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R0 of covid19 and lockdown

LaoTze

Alfrescian
Loyal
A central concept to understand in epidemiology is the basic reproduction number (R0), which is the number of people that are expected to be infected by an individual case, in a population that is susceptible to infection.

This means that if a virus has an R0 of 2, for example, an individual case is expected to infect 2 other people, who are expected to infect a further 2 people each, and so on. In general, a virus with a larger R0 spreads more rapidly in a population. As a consequence, the R0 determines whether a pathogen will remain endemic in a population (if it is >1) or die out (if it is <1). During early stages of the pandemic in Wuhan in January, research from different labs estimated an R0 of 2.54 on average (with a 95% confidence interval between 2.17-2.91).

Crucially, the R0 is not an inherent or fixed property of a pathogen: the expected number of people who will be infected by a case depends on the behaviour of individuals in a population and their environmental context, such as the length of time that cases are infectious, the number of susceptible people they are in contact with, and their general infectiousness.


An analogy will be with atomic bomb.
Each U235 when it breaks on being hit by a neutron about will give 2 neutrons. Which then each neutron will go hit another U235, and on and on.
If few U235 together, then we have a fizzle. Where the reaction dies out.

But if you bring together 2 lumps of U235, you do not get bigger lump of U235.
You get a fucking big explosion as neutrons will have lots of U235 to play about and fuck about with.

So in skool where Stinkapore, holder of GOLD standard allow to continue on, you get lots of kids in a class.
Temperature check is fucking wayang wayang as explained in
https://www.sammyboy.com/threads/90-has-no-symptoms-at-check-point.282083/#post-3073631

So a kid comes in with covid19. That then will spread to all other kids. And to the entire skool of other kids and teachers and jagas and ah sohs cleaning ladies
And they bring that back home to parents and grand parents and other kids and people in that block and neighbourhood
Feeding the virus covid19

Allowing R0 to be even more than 2.54
Like the 2 lumps of U235 being brought together.

And same same for people going to work and dozens and hundreds of them or thousands of them.
Not just in the same office.
But in the building that contained the office.

Which is why we see in many countries doing lockdowns.
because they want to starve covid19

But not in Stinkapore.
And maggots maggotess in white want to have elections here.
To bring even more people together
With their brown nosers and PA serfs gathering to meet and meet to discuss how to put up banners to welcome maggots maggotess


Chinese opera GIFs - Get the best GIF on GIPHY

BUT a silver lining



LET THEM GATHER
MORE KENNA WUHANDED THE MORE LIKELY THAT GET BACK TO MAGGOTS MAGGOTESS IN WHITE AND THEIR ENTIRE FAMILIES
AND THEIR KANGAROOS AND PAPER GENERALS AND CRONIES AND BROWN NOSERS
ALL HUM KAR CHAN

MAGGOTS MAGGOTESS AND THEIR CRONIES AND PAPER GENERALS AND SONS AND DAUGHTERS WILL ALSO DIE
MAY THEY ALL DIE BEFORE US , OR WITH US
AND STINKAPORE WILL BECOME SINGAPORE ONCE AGAIN


SPREAD WIDELY
UNTIL IT GET TO THE MAIDS AND SONS AND DAUGHTERS AND STAFF OF MAGGOTS MAGGOTESS IN WHITE
UNTIL ALL THOSE OLD MAGGOTS MAGGOTESS KENA WUHANDED
AND TOGETHER WITH YOUNG MAGGOTS MAGGOTESS AND ALL IN THE FUCKING PA AND KANGAROOS AND POODLES
WUHAN WILL DELIVER US ALL FROM THE FUCKING MAGGOTS MAGGOTESS IN WHITE FINALLY
MAGGOTS MAGGOTESS KANGAROOS CANNOT FIX WUHAN THE WAY THEY CAN FIX ELECTED PRESIDENT AND OTHER SHIT THINGS THAT THEY CAN FIX
WUHAN WILL FIX THEM INSTEAD





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Laughing Emoji GIFs - Find & Share on GIPHY







1583903024800.png






Forward this on your WhatsApp and make this go viral.
Get this onto the handphones of all in Singapore

VOTE OUT ALL THE MAGGOTS AND MAGGOTESS IN WHITE AND TURN STINKAPORE BACK INTO SINGAPORE
OR OUR KIDS END UP BECOMING SECURITY GUARDS TO BE KICKED IN FACE BY CECAs OR PANDA FOOD DELIVERIES OR PICKING UP CARDBOARDS OR SELLING TISSUE PAPER IN HAWKER CENTERS

And why Stinkapore got the GOLD Standard for wuhan control?
 

knowwhatyouwantinlife

Alfrescian
Loyal
Assume r 0 is 3 to 4 (cos most nuclei families have 2 parents and 2 child) and assume all modes of transmission...heck why are we even talking about this when the crisis will be over soon in end may
 

nayr69sg

Super Moderator
Staff member
SuperMod
Singapore NCID damn tok gong! They will detect and isolate any covid19 case before you finish reading my post.
 

LaoTze

Alfrescian
Loyal
Singapore NCID damn tok gong! They will detect and isolate any covid19 case before you finish reading my post.


The same same NCID that Mas Selamat escaped from by climbing out of toilet?


HEY ITY990


MAGGOTS MAGGOTESS KANGAROOS CANNOT FIX WUHAN THE WAY THEY CAN FIX ELECTED PRESIDENT AND OTHER SHIT THINGS THAT THEY CAN FIX
WUHAN WILL FIX THEM INSTEAD





Emoji Laugh GIF - Emoji Laugh Laughing - Discover & Share GIFs





Laughing Emoji GIFs - Find & Share on GIPHY





1583903024800.png



Forward this on your WhatsApp and make this go viral.
Get this onto the handphones of all in Singapore

VOTE OUT ALL THE MAGGOTS AND MAGGOTESS IN WHITE AND TURN STINKAPORE BACK INTO SINGAPORE
OR OUR KIDS END UP BECOMING SECURITY GUARDS TO BE KICKED IN FACE BY CECAs OR PANDA FOOD DELIVERIES OR PICKING UP CARDBOARDS OR SELLING TISSUE PAPER IN HAWKER CENTERS

And why Stinkapore got the GOLD Standard for wuhan control?
 

nayr69sg

Super Moderator
Staff member
SuperMod
The same same NCID that Mas Selamat escaped from by climbing out of toilet?


HEY ITY990


MAGGOTS MAGGOTESS KANGAROOS CANNOT FIX WUHAN THE WAY THEY CAN FIX ELECTED PRESIDENT AND OTHER SHIT THINGS THAT THEY CAN FIX
WUHAN WILL FIX THEM INSTEAD





Emoji Laugh GIF - Emoji Laugh Laughing - Discover & Share GIFs





Laughing Emoji GIFs - Find & Share on GIPHY





1583903024800.png



Forward this on your WhatsApp and make this go viral.
Get this onto the handphones of all in Singapore

VOTE OUT ALL THE MAGGOTS AND MAGGOTESS IN WHITE AND TURN STINKAPORE BACK INTO SINGAPORE
OR OUR KIDS END UP BECOMING SECURITY GUARDS TO BE KICKED IN FACE BY CECAs OR PANDA FOOD DELIVERIES OR PICKING UP CARDBOARDS OR SELLING TISSUE PAPER IN HAWKER CENTERS

And why Stinkapore got the GOLD Standard for wuhan control?
NCID stands for National Centre for Infectious Disease
 

LaoTze

Alfrescian
Loyal
NCID stands for National Centre for Infectious Disease


YOU DONT GET IT?
POODLES AND KANGAROOS ARE ALL PRIMARY BROWN NOSERS OF MAGGOTS MAGGOTESS IN WHITE.
SAME SAME FOR ANY ORGANISATION OR BODY SET UP BY MAGGOTS MAGGOTESS

SEE THE FUCKING WAY THEY GO TAKING TEMPERATURE.
TEMPERATURE ALL TAKEN AT SAFRA BIG BIG MAKAN WITH PA . . . OOPS 2 MUZIK TEACHERS!
1585057403800.png




THEY ALL WILL PERFORM THE SAME FUCKING WAY.

JUST FUCKING WAYANG WAYANG



Chinese opera GIFs - Get the best GIF on GIPHY




AND BRIBE TO GET GOLD STANDARD


HEY ITY990




MAGGOTS MAGGOTESS KANGAROOS CANNOT FIX WUHAN THE WAY THEY CAN FIX ELECTED PRESIDENT AND OTHER SHIT THINGS THAT THEY CAN FIX
WUHAN WILL FIX THEM INSTEAD





Emoji Laugh GIF - Emoji Laugh Laughing - Discover & Share GIFs





Laughing Emoji GIFs - Find & Share on GIPHY




1583903024800.png






Forward this on your WhatsApp and make this go viral.
Get this onto the handphones of all in Singapore

VOTE OUT ALL THE MAGGOTS AND MAGGOTESS IN WHITE AND TURN STINKAPORE BACK INTO SINGAPORE
OR OUR KIDS END UP BECOMING SECURITY GUARDS TO BE KICKED IN FACE BY CECAs OR PANDA FOOD DELIVERIES OR PICKING UP CARDBOARDS OR SELLING TISSUE PAPER IN HAWKER CENTERS

And why Stinkapore got the GOLD Standard for wuhan control?
 
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