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Same sentiment. I expect a swing of 10%-15% from previous BB election result. This will bring PAP's margin to 55-58% only. Punggol's by-election is only a 10% swing down from 55%+. LLL had so much visibility and it was as though she campaigned twice as long as KPK whom nobody knew.
The vote is to be won on the ground and not rallies at all. If you can improve your rallies to cater to the heartlanders, you can score more brownie points but unfortunately I still do not see them - still the english educated mentality type of talk.
MIW makes a very very bad tactical error. They announced David Ong's resignation too early and delayed the BB's election date far too long.
This gives so much time to SDP to campaign which started immediately after David Ong announced his resignation. Go shake hands and hug babies - the more you are seen and likeable, the more people are inclined to give you a chance.
Bringing your family to campaign with you, CSJ, is probably the best tactic you have especially to answer for your character issue. It is a vote winner and helps tremendously when you see you are a responsible parent with great children. Secondly, the rebuilding of SDP's brand in line with electorate's perception is gathering momentum and the liberals in the party are not in the front sight. Gone are the liberals' pet issues that matter little to the heartlanders.
It is all about cost of living and getting a government to be more responsive - and as long as you are prepared to go the extra mile of sacrifice for the rakyat, you have a very strong chance.
CSJ, you should have been in parliament long ago if not for your past naivete. Now it is a different strategy and I think you have a chance to achieve your dreams one day, perhaps not in BB this time round. You can be sure if you stand for BB next time, your margins will go up. It is the same story like Chiam See Tong, Low Thia Kiang - they won in heartlands and just stay in that area and keep getting your visibility exposed to all and eventually, there will be enough to give you a chance. The heartlanders are dying for a chance to give someone such an opportunity.
Good succinct points. Agree with you on all except the last one. It is going to be very close fight. But I tip Chee to win because he can do a better job as the MP for BB. The reasons for him being able to do a better job are one, he is committed to doing it full time and two, he is the better representative in Parliament to speak up for the woes of the residents and singaporeans as well. That differentiates him from Murali who if elected as MP for BB will be more or less the same as the rest of the current 81 PAP MPs in Parliament.
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