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Australia’s dreaded cost of living – manacle or myth?

winnipegjets

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Australia’s dreaded cost of living – manacle or myth?
Tony Abbott is keen to lower the cost of living faced by ordinary families. But there is a significant difference between cost of living and cost of lifestyle



As things stand – and after what has to be one of the most embarrassing weeks in Australia's political diary – the soothsayers, pundits and crystal ball-gazers have all but declared the result: September 14 is unwinnable by Julia Gillard’s Labor incumbents, and unlosable for Tony Abbott’s opposition.

The day the election was called, Abbott was ready to go. Whoosh! Out came his first, now regular promise to any swinging voters left out there. Elected, he would lower the cost of living faced by ordinary families. He would do so by abolishing the carbon tax and growing a "stronger economy.” Simple as that! But just how high is that mystical – or should that be mythical – Australian cost of living?

The pressures associated with our cost of living is the oft-repeated Abbott siren song, but I recently read a report by the National Centre for Social and Economic Modelling (NATSEM) headlined “Household incomes outpacing the cost of living – but bigger lifestyles and aspirations adding to cost of living pressures”.

What is this report actually trying to tell us – that Australians’ cost of living has not gone up, but that the cost of their lifestyle has? Because if we’re being honest with ourselves, there is a subtle but considerably significant difference between cost of living and cost of lifestyle.

According to NATSEM, Australian household incomes have been outpacing the cost of living over the last 27 years. Our disposable incomes have increased by 20%. In real terms, your so-called average family is apparently $224 a week better off.

The report says that couples with children have seen their income grow by 37%, single parent incomes up by 34%, and working families by 22%. Over the last quarter of a century, the smallest increase in income was households renting their homes. They experienced only 11% growth.

That said, NATSEM acknowledged that during the same periods, cost of living pressures have continued to grow “across the board for everyday essentials” – electricity, up 253%, rent 223%, mortgages 256%, petrol 208%, while public transport costs jumped by 287%.

But this 27-year growth in the cost of living was being partially offset by what NATSEM described as “dramatic drops” in things like audio-visual equipment and computing. What they called these “new essentials” now cost only a tenth of what they did in 1984. The average prices for “old essentials” – clothes, footwear, major household appliances – have changed little.

In the context of what must surely be the country’s longest-ever election campaign, NATSEM’s findings make for an extremely interesting reading given the blaring “Ordinary Aussies Hit! Cost of Living Through the Roof!” headlines being published.

So, what’s going on? According to Craig Meller, AMP financial services managing director, the NATSEM report clearly suggests that Australian households are more focused on lifestyle and aspirations than they were in the 1980s. In short, we are more interested in on how we live, not what it costs:

“Many Australians are leading busier lives and facing greater demands on their time which means we’re now paying for things we may not have previously, such as childcare, gardening and housekeeping ... We’ve also seen a noticeable shift in spending habits with people spending more on education, holidays and eating out. Essentially, we seem to be leading bigger lifestyles, all of which can add to perceived cost of living pressures.”

NATSEM principal research fellow and lead author of report, Ben Phillips, reminds us that strong economic growth since the early 1990s “has led to Australia having one of the highest standards of living in the world”:

“While there is little doubt that many families still struggle to make ends meet, this report shows that on average, Australian households, both high and low income, are financially better off than in previous decades ... Cost of living pressures are more related to our increased expectations and the greater demands from a modern society than the prices we pay for petrol or electricity.”

NATSEM’s researchers point to a toxic mix of contemporary lifestyle aspirations and easy access to money – in one word, debt. On this basis, you have to wonder whether that means many Australians are incapable of telling the difference between the cost of living, and the cost of their lifestyle.

Meanwhile, just for the record, NATSEM also reports that Sydney and Melbourne are among the most expensive cities, on their international list, seventh and eighth respectively – this, in a country recently rated for the third in a row as the best place in the world to live and work.
 

neddy

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Asset
Australia is already doing its best to halt recession. AUD should fall to 85c soon.

Australian dollar hits fresh 34-month low on RBA talk
1 hour ago
By a staff reporter, with AAP

The Australian dollar fell to a fresh 34-month low in early afternoon trade after Reserve Bank of Australia governor Glenn Stevens said the economy would 'probably' get a lower exchange rate if it needed it.

The Australian dollar was at 91.6 US cents at 1250 AEST when Mr Stevens began a speech at a business lunch in Brisbane.

At 1305 AEST the local unit was trading at an intra-day low of 90.95 US cents, down from 91.83 cents on Tuesday.

It marks the currency's lowest level since September 7 2010, when it was fetching 90.92 US cents.

Mr Stevens said "if the economy ‘needs’ a lower exchange rate, it will probably get it".

"It is no secret that I, for one, have been surprised that the foreign exchange market has taken as long as it has to reflect the fact that the terms of trade peaked some time ago – nearly two years ago," he said.

"In the end, though, market-based exchange rates do eventually adjust – and usually in a less disruptive way than those that are maintained artificially.

"A flexible exchange rate is an important part of adjustment over all phases of the cycle and it remains a major advantage that we have one.

CMC Markets foreign exchange dealer Tim Waterer said the speech provided no obvious explanation for the fall, but it may have been less positive than investors had hoped.

"Perhaps traders were hoping he would strike a bit more of a positive tone on things than he did and that's maybe led to the fall," Mr Waterer said.

"The fall was probably kicked off by Stevens' speech, and then the rest of the move can be explained by technical factors."

JP Morgan senior economist Ben Jarman said the the local currency had been lower since the RBA statement on Tuesday after its monthly board meeting at which it kept the interest rate unchanged at 2.75 per cent.

"The RBA was commenting on how the currency had fallen already and might fall further, and the currency has actually played to that," he said.

"It's actually fallen.

"The fact that the currency seems to be going along with what the RBA is saying is interesting and perhaps suggests that maybe the market is thinking the RBA is seeing some things that the markets aren't."
 

Ash007

Alfrescian
Loyal
On the cost of living increasing, its also million dollar mortgages and the "lifestyle" of living in a hippie inner city as well. I have a choice of choosing living in a 2 bedroom apartment or a landed property. Guess which I chose? People just have to be realistic about their finances and lifestyle.
 

Aussie Prick

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A$ falling is also a result of the carry trade unwinding. All those Japanese housewives are affected due to the the yen and low yield.

We can expect a return to normalcy since the fed said tapering begins when unemployment drops below 7% in the US let's see what happens to gold and the A$ then. Rba might raise before this occurs but that depends on........China

We continue to be very very concerned with China. latest actions by pboc frightening because we don't know how bad the situation is tales of banks raising cash from stockpiles of copper keeping people awake at night.
 

neddy

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
On the cost of living increasing, its also million dollar mortgages and the "lifestyle" of living in a hippie inner city as well. I have a choice of choosing living in a 2 bedroom apartment or a landed property. Guess which I chose? People just have to be realistic about their finances and lifestyle.

You always choose land. Not just any land, Green titles, not strata-titled.

A trickle of unemployed high income miners are now seeking financial help. Make no mistake, WA is still booming, just that the booming plateau will fall off in 1-2 years. But already, the high AUD is biting with unemployment in several sectors.

The record number of hundreds of applicants for a single Business Analyst position, that excludes the overseas applicants, from Bangladeshi to Greek Australians. :eek:

Keep your job. It is hard out there. Aussie-style Guanxi and paying contacts to introduce a job.

Many people are under stress (from family to drug abuse to financial) and seeking out employers' workplace counsellors.
 

neddy

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
A$ falling is also a result of the carry trade unwinding. All those Japanese housewives are affected due to the the yen and low yield.

We can expect a return to normalcy since the fed said tapering begins when unemployment drops below 7% in the US let's see what happens to gold and the A$ then. Rba might raise before this occurs but that depends on........China

We continue to be very very concerned with China. latest actions by pboc frightening because we don't know how bad the situation is tales of banks raising cash from stockpiles of copper keeping people awake at night.

More carry trade to unwind?
The AUD trade-weighted index is still above the Aussie terms of trade, despite the Australian dollar sinking 10% in the past two months.

australian-dolalr-still-stretched-versus-terms-trade.png
 
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