to better understand the meaning of probability or the purpose of this thread,u have to study the gambler's fallacy.
The gambler's fallacy, also known as the Monte Carlo fallacy or the fallacy of the maturity of chances, is the mistaken belief that, if something happens more frequently than normal during some period, it will happen less frequently in the future, or that, if something happens less frequently than normal during some
just because three singaporeans died in a bus crash in malaysia,it doesnt mean the probability of you dieing in a bus crash in malaysia next is going to be higher or lower....its still the same 1 in 1xxxxxx or whatever the number is......just like avoiding to take a plane just because there was a plane crash recently is illogical.although if it is MAS airline theres probably a link to causation,so avoid MAS airline at all cost.those singaporeans odds of dieing in jb in a crash was the same 1 in a million,no one expected it to happen but they got lucky enough to hit the jackpot so next time remember to take down license plate to buy 4d.