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最后通牒!叙12万大军进入一级战备:要求美军即刻无条件撤离

2018-09-30 21:27 叙利亚 /化学武器 /美军

据俄罗斯卫星社9月30日最新消息:在俄土两国针对伊德利卜局势的新协议中明确规定,将在伊德利卜省外围设置15-20公里的非军事区,反对派武装必须上缴全部武器装备,而极端组织则必须撤离,否则,叙利亚政府军十多支精锐部队约12万人,在期限到达后,将在非军事区内展开围剿活动。此举得到了土耳其、俄罗斯、伊朗,甚至是美国方面的肯定以及支持,而目前,由于非军事区内已经有部分极端组织武装明确表示不会撤离,因此叙利亚政府军已经调整为一级战备状态,在伊德利卜外围防止极端组织发动偷袭以及逃窜。

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另一方面,在9月29日的第73届联合国大会一般性辩论会中,由于叙利亚局势异常复杂,叙利亚外交部部长的发言格外引人关注。叙利亚外交部部长穆阿利姆表示:让很多国家(以色列、美国等)感到失望的是,在叙利亚内战持续7年后的今天,叙利亚局势已经变得十分稳定以及安全了,并且,叙利亚国内的反恐战斗即将结束。叙利亚政府已经为难民返回叙利亚做好了一切准备,保护民众以及打击恐怖分子是叙利亚应有的合法权力。

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与此同时,叙利亚外长穆阿利姆还表示:叙利亚政府军在战争中从来都没有使用过化学武器,而西方国家则多次以所谓的化武袭击,频频干预以及想要再次干预叙利亚局势,这严重侵犯了叙利亚主权,严重阻碍了叙利亚政府的和平进程。

此外,由于驻叙美军最近调整了战略计划,将会以防止伊斯兰国极端组织死灰复燃、以及帮助培训叙利亚民兵为由,无期限延长驻军时间,为此,叙利亚外交部在联合国大会上做出明确反对以及发出最后撤军通牒。

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据新华社9月30日最新消息:叙利亚外长穆阿利姆表示,叙利亚境内任何没有经过叙政府批准的外国军事力量都是非法的,不仅仅侵害了叙利亚主权,对于《联合国宪章》而言更是一种践踏行为,公然破坏了叙利亚的安全以及和平。现如今,叙利亚方面要求美军、法军以及土耳其军方必须无条件撤离叙利亚,如果外军拒绝撤离,那么叙利亚方面将会采取必要的措施。

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个人分析认为:在伊德利卜尚未收复之际,也就是反对派武装尚未彻底消灭之际,叙利亚方面要求外军撤离叙利亚的要求,基本上是不可能实现的,且土耳其方面还占据了伊德利卜北部的阿夫林以及东北部的曼比季地区(美土共占),在俄罗斯方面的协助下,才使得伊德利卜局势暂时安稳下来,避免武装分子再次制造化武袭击事件,从而防止美军再次空袭叙利亚。且美国以及以色列方面强烈要求伊朗武装力量率先撤离,但是伊朗却是叙利亚政府应邀而来的。

因此,伊德利卜控制权问题(反对派武装一息尚存),叙利亚境内的伊朗武装力量去留问题(美军将其视为主动撤离叙利亚的挡箭牌),以及美军在叙利亚东部巨额利益的问题,是叙利亚政府想要让美军主动撤离的三座大山,如果美军一旦撤离,那么法国以及土耳其方面自然就好说。返回搜狐,查看更多

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The last night! The 120,000-strong army entered the first-level war preparations: demanded that the US military immediately and unconditionally evacuate
2018-09-30 21:27
Syria
/
Chemical weapon
/
US Army

According to the latest news from the Russian satellite agency on September 30th: in the new agreement between Russia and Turkey on the situation in Idlib, it is clearly stipulated that 15-20 km of demilitarized zone will be set up outside the province of Idlib. All weapons and equipment must be turned over, and the extremist organizations must be evacuated. Otherwise, the Syrian government forces will have about 120,000 elite troops. After the deadline, they will carry out encirclement activities in the demilitarized zone. The move has been affirmed and supported by Turkey, Russia, Iran, and even the United States. At present, due to the fact that some extremist groups in the demilitarized zone have clearly stated that they will not withdraw, the Syrian government forces have been adjusted to a level of readiness. In the periphery of Idlib, prevent extremist organizations from launching sneak attacks and fleeing.

On the other hand, in the general debate of the 73rd session of the UN General Assembly on September 29, the Syrian Foreign Minister’s speech was particularly interesting because of the extremely complicated situation in Syria. Syrian Foreign Minister Mualim said: What disappoints many countries (Israel, the United States, etc.) is that today, seven years after the Syrian civil war, the situation in Syria has become very stable and safe, and anti-terrorism in Syria The battle is coming to an end. The Syrian government has made all preparations for the return of refugees to Syria. Protecting the people and fighting terrorists are Syria’s legitimate rights.

At the same time, Syrian Foreign Minister Mualim also said: The Syrian government forces have never used chemical weapons in the war, while the Western countries have repeatedly attacked the so-called chemical weapons, frequently intervened and want to intervene in the situation in Syria again. Serious violations of Syria’s sovereignty have seriously hampered the peace process of the Syrian government.

In addition, due to the recent adjustment of the strategic plan by the US military in Syria, the Syrian Ministry of Foreign Affairs will make a clear opposition to the United Nations General Assembly on the grounds of preventing the resurgence of extremist organizations in the Islamic State and helping to train the Syrian militia. And issued the final withdrawal of the wanted.

According to Xinhua News Agency’s latest news on September 30: Syrian Foreign Minister Mualim said that any foreign military force in Syria that has not been approved by the Syrian government is illegal, not only infringing on Syria’s sovereignty, but also on the UN Charter. A trampling act has blatantly undermined Syria’s security and peace. Nowadays, the Syrian side demands that the US military, the French army and the Turkish military must withdraw from Syria unconditionally. If the foreign troops refuse to withdraw, the Syrian side will take the necessary measures.

According to personal analysis, on the occasion that Idlib has not yet recovered, that is, when the opposition armed forces have not been completely eliminated, the Syrian request for the withdrawal of foreign troops from Syria is basically impossible, and the Turkish side still occupies Iraq. Aflin in the north of Delib and the Manbiji area in the northeast (a total of the United States and Turkey), with the assistance of Russia, temporarily stabilized the situation in Idlib and prevented the militants from re-creating the chemical attack. In order to prevent the US military from attacking Syria again. The United States and Israel strongly demanded that the Iranian armed forces take the lead in evacuation, but Iran was invited by the Syrian government.

Therefore, the issue of Idlib’s control (the opposition’s armed forces are still alive), the Iranian armed forces in Syria to stay in the country (the US military regards it as a shield for the initiative to withdraw from Syria), and the issue of the US military’s huge interests in eastern Syria is Syria. If the government wants to let the US military take the initiative to evacuate the three mountains, if the US military withdraws, then France and Turkey will naturally say it. Go back to Sohu and see more
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俄8架重型军机抵叙,以色列扬言将其全部摧毁,一场决战在所难免

2018-09-30 11:26 叙利亚 /导弹 /军机

据侦察卫星照片显示,在叙利亚的拉塔基亚省赫梅米姆空军基地,出现了至少7架俄空天军的伊尔-76运输机,同时,据俄媒消息,一架安-124重型运输机在27日抵达赫梅米姆基地,结合之前俄对S-300防空导弹系统部署的计划,这8架重型运输机所运送的货品,极有可能是先前俄向叙利亚承诺将在近期交付的S-300防空导弹系统。

俄此举可谓“说到做到”,很够义气,除此之外,据当地媒体报道,一满载俄制军火的“斯巴达”III滚装船,本周从俄罗斯的新罗西斯克市出发,穿过博斯普鲁斯海峡,预计将抵达叙利亚塔尔图斯港,这艘货船内,可能装有2个营的“铠甲”S1防空导弹。

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这几批防空导弹的到来,给叙利亚军队提供了极大的助力,可以很好的增强叙军队防空能力,有效吓阻以军的空袭,对以军空袭的拦截率也能有所上升,如需覆盖叙利亚全境,叙利亚需要部署7个营的S-300导弹,但据俄军事专家分析,俄可能会在叙部署3到5个营的S-300导弹,因为这样就足够覆盖叙大部分要点热点地区,更多的导弹属于浪费。

结合上俄已经计划在叙利亚部署的大量电子战设备,“硬刀子”和“软刀子”一起下手,俄叙联军头顶的防空大伞将彻底成为铁板一块。

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之前多次对空袭一事态度强硬的以色列,仗着有地中海和波斯湾四周的美军舰机撑腰,在S-300抵达叙利亚后,态度依然继续强硬,但态度强硬归强硬,杵在叙利亚各军事基地周围的S-300导弹和电子战系统是以军再进行空袭时不得不考虑的事。

如内陆进攻路线被s-300封锁,以色列确实可以像上次诱杀伊尔-20军机一样从地中海向叙境内发起攻击,但俄已经表示,俄电子战系统将会“封锁叙利亚海岸数百公里的范围”,这条路也行不通,按照以色列之前“不允许叙利亚拥有先进武器”,“会将叙利亚先进武器摧毁”的狠话,以色列能采取的手段,只能是先“点杀”掉S-300防空导弹。

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但这样必然会导致冲突升级,俄本对以色列空袭叙境内伊朗军事目标睁一只眼闭一只眼,但如以动手对俄目标开始打击,俄必定对以做出报复行为,甚至会演变成一次中东地区的“黑天鹅事件”,将事态发展到无可挽回的地步。

而且,近期,俄也突然“变卦”,称俄土两国在伊德利卜省划定的非军事区仅是“临时的”,充分证明俄已有充足的动武打算,一场大战在所难免,只是时候未到。

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Russia’s eight heavy military aircraft arrived, and Israel threatened to destroy it all. A decisive battle is inevitable.
2018-09-30 11:26
Syria
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missile
/
Military aircraft

According to photos of reconnaissance satellites, at least seven Russian-Avionics Il-76 transport aircraft appeared at the Hemetim Air Base in Latakia, Syria. At the same time, according to Russian media, an An-124 heavy The transport aircraft arrived at the Hemeimim base on the 27th, combined with the previous Russian plan for the deployment of the S-300 air defense missile system. The goods transported by the eight heavy transport aircraft are most likely the ones that Russia and Syria promised to deliver in the near future. -300 air defense missile system.

The Russian move can be described as "speaking to do it", which is very loyal. In addition, according to local media reports, a "Spartan" III ro-ro ship full of Russian-made arms, this week from Russia's Novorossiysk The city departs through the Bosphorus and is expected to arrive in the port of Tartus, Syria. This cargo ship may be equipped with two battalion "Arms" S1 anti-aircraft missiles.

The arrival of these batches of anti-aircraft missiles has greatly assisted the Syrian army. It can greatly enhance the anti-aircraft capabilities of the Syrian army and effectively deter the air strikes of the Israeli army. The interception rate of the Israeli air strikes can also increase. It needs to cover the entire territory of Syria. Syria needs to deploy seven battalions of S-300 missiles. However, according to Russian military experts, Russia may deploy three to five battalions of S-300 missiles in Syria, because this is enough to cover most of Syria. In hot spots, more missiles are wasteful.

Combined with the large number of electronic warfare equipment that Russia has planned to deploy in Syria, the "hard knife" and the "soft knife" will start together, and the anti-aircraft umbrella on the top of the Russian-Syrian coalition will become a piece of iron.

Israel, which had been tough on air strikes many times, supported the US military aircraft around the Mediterranean Sea and the Persian Gulf. After the S-300 arrived in Syria, its attitude remained strong, but its attitude was tough and tough. The surrounding S-300 missiles and electronic warfare system have to be considered when the army conducts air strikes.

If the inland offensive route is blocked by the s-300, Israel can indeed launch an attack from the Mediterranean to the Syrian territory like the last time to lure the Il-20 military aircraft, but Russia has said that the Russian electronic warfare system will "block the Syrian coast for hundreds of kilometers. The scope of this road will not work. According to the slogan that Israel "does not allow Syria to possess advanced weapons" and "destroy Syrian advanced weapons", the means Israel can take can only be "killed" first. S-300 anti-aircraft missile.

However, this will inevitably lead to an escalation of the conflict. Russia has closed its eyes on the Iranian military targets in Israel’s airstrikes. However, if it starts to crack down on the Russian target, Russia must make revenge against it and even evolve into A "black swan incident" in the Middle East has turned the situation to an irreparable level.

Moreover, in the near future, Russia has suddenly “changed”, saying that the demilitarized zone delineated by Russia and Turkey in Idlib province is only “temporary”, which fully proves that Russia has sufficient plans to use force and that a war is in place. Inevitably, it’s just that time has not arrived.

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