Bro, I left you alone more or less after you changed your nick from Kakowi.
You always had poor power of arguing your case or viewpoint and your logic defies every principle in physics including gravity. You have very poor or little in the way of foundation to build a case let alone an argument.
You are a pious christian and ardent PAP follower. Overtime your pattern is clear - if PAP or your church takes a direction, you follow that to a fault. Then you try and justify it by by various arguments which obviously is difficult to stack up and on some occasions it does so by fluke. In technicals terms you are more into reverse engineering.
Not that PAP is stupid or poor at coming to a decision. The way you argue it, even the PAP will cringe. At least read extensively and figure out why they do certain things. It driven by agenda in the main.
Look at the TS. He is in a similar boat - does not have the ability to handle simultaneous equations - unable to handle two thought processes together. He started with TKL now he is with TT and both times unable to explain why. I told him about his power of comprehension before. Isn't it a surprise that you joined in. It not a case of the one eyed in the kingdom of the bllind. Its two blind men.
My method is to make an educated guess on how he will perform in the area of independence.
Of the 3 candidates, there must be one favoured by the PAP and one least favoured. One method of voting can then be to guess the identity of the one least favoured and vote for him. This immediately creates a check-and-balance situation.
On the other hand, if you vote for the one most favoured, you need to hope that he will discharge his role independently when the time comes. In this situation, past deeds is an indicator of future deeds, as you said.