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Welcome the arrival of Economic War WW3 Part One PRC Russia against USA

Buayak_sg

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http://mg.co.za/article/2014-08-07-russia-bans-western-foods-response-to-ukraine-sanctions


Russia responds to Ukraine sanctions, bans Western foods

07 Aug 2014 13:01 Vladimir Isachenkov

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The decision to ban most food imports from the West shows that President Vladimir Putin has no intention of bowing to Western pressure over Ukraine.
The decision shows that President Vladimir Putin has no intention of bowing to Western pressure over Ukraine. (Reuters)

Russia on Thursday banned most food imports from the West in retaliation for sanctions over Ukraine – a sweeping move that will cost Western farmers billions of dollars but could also lead to empty shelves in Russian cities.

The decision shows that President Vladimir Putin has no intention of bowing to Western pressure over Ukraine, and will instead try to strike back at the West. It also demonstrated that the Kremlin is prepared to inflict damage on Russia while pursuing its course in Ukraine.

The United States and the European Union have accused Russia, which annexed Ukraine’s Crimean Peninsula in March, of fomenting tensions in eastern Ukraine by supplying arms and expertise to a pro-Moscow insurgency, and have imposed asset freezes and loan bans on a score of individuals and companies.

Moscow has rejected the accusations, and in turn accused the West of blocking attempts at a political settlement by giving a green light to Kiev to crush the mutiny through indiscriminate use of force, swelling civilian casualties.

A sombre-looking Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev said at a televised Cabinet meeting that Russia’s retaliatory ban covers all imports of meat, fish, milk and milk products, and fruit and vegetables from the US, the EU, Australia, Canada and Norway. It will last for one year.

“Until the last moment, we hoped that our foreign colleagues would understand that sanctions lead to a deadlock and no one needs them,” he said. “But they didn’t and the situation now requires us to take retaliatory measures.”

Analysts predict rising inflation
Russia depends heavily on imported foodstuffs – most of it from the West – particularly in the largest and most prosperous cities, such as Moscow. In 2013 the EU’s agricultural exports to Russia totalled €11.8-billion, while the US department of agriculture says food and agricultural imports from the US amounted to $1.3-billion.

Medvedev argued that the ban would give Russian farmers, who have struggled to compete with Western products, a good chance to increase their market share. But experts said that local producers will find it hard to fill the gap left by the ban, as the nation’s agricultural sector has continued to suffer from poor efficiency and shortage of funds.

While the government claimed it will move quickly to replace Western imports by importing more food from Latin America, Turkey and ex-Soviet nations to avoid empty shelves and price hikes, analysts predicted that it will further speed up inflation.

The damage to consumers inflicted by the ban will be felt particularly hard in big cities like Moscow, where imported food fills an estimated 60-70% of the market.

Russia could implement further bans
Medvedev said Russia could go further and ban Western carriers from flying over Russia on flights to and from Asia – a move that would significantly swell costs and increase flight time. He said that the government is considering the move as retaliation to the EU’s sanctions against Russian low-cost airline Dobrolet, but wouldn’t specify when and under what conditions the move could be taken.

Medvedev made it clear that Russia hopes that the sanctions will make the West revise its policy and stop trying to pressure Russia with sanctions. “We didn’t want such developments, and I sincerely hope that our partners will put a pragmatic economic approach above bad policy considerations,” he said, adding that the ban could be lifted earlier if the West shows a “constructive approach”.

If the West doesn’t change course, Russia may follow up by introducing restrictions regarding imports of planes, navy vessels, cars and other industrial products, Medvedev warned, but added that the government will move carefully. “The government understands how important such cooperation is, and naturally, we have a realistic assessment of our own capacities,” he said. – Sapa-AP
 
http://www.nasdaq.com/article/china-is-about-to-roast-mcdonalds-and-kfcs-chicken-cm377490

China Is About to Roast McDonald's and KFC's Chicken
By Motley Fool, August 06, 2014, 01:33:40 PM EDT
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Caught up once more in a tainted-meat scandal in China, Yum! Brands may suffer more consequences than just having its feathers ruffled. It could be the start of a prolonged slide in its operations and a secular decline in its stock's value. It's not alone in this crisis, as both McDonald's and Burger King were swept along by it, too, as were other eateries including Starbucks and pizzeria Papa John's .

Yum!, though, having been there once before, and still operating on shaky legs from trying to regain its financial footing in a region that accounts for more than half its revenues and 40% of its operating profits, has seen its sales -- and perhaps worse for its long-term prospects, its reputation -- substantially damaged by the fallout, and investors are right to wonder how well it can recover.

An undercover report by Chinese media in late July revealed Shanghai Husi Food, a division of U.S.-based OSI Group, and a major supplier to U.S. fast-food restaurants in Asia, was found to be mixing fresh meat with meat that had gone past its expiration date at levels apparently beyond the Chinese company's acceptable limits. The resulting shockwave was immediate and severe: Yum! reported that the scandal shook consumer confidence in its brands, causing a "significant negative impact" to its same-store sales at both its KFC and Pizza Hut chains..

McDonald's also said in an SEC filing that the effects rippled across the region, with restaurants in China, Japan, and elsewhere suffering "a significant negative impact to results." Guidance that the company had only just given on achieving comps that were expected to be relatively flat could no longer be trusted.

So far, Burger King and Starbucks haven't issued operational updates, and though they and Papa John's have all reportedly cut ties to the supplier, it's doubtful anyone can hope for better results.

Yum!, not surprisingly, was one of the first to immediately sever its relationship with the supplier, having suffered through a year-long slog of falling sales from a separate tainted-meat scandal. Same-store sales plunged 36% at one point at its Chinese KFC restaurants, and they were only just recovering. Last quarter, comps jumped 15%, leading to a 21% surge in revenues.

Still, Yum! was skating on thin ice as it was, and now all of its efforts at salvaging its reputation seem to have been for naught, a situation the fast-food chain recognizes as it says it's reserving all its legal options till after China's regulatory agencies conclude their investigation.

McDonald's is likely to be similarly damaged, as its Asia-Pacific, Middle East, and Africa segment accounts for around 25% of its revenues, and Starbucks has been pushing to have China become its largest market outside of the U.S. Papa John's says its company-owned stores in China represent more than a quarter of its international revenues, and Burger King has cited 15% of its restaurants in China as of the end of last year.

While it's clear all of the companies will feel the scandal's effects, it's Yum! Brands that will be skewered the worst.

Source: Yum! Brands SEC filings.

The India segment is recording losses still. Source: Yum! Brands SEC filings.

Yum! was expecting per-share earnings growth to exceed 20% in 2014 primarily because it anticipated China's operating profits would be above the ongoing growth rate of 15% this year.

Equally worrisome is the fact that mixing expired and fresh meat together was apparently tacitly approved by Husi Foods, and according to state-run media reports, there was even a manual detailing the appropriate ratios to use. Lack of trust among local processors runs rampant with consumers, who've turned to international brands for quality, and Tyson Foods has gone so far as to build out a whole chicken farm operation in China to keep close tabs on food quality throughout its entire supply chain, since plant inspections there often amount to little more than honor systems.

Of course the more immediate concern is that U.S. fast-food operators will see their Chinese operations damaged, and Yum! Brand's reputation may be beyond repair for far longer. Those companies that built up their businesses and profits by international expansion may now need to come with a "Made in China" warning label.

More from The Motley Fool: Warren Buffett Tells You How to Turn $40 Into $10 Million

The article China Is About to Roast McDonald's and KFC's Chicken originally appeared on Fool.com.
Rich Duprey has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Burger King Worldwide, McDonald's, and Starbucks. The Motley Fool owns shares of Papa John's International and Starbucks. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days . We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy .

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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc.
 
American consumers does not consume much Russian products or food. Russians can easily do away with American food and replace them with whatever else. So Putin can hurt American Economy by screwing their market, American can not do much to screw Putin's market.

American heavily depending on PRC products if they stop importing from PRC they have an unbearable shortage and price inflation. PRC can do away with American products such as McDonalds and Microsoft etc, it does not really hurt Chinese in this way.
 
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