https://tw.youcard.yahoo.com/cardstack/e81ccc40-d907-11e8-a056-d3c22cf85ef4/中日友好台灣哭哭？安倍首度訪中 交手習近平重點搶先看
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中日友好台灣哭哭？安倍首度訪中 交手習近平重點搶先看
日本首相安倍晉三25日起，前往中國進行為期3天的正式訪問，並於26日會面中國領導人習近平，中日兩國過往存在許多紛爭，外界如何解讀目前關係？安倍此行之目的又是什麼呢？
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China-Japan friendship, crying and crying in Taiwan? Abe’s first visit to China, Xi Jinping’s key to seeing first
Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe went to China for a three-day official visit on the 25th and met with Chinese leader Xi Jinping on the 26th. There have been many disputes between China and Japan in the past. How do the outside world interpret the current relationship? What is the purpose of Abe’s trip?
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For the first time in 7 years, Abe officially visited China.
For the first time, Shinzo Abe officially visited China as a Japanese leader. It is also the first time that Japan’s Prime Minister has visited China since Xi Jinping took power. The two sides have taken the 40th anniversary of the Sino-Japanese Friendship Treaty as an opportunity to regain friendship.
On the eve of the trip, Abe read the Self-Defense Forces military exercise.
However, on the eve of his visit, Abe chose to watch the Japanese Self-Defense Forces military exercise in the suburbs of Tokyo. He also emphasized the constitutional improvement of the status of the Self-Defense Force. In addition, Japan has announced that it will end its 40-year government development assistance program (ODA) for China's 3.6 trillion yen.
ODA more than 3 trillion yen 40 years of assistance will draw a period
According to Japanese media reports, as China has become the world's second largest economy, Japan has questioned whether it will continue to provide ODA assistance to China. In the future, China and Japan will establish a "development cooperation dialogue" in a new way of cooperation to support other developments. country.
Diaoyutai dispute Sino-Japanese relations freezing point
Since the Japanese government announced the nationalization of the Senkaku Islands (Diaoyutai Islands) in 2012, Sino-Japanese relations have fallen to freezing point. Although the two sides have recently tried to repair the relationship, the sovereignty disputes and historical issues have always been difficult to resolve, and they can only seek deeper cooperation from other fields.
Trade war, retreat TPP, Chuan Pucheng catalyst
Since Trump took office, the US has continuously sacrificed trade protectionism policies and waged a trade war against China. It has also withdrawn from the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPP) and left Japan alone to promote the weakening of the TPP without the United States. Trans-Pacific Partners Comprehensive Progress Agreement (CPTPP).
US factors, China-Japan new relationship needs each
Experts believe that the "American factor" is one of the keys to stimulating the relationship between China and Japan. China needs to diversify its exports. Japan also looks at China and strives to expand its export market, thus strengthening the close development of China and Japan.
One Belt One Road, CPTPP Where is the main axis of Japan?
As Japan is difficult to swim between China and the United States at the same time, Abe is bound to choose the Belt and Road, CPTPP which is the main axis. However, the outside world believes that Japan has expressed its willingness to join the Belt and Road. Abe may use this to release its participation in goodwill in exchange for China’s real returns.
Abe’s visit to China is not a major breakthrough.
However, for Abe’s current visit, scholars generally believe that the breakthrough is not big. The document signed this time should be an “economic”-based trade agreement; if Abe succeeds in inviting Xi Jinping’s visit to Japan next year, the two countries will be able to sign political documents and re-establish Positioning the relationship between the two countries.
Want to solve the East China Sea issue Abe or restart defense exchange
In addition, Sino-Japanese relations are tense due to the East China Sea issue. Abe may seek to secure a maritime search and rescue agreement between the two countries, and restart the defense exchanges since the suspension in 2012 to realize the exchange of visits between the Japanese Maritime Self-Defense Force and the Chinese Navy.
Structural contradictions are difficult to resolve, substantive relationships are still fragile
Scholars pointed out that both China and Japan are currently relying on the economy as the core of cooperation, but structural contradictions still exist. If China is subjected to excessive external pressure in the future, it may use the power of "nationalism" to dispel and raise the banner of "the enemy of the day". I am afraid that the Abe government must consider the subject.
Yahoo 奇摩新聞
追蹤
中日友好台灣哭哭？安倍首度訪中 交手習近平重點搶先看
日本首相安倍晉三25日起，前往中國進行為期3天的正式訪問，並於26日會面中國領導人習近平，中日兩國過往存在許多紛爭，外界如何解讀目前關係？安倍此行之目的又是什麼呢？
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已新增至「我的收藏」
7年來首次 安倍正式訪問中國
安倍晉三首次以日本領導人身分正式訪問中國，也是習近平掌權後第一次有日本首相訪問中國，雙方此次以《中日友好條約》40週年，作為重拾友誼的契機。
出訪前夕 安倍校閱自衛隊軍演
不過安倍選在出訪前夕，於東京近郊基地校閱日本自衛隊軍演，致詞時還強調將修憲提升自衛隊地位。此外，日本更宣布將結束40年來對中國3.6兆日圓的政府開發協助計畫（ODA）。
ODA逾3兆日圓 40年援助將畫句點
日媒報導指出，由於中國已成世界上第二經濟大國，日本國內質疑是否要繼續對中國進行ODA援助，未來中日雙方或將以新的合作方式建立「開發合作對話」，支援其他發展中國家。
釣魚台爭議 中日關係降冰點
自2012年日本政府宣布尖閣諸島（釣魚台列嶼）國有化後，中日關係降至冰點。近來雙方雖試圖修復關係，但主權爭端、歷史問題始終難解，只能從其他領域尋求深化合作的可能。
貿易戰、退TPP 川普成催化劑
川普上任以來，美方不斷祭出貿易保護主義政策，對中國大打貿易戰，早前亦退出《跨太平洋伙件關係協議》（TPP），獨留日本主導爭取推動沒有美國的TPP弱化版《跨太平洋伙伴全面進展協定》（CPTPP）。
美國因素 中日新關係各取所需
專家認為，「美國因素」是刺激中日修復關係的關鍵之一，中國需要把出口變得多元化，日本亦看凖中國，爭取擴大出口市場，因而強化中日的緊密發展。
一帶一路、CPTPP 日本的主軸在哪？
由於日本恐難同時遊走於中美之間，安倍此行勢必選擇一帶一路、CPTPP哪個才是主軸。但外界認為，日本曾表示加入一帶一路的意願，安倍可能藉此行釋出參與善意，換取中國的實質回報。
安倍訪中突破不大 多以經貿為主
然而，對於安倍此次訪中，學者普遍認為突破不大，此次簽署的文件應會是「經濟」為主的貿易協定；若明年安倍成功邀得習近平訪日，兩國才可能簽署政治文件，重新定位兩國關係。
欲解決東海問題 安倍或重啟防務交流
此外，中日關係因東海問題而緊張，安倍可能尋求爭取兩國簽定海上搜救協定，及重啟自2012年暫停至今的防務交流，實現日本海上自衛隊與中國海軍的艦艇互訪。
結構性矛盾難解 實質關係仍脆弱
學者指出，中日雙方目前多以經濟為合作核心，但結構性的矛盾依然存在，未來中國若承受過大外部壓力，內部可能借用「民族主義」力量紓解、揮起「仇日」大旗，恐是安倍政府必須考量的課題。
Yahoo News
track
China-Japan friendship, crying and crying in Taiwan? Abe’s first visit to China, Xi Jinping’s key to seeing first
Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe went to China for a three-day official visit on the 25th and met with Chinese leader Xi Jinping on the 26th. There have been many disputes between China and Japan in the past. How do the outside world interpret the current relationship? What is the purpose of Abe’s trip?
6
Added to My Favorites
For the first time in 7 years, Abe officially visited China.
For the first time, Shinzo Abe officially visited China as a Japanese leader. It is also the first time that Japan’s Prime Minister has visited China since Xi Jinping took power. The two sides have taken the 40th anniversary of the Sino-Japanese Friendship Treaty as an opportunity to regain friendship.
On the eve of the trip, Abe read the Self-Defense Forces military exercise.
However, on the eve of his visit, Abe chose to watch the Japanese Self-Defense Forces military exercise in the suburbs of Tokyo. He also emphasized the constitutional improvement of the status of the Self-Defense Force. In addition, Japan has announced that it will end its 40-year government development assistance program (ODA) for China's 3.6 trillion yen.
ODA more than 3 trillion yen 40 years of assistance will draw a period
According to Japanese media reports, as China has become the world's second largest economy, Japan has questioned whether it will continue to provide ODA assistance to China. In the future, China and Japan will establish a "development cooperation dialogue" in a new way of cooperation to support other developments. country.
Diaoyutai dispute Sino-Japanese relations freezing point
Since the Japanese government announced the nationalization of the Senkaku Islands (Diaoyutai Islands) in 2012, Sino-Japanese relations have fallen to freezing point. Although the two sides have recently tried to repair the relationship, the sovereignty disputes and historical issues have always been difficult to resolve, and they can only seek deeper cooperation from other fields.
Trade war, retreat TPP, Chuan Pucheng catalyst
Since Trump took office, the US has continuously sacrificed trade protectionism policies and waged a trade war against China. It has also withdrawn from the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPP) and left Japan alone to promote the weakening of the TPP without the United States. Trans-Pacific Partners Comprehensive Progress Agreement (CPTPP).
US factors, China-Japan new relationship needs each
Experts believe that the "American factor" is one of the keys to stimulating the relationship between China and Japan. China needs to diversify its exports. Japan also looks at China and strives to expand its export market, thus strengthening the close development of China and Japan.
One Belt One Road, CPTPP Where is the main axis of Japan?
As Japan is difficult to swim between China and the United States at the same time, Abe is bound to choose the Belt and Road, CPTPP which is the main axis. However, the outside world believes that Japan has expressed its willingness to join the Belt and Road. Abe may use this to release its participation in goodwill in exchange for China’s real returns.
Abe’s visit to China is not a major breakthrough.
However, for Abe’s current visit, scholars generally believe that the breakthrough is not big. The document signed this time should be an “economic”-based trade agreement; if Abe succeeds in inviting Xi Jinping’s visit to Japan next year, the two countries will be able to sign political documents and re-establish Positioning the relationship between the two countries.
Want to solve the East China Sea issue Abe or restart defense exchange
In addition, Sino-Japanese relations are tense due to the East China Sea issue. Abe may seek to secure a maritime search and rescue agreement between the two countries, and restart the defense exchanges since the suspension in 2012 to realize the exchange of visits between the Japanese Maritime Self-Defense Force and the Chinese Navy.
Structural contradictions are difficult to resolve, substantive relationships are still fragile
Scholars pointed out that both China and Japan are currently relying on the economy as the core of cooperation, but structural contradictions still exist. If China is subjected to excessive external pressure in the future, it may use the power of "nationalism" to dispel and raise the banner of "the enemy of the day". I am afraid that the Abe government must consider the subject.
