The real trouble with the minimum sum…

makapaaa

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[h=1]THE REAL TROUBLE WITH THE MINIMUM SUM…[/h]
Post date:
18 Jun 2014 - 5:02pm








…is that it was a knee-jerk reaction by the PAP, a manifestly inadequate attempt to correct a real and massive problem.
And what problem is that? Why, the problem of cannot retire, of course!
Consider this: Minister Tan says that the Minimum Sum of $155K is only enough to fund CPF Life’s payout of $1,200 monthly for about 10 years. He says $1,200 is practically the minimum one can retire on in Singapore, and that’s why the Minimum Sum (first implemented in 1987 at $30k) was raised to $120K (in 2003 dollars, now $155K in 2014 dollars) in 2013.
But the real problem with the Minimum Sum, especially the $120,000 in 2003 dollars, is that it ignores the real problem. That Singapore is way too expensive and CPF has lost its mission.
Many years ago, the PAP allowed CPF to be used for housing, then investment, then children’s education.
It seemed a good idea at the time, and it was very popular. To some, it allowed them to buy multiple properties without paying ‘cash’. To others, the low-income earners, it allowed them to buy their HDB flats and still have cash left over for renovations.
When property prices rose dramatically due to the release of CPF liquidity, PAP ministers even called it ‘asset enhancement’. PAP ministers even boasted that HDB flats were affordable because even young couples could own flats on a 30-year loan fully paid for by CPF.
No one seemed to realise then that the fact that people couldn’t afford to buy flats without draining on their retirement savings (aka CPF) signaled that something was terribly wrong with property prices in Singapore. No one seemed to realize that Singaporeans were draining their life savings away.
When they did, instead of reversing their policy, PAP decided to up the Minimum Sum to $120K (in 2003 dollars).
See the contradiction? You want people to save for retirement but you allow them to use their CPF money to buy property. We call this ?????
The real problem is that Singapore is too darn expensive. Even the Economist can see that. The only people who can’t see that are the PAP.
Raising the Minimum Sum cannot solve this problem, especially if half the CPF members can’t meet it anyway. It’s a joke.
Locking people’s CPF savings away for 10 more years cannot solve this problem either. You force people to postpone retirement, but honestly, do you think that people can’t do their sums? Do you think that people can’t see that their meagre CPF savings won’t last them more than 3-5 years if they stopped working? Do you think aunties and uncles work at McDonald’s because you don’t allow them to withdraw all their CPF at 55? Or are they still working because they realize CPF no enough, even if you gave it to them at 55?
What worries me is that this Govt does not know how to solve the real problem of the world’s most expensive city, and the only thing they do is keep raising the Minimum Sum as if that will make our retirement happier. History has shown that one cannot solve a cost problem by simply getting people to save more.
The real problem with the Minimum Sum is not that you cannot withdraw it at 55, or that the Govt keeps raising it, or that it’s being used to cover Temasek losses (as some conspiracy theorists allege).
The real problem is that even if you could withdraw it, it’s no longer enough for your retirement. And the big problem behind that is that this Govt has run out of ideas to make it possible for the average person to retire comfortably in Singapore, other than by raising the Minimum Sum.
PAP are like a bunch of animals in denial, who refuse to believe that Singapore is the most expensive city in the world, claim HDB flats are affordable and reading their CPF statements make them happy.
That is the real problem that the Minimum Sum represents.

Political Writings
*The writer blogs at http://politicalwritings.wordpress.com/
 
Agree that high property prices is the main reason why most locals have little left on retirement.

But property prices do not go up by itself-its due to supply and demand and the demand side has been driven by opening up the property market to foreigners(esp allowing PR's to buy HDB flats).

The crux of the problem is still foreigners- or rather the pappy's mass immigration policies that allow them to buy HDB, given special priviledges in education (scholarships/ 20% of places) and steal jobs from locals.

By reducing the number of immigrants and foreign PMETs and not allowing them to buy HDB, many of the problems will resolve itself, starting
with lower HDB resale prices.
 
The majority of those who are unhappy with CPF are those uncles and aunties in their late 50's and beyond. They bought their HDB pigeon homes at dirt cheap prices and have excess cash in their CPF which they cannot touch after the rules were changed.

Those who are in their 30's and 40's bought all the expensive HDB pigeon holes and most are using almost all of their monthly CPF contributions to service their HDB loans, with almost nothing left to take advantage of the 2.5% interest. Most of the people in this group would not think of CPF as a retirement fund, since the majority of them would not meet the minimum sum anyway when they reach 55. This group of people would have to work longer, or they have to save and invest more of their cash salary in order to retire, or they have to emigrate to somewhere cheaper for retirement.

The astronomical rise in HDB property prices have changed the roles of the CPF entirely. It is no longer a retirement fund and the minimum sum is merely a facade used by the men-in-white to justify the existence of CPF.
 
Agree that high property prices is the main reason why most locals have little left on retirement.

But property prices do not go up by itself-its due to supply and demand and the demand side has been driven by opening up the property market to foreigners(esp allowing PR's to buy HDB flats).

The crux of the problem is still foreigners- or rather the pappy's mass immigration policies that allow them to buy HDB, given special priviledges in education (scholarships/ 20% of places) and steal jobs from locals.

By reducing the number of immigrants and foreign PMETs and not allowing them to buy HDB, many of the problems will resolve itself, starting
with lower HDB resale prices.

Not true. Property prices was highest in 1996, way before the gates were opened to foreigners. Only last year, many who were conned by GCK's asset enhancement nonsense were able to breakeven. In 1996, A 5-ROOM FLAT HAD BEEN SOLD ON THE RESALE MARKET FOR $1M, because it was deliberately allowed, without any restraint or cooling measures. All the hare-brain idea of GCT.

Furthermore, HDB supposed to be govt housing and subsidized and not subject to market forces, since it is public housing, but GCT and company fabricated the asset enhancement snake-oil marketing sell and conned so many to upgrade and get into low-end condo, and then the prices soon crashed and many were stuck for 2 decades with the lemons.

It is the foreigners influx that rose the property price up to 1996 level and provided an escape hatch for those who were stuck for 2 decades to bail out. But after they bailed out, they're back to square one since they need a roof over their heads and market prices had to fall to give them some advantage. At the same time, flats then were stopped building during the Horse until the Cow took over to stabilize the price by some cooling measures, but if the prices of HDB fall further, the vicious cycle repeats itself and many who bought will end up with negative equity.

The HDB quandary and quadmire will never be solved unless many get slaughtered, because it is already out of hand the moment HDB costs is pegged to high land prices and yet call it public housing and the subsidy is just a cover up to hide the high land prices.

If HDB had honored its original mission to provide public housing and not as asset enhancement, the cost of HDB would have been low because land price would have been nominal, but this is not the case. In gist, public housing in the guise of HDB is not public housing at all but more like private housing, but with all the stupid conditions like family nucleus and min years of mandatory stay and other shackles.

If you ask me, HDB had failed in its mission and all because the govt never really wanted it to be public housing. How can public housing cost so much as compared to other countries. In a nutshell, the govt is just one big housing developer that makes market forces profits form HBD flats, yet sell the ploy it is public housing, by making it slightly lower then private low end condo. Nothing truthful at all. That was what Chiam See Tong had been trying to challenge all these years but he is not given all the salient cost data to build his case. So, he gave up challenging HDB years ago.
 
there's no trouble with the minimum sum. it should be raised as sinkies are living longer, thanks to the astute policies of the pap. :D
 
Clearly, the CPF minimum sum has to go. It is a devious trap to lock up your money..
 
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