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angie II

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U.S. Stocks Rally, Dow Tops 9,000 for First Time Since January
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By Matt Townsend

July 23 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks rose, sending the Dow Jones Industrial Average above 9,000 for the first time since January, as EBay Inc., Ford Motor Co. and AT&T Inc. posted better-than-estimated results and home resales increased more than forecast.
EBay rallied 9.7 percent as its earnings signaled consumers’ appetite for online commerce is starting to recover. Ford jumped 9.9 percent after topping analyst estimates by paring expenses and adding market share. AT&T added 3.2 percent as new customers of Apple Inc.’s iPhone bolstered profit. D.R. Horton Inc. led homebuilders higher after sales of existing homes increased for a third straight month.

The S&P 500 advanced 2.3 percent to 975.64 at 11:41 a.m. in New York, the highest intraday level since Nov. 5. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 181.98 points, or 2.1 percent, to 9,063.24. The Nasdaq Composite Index surged 2.3 percent for a 12th straight gain, its longest streak since 1992. Benchmark indexes for Asia and Europe also rose.

“It’s been a good earnings season, given the backdrop that was there,” said Sarah Hunt, a money manager who helps oversee about $6 billion for Purchase New York-based Alpine Mutual Funds. “When you look at some of the estimates, they are expecting a better second half.”

The S&P 500 has rallied 10 percent since July 10 as earnings topped analysts’ estimates at 75 percent of the 158 companies in the index that reported results, including Caterpillar Inc., Intel Corp. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. Profits have fallen 25 percent on average from a year ago, according to data compiled by Bloomberg, less than the 33 percent drop forecast by analysts as of July 17.

‘Doing Well’
“Relative to the estimates, it looks like they are doing well,” said Stephen Wood, who helps manage $136 billion as chief market strategist for North America at Russell Investments in New York. “Part of that is an expectations game. Analyst estimates tend to lag, so some of that is a catch-up.”

EBay climbed 9.7 percent to $21.34 as the company forecast revenue in the next three months will be $2.05 billion to $2.15 billion. Analysts had estimated $2 billion. Ford increased 9.9 percent to $7.01. The only major automaker to shun a U.S. rescue reported a second-quarter loss, excluding some items, of 21 cents a share. The average estimate of analysts surveyed by Bloomberg was for a loss of 50 cents. “Ford looks like it’s improving its balance sheet, and its cash position looks pretty good,” said Hayes Miller, who helps manage $38 billion at Baring Asset Management Inc. in Boston. “Not only do we not have a potential for bankruptcy, but it looks like it’s improving itself at a quicker pace than Chrysler and GM.”

AT&T Climbs
AT&T added 3.2 percent to $25.64 after reporting second- quarter earnings, excluding some items of 54 cents a share, beating the average analyst estimate by 5.3 percent. All 13 companies in a gauge of homebuilders advanced after sales of existing U.S. homes rose 3.6 percent in June to an annual rate of 4.89 million, the National Association of Realtors said in Washington. Economists in a survey had forecast an increase of 1.5 percent. 3M Co. gained 6.1 percent to $68.62, the biggest advance in the Dow, after the maker of Post-it Notes and Scotch Tape reported second-quarter profit excluding some items of $1.20 a share, beating the average analyst estimate by 28 percent. The company also raised its 2009 earnings forecast. Fifth Third Bancorp, Ohio’s largest lender, gained 15 percent to $8.07 after reporting second-quarter earnings of $1.15 a share, compared with a loss of 37 cents a share a year earlier.

McDonald’s, Qualcomm Slump
McDonald’s Corp., the world’s largest restaurant company, sank 4.3 percent to $56.33, the biggest drop in four months. Second-quarter revenue declined more than analysts projected on slowing consumer demand and a stronger U.S. dollar. Qualcomm Inc. declined 4.2 percent to $46.41 after the company forecast fourth-quarter sales that fell short of some analysts’ estimates, raising concern that handset demand is still slowing. Separately, South Korea’s antitrust regulator said it plans to fine the world’s biggest maker of mobile-phone chips a record 260 billion won ($208 million) for anti- competitive practices.

CIT Group Inc. slid 17 percent to 72 cents. Advisers to bondholders that rescued CIT with a $3 billion loan said creditors should push the company into Chapter 11 bankruptcy after a debt swap next month, according to a person familiar with the matter.
To contact the reporter on this story: Matt Townsend in New York at [email protected].

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U.S. Markets Wrap: S&P 500 Tops 1,000; Metals Rise, Bonds Fall
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By Lynn Thomasson
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Aug. 3 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks advanced, sending the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index above 1,000 for the first time since November, and commodities rallied while Treasuries and the dollar fell on speculation the recession is ending.

Manufacturing and construction spending in the U.S. topped forecasts, and China’s factory output expanded. Copper climbed to the highest in 10 months, driving the S&P GSCI Index of 24 commodities to a 3.3 percent gain. Crude oil exceeded $70 a barrel for the first time since July 1. Ten-year Treasury notes declined the most in almost two months, and the dollar sank to the worst level against six trading partners since the weeks after Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. collapsed.

The S&P 500 added 1.5 percent to 1,002.63 at 4 p.m. in New York. Wells Fargo & Co. and Bank of America Corp. rose more than 3.5 percent after HSBC Holdings Plc, Europe’s biggest bank, reported $3.35 billion in profit as earnings from its securities unit doubled. That beat the average analyst estimate for a loss. “Investors are starting to come out of the foxhole,” said James Dunigan, the chief investment officer at PNC Financial Services Group Inc.’s wealth-management unit, which oversees $98 billion in Philadelphia. “Appetite for risk is increasing.”

Manufacturing in the U.S. shrank less than forecast as stimulus-induced gains in demand worldwide helped resuscitate factories from the worst slump in three decades. The Institute for Supply Management’s factory gauge rose to an 11-month high of 48.9 in July, according to the Tempe, Arizona-based group. Readings below 50 signal contraction. A report from the Commerce Department showed June building projects climbed 0.3 percent, helped by higher public spending.

Highest in a Year
China’s manufacturing expanded in July as record lending and a 4 trillion yuan ($585 billion) stimulus package stoked a recovery in the world’s fastest-growing major economy. The CLSA China Purchasing Managers’ Index rose to a seasonally adjusted 52.8, the highest level in a year, from 51.8 in June.

Raw-material and energy producers in the S&P 500 rallied, increasing 3.5 percent and 2.3 percent, respectively. Alcoa Inc., the biggest U.S. maker of aluminum, surged 7.1 percent to $12.60 in the steepest rally since April 9. Peabody Energy Corp. jumped 7.4 percent, the most since May 4, to $35.57. Peabody is the nation’s largest coal producer. Copper for September delivery surged 4.4 percent to $2.7385 a pound in New York, while crude oil futures expiring next month rose 3.1 percent to $71.58 a barrel.

Banks and other financial institutions in the S&P 500 rallied 2.7 percent following HSBC’s report. Wells Fargo added 5.5 percent to $25.80, the highest price since May 18. Bank of America rose 3.6 percent to an eight-month high of $15.32.

Riskier Assets
Ten-year Treasury notes snapped four days of gains as the rally in stocks drove investors to riskier assets. The yield on the benchmark 10-year note increased 0.15 percentage point to 3.63 percent. The TED spread, a gauge of financial-market stress, dropped to the lowest level in more than two years. The measure of the difference between what banks and the Treasury pay to borrow for three months narrowed to 0.294 percentage point, the first time it slid below 0.30 point since March 26, 2007.

The Dollar Index, which tracks the U.S. currency against the euro, yen, pound, Swedish krona, Canadian dollar and Swiss franc, dropped 1.1 percent to 77.451, the lowest level since Sept. 29. Lehman filed for the biggest bankruptcy on Sept. 15. The yen fell against all of its most-traded counterparts, losing 0.6 percent to 95.28 against the dollar, on speculation the global recovery will encourage Japanese investors to buy higher-yielding assets overseas.

To contact the reporter on this story: Lynn Thomasson in New York at [email protected].
Last Updated: August 3, 2009 16:28 EDT

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angie II

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End is in sight: Greenspan

Ex-Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan is optimistic the recession will end soon. »Turnaround in mid-July

End of US economic crisis 'getting very close'

<cite class="auth">AFP - Monday, August 3</cite>
WASHINGTON (AFP) - - Alan Greenspan, the former chairman of the Federal Reserve, said Sunday that the US economic crisis was not yet over but it was "getting very close" and that the broader economy has already hit bottom.

Asked in an interview with ABC television whether the worst US economic crisis since the Great Depression was over, Greenspan said "not quite, but we're getting very close." "Collapse, I think, is now off the table," Greenspan said, adding that he was "pretty sure" the US economy had hit bottom and had begun a turnaround in mid-July.


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