6 Corners fight likey in Punggol East GE
PAP Dr Koh Poh Khoon 52%
WP Lee Li Lian 38%
SDP VW or TP 5%
RP KJ 2% (Lost deposit)
DPP Ben Pwee 2% (Lost deposit)
SDA Desmond Lim <1% (Lost deposit)
PAP Dr Koh Poh Khoon 52%
in multi cornered fights, me just like to see PAP's vote going below 50% mark.
last PE saw TT & TCB with 30 odd points, TJS 20 odd points, shows hardcore PAP supporters around 30 odd point, moderates 40 odd points, hardcore opposition supporters 20 odd points.
me welcome a multi cornered fight, better send all the best candidate! HUAT AH!!!
I will not read too much into it...
in multi cornered fights, me just like to see PAP's vote going below 50% mark.
last PE saw TT & TCB with 30 odd points, TJS 20 odd points, shows hardcore PAP supporters around 30 odd point, moderates 40 odd points, hardcore opposition supporters 20 odd points.
me welcome a multi cornered fight, better send all the best candidate! HUAT AH!!!
PAP - 51%
WP - 44%
RP - 5%
TCB is not a proxy for WP.... TJS also not a direct proxy for SDP...
My six sense tells me it's a 3 corner fight in Punggol BE,
but without SDP.
PAP - 51%
WP - 44%
RP - 5%
A 4-corner fight involving the incumbent and 3 major opposition parties does have its merits:
1. It shows how much support for the PAP has slipped (or increased) since the promises of GE2011;
2. It is a good indicator of the relative strengths of the various opposition parties vis-a-vis voter support.
Both have ramifications for GE2016: the former on PAP's strategies (including tilting the playing field even further); the latter on the prospects of opposition collaboration/horse-trading.
Not sure if you realize the possibility that in a 3CF, SDP will take the non-WP votes. Whereas in a 4CF, the non-WP vote will be split between SDP and SDA/RP increasing the chances of them all losing their deposits.
If all three lost their deposits, it simply means that they'd have less leverage to co-opt WP into any alliance, and would have to form their own separate alliance (with NSP and SPP), or buck up an go it alone for GE2016.