US ‘would suffer heavy losses in Taiwan war but China faces defeat’
A hypothetical Chinese invasion of Taiwan in 2026 would fail but the United States would lose two aircraft carriers defending it, according to the latest simulation.
China's navy would be left in a "shambles" while Taiwan and Japan would also suffer major losses, according to a war game played out by a leading think tank in Washington.
The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) conducted one of the most complex war games yet, called The First Battle of the Next War.
It showed about 10,000 Chinese troops would be killed, with tens of thousands more becoming prisoners of war.
China would also be expected to lose about 138 ships and 155 aircraft, according to the simulation.
The US and Japan would also lose dozens of ships and hundreds of aircraft, which would "damage the US global position for many years".
It showed about 3,200 US troops would be killed in a three-week fight. The simulation was run 24 times to see who was most likely to win.
While the US would emerge victorious, in most cases the US Navy lost two aircraft carriers.
War 'not inevitable'
Taiwan would see its military "severely degraded" with all its destroyers and frigates sunk, while Japan would lose more than 100 aircraft and 26 ships, according to the report.
The report concluded a war over Taiwan was not "inevitable".
It said: “The Chinese leadership might adopt a strategy of diplomatic isolation, grey zone pressure, or economic coercion against Taiwan."
Mark Cancian, a senior adviser at CSIS, told CNN: “There’s no unclassified war game out there looking at the US-China conflict. Of the games that are unclassified, they’re usually only done once or twice."
In a large-scale war game in 2020, the Pentagon reportedly found the US risked being defeated by having its information systems knocked out.
However, in a later war simulation, the US Air Force eventually secured victory.
https://forums.fuckwarezone.com.sg/...in-taiwan-war-but-china-faces-defeat.6860015/
A hypothetical Chinese invasion of Taiwan in 2026 would fail but the United States would lose two aircraft carriers defending it, according to the latest simulation.
China's navy would be left in a "shambles" while Taiwan and Japan would also suffer major losses, according to a war game played out by a leading think tank in Washington.
The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) conducted one of the most complex war games yet, called The First Battle of the Next War.
It showed about 10,000 Chinese troops would be killed, with tens of thousands more becoming prisoners of war.
China would also be expected to lose about 138 ships and 155 aircraft, according to the simulation.
The US and Japan would also lose dozens of ships and hundreds of aircraft, which would "damage the US global position for many years".
It showed about 3,200 US troops would be killed in a three-week fight. The simulation was run 24 times to see who was most likely to win.
While the US would emerge victorious, in most cases the US Navy lost two aircraft carriers.
War 'not inevitable'
Taiwan would see its military "severely degraded" with all its destroyers and frigates sunk, while Japan would lose more than 100 aircraft and 26 ships, according to the report.
The report concluded a war over Taiwan was not "inevitable".
It said: “The Chinese leadership might adopt a strategy of diplomatic isolation, grey zone pressure, or economic coercion against Taiwan."
Mark Cancian, a senior adviser at CSIS, told CNN: “There’s no unclassified war game out there looking at the US-China conflict. Of the games that are unclassified, they’re usually only done once or twice."
In a large-scale war game in 2020, the Pentagon reportedly found the US risked being defeated by having its information systems knocked out.
However, in a later war simulation, the US Air Force eventually secured victory.
https://forums.fuckwarezone.com.sg/...in-taiwan-war-but-china-faces-defeat.6860015/
