The Green Effect in Coalition Politics

[scroobal]

Prompted by a question on what next if it comes to coalition politics. Well here is a view

The fact that the PM mentioned coalition politics in London caught many by surprise. It is the first time anyone associated with the PAP has ever raised the issue. Well what happens if a clear majority cannot be achieved by the PAP.

1. What is the certain is the largest bloc will be the PAP but not with a majority. But by then the PAP would have been be prepared and would have encouraged the formation of friendlies in opposition politics including sponsoring some.

2. These parties are likely to be driven by ideologies that are generally impractical to form and run a government but appeals to voters who are generally myopic, special interest driven or just plain skeptical of mainstream of politicians and their politics. Ralph Nader was the first incarnation to screw an elections and the most prominent are the Greens found around the world and have become coalition partners.

3. Breaksways from mainstream parties are another common phenomenon found where key identity that has social causes appeal have emerged in the UK and Australia. This is where PAP Party B comes in.

4. The aunty and uncle would vote for someone that has grassroots appeal but not formally associated with the PAP politics but are quite ok that the party forms a coalition with the PAP on the mistaken impression that their party would be able to control the PAP as part of the Govt. These minor coalition partners are typically given Ministries that are social o environmental in nature.

Personally it would take another 2 elections and by then the Lees would be out of Government and the dynamics would change.

 

[kingrant]

Personally it would take another 2 elections and by then the Lees would be out of Government and the dynamics would change.

Agreed. I think that is what would happen too - PAPpies in Opp camouflage just to wayang to make it look like the Lees are still in control while they are still around. Once they are out, real in-fighting will take place, and real splits can be a norm with essentially a nuanced govt. style.

 

[scroobal]

The next lot who will control the PAP will be those associated with the left wing of the PAP who lost control in the wake of the Barisan split. There is still a lot of angst within these families and they are politically a hardcore lot. They have nurtured their kids to take up the cudgels and One Ke Yung is the brightest of the lot. Beng Hiang at Amoy street was where the reconciliation took place in the 80s.

The children of the Pernakan faction have aspirations that are in the US. The only retentive factor is the insider advantage when you are part of the establishment and have some sort of considerable leverage when feathering your nest. In essence, the holy grail is the sovereign funds and the doors that it open. I am sure Larry Page would not have bothered if he had to deal with relatives of the Malaysian establishment.

Agreed. I think that is what would happen too - PAPpies in Opp camouflage just to wayang to make it look like the Lees are still in control while they are still around. Once they are out, real in-fighting will take place, and real splits can be a norm with essentially a nuanced govt. style.

 

[kingrant]

Would that mean the faction that may likely restore the entry rights of Tang Liang Hong, Tan Wah Piow and Francis Seow?

The next lot who will control the PAP will be those associated with the left wing of the PAP who lost control in the wake of the Barisan split.