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Trump lied. Hormuz is not free.

tobelightlight

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TRUMP LIED. THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ IS NOT FREE.


Iran’s chief negotiator and Parliamentary Speaker, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, has just confirmed on Iranian state television what I told you weeks ago:

“The Strait of Hormuz will not return to pre-war conditions. Iran has the right to sovereignty over the Strait, and we will receive a fee for services.”

Trump strutted before the cameras and declared the Strait of Hormuz would be free for all nations. It was a lie — or at best, a deliberate deception.

The 60-day “fee-free” window written into the US-Iran MOU was never a concession. It was a face-saving device. A fig leaf for domestic American consumption.

After 60 days, Iran begins charging vessels crossing the Strait. That is not freedom of navigation. That is toll sovereignty — Iran extracting a permanent economic premium from the world’s most critical oil chokepoint.

Roughly 25% of global oil supply transits the Strait of Hormuz. Every tanker, every cargo vessel, every nation that depends on that passage will now pay Tehran.

This is the strategic reality the MOU quietly conceded while Trump was busy taking his victory lap.

Iran did not lose. Iran won — and locked its gains into writing.

The Great Game never stops. The score just became clearer.

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The stock traders would rather believe the lie that the Strait of Hormuz is open and free as long as stock prices continue to rise.
 
Just days after a breakthrough deal, the crisis is growing again.

Iran announced Saturday that it had closed the Strait of Hormuz once more, accusing the United States of failing to uphold key parts of the interim agreement signed earlier this week. The move immediately raised fresh concerns because the strategic waterway is one of the world's most important routes for oil and natural gas shipments.

The decision comes as fighting continues in Lebanon despite efforts to secure a ceasefire. Iranian officials pointed to ongoing Israeli military operations and what they described as American "bad faith" as reasons for reimposing the closure.

At nearly the same time, Iran confirmed that its negotiating team was heading to Switzerland for talks with the United States. But Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmail Baghaei made it clear that expectations should remain low. According to him, meaningful progress will be difficult unless commitments tied to the agreement, including ending the fighting in Lebanon, are fulfilled.

The renewed tensions threaten a deal that was supposed to ease the conflict between Washington and Tehran, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and restart negotiations over Iran’s nuclear program. Instead, the situation appears to be moving in the opposite direction.

Meanwhile, violence in southern Lebanon continued. Israeli strikes reportedly killed at least 16 people, including two children, while Israel and Hezbollah traded accusations over ceasefire violations. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has insisted that Israeli forces will remain in southern Lebanon until security threats are eliminated, while Hezbollah says it will continue responding to attacks.

The fighting has placed an agreement negotiated far above the battlefield at the mercy of events on the ground. The Strait of Hormuz may have become the latest bargaining chip, but the deeper question is whether any diplomatic deal can survive when some of the key players were never part of it in the first place.

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The Trump administration officially granted permission for Iranian oil tankers to continue on to China, despite the complex dynamics between the US and China. The reasons behind this decision may become clearer in the future. As a result, the fuel price in China can remain at its current level without any significant price increases.
The US has prohibited oil tankers from Iran from supplying fuel to other countries, including European nations, Japan, South Korea, its allies, and India. This move suggests that these countries are unlikely to resolve their inflation and fuel shortage issues in the near future, greatly increases their fuel price
 
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