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Xi Sends Trump A Message: Rare-Earth Export Ban Is Coming

covertbriar

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Back in April of 2018, when the trade war with China was still in its early stages, we explained that among the five "nuclear" options Beijing has to retaliate against the US, one was the block of rare-earth exports to the US, potentially crippling countless US supply chains that rely on these rare commodities, and forcing painful and costly delays in US production as alternative supply pathways had to be implemented.

As a result, for many months China watchers expected Beijing to respond to Trump's tariff hikes by blocking the exports of one or more rare-earths, although fast forwarding one year later this still hasn't happened. But that doesn't mean it won't happen, and overnight President Xi Jinping’s visit to a rare earths facility fueled speculation that the strategic materials will soon be weaponized in China’s tit-for-tat war the US.

As Bloomberg reported overnight, shares in JL MAG Rare-Earth surged by the daily limit on Monday after Xinhua said the Chinese president had stopped by the company in Jiangxi, a scripted move designed to telegraph what China could do next.

More at https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2019-05-20/xi-sends-trump-message-rare-earth-export-ban-coming
 

Ang4MohTrump

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Huat Ah!

This will cripple NASA Boeing Lockheed Martin Ratheon etc. Aero-Space-Military industry. High performance turbine engines motors generators high temperature high strength materials & high performance magnetism materials all cannot be made.
 

syed putra

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Malaysia still got lynas plant. Xi jinping will have to nuke that first.
Lynas shares jump as it unveils RM1.4 bil growth plan
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May 21, 2019 1:52 PM
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MELBOURNE: Rare earths producer Lynas Corp has unveiled detailed plans to spend A$500 million (RM1.4 billion) to boost production and set up an initial processing facility in Western Australia.
Lynas expects that its growth plan out to 2025 will help it overcome political headwinds in Malaysia where its operating licence, due for renewal in September, is under threat on concerns over waste disposal.
Lynas will invest in the Malaysian plant and also build out a heavy metals separation facility in the United States as part of its strategy, company officials said during an investor briefing.
Shares in Lynas, which in March rebuffed a US$1.1 billion takeover offer from Australian conglomerate Wesfarmers Ltd, surged as much as 16% to a six-month high on the Australian Securities Exchange.


“We have a great deal of confidence that the (Malaysian) government wants Lynas to continue to operate,” CEO Amanda Lacase said, noting support from its prime minister as well as the Australian, Japanese, and US governments given the strategic importance of rare earths.
Lynas mines rare earth minerals in Western Australia and processes them at the Malaysian facility.
In December, Energy, Science, Technology, Environment and Climate Change Minister Yeo Bee Yin said that Lynas must remove its waste stockpiles before its licence could be renewed.
Lynas has maintained that it would not be possible for it to remove the waste within such a short time frame.
Mashal Ahmad, vice-president of Lynas Malaysia, said during the briefing that as required under the company’s licence Lynas had found an end use for the waste as a fertiliser component.
If that failed, it could set up a permanent disposal facility as per the licence conditions and the government could choose its preferred option.
“There is no more issue. We are given permission to continue operation,” Mashal said, referring to supportive comments by Prime Minister Dr Mahathir Mohamad in April.
The spending plan comes as concerns mount that supplies of rare earths, used in everything from consumer electronics to military equipment supply, could be impacted by the Sino-US trade dispute.
China produces about three quarters of the world’s neodymium and praseodymium (NdPr), used in magnets for electric motors.
“The geopolitics is highlighting the value of Lynas’ reliable supply,” said Matthew Ryland at Greencape Capital, the company’s second-biggest shareholder.
Lynas said it expects NdPr consumption to accelerate from 2021 because of demand from electric vehicles.

The company plans to increase NdPr production to 10,500 tonnes a year, up from an annualised rate of about 6,300 tonnes in the March quarter.
Company officials also said during the briefing that they were choosing between two sites for Lynas’s initial ore processing facility, near its Australian mine at Mount Weld, or near the mining hub of Kalgoorlie in Western Australia.
On Monday, Lynas said it would develop the heavy metals separation facility in the United States with Texas-based Blue
 

Ang4MohTrump

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It's ok, it will give the yanks a good opportunity to develop their own rare earth extraction mines.


No such thing as if you can find these RARE EARTH anywhere you are. It isn't called RARE EARTH otherwise.

It used to be that China alike Malaysia, did not have processing technology, so exported these to USA.

USA won't import if they had these within their territory.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rare-earth_element

Actually they had lump 17 types of rare metallic elements to call it RARE EARTH. It is thus so misleading that as if you can get RARE EARTH from one place you would find all the 17 types of metals inside. Form most sites you can find a small number of types or 1 or 2 types. Not every type found are useful however.

To get all 17 types you may need to be in control of something like 10 sites in 8 countries for example.
 

laksaboy

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Asset
Please go ahead and ban exports of rare earth! :biggrin:


The last time China did it, it fucked itself. :cool:
 

Hypocrite-The

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Loyal
No such thing as if you can find these RARE EARTH anywhere you are. It isn't called RARE EARTH otherwise.

It used to be that China alike Malaysia, did not have processing technology, so exported these to USA.

USA won't import if they had these within their territory.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rare-earth_element

Actually they had lump 17 types of rare metallic elements to call it RARE EARTH. It is thus so misleading that as if you can get RARE EARTH from one place you would find all the 17 types of metals inside. Form most sites you can find a small number of types or 1 or 2 types. Not every type found are useful however.

To get all 17 types you may need to be in control of something like 10 sites in 8 countries for example.

China can’t control the market in rare earth elements because they aren’t all that rare
You can’t handle the truth (about rare earth elements)

By James Vincent on April 17, 2018 12:03 pm


Rare earth elements are often produced as byproducts of other mining operations. Photo by China Photos / Getty Images
If you need to know one thing about rare earth metals, it’s that they’re crucial to modern technology, helping power everything from MRI machines and satellites to headphones and nuclear reactors. If you need to know two things, it’s that despite their name, they’re not at all rare.


This second fact is important when putting recent headlines about these 17 oddly named elements in proper context. Last week, many publications covered the news that a Japanese team of scientists had found a huge trove of rare earth elements off the coast of the country’s Minamitori Island. Some 16 million tons were estimated to be lurking in the deep-sea m&d, enough to meet global demand on a “semi-infinite basis,” said the researchers.

This news was presented as having great geopolitical significance. China currently produces more than 90 percent of the world’s supply of rare earth materials (the exact figure tends to fluctuate year-by-year), and in the event of a conflict, said reports, it could jack up prices for the West and its allies, or even shut them out altogether. In this eventuality, the Minamitori hoard would be a lifeline. “It is important to secure our own source of resources, given how China controls the prices,” Professor Yutaro Takaya Waseda, who led the Japanese research team, told The Wall Street Journal.

But experts say this narrative is wrong. Despite appearances, the Minamitori find is not as significant as headlines have implied. And although China seems to wield great power over this critical global supply chain, the truth is that the country can’t just bring the West to its knees by limiting exports of rare earth elements. We know this pretty conclusively because it tried this in 2010, and it didn’t work out. In both cases, the overlooked factor is just how difficult it is to produce rare earth elements, compared to how easy it is to find them.


An aerial view of Minamitori Island taken in 1987. The rare earth ores were discovered in the seabed near the island. Image: Wikimedia Commons
The name “rare earth” is a historical misnomer, stemming from the fact that when they first discovered they were difficult to extract from surrounding matter. The USGS (United States Geological Survey) describes rare earth elements as “moderately abundant,” meaning that they’re not as common as elements like oxygen, silicon, aluminum, and iron (which together make up 90 percent of the Earth’s crust), but still well dispersed around the planet.

The rare earth element cerium, for example, is the 25th most abundant on Earth, making it about as common as copper. But unlike copper and similarly well-known elements, such as gold and silver, rare earths don’t clump together in single-element lumps. Instead, because of their similar chemical composition (15 of the 17 rare earth elements occupy consecutive places on the periodic table), they bond freely with one another in minerals and clays.

As the academic David S. Abraham explains in his book on the topic, The Elements of Power, this makes for a grueling extraction process. To create rare earths from the ore that contains them the extracted material has to be dissolved in solutions of acids, over and over again, then filtered, and dissolved once more. “The goal is not so much to remove rare earths from the mix as to remove everything else,” writes Abraham.

Rare earth ore goes through these steps hundreds and hundreds of times, and for each new mining location, the concentration of the acids used has to be recalculated in order to target the specific impurities in the soil. To top it off, the whole process produces any number of nasty chemical byproducts and is radioactive to boot.


PROCESSING RARE EARTHS INVOLVES A LOT OF TIME, ACID, AND RADIOACTIVITY
The whole process is “expensive, difficult, and dangerous,” says former rare earth trader and freelance journalist Tim Worstall. He tells The Verge that because of this, the West has been more or less happy to cede production of rare earths to China. From the 1960s to the 1980s, the US did actually supply the world with these elements; all extracted from a single mine in California named Mountain Pass. But in the ‘90s, China entered the market and drove down prices, making Mountain Pass unprofitable and leading to its closure in 2002.

Worstall says there are many reasons production moved overseas. Some of these are familiar: cheap labor costs and a willingness to overlook environmental damage, for example. But there’s also the fact that rare earth production in China is often a byproduct of other mining operations. “The biggest plant there is actually an iron ore mine which extracts rare earths on the side,” says Worstall. This means that, unlike the Mountain Pass mine, producers aren’t reliant on a single product. “If you are trying to only produce rare earths, then you’re subject to the swings and roundabouts of the market.”


Global production of rare earth oxides from 1950 to 2000. Image: USGS
All this looks like it gives China immense power over the market, but the truth is the world is benefiting at China’s expense. Proof of this came in 2010 when China did actually start limiting rare earth exports because of a dispute with Japan. This threat to the supply chain caused prices to rise, and so investment flowed into new and old rare earth mining projects. Meanwhile, consumers of rare earths like Hitachi and Mitsubishi altered their products to use less of each substance.

In other words, when China tried to take advantage of its monopoly and limit supply, the rest of the world picked up the slack. As a think tank report on the fallout from the 2010 incident put it: “Even with such apparently favorable circumstances, market power and political leverage proved fleeting and difficult [for China] to exploit.” Markets responded and “the problem rapidly faded.” (Money even flowed back into Mountain Pass for a while, although the company in charge, Molycorp, collapsed in 2015 when rare earth prices fell back to 2010 levels.)

THE MINAMITORI FIND JUST ISN’T AS SIGNIFICANT AS IT FIRST APPEARS
So what does all this mean for last week’s news? Well, mostly that it’s not as important as it might first appear. There are plenty of other sources for these elements, and ways to circumvent China’s control of the global supply. Worstall, writing for The Continental Telegraph, points out that last week’s find is nearly identical to one announced by some of the same Japanese scientists in 2011, and he tells The Verge that although the sea bed is most likely home to many rare earth elements, there’s still the challenge of processing the stuff and actually getting it out of the sea and into a usable form.

In a paper describing the Minamitori find published in Nature Scientific Reports, the Japanese suggest a hydrocycle could use centrifugal forces to quickly separate out a lot of the unnecessary materials in the sea m&d. But this method is unproven.

“Nobody has ever done it before, and no-one has proved it can work at an industrial scale,” says Professor Frances Wall of the Exeter University’s Camborne School of Mines. Wall tells The Verge that the Japanese team are doing “some nice work,” but says a huge amount of research has yet to be done before the seabed becomes a reliable source of these important elements. “There have been literally hundreds of exploration projects [that have found rare earth metals] and they’ve not been able to go forward through production because they can’t prove they’ll make any money,” says Wall .


Worstall sums up the situation by saying “in mining, there are just two things: dirt and ore. Your back garden contains dirt, because it would cost more to extract the rare earths from it then you would make selling them on. The moment it costs less to extract those rare earths, that dirt becomes ore. But what have the Japanese have found? At the moment, it’s still dirt.”


© 2019 Vox Media, Inc. All Rights Reserved
 

Ang4MohTrump

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https://www.rt.com/business/459994-china-rare-earth-metals-ban/


China's other nuclear option in trade war with US – Rare earth materials
Published time: 22 May, 2019 13:31
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FILE PHOTO: The F-35 Lightning II © Reuters / Tom Reynolds
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Beijing has yet another economic weapon to use against Washington in the escalating trade row – a possible embargo on vital rare earth metals needed to make everything from high-tech devices to fighter jets.
A routine visit by President Xi Jinping to a Chinese rare earths facility earlier this week came amid rising tensions between the two countries and shortly after the US turned up the heat on Chinese tech giant Huawei. Despite the lack of any official announcement from Beijing, the visit has triggered fears that China is ready to use the materials, specifically a ban on their export, as an advantage against the US.
Read more
US to face ‘deadly punch’ from ‘kung fu master’ China in response to trade war tricks – ex-official
Rare earth materials are indeed one more way China can retaliate, independent political analyst, Alessandro Bruno, told RT.
“It could put heavy restrictions on the rare earth metals that are necessary to make all kinds of electronic equipment, especially phones. This is a significant threat because the West does not have its own supply,” he explained.
The minerals are unsurprisingly not included on the US list of $200 billion worth of Chinese goods facing higher import tariffs. Shortly after Chinese and other media reported that Beijing is considering an embargo, shares of rare earth miners skyrocketed.
On Tuesday, the rare-earth sector jumped by 8.5 percent, according to Global Times. China Rare Earth Holdings Ltd enjoyed the biggest gains in the industry as its shares soared 108 percent.
The strategic importance of rare earth elements, which are mostly metals so the group is often referred to as “rare earth metals,” is hard to overestimate. We use them every day even without knowing it – from your smartphone to a laptop to hybrid or electric vehicles. Rare earths are also used in modern weapons, for example in missile guidance systems and fighter jets.
So it is obvious that American industries would suffer a painful blow should China cut the supplies. The most painful part for the US is that China has a virtual monopoly in the sphere, as it accounts for around 80 percent of the imports, according to the US Geological Survey. This could make Beijing's ban on such materials a nuclear option against Washington.
Also on rt.com China’s nuclear option of dumping US bonds would cause absolute chaos in global markets – expert
The US used to be the largest rare-earths-producing country in 1990, but China has stolen the crown long ago. In 2018, Beijing mined 120,000 tons of the materials – a 15,000-ton increase compared to a year earlier, while the US produced just 15,000 tons in total. China holds 44 million tons of the elements if its reserves, while the US just 1.4 million tons.
For more stories on economy & finance visit RT's business section

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Ang4MohTrump

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https://hk.news.yahoo.com/中國稀土癲升為何不合理-090726617.html

中國稀土癲升為何不合理?


Motley Fool


69 人追蹤

Johnny Chan
2019年5月22日 下午5:07


19dae07f4ec835e95e0f59174203168b

中國稀土(SEHK:769)自1999年10月在香港聯交所上市,高峯時期在2010年,當時市值高達近百億元,股價高見4元,其後跌足8年,2018年12月跌至0.26元歷史新低,直到昨天暴升1倍,是否值得追入?
讓我們先了解稀土是甚麼和它的用途。2017年中國稀土儲量為4,400萬噸,佔世界總儲量超過3成,儲量是世界第1,中國亦是唯一能夠提供全部17種稀土金屬的國家。2015年全球稀土產量為12萬噸,中國就佔了當中的10萬噸。
稀土是形成強力磁鐵的元素,不可再生,提鍊和加工難度甚大,可應用於農業,工業和軍事等行業。如果沒有稀土,世界可能便沒有電視屏幕、光纖電纜、數碼相機、主要醫療設備、軍事用品、衞星和電腦,可想而知稀土是極為重要的資源。
中國稀土在曾經很長一段時間內以極低的價格賤賣,在急劇增長的出口量下,稀土企業展開惡性競爭,導致稀土價格急跌。由1990至2005年,稀土礦石價從每噸過萬美元跌至7000多元,價格下跌導致稀土生產企業更加需要擴張去增加產量和盈利。2005年時中國稀土年生產能力達到20萬噸,已超過全球每年工業需求的一倍。其實全世界稀土資源尚算豐富,只是因環境保護其他國家不太願意開採。自90年代外國都普遍停止開發稀土,轉而入口中國稀土,因為中國稀土價格太便宜了。目前世界各國的高質量稀土約可供工業生產使用多年。
中國稀土需輸入稀土生產
中國稀土由一間稀土分離廠發展成為今日的稀土及耐火材料製造商,現時集團的稀土產品生產能力達每年6,500噸。不過,要留意中國稀土是需要輸入稀土去生產,而且公司指,「於國產的稀土礦材仍然受主要國營企業控制,本集團所用的大部份稀土礦材為國內貿易商從東南亞進口。」換言之,中國若限制稀土出口,很大機會令成本增加。
此外,稀土去年漲價已令下游企業抱觀望態度,稀土價值上升未必全屬正面,有幾大影響要看加價轉移能力,但看來未必大。
更重要是禁止出口應是負面因素,有如美國禁向中國輸出晶片,晶片股價是大跌。市場倒轉來炒真的合理?
中國稀土股價爆升只是市場炒作
中國國家主席習近平前往江西考察稀土產業,加上負責中美貿易談判的中方代表劉鶴亦陪同考察,因此市場猜測中國將以稀土戰還擊美國。但中國外交回應指,中國領導人在國內考察並調研相關產業政策很正常,希望市場不要作過份的猜測。其實美國有大量稀土儲備,中國稀土基本面其實並不樂觀,短期急升只屬市場炒作,並非有基本因素支持。
綜合以上觀點,筆者只有一個結論,中國稀土不宜沾手。
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本文所提供的信息僅供一般參考之用,並不構成任何個人化的投資勸誘或建議。Johnny Chan沒持有以上提及的股票。
The Motley Fool Hong Kong Limited 2019


Why is China's rare earth epilepsy unreasonable?
[Motley Fool]
Motley Fool
69 people tracking
Johnny Chan
May 22, 2019, 5:07 PM

China Rare Earth (SEHK: 769) was listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange since October 1999. At its peak in 2010, the market value reached nearly 10 billion yuan. The stock price was as high as 4 yuan, and then fell for 8 years and fell to December 2018. The historical low of 0.26 yuan, until it doubled yesterday, is it worth catching up?

Let us first understand what a rare earth is and what it uses. In 2017, China's rare earth reserves were 44 million tons, accounting for more than 30% of the world's total reserves. The reserves are the world's first. China is also the only country that can provide all 17 rare earth metals. In 2015, global rare earth production was 120,000 tons, and China accounted for 100,000 tons.

Rare earth is an element that forms a strong magnet. It is non-renewable, and it is very difficult to carry out chain and processing. It can be used in agriculture, industry and military industries. Without rare earths, the world may not have TV screens, fiber optic cables, digital cameras, major medical equipment, military supplies, satellites and computers. It is conceivable that rare earths are an extremely important resource.

China's rare earths have been sold at very low prices for a long time. Under the sharp increase in export volume, rare earth enterprises have launched vicious competition, resulting in a sharp drop in rare earth prices. From 1990 to 2005, the price of rare earth ore fell from more than 10,000 US dollars per ton to more than 7,000 yuan, and the price drop caused the rare earth producers to expand more to increase production and profit. In 2005, China's annual production capacity of rare earths reached 200,000 tons, which has more than doubled the global annual industrial demand. In fact, the world's rare earth resources are still rich, but other countries are less willing to exploit because of environmental protection. Since the 1990s, foreign countries have generally stopped developing rare earths and switched to China's rare earths because China's rare earth prices are too cheap. At present, high-quality rare earths in various countries around the world are available for industrial production for many years.
China's rare earth needs input rare earth production

China's rare earths have grown from a rare earth separation plant to today's rare earth and refractory manufacturers, and the Group's current rare earth product production capacity is 6,500 tons per year. However, it is important to note that China's rare earths need to be imported into rare earths, and the company said, “The domestic rare earth minerals are still controlled by major state-owned enterprises. Most of the rare earth minerals used by the Group are imported from Southeast Asia by domestic traders.” In other words, if China restricts the export of rare earths, there are great opportunities to increase costs.

In addition, the price hikes of rare earths have made the downstream enterprises hold a wait-and-see attitude. The rise in the value of rare earths may not be all positive. There are several major effects that depend on the ability to transfer fares, but it may not seem big.

More importantly, the ban on exports should be a negative factor. For example, if the United States banned the export of chips to China, the stock price of the chips fell sharply. Is it really reasonable to reverse the market?
China's rare earth stock price surge is only market speculation

Chinese President Xi Jinping went to Jiangxi to inspect the rare earth industry, and Liu He, the Chinese representative in charge of Sino-US trade negotiations, accompanied the inspection. Therefore, the market speculated that China will fight the United States with the rare earth war. However, China’s diplomatic response indicates that it is normal for Chinese leaders to investigate and investigate relevant industrial policies in China, and hope that the market will not make excessive speculation. In fact, the United States has a large amount of rare earth reserves. China's rare earth fundamentals are actually not optimistic. The short-term surge is only market speculation, and there is no basic factor to support it.

Based on the above points, the author has only one conclusion that China's rare earths should not be touched.

More reading

China holds the ace of trade wars Can the concept of rare earth be considered?

The information provided herein is for general information purposes only and does not constitute any personal investment inducement or advice. Johnny Chan did not hold the stock mentioned above.

The Motley Fool Hong Kong Limited 2019
 

Leongsam

High Order Twit / Low SES subject
Admin
Asset
China should just beg forgiveness, kiss Trump's ass and cede to US demands. There is no way they can win and they know it.
 

hofmann

Alfrescian
Loyal
many may think of trump as an idiot, but he is surrounded by the best minds at the table. trump is like the monkey picking winning stocks, its all random now and depends on how well his bowel movements are for the day.

5000 years of chinese history cannot calculate this outcome.
 
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