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From espnfc.com

By Iain Macintosh

Euro 2016: The team and player that will unravel and other big predictions

Which superpower could really mess this up?

In 2014, Spain bravely held off the challenge of both England and Italy by exiting the World Cup, a tournament title they were supposed to be defending, inside just seven days. That will take some beating. All three of those nations still retain that special combination of banana-skin filled groups and pulsating potential uselessness.

But what about Germany? They've lost four of their last seven games. They weren't playing great sides, either, with defeats to Ireland, Slovakia and, most shamefully of all, England. It doesn't take a great leap of imagination to see them slipping up against Ukraine, Poland or even Northern Ireland.

Which team will be hated by the media in spite of their status?

Albania are the most Cinderella-ist of all the Cinderella stories at this summer's tournament, but there's every chance the world's media will loathe them. How could this be? They are so unfancied that they're under the underdogs. They're so plucky that when they get up from their sofa, they leave traces of pluck in the fibres.

But they harbour a dark and terrible secret. When they met Austria in a friendly earlier this year, they played in their second strip: white shirts. With white numbers. And white lettering. Madness. If they wear that shirt against Switzerland on June 11, it will be a nightmare for every journalist and commentator. Expect this to be reflected in the tone of the reports.

Who will have the shortest tournament?

England aren't going to win the big prize, but they've got this one locked down. Someone will get injured almost instantly. Remember how high your eyebrows rose when you discovered that poor Ledley King had been included in England's 2010 World Cup squad? Remember how he lasted barely two minutes in South Africa? It's going to happen again, isn't it?

England have only three centre-backs in the squad, so they're tempting fate on one count. They have Daniel Sturridge, so they're tempting fate on two counts. They have Jack Wilshere, and three counts should be more than enough. Wilshere, whose inclusion came after missing almost the entire season, and at the expense of Danny Drinkwater, has to be the favourite to tumble.

Which team will unravel mid-tournament?

With the Dutch watching on television, this prize is wide open. You'd be tempted to plump for France, given the pressure they'll be under as favourites and, more pertinently, their unrivalled capacity for chaos. But what about Portugal? We saw in 2014 what happens when Cristiano Ronaldo is held together by sticky tape and staples; he tries to win the game all on his own and the team suffers for it. If his heroics aren't enough, how long will it be before someone in a Portugal shirt breaks down and screams, "For the love of all that is holy, Cris. Let someone else take a free kick!"

Who will flip out and do something absolutely stunningly foolish?

When it comes to Grade A wobblies, you can never really rule out Zlatan Ibrahimovic. The big, mercurial Swede is a law unto himself. But this is probably his international swan song and he has a brand to protect now. A more likely barmpot is the cut-price Zlatan, Austria's Marko Arnautovic. Jose Mourinho once said that Arnautovic had "the attitude of a child," a conclusion aided by the former Inter Milan forward's decision to wear boots inscribed with the words, "Champions League Winner 2010," even though he wasn't in the victorious squad. He's been caught speeding, he's fought teammates, he's insulted entire cities, and last week, he was embroiled in a spitting scandal. The world waits for his next move.

Which fiery manager will soon be watching from the corporate box?

You'd always think that the managers to be sent from the touchline would be the most volatile men, but it doesn't always work like that. In 2008, it was the unassuming Joachim Low who found himself watching Germany's quarterfinal clash with Portugal from the posh seats after a spat with the Austrian manager Josef Hickersberger during their group stage match. Antonio Conte and Fatih Terim both seem to be the sort of chaps well capable of flipping out in the technical area. Then there's Ireland's Martin O'Neill. He might look unassumingly bookish, but there's a fire that dwells within that man. And if assistant manager Roy Keane eggs him on ...

Who will be England's penalty villain?

This is obviously happening. Even England can't mess up a group like that when three teams will probably progress to the knock-out stage. What do England do in knock-out stages? They lose on penalties. Or get obliterated by Germany. But mostly, it's penalties. It doesn't matter what you do, or how much you practice. England can't win penalty shoot-outs. They're like a cat with chopped whiskers, unable to walk through an open door. This is nature, people. And having tempted karma by discussing a move to Arsenal on the eve of the tournament, it's Jamie Vardy who will welly his spot-kick into the second tier.
 

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From espnfc.com

By Julien Laurens

Hosts France look the part of a champion on eve of Euro 2016

Stats have pros and cons in football but this one is pretty striking: In the last 18 World Cups and Euros, the hosts have won the tournament only twice. It was France both times, in 1984 and 1998.

When it comes to winning the competitions you organise, the French are really good at it. See it as a good omen or not, it's another argument in Les Bleus' favour. They are one of the favourites to win this European Championship, even after all the withdrawals and players missing [Karim Benzema, Raphael Varane, Lassana Diarra, Mathieu Valbuena, Mathieu Debuchy, Mamadou Sakho], even after all the controversies, and even with the current atmosphere in the country, which has seen strikes and protests, as well as flooding.

It would be better, of course, if all those players were in the squad, if the preparation had been smooth and without issues and if the country was a bit more excited and ready for the tournament.

However, France are always better in adversity. In 1998, before the start of the World Cup, there were also strikes, the media was critical of head coach Aime Jacquet and the team, and the atmosphere was morose.

They stayed strong, believed in themselves and they did it. Like in 1998, this is an extremely gifted squad with players at the top of their game at the biggest European clubs, and we are not just talking about Antoine Griezmann, Paul Pogba or Anthony Martial.

There is a lot of experience in the side, both at the domestic and international level. There is character, too. A lot of Didier Deschamps' players had to work hard to make the squad: Olivier Giroud, Andre-Pierre Gignac, Koscielny, N'Golo Kante, Morgan Schneiderlin, Patrice Evra, Adil Rami and Christophe Jallet all started their careers in the French lower leagues.

Even Griezmann could not find any academies in France that wanted to take him, so he had to go to Real Sociedad in Spain to start his career in the second division. Many of Deschamps' men began at the bottom and now they are here, ready to win the Euros. They never gave up at the start of their career, even when the odds were against them to make it. In terms of experience, this is priceless. It means that when goings get tough, they work even harder.

Giroud was recently booed by some of his own fans before a friendly against Cameroon. He responded with three goals in two games. He now has seven in his last eight appearances for Les Bleus. No one is booing him anymore.

The last time a French squad seemed so happy together was back in 2006 when they reached the World Cup final. There is camaraderie. They are all friends, brothers even and, thought you don't need to all love each other to win football matches, it's better when the mood is as such. In 2008, 2010 or 2012, all the problems France had came down to egos, individualism and selfishness. This time, it is different. They are a proper team.

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Evra, who has been part of problem-ridden squads in the past, said recently that he was ready to be pelted with stones to protect his teammates. There is competition too, more in certain positions than others but still. "I get on great with Olivier [Giroud] and I want him to win us matches but I am there behind him, pushing him to take his place too," said Gignac on Tuesday.

They have a lucky charm as well in Deschamps. Everywhere he has been, as a player or as a manager, he has won trophies and plaudits. He is associated with winning and he has brought a winning mentality to this team. France have won 13 of their last 14 games now, with the lone defeat coming last November against England, days after the Paris terror attacks.

The French players can't wait. We all know now, unless someone picks up an injury, what the starting XI will look like on Friday against Romania. Dimitri Payet will start up front with Giroud and Griezmann, ahead of Martial. Pogba, Blaise Matuidi and Kante will compose the midfield and the back five will be goalkeeper Hugo Lloris, along with Bacary Sagna, Rami, Laurent Koscielny and Evra.

With Varane, Kurt Zouma, Sakho, Mathieu, Aymeric Laporte and Debuchy out, Deschamps had to build a new defence and chose Rami to partner with Koscielny. It could be considered a surprise considering his last cap was three years ago, but the 30-year-old had a good season with Sevilla and starting him ahead of Eliquim Mangala means that Koscielny can stay on the left side of central defence. Rami was dreadful against Cameroon, but better in a 3-0 win against Scotland.

"Against Cameroon, it was his first cap in a very long time, he was a bit stressed," Koscienly said about his teammate on Tuesday. "I told [Rami] to stay calm. He is capable of great things, he just needs to stay calm. I have faith in him, we all do. We are all united."

France look strong everywhere -- everything is united for success -- and they are going to win Euro 2016 on July 10. You can bet on it. It is the sense of history. As we say in France, things always come in threes.
 

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from espnfc.com

France vs. Romania: 50-50 Challenge to open Euro 2016

France host Romania on Friday in the opening match of Euro 2016. The host nation will be looking to claim all three points in this Group A encounter, while Romania are seeking an upset.

Jonathan Johnson (France) and Emanuel Rosu (Romania) look ahead to Friday's showdown.

What's at stake here?

Jonathan Johnson: It is absolutely vital for France to get off to a winning start. With plenty of pressure on the hosts going into the opening Group A fixture, the return to competitive football after an almost two-year absence could be a shock. If Didier Deschamps' men are on the receiving end of a surprise result in their first match at Stade de France, Les Bleus' chances of reaching the latter stages could be jeopardised, with Albania and Switzerland to follow. The French need to make the most of home advantage and boost their cautiously optimistic supporters with a strong early performance -- similar to how the two-time European champions got their 2014 FIFA World Cup campaign underway in Brazil.

Emanuel Rosu: Apart from hearing about Steliano Filip's minor injury, the Romania fans were left without any major news from their national team in the week before the opening game at Euro 2016. Manager Anghel Iordanescu chose a rather militaristic approach to the media and supporters, hoping to get maximum concentration from his players. He even sent the goalkeeping coach and the fan club president to attend Tuesday's press conference, while the team's psychologist worked to get the players mentally ready for the test against France. Almost all the players are calling the game against France "the biggest of their lives." The interest in Romania is so big that it could lead to a new TV ratings record. A positive result could lead people out of their houses to celebrate in downtown Bucharest, just like in the old days of Gheorghe Hagi's generation in the 1990s.

Key battle:

JJ: Olivier Giroud against Romania's Vlad Chiriches has the potential to be the key battle on opening evening. The Arsenal man is in good form at the moment, having scored three goals in two recent warm-up fixtures and seven times in his past seven friendly outings with France. Deschamps needs Giroud to maintain his current hot streak and, more importantly, remain high on confidence, as the Gunners star will be the focal point of his attack for the majority of the tournament. Making a scoring start against the Romanians could set Giroud up for a run at the Golden Boot this summer, but if he is to find the back of the net, he will need to find a way past Chiriches.

ER: At 35, Razvan Rat has left his best days behind him. Despite a shoulder injury that restricted him to just 15 minutes of football at club level since the beginning of the year, Rat will keep his starting position, thanks to his experience and character. No other player was capable of challenging for the left-back berth, though Steliano Filip put in a courageous display in the 0-0 draw with Spain in March. Life won't be easy for Romania's most-capped current international. He will add one more to his 111 appearances, but Antoine Griezmann is likely to trouble him. Rat has had obvious defensive problems for quite a while, and his participation in the other half of the pitch has suffered too. An in-form Griezmann could make Rat suffer far more than other more modest opponents already have. His lack of playing time with Rayo Vallecano won't help, despite his constant claims that he is determined to be fully fit.

Star man:

JJ: Although Giroud is the player Deschamps hopes will excel in front of goal on Friday in Paris, Atletico Madrid's Antoine Griezmann is the man who could ultimately play the starring role. Because of extended club duty, the 25-year-old was able to play only 45 minutes of the 3-0 friendly win over Scotland last weekend in Metz. However, he is likely to start against Romania. Les Bleus need Griezmann to pick up where he left off in March, after noncompetitive victories over the Netherlands and Russia. If he does, Romania could suffer at the hands of the hosts' No. 7.

ER: Iordanescu will surely focus his strategy on the player best suited for his tactical approach: Florin Andone. Andone scored 21 goals for Cordoba the past season and is likely to start as a lone striker at the Stade de France. This is exactly the kind game in which Andone loves to play, and it will serve as an important test of his big-game potential. The 23-year-old, who had a great season in Spain's second tier, is hungry, skilled and ready to fight whoever's in front of him for goals. He is capable of dragging defenders out of position without much effort. Good with and without the ball, Andone is quick and always ready to challenge his marker, and he gets most of his decisions in front of goal right.

Prediction:

JJ: France win 3-1. Les Bleus get off to a winning start in the capital by scoring a couple goals, but the questionable French defence continues to concern Deschamps.

ER: If Romania play to their capabilities, they can hope for a draw. I'm hoping for the same thing: 1-1.
 

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By Graham Hunter

Can Del Bosque inspire defending champion Spain to win Euro 2016?

So far in the buildup to Euro 2016, Vicente del Bosque has evidently been taking to heart his countryman George Santayana's motto: "Those who do not remember the past are doomed to repeat it."

Spain's tournament record had been unblemished for eight years after World Cup 2006 until 2014: win, win, win. Two European titles and champions of the world in South Africa. They were not simply stellar; they were unrivalled. But the defence of that world crown just two years ago was a death by a thousand cuts. There were no gigantic aberrations, just a flow of run-of-the-mill decisions that were both wrong and avoi

Taking Diego Costa to Brazil wasn't an error; playing him when training had shown he was neither fully recovered from his persistent hamstring problems nor acclimated to the team's passing style was.

Retaining Iker Casillas as squad captain, and maintaining loyalty to him right up to before the group opener against Holland, wasn't an aberration; resolutely ignoring the claim of ferociously in-form Pepe Reina, when Casillas was very evidently fractured in both his form and self-confidence, was.

Persuading Xavi not to retire following the symphony of champagne football to win Euro 2012 wasn't wrong-headed. But blaming him for the second-half drubbing by the Dutch, then dropping Spain's greatest and most experienced footballer for a display against Chile that showed La Roja didn't know how to use the ball without him, was.

There were more cuts and self-inflicted wounds, but this time around, Del Bosque has been positively radical by comparison: decisive, strong and delightfully oblivious to external pressures. It bodes well for Spain's chances this summer.

So what exactly has he done?

Tough squad selections? No problem!

Del Bosque was previously joined at the hip with Costa, hungry for the power, street smarts and goals that the naturalised striker can bring and 100 percent tolerant of the fact that he can act the pantomime villain on the pitch. But this time, Del Bosque dumped him, deeming him not fit enough, not reliable enough and not sufficiently established in the international setup -- not a risk to be taken again.

Santi Cazorla? Del Bosque adores this fella, both the footballer and the man. He can start in your XI and occupy at least three positions with ease. Cazorla can (and often has) come off the bench and alter the course of a game. More than that, he is universally popular, the kind of guy who will make a three-week or a seven-week tournament into something fun. He has a wide, Cheshire cat grin on his face all the time, friendly with all the camps within the camp and always brimming with enthusiasm -- the best teammate to hang out with.

Put it all together and we are talking about one hell of a valuable tournament player. Back in November, Cazorla's role was in central midfield as Del Bosque sought a way to adjust to the fact that Sergio Busquets no longer had either Xavi or Xabi Alonso next to him to help steer the ball forward or to link defensive midfield and attack.

So for Del Bosque to conclude that Cazorla, who was back in the Arsenal starting XI by mid-May and had at least a month to hone his match fitness before Spain's first group game in Toulouse against the Czech Republic, isn't fit enough and isn't worth the risk -- that's a demonstration of the manager's new realpolitik.

Then there's Paco Alcacer. The Valencia striker was Spain's top scorer in qualifying with five goals; only David Silva and Busquets came close to him with three and two, respectively. But having been a victim of injuries, his club's awful season and a scoring drought in recent weeks, Alcacer was left at home. No messing about by Del Bosque.

This objectivity on his part leads naturally to the debate about Spain that has most often occupied the part-time commentators among fans and the media since humiliation in Brazil.
 

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By Graham Hunter espnfc.com cont'd

Iker Casillas or David De Gea?

In his 14 European Championship appearances, Casillas has conceded only five goals. His saves were vital in two penalty shootout victories against Italy in 2008 and Portugal four years later, and his form this season, although imperfect, hasn't been sufficient for him to automatically be dropped. But the fact that De Gea started the final warm-up, a disappointing 1-0 defeat to Georgia, does tend to suggest that Del Bosque has made up his mind.

The Man United keeper has three tournament victories under his belt -- U-17 Euros in 2007 and U-19 Euros in 2011 and 2013. Glory in 2007 included a Casillas-style penalty shootout win in which De Gea made the type of saves that have been the current Spain captain's trademark.

What merits mentioning is that Casillas still carries a talismanic reputation. Despite his age, after all these caps, trophies and records and following one or two eccentricities for Porto this season, it's true that some in the squad would vote for the 35-year-old because he has this unerring big-game mentality.

When I asked Silva whom he'd pick in his all-time five-a-side team a couple of weeks ago, with the power to choose from any player he'd performed with, against or even seen, he chose Casillas. All-time. Perhaps training on France's Atlantic coast might allow a last grab at the starting place for the man who has won more international football matches than anyone else in history.

It's in this decision that Del Bosque faces his second-most important task.

Can Del Bosque adjust Spain's mentality?

Still more important than the niceties of Spain's starting XI is the question of mentality.

What I think has often been ignored or perhaps not even noticed is the impact that psychology played on Spain's hat trick of tournament wins from 2008 to 2012. They went into Euro 2008 forged together as a band of brothers by the hostility of their own fans and media, further galvanised by the metaphorical cattle prod applied by extraordinary manager Luis Aragones.

Later, once they'd acquired the internal industrial steel of established winners, Spain became the only nation in history to lose their first World Cup game and still win the tournament. During the three-tournament run, time and again they overcame extra time or penalties; they truly believed they were titanium-tough.

I believe it's underestimated that nine times across those three summer tournament victories, Spain won by a single goal. Twice more, they drew 0-0 but emerged from the trial of spot kicks. Talent, planning, stamina and determination played a part, of course. But that record absolutely requires what Spain had, and lost, in the winning mentalities of Carles Puyol, Joan Capdevila, David Villa, Fernando Torres, Alonso and, above all, Xavi.

Part of what happened during the 2014 World Cup was that Spain discovered, to their horror, that their tournament mentality was all of a sudden brittle. Some were tired, some were no longer as hungry for success and some had lost a scintilla of their previously huge enthusiasm for setting aside club rivalries in the spirit of national football unity.

But their entire tournament turned around in 70 seconds: the time it took between Silva's missing a one-on-one chance to put Spain 2-0 up against Holland and Robin van Persie's outrageous equaliser just before half-time. The aggressive young buck put a hook to the champions' chin, and Spain's knees buckled.

Those left from that campaign have personal slates to clear. It stung many of the footballers who are here in France that they weren't just beaten, but humiliated. That they didn't defend their title with dignity, pride and tenacity.

We'll see some knock-on effect from that here, but Del Bosque has to foster that idea. He must ensure that the "new" kids like Thiago, Alvaro Morata, De Gea, Aritz Aduriz (at 35, hardly a kid), Hector Bellerin and Bruno believe not only that they merit being involved in this title defence but also that they can win.

Until Tuesday's horrible, lethargic 1-0 defeat to Georgia, the buildup had looked sexy. There were fluent, confident Spanish performances featuring goals and firm contributions from two players in particular.

Nolito is ultratalented and can produce magic: He is Spain's version of Riyad Mahrez. He's not experienced at this level and not certain to start if Andres Iniesta and Silva are both fit, but he's potentially the guy who opens up defences in a manner that Xavi used to. By no means identical, but similar in vision and execution.

The other is Morata. It may be that the football gods have a beautiful, extraordinary story awaiting Aduriz; perhaps he starts and perhaps he'll garner all the headlines and adoration if he comes on and scores. But Morata has an extraordinary knack of producing key goals in big games. It's his trademark.

This feels like a tournament in which Morata can star if he finds his confidence early, having been schooled in the harsh glare of Italian football. He could even replicate the contributions that Villa and Torres made in previous trophy wins.

The Juventus striker's absence, with light bruising, was noticeable in the shock defeat to Georgia. Gamely though Aduriz worked, Spain's creativity behind him was on low gas, and Morata's ability to frighten with his pace, his height and his power were a loss to Del Bosque's team.

But ultimately, it's all about action, not words for Spain. They must start strong at this summer's Euros; there can be none of that nonsense from 2010 in which they lost 1-0 to Switzerland. Times have changed. They'll need to feel that they are in form and that their weak jaw is now super firm. They need to believe they're about to perform like reigning champions.

The advice to the Czech Republic, Turkey and Croatia is to make like Georgia and prevent that from happening because if this Spanish group get up a head of steam, it is not outlandish to believe they could go all the way to Paris in July.
 

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By Gabriele Marcotti
espnfc.com

Watch out, France, Spain, Germany: Another unpredictable Euros is in store

PARIS -- It's a cliche that every team starts a tournament on zero points, equally distant -- but also equally close -- to the ultimate goal. That means, of course, that anyone can dare to dream but even more so at the 2016 edition of the European Championships, which is unveiling an expanded field of 24 teams, up from the previous 16.

Ordinarily, you'd tell yourself it's just a bunch of lies, a ruse to keep the minnows interested and the middle class hopeful. A bit like when we tell kids to chase their dreams, even though we know all too well they probably won't be prima ballerinas at the Bolshoi or piloting the space shuttle to Mars.

But this time ... this time it's different.

For a start, less than six weeks ago, we saw the unthinkable turned flesh and blood: Wes Morgan of Leicester City lifting the Premier League trophy. Sure, we explain it away through chance, probability, luck, big boys stumbling, Jamie Vardy's career year and Claudio Ranieri's karma.

But we know Leicester's win was like dumping lighter fluid on that tiny flame that burns in the back of our mind, the one that says "What if?"

Rarely has a major tournament rolled around with so few certainties and so many doubts surrounding the favorites. In some ways, it's the polar opposite to that other UEFA-branded extravaganza, the Champions League, where the quarterfinalists are perennially familiar and the group stages often consist of elites flattening the field.

France are the favorites. They're playing at home, reached the quarterfinals of the last two tournaments, are deep and gifted in midfield and attack, and have two of the most exciting talents in the world game -- Paul Pogba and Antoine Griezmann -- about to hit their prime. Yet that back four (Laurent Koscielny aside) leaves you scratching your chin. And the Olivier Giroud-haters are already sitting there, digits poised over keyboards, ready to spew venom at the first fluffed chance.

The reigning Euro champions Spain? Great pedigree, big names, but maybe the humiliation of Brazil 2014 ought to have been heeded more: it's tough to maintain the same hunger and focus after winning back-to-back-to-back major tournaments.

What about Germany, the 2014 World Cup winners? Will they be reliable contenders? You'd think so, but then you consider that they lost to Ireland and Poland in qualifying. And that in the last few weeks they lost three starters to injury -- Antonio Rudiger, Marco Reus and Ilkay Gundogan -- and have a fourth in Mats Hummels, who'll likely miss the opening two games. Suddenly, the perpetual sure thing doesn't seem so certain.

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Keep going down the food chain and the questions multiply.

Belgium's Golden Generation was tipped for greatness years ago. But many of their best players are coming off either injuries (Thibaut Courtois, Jan Vertonghen, Kevin De Bruyne) or poor seasons (Eden Hazard). After nearly seven years with the squad as coach or assistant, Marc Wilmots still hasn't fixed the fullback problem.

England, not for the first time, have talented young attacking players. They also have a creaky defence, a midfield general, Jack Wilshere, who was out for 10 months and hasn't lasted 90 minutes in nearly a year and a captain, Wayne Rooney, for whom they can't really find a role.

Italy's squad was already the least talented Azzurri group since the late 1950s and things only got worse when they lost Marco Verratti and Claudio Marchisio to injury. Manager Antonio Conte's chest-beating and tactical nous can only carry them so far.

Portugal have a neat blend of youngsters and veterans and there's always Cristiano Ronaldo, still looking for his signature moment on the big stage. But we simply don't know what condition he'll be in physically. If it's the Ronaldo who played in the Champions League final in May, don't expect much other than well-taken penalties and shirtless celebrations. Complicating matters, coach Fernando Santos seems reluctant to put his faith entirely in the kids.

Croatia may arguably have the most gifted midfield in the tournament with Luka Modric, Ivan Rakitic and Marcelo Brozovic, but they were ho-hum in qualifying and recent friendlies (what you learn from choosing to play San Marino ahead of a major tournament is anyone's guess).

If the above are the elites and near-elites -- some perhaps only in name -- once you get to Europe's middle class you find plenty of scope to dream. You have sides with outstanding individuals who, if they get to the knockout stage (and, with this format, many will), can haul their teammates on their backs and carry them. We're talking about countries like Poland (Robert Lewandowski), Sweden (Zlatan Ibrahimovic) and Wales (Gareth Bale), nations rallying around a once-in-a-lifetime talent who can win you games singlehandedly.

Others find themselves relying on the savvy and charisma of a wily veteran coach who has shown no fear or deference to the supposed blue bloods. Think of Ireland with Martin O'Neill, Russia with Leonid Slutsky and Turkey with Fatih Terim.

Then there are sleeper picks like Austria and Switzerland, neighbors who have reaped the benefits of changing immigration patterns to put together gifted sides with genuine second-generation talent, from David Alaba and Aleksandar Dragovic for the Austrians and Ricardo Rodriguez and Xherdan Shaqiri for the Swiss. If migration was one of the sociopolitical themes changing the face of Europe over the past few decades, the breakup of the Soviet Bloc and the former Yugoslavia is another.

Indeed, when Shaqiri's Switzerland take on Albania in the group stage, he will stand across from Lorik Cana, the Albanian captain who, like Shaqiri, is an ethnic Kosovar. In a parallel universe, or even if they had been born some 10 years later, they might have been teammates. Instead, many of Kosovar descent turn out for Albania, Switzerland and other nations and, football-wise, they have had a massive impact. This is Albania's first ever tournament and they showed in qualifying that their mental toughness and tactical sophistication make them a tough out for anyone.

Slovak and Czech players will also recognize that, had they been born earlier, they too would have been teammates: the old Czechoslovakia broke up some 15 years ago and was once a football powerhouse. Individually, they are a few notches down from where they were, but remain cohesive units with ambition and box-office talent, such as Marek Hamsik for the Slovaks and Petr Cech for the Czechs.

Hungary and Romania also bring with them a glorious past and a present that's very much in flux. Arguably the greatest team in the world in the early 1950s, Hungary return to a major tournament for the first time in 30 years. Romania's Golden Generation came and went leaving quarterfinal finishes at the 1994 World Cup and Euro 2000 behind, as well as plenty of "might-have-beens". This group lacks the talent of the past, but they were undefeated in qualifying, conceding just two goals.

And then there are the little guys like Northern Ireland: population 1.8 million, but, football-wise, less than that since they regularly lose gifted players who choose to turn out for the Republic of Ireland instead. And the really little guys, like Iceland: 332,259 souls on a rocky, volcanic outpost in the middle of the north Atlantic.

We haven't seen Northern Ireland in a major tournament in three decades and their manager, Michael O'Neill, had no big-time coaching pedigree when he took over in 2011. Yet that did not stop them from winning their qualifying group and putting together the ultimate underdog tale.

As for Iceland, it's even more extreme, in every sense of the word. Tiny as their talent pool may be, this qualification was not a fluke: They finished ahead of the Dutch and the Turks in qualifying and, two years earlier, came within 90 minutes of the World Cup. Rather, it's a testament to what planning, organization, intelligence and a total lack of fear can do.

The Euros have a history of upsets and unpredictability; think Denmark in 1992 or Greece in 2004. The uncertainty surrounding the favorites and the fact that the "middle class" is tougher and deeper than many give it credit for, may make this the most unpredictable Euros yet.

Enjoy.
 

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By Nick Ames

from espnfc.com

Taulant and Granit Xhaka: Brothers face off in Switzerland vs. Albania

LENS -- It would have taken a brave onlooker to use Basel's 2-0 win at Grasshopper on March 10, 2012, to predict the future, but the signs were there. There was a pinpoint, curling free kick into the top corner from a 20-year-old Xherdan Shaqiri, who would shortly be on his way to Bayern Munich, but rather more significant was the midfield battle between the home side's No. 13 and the visitor's No. 34.

Taulant and Granit Xhaka were brothers and best friends; they had come through the ranks at Basel together, but Taulant, 18 months older than the fast-developing Granit, was on a year's loan with the Zurich-based club. For the sons of two Kosovan-Albanian immigrants who had emigrated to Switzerland in 1989, this was, if nothing else, a nice footnote in burgeoning careers.

The footnote has now become a banner headline. On Saturday, the Xhaka brothers will face each other for the first time since that afternoon four years ago, and the context could barely be more piquant. In the red and white corner, recent £30 million Arsenal signing Granit will represent Switzerland, to whom he committed in 2011; in the red and black corner, Taulant will line up for Euro 2016 underdogs Albania, having debuted in September 2014 in time for their remarkable run to the finals.

It is a match-up without precedent in a major international tournament; Kevin-Prince Boateng and Jerome Boateng lined up on opposite sides when Ghana and Germany met at the 2014 World Cup, but they are half-brothers. The Xhakas' situation feels more immediate, more rooted in modern European history and geopolitics.

Their parents, Ragip and Elmaze, were among the thousands who arrived in Switzerland from the ethnically Albanian Kosovo while it was still a part of the former Yugoslavia, primarily due a political situation that soon veered into a bloody war. Their sons were born after they had settled in Basel. Five other members of the Swiss squad -- Shaqiri and the Watford midfielder Valon Behrami among them -- join Granit in having Albanian heritage, and, remarkably, nine of the Albanian party were born or brought up in Switzerland. To some extent, Saturday's fixture in Lens will be contested between players who had someday hoped to be working alongside each other.

Not least Granit. He openly stated his wish to play for Albania before, frustrated by the the football federation's lack of proactivity in enlisting his services, making his decision to play for Switzerland instead. Taulant was less eagerly pursued by the Swiss setup, and that left the door open for him to represent Albania, finally making his first appearance in the 1-0 win in Portugal that set the tone for an eventful and sometimes stormy Group I campaign.

"Family is the most important thing to me," Granit said in an interview three and a half years ago. "Especially my brother Taulant -- we talk about everything together."

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The brothers have always been close and grew up playing football together for Concordia Basel, where their parents sent them "to keep them off the streets" when they were aged 4 and 6, respectively. Their differing international allegiances have not separated them, either; Granit has lent visible support on social media to Albania and also to Kosovo, which has now become a member of FIFA and UEFA.

That has caused some disquiet around the Swiss setup, but for now the focus is on Stade Bollaert-Delelis. The two will be direct opponents in the engine room as Albania, who will look to stay compact and catch the Swiss on the break, hope to surprise a talented side whose pre-tournament performances -- including defeats to the Republic of Ireland, Bosnia and Belgium -- have given manager Vladimir Petkovic cause for concern.

There will be no thoughts spared about what might have been; two siblings who have forged their reputations through wholehearted, indefatigable approaches will only have victory in mind. "Immediately after the draw was made, we had a weird feeling about it, but we're much more relaxed now," Granit said earlier this week.

It is a safe bet that a few more people will paying close attention to Saturday's first 50-50 challenge between the two than any tackle they contested back in 2012.
 
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