Democratic Elections in the internet and wikileaks era is like a reality show, not much debate on policies but smear and gossip, people no longer care about consequences, Look at the most recent winners like Philippines and Taiwan, any anti establishment figures have advantage due to the frustration of current gov. In fake democratic system like China / Russia / N.Korea / SG, their leaders fair much better.
Looking at the trend today, I will place my bet on Trump.
He is like Rodrigo Duterte, the crowd go crazy when he say 'I will Kill you' to the drugs dealer
Trump's thinking is along the same line when he suggest 'To take out the Terrorist, we have to take out their families'
People today do not want the same old smooth talking, polite and politically correct candidate, they want a crazy MF for a change.