cantonese has a saying,,'Good sons do not become soldiers'. So if you are part of the chinese middle class,,will u let the kids join the armed forces? So is the Chinese armed forces that big with a shrinking next generation?
Now lets look at the Soviets in Afghanistan.. USSR has a border with Afghanistan and their troops just invade via the land route,,after several years,,the injured return to USSR being maimed, shell shock etc,,and it was bad press in the USSR,,,
Contrast that to China, with internet and an out spoken population not as docile as the Mao era,,will the chinese people really self sacrifice for the nation? 1/2 the rich in china are seeking overseas citizenship, the wounded etc will be bad press for the CCP,I do not think china has the internal capabilities like in the old days to fight a war indefinately like in the past.
Ok now on the more realistic side..if war was to happen, it will most likely be in the South China Sea,,between the 2 navies..USA if it gets it proper act together and continue to develop better weapons,,it will out fight the chinese easily,,but China will outfight all of the SEA countries combine,,they can easily run over the Philippines,,and Taiwan..but how will the USA get involve in this conflict and end up coming on top? It can defeat the Chinese navy easily for now,,,but in 10 years time,,it will be harder to defeat the Chinese,,
just my rants
yeah. and once the US suffer high death counts and the war drags on inconclusively, the American people will pressure their congressmen to bring their sons home. the congressmen in order to please the constituents will put heavy pressure on the government to reduce troops, reduce the scale of the war or bring the war to a termination. this scenario repeated several times for US over the last 60+ years from the Chinese civil war, Korean, Vietnam wars to the withdrawal of US troops from Iraq. the authoritarian PRC state can easily devote the entire country resources and efforts to fight the war to it's satisfactory conclusion with no timescale but US simply don't have the conditions to do it.