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Recent content by wwabbit

  1. W

    How did the PAP steal the election?

    Don't mix up the different kinds of sampling done. If those global polling companies can sample the actual votes, their results will also be the same as ELD. The logistics and methods for this is so trivial. Those global companies don't get to sample actual votes though, for the simple reason...
  2. W

    How did the PAP steal the election?

    It's just basic statistics. Sampling is really this accurate and statisticians have known this for centuries.
  3. W

    Sample Count BS - PAP is trying to steal the election

    Statistically, the population size (150k in your example) doesn't really affect the confidence interval that much. The main thing that affects confidence interval (aka margin of error) is the confidence level (almost everyone uses 95%) and the sample size (100 * number of polling stations). Most...
  4. W

    GE 2015 - 11 Sept 2015 : Polling Score Card

    N=100 gives a 95% confidence interval of +/- ~10% If they are claiming +/- ~4%, then that means a minimum of 6-7 polling station results per constituency will be sampled for N=600+
  5. W

    Straw poll shocking revelation.....

    Sorry, I'm calling to call BS on this 'straw poll'. Most polls do 1000 samples for a margin of error of ~3% 10000 polls is logistically implausible and hard to hide. If it had really happened, lots of people would have noticed and reported it. Furthermore the margin for N=10000 is ~1%, not 3%...
  6. W

    3x3 Corner Fights

    No they dan't. They can only win 4CF.
  7. W

    Ah Neh so smart! use solar panels to power airport!

    We don't actually have the luxury of that big plot of land to reserve for the solar panels. A LFTR would be nice though!
  8. W

    Why Does 107-Yr-Old Granny Still Need to Collect Newspapers for "Pocket Money"?

    Too bad she doesn't have a life annuity...
  9. W

    Former NSP Star Candidate Nicole Seah Says She Will Not Contest in Election

    Picked the wrong fight. Remember when she endorsed and supported TJS in PE2011? Politically naive.
  10. W

    Kevryn speaks to the mainstream media

  11. W

    Are Our Alternative Parties Prepared For The Coming General Election?

    Survival of the Fittest. The weak parties will see themselves losing their deposits, which should tell them that they should probably quit. PE2011 and BE2013 taught people that they should not be wasting their votes on weak candidates. We shouldn't worry about 3-cornered fights so much anymore...
  12. W

    turn of the tides, four years on...

    This is actually good. If WP performs better and all the rest perform worse, the PAP will end up losing even more seats, even with 63%
  13. W

    Mr Tan Jee Say can win a GRC next GE !

    Anyone remember back when TJS gifted the presidency to Tony Tan?
  14. W

    SDP maybe should consider getting Roy Ngerng into SDP

    You're overestimating his popularity. SDP has shot their own foot many times in the past, but I can't see them making this kind of mistake this time. I can see Roy Ngerng ending up in RP though.
  15. W

    skponggol and the WP Thread

    Re: The Hammer continues to focus on frivolous issues WP speaks a lot. Some people just refuse to listen, then say that WP is quiet. Hansard has all the proof one needs to show that WP has been speaking.
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