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Serious Prof Dennis Etler: Why is the West attacking China?

eatshitndie

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
LOL. Continue burying your head in the sand, dreaming of American invincibility and ultra-secret earthshaking technologies...

Denial always heralds decline.
how is the imc able to supply munitions to both ukraine and israel continuously after so long still defies your silliness. and you forgot the imc is not limited to those 2 supply lines. there’s jp, tw, new nato cuntries sweden and finland, poland, and now a sea client failippines asking for the latest. very soon failippines will inherit older usn ships slated for retirement and the scrap heap. those “old” ships are not that old having served for 36.9 years.
 

superpower

Alfrescian
Loyal
how is the imc able to supply munitions to both ukraine and israel continuously after so long still defies your silliness. and you forgot the imc is not limited to those 2 supply lines. there’s jp, tw, new nato cuntries sweden and finland, poland, and now a sea client failippines asking for the latest. very soon failippines will inherit older usn ships slated for retirement and the scrap heap. those “old” ships are not that old having served for 36.9 years.
Oops... touched a raw nerve didn't I... don't get your knickers in a twist...lol

Talking about brains... Scroobal was right - you were never the sharpest tool in the shed... your simplistic, knee-jerk, recycled responses making repeated references to your infallible MIC - which is actually destroying the wealth of America by the day - are beginning to sound like a broken record...

Continue to stick your head in... And keep parroting away. Or just stick to the fluff threads where you're never out of your depth. LOL
 

eatshitndie

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
Oops... touched a raw nerve didn't I... don't get your knickers in a twist...lol

Talking about brains... Scroobal was right - you were never the sharpest tool in the shed... your simplistic, knee-jerk, recycled responses making repeated references to your infallible MIC - which is actually destroying the wealth of America by the day - are beginning to sound like a broken record...

Continue to stick your head in... And keep parroting away. Or just stick to the fluff threads where you're never out of your depth. LOL
another stupid scroobal clone. all your knickers in a twist and not the sharpest tool in the shed phrases click like the bozo you are. all this time i know you’re a paid ccp stooge. never an asset for the sg establishment but a stupid ccp spy. hello george yeo.
 

LordElrond

Alfrescian (InfP)
Generous Asset
Oops... touched a raw nerve didn't I... don't get your knickers in a twist...lol

Talking about brains... Scroobal was right - you were never the sharpest tool in the shed... your simplistic, knee-jerk, recycled responses making repeated references to your infallible MIC - which is actually destroying the wealth of America by the day - are beginning to sound like a broken record...

Continue to stick your head in... And keep parroting away. Or just stick to the fluff threads where you're never out of your depth. LOL
Jealousy my friend, jealousy. It is also hard to swallow for someone who went chasing American dream just to realise it is a poor choice.
 

syed putra

Alfrescian
Loyal
1. In WW2 America was in the ascendant. Now it's in a (relative) decline.
2. It is a poker game... I don't think the US has the royal flush, being knee-deep in debt ($42 trillion) but it's still certainly the most powerful military around and still has the knowhow and resources to ramp up their readiness. Xi's cards aren't great by a long shot... but I don't he's falling for the bait... yet. He may be a better poker player than you think.
US decline as industrial power is result of its capitalist nature. Even its oil and gas industries prefer to use china built pipes rather than more expensive US built ones.
Their warships will use japanese shipyards for maintenance as its local shipyards continue to shrink in capability.
Their latest frigates will be built in Italy.
 

eatshitndie

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
ccp’s pride and propaganda about the future and ascendance of tiongcock.
1719793631599.jpeg

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1719793681342.jpeg

1719793728384.jpeg
 

superpower

Alfrescian
Loyal
Jealousy my friend, jealousy. It is also hard to swallow for someone who went chasing American dream just to realise it is a poor choice.
You put your finger on it, bro. Our forum airhead from Bedok was chasing the American dream but his mediocrity let him down. Sadly he's now turned into a deluded old man spending all his time at the keyboard defending his beloved (crumbling) empire against an imaginary foe in the form of the CCP and China. Leave him be.
 

Hypocrite-The

Alfrescian
Loyal
ask any failippino a few years ago about tiongcock they would be 50-50 but if you ask now 100% are angry with tiongcock and the ccp. why ccp must stir shit in burma, then with vietnam, now with failippines when their hands are full with tw?
Funny no one talks about the chicons invasion of Hongkie land, and invasion of Tibet... and chicons land invasion of the Spratlys and Senkaku Islands....
 

Hypocrite-The

Alfrescian
Loyal
hitler made the same mistake as napoleon. had the european continent firmly secured and got carried away to conquer russia. both napoleon and hitler should wait out a few more years with more men and might to unite europe to knock out russia. instead they couldn’t wait and rushed in with over confidence. unker sam was more than relieved to make use of russia (soviet in ww2) to be meat grinder in eastern front. western front became much easier.
Actually I disagree about Hitler attacking the USSR. If Hitler played his cards right...the USSR would have won operation Barbarossa if Hitler allowed his generals to run the invasion instead of interfering here and there.(For example delaying the invasion of Moscow).and the krauts should never have declared war on Yankeeland after pear harbour as the nips saboed the krauts.

And if Hitler did not invade the USSR..the USSR would have invaded the krauts the next year
 

eatshitndie

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
Actually I disagree about Hitler attacking the USSR. If Hitler played his cards right...the USSR would have won operation Barbarossa if Hitler allowed his generals to run the invasion instead of interfering here and there.(For example delaying the invasion of Moscow).and the krauts should never have declared war on Yankeeland after pear harbour as the nips saboed the krauts.

And if Hitler did not invade the USSR..the USSR would have invaded the krauts the next year
the germans with total consolidation of europe would be more than a match for soviet russia. vast improvements in tank, armor, and jet aircraft would have turned the tide against the soviets plus the addition of more men and arms from eastern europe and scandinavia into the nazi army. soviets without help from america could not handle nazi europe alone.
 

Hypocrite-The

Alfrescian
Loyal
the germans with total consolidation of europe would be more than a match for soviet russia. vast improvements in tank, armor, and jet aircraft would have turned the tide against the soviets plus the addition of more men and arms from eastern europe and scandinavia into the nazi army. soviets without help from america could not handle nazi europe alone.
Another reason was the krauts treated the eastern Europeans badly and the Nordic states too. If they treated those conquered ppl better the man power added would be huge but Hitler abused them..hence they all joined the soviets...it was sad that the krauts were actually treated as liberators....
 

eatshitndie

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
Another reason was the krauts treated the eastern Europeans badly and the Nordic states too. If they treated those conquered ppl better the man power added would be huge but Hitler abused them..hence they all joined the soviets...it was sad that the krauts were actually treated as liberators....
they tekan the norwegians because norwegians sided with allies and resisted nazi occupation early in the war. however, there was an ss division that was majority nordic including norwegians, swedes, finnish. nordics were considered the superior race by the nazis. as for eastern axis forces, hungarians were considered better than the romanians.
 

Hypocrite-The

Alfrescian
Loyal
they tekan the norwegians because norwegians sided with allies and resisted nazi occupation early in the war. however, there was an ss division that was majority nordic including norwegians, swedes, finnish. nordics were considered the superior race by the nazis. as for eastern axis forces, hungarians were considered better than the romanians.
And as a result the krauts lost the war
 

superpower

Alfrescian
Loyal
The US is prepared to sacrifice and destroy Taiwan for its own ends.


https://www.taipeitimes.com/News/taiwan/archives/2024/06/12/2003819233

Wed, Jun 12, 2024​

  • US plans ‘Hellscape’ strategy to defend Taiwan​

    • By Jonathan Chin / Staff writer, with CNA
    The US plans to deploy thousands of drones in the Taiwan Strait in an operation called “Hellscape” to ensure that any attempt by China to invade Taiwan does not succeed, US Indo-Pacific Commander Admiral Samuel Paparo told the Washington Post.
    In an article published on Monday, columnist Josh Rogin quoted Paparo as saying from the sidelines of the recent Shangri-La Dialogue defense forum in Singapore that the “Hellscape” strategy would involve deploying thousands of uncrewed submarines, surface vessels and aerial vehicles around Taiwan to buy the nation, Washington and its partners time to assemble a response.
    The plan was devised to deter Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平), who is likely hoping to mount an overwhelming attack with little warning to avoid a protracted war of attrition similar to Russian President Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine, the column quoted Paparo as saying.
 

LordElrond

Alfrescian (InfP)
Generous Asset
The US is prepared to sacrifice and destroy Taiwan for its own ends.


https://www.taipeitimes.com/News/taiwan/archives/2024/06/12/2003819233

Wed, Jun 12, 2024​

  • US plans ‘Hellscape’ strategy to defend Taiwan​

    • By Jonathan Chin / Staff writer, with CNA
    The US plans to deploy thousands of drones in the Taiwan Strait in an operation called “Hellscape” to ensure that any attempt by China to invade Taiwan does not succeed, US Indo-Pacific Commander Admiral Samuel Paparo told the Washington Post.
    In an article published on Monday, columnist Josh Rogin quoted Paparo as saying from the sidelines of the recent Shangri-La Dialogue defense forum in Singapore that the “Hellscape” strategy would involve deploying thousands of uncrewed submarines, surface vessels and aerial vehicles around Taiwan to buy the nation, Washington and its partners time to assemble a response.
    The plan was devised to deter Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平), who is likely hoping to mount an overwhelming attack with little warning to avoid a protracted war of attrition similar to Russian President Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine, the column quoted Paparo as saying.
Taiwan will cede to China without a single bullet being fired. US has a better chance stirring shit in Marcosland... perhaps even invade the country.
 

superpower

Alfrescian
Loyal
A cogent, well-argued piece. American cock-sucking wankers like @eatshitndie and @laksaboy will say that Kanthan is a CCP spy, so he must be lying. Well, shoot the message, not the messenger.


How the American Century Will End
Nothing lasts forever. The pillars of American Empire are crumbling in real time.
SL KANTHAN

JUL 4

(Originally published on Sputnik)


“You are a convicted felon.”

“You are a criminal. You can be a convicted felon as soon as you get out of office.”

“You are a loser. You had sex with a porn star when your wife was pregnant.”

No, these are not lines from a sleazy reality show, but from the US Presidential debate a couple of days ago. The so-called leader of the free world, 81-year-old Biden, often mumbled incoherently and looked like a dementia patient who should be hospitalized. However, it’s not just about Biden or Trump, the American Empire itself is geriatric and near its end. To objective geopolitical analysts, the decline and decay of the USA has been apparent for a while, but the implosion will rapidly accelerate and become undeniable this decade. How will the end of the empire unfold? Let’s discuss.

In 1980, nobody in the USSR would have predicted the fall of their system. The only difference between the Soviet Union and the USA is that the latter will not dismantle itself peacefully. The extraordinary combination of hubris and greed among the oligarchs running America will be a formidable hurdle to any peaceful negotiation of a new security architecture. More importantly, the entrenched racism and imperialism in the psyche of the Anglo-American establishment will intensely resist accepting Asia as the new center of global power. (The epicenter of prosperity and influence could be Eurasia, if Europe manages to free itself from American domination).

Americans are terrible with history, so they think they are unique and that the American Century will last forever. But all empires rise and fall. More illuminating is the fact that all empires follow quite identical paths of growth, decay and death. One can read about the Egyptian, Roman, Greek, Chinese, Indian, Spanish, Dutch, Portuguese, French, German and the British empires, and find stunning similarities.

In the early stages, there is peace and prosperity driven by productivity and innovation. Having just come out of relative poverty, people work hard and save money.
Then, the society gets complacent and the political system slowly devolves into a kleptocracy. The empire resorts to debt and wars of plunder to compensate for the decline in the standard of living.

In the final stage, there is a breakdown of morality and purpose that unite the nation. The rulers encourage degeneracy and hedonism to distract the masses. Debt explodes, productivity and competitive advantage plummet, inequality becomes striking, patriotism loses its appeal, and civil war looms on the horizon. At this point, disciplined and determined rivals emerge to challenge and eventually defeat the empire.

Anyone analyzing the US empire can see what stage they are at right now.

The Pillars of American Empire

The American Empire is – and soon to be “was” – the largest and the most powerful in human history. With 800 military bases and “lily pads” in 140 countries, the American Empire has achieved what no other empire could in world’s history.

However, what really underpins the US empire is not the military, but the King Dollar. Created in 1944 at the Bretton Woods conference, the dollar almost died in 1971 when the US defaulted on its obligations and went off the gold standard. Amazingly, the dollar was rescued with the ingenious Petrodollar deal struck with Saudi Arabia. Now, the US dollar is the de facto currency for pricing all the commodities in the world; and this demand turns the dollar into the primary currency for global trade and foreign exchange reserves for all nations.

Thus, the US dollar has two main advantages: (1) It retains its strength despite the US’ enormous trade deficit and fiscal deficits (2) It can be used to impose sanctions and punish nations, which disobey America.

The strong dollar helps attract the best minds from all the world, a crucial factor in maintaining America’s leadership in science and technology. Innovation, of course, is a key pillar of any empire.

There is also a synergistic relationship between the dollar and US military. The hegemony of the dollar enables spending $1 trillion a year on the military as well as trillions more on perpetual wars, which are not only welfare programs for the military contractors, but also act as a warning for the vassals and potential rivals. “Do not disobey the American Empire, or else.”

While money and the military are indispensable, soft power is more crucial in a world of 8 billion people, who have easy access to diverse and abundant information. Democracy is a dangerous word for an empire, which must thus ensure that people (voters) are thoroughly propagandized to support the empire. This is why the US media and social media dominate the information superhighway all over the world.

However, after years of neglect and hubris, the US has entered late-stage imperialism, and every one of the pillars discussed above are crumbling at the same time.

US Military No Longer a Superpower

“We like war, because we are good at it. We are good at it because we get a lot of practice. We are not good at anything else anymore,” said George Carlin, the brilliant American comedian.

However, the US is losing its edge in wars as well. The only countries that the US can defeat are those who are relatively much weaker – like Iraq (that was significantly weakened after a decade of crippling sanctions), Libya, Afghanistan etc. The US helping Israel wage a genocidal war on defenseless Gaza is the most recent example.
However, look how the US is losing the proxy war against Russia in Ukraine. The annual military budget of the US and NATO countries combined is staggering $1.6 trillion. That is 25 times larger than that of the Russian military budget. Yet, after more than two years of conflict, Russia stays undefeated, while cocaine-snorting comedian Zelensky is warning that Ukraine has lost too many men and does not have much time left. More importantly, Russia is able to manufacture more ammunition than the deindustrialized US and Europe combined!

In the Middle East, the US tried to create a “coalition of the willing” to defeat the Houthis in Yemen, one of the poorest countries in the world. First, almost no European country joined the so-called Operation Prosperity Guardian. Second, the ragtag Yemeni resistance group has not only withstood American bombing but is shooting down American drones and is even launching anti-ship ballistic missiles against US aircraft carriers.

As for the famed American military contractors, they cannot produce missiles, fighter jets and aircraft carriers without Chinese products and components – including rare earth elements, which are indispensable to practically every high-tech weapon. As the CEO of Raytheon confessed, his company depends on thousands of Chinese suppliers.

China now has the world’s largest navy in the world. And its shipbuilding capability is a whopping 250 times larger than America’s. When it comes to drone technology, China is so much more advanced than the US that the Ukrainian army has rejected American drones for Chinese DJI drones.

More consequential is the fact that China and Russia have hypersonic missiles, which the US has not figured out yet. Combine the hypersonic missiles with 1000 nuclear warheads that China will have by 2030, and once can safely bet that there will not be a US-China hot war.

In summary, the American Empire has lost its military advantage. The Ukraine proxy war might very well be America’s last war. Once Russia wins decisively, no Asian country will join the US in a war against China. Pax Americana will be officially dead in the near future.

US Dollar Faces Death by Thousand Cuts

As for the mighty US dollar, it is facing attacks from all directions. Everyone is trying to decouple from the “terrorist dollar” – as the Indian billionaire Uday Kotak called it. The dedollarization effort has accelerated all over the world since the imposition of draconian sanctions on Russia and theft of hundreds of billions of dollars of Russian FOREX two years ago. The China-Russia bilateral trade is now conducted 90% with local currencies – ruble and yuan.

Overall, more than 50% of all cross-border transactions in China are now occurring in Chinese RMB – and that number was virtually 0% in 2010.

The biggest shock to the petrodollar will come from petroyuan – i.e., when Saudi Arabia and other OPEC members start selling oil and gas for Chinese yuan. The shock waves from this cannot be overstated. Soon, all countries will embrace the option of pricing and selling commodities – everything from copper and gold to wheat and coffee – in Chinese yuan. The obvious corollary is that countries will reduce their holdings of the dollar and replace it with yuan.

De-dollarization is not just for America’s geopolitical rivals. For example, India and ASEAN countries have also embarked on this transformational journey. Not to mention BRICS+ which is working on its own alternative financial system to circumvent the dollar, Euro and the SWIFT exchange.

Dedollarization is the ultimate democratization of global finance.

Effects of Dedollarization


Just like in the stock market or any economic activity, people follow the trend and the jump on the bandwagon. This will be the case with dumping the dollar as well. And the repercussions of dedollarization will be seismic.

First, the demand for US dollars and US debt will drop sharply. The immediate effect of that will be higher yields for US treasury bonds, which will decimate the bond market in the short term and, permanently, translate to higher interest rates throughout the US economy – including higher credit card and mortgage rates.

Higher mortgage rates will have a very detrimental effect on the real estate sector. Consider that the total worth of U.S. homes is $47 trillion. If the mortgage rates reach 15% -- double the rate today -- the impact on the residential and commercial will be catastrophic. People today forget that, in 1981, the average mortgage rate in the US was 18%.

Interest rates affect the prices of everything. Thus, the cost of living will go through the roof as well.

Households and corporations, who have loaded up on debt during the years of low interest rates, will face monumental financial problems in the era of higher interest rates.

Also, the US government’s debt payments will be enormous, forcing significant cuts to spending. In 2024, the interest on the US federal government’s debt payments will be just over $1 trillion. What if that payment doubles? Will Congress cut spendings on sensitive items such as Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid or US military bases abroad? Will the politicians dare to raise taxes and risk a revolt by the voters?

People who think that the US can print its way out of its problems are delusional. That works to some extent only as long as the dollar enjoys its “exorbitant privilege.” When that exclusive status starts disappearing, the US will be forced to swallow austerity, the dreaded word in economics.

US politicians will also be forced to slash foreign aid, the result of which will be diminished diplomatic power for the American Empire. Let’s not forget that many countries vote alongside the US at the UN only because of monetary incentives. When the money dries up, so does friendship in geopolitics. At some point, Europe will also free itself from the US grip, reform or expel NATO, normalize relations with Russia, and develop a win-win cooperation with China.

The US will also find it harder to attract bright immigrants into academia and the corporate world. American universities will be slashing scholarships, while research institutions in China, Russia, Hong Kong, Singapore etc. become the hub for the smartest minds. Another option for China is also to establish centers of excellence in friendly European nations. So, for example, Serbia and Hungary can open up Chinese universities to bring in the world’s best scientists.

There will also be a reverse brain drain to India. The most successful Indian software engineers and business leaders in the US will be making a beeline for India, creating a renaissance in the software industry. Soon, there will be Indian software companies competing globally with the likes of Oracle and Google.

The chain reaction will be unstoppable – just like how the US became the mecca of innovation after WW2, after centuries of dominance by Europe. Already, China is #1 in the world in patents and top-quality scientific papers; and is the undisputed leader in numerous technologies such as 5G, electric vehicles, batteries, solar panels, nuclear power, and many categories of AI. While the US has some advantage in a handful of fields like semiconductors, China will catch up and surpass the US in the next few years.

And when the US economy weakens, China will propel way ahead. The combination of research, practical ideas, and manufacturing will give China the advantage that the US briefly enjoyed in the 1950s and 1960s. However, unlike America, China will not outsource their production or embrace financial capitalism that destroyed the US economy.

A weak dollar will also reduce the ability of US corporations – especially financial giants like BlackRock – to acquire corporations around the world. In fact, the reverse will happen – i.e., foreign corporations will buy up shares in former US giants. And the fallout will be significant.

For example, imagine Asian countries becoming large shareholders in the parent companies of Facebook, Google, Wall Street Journal, CNN etc. And Asian companies will become major advertisers in Western media as well. Result? The Western media coverage would change dramatically. Suddenly, US media will be forced to be objective and introduce entirely different narratives. Perhaps, history books and Wikipedia will be rewritten in many ways.

Finally, one of the most dangerous aspects of losing the hegemonic power will be the potential revenge from all the countries that the US has oppressed or destroyed over the decades – from Latin America to the Middle East and Asia. What if powerful countries of the future – Russia, Iran and China – want to impose crippling sanctions on the US? Maybe Russia will tell other countries to stop buying America oil and gas; and China can impose sanctions on iPhones and Tesla because of concerns about spying!

Conclusion

“Americans are the living refutation of the Cartesian axiom, "I think, therefore I am.” Americans do not think, yet they are” – Italian philosopher, Julius Evola.
When the American Empire starts to implode, the reaction of ordinary Americans will be quite violent, since nobody is prepared for the future. Having constantly been told that America is the greatest country, the masses are completely unaware of the economic and geopolitical tsunamis that are on the way. There will be chaos, crime and possibly even a civil war, as Americans look for a scapegoat to explain the downfall of the Empire.

As for others, get ready for an Asian Century. If Europe were smart, we will see a more prosperous Eurasian Century.
--- S.L. Kanthan

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©️ 2024 S.L. Kanthan
Whitefield, Bangalore, Karnataka 560066
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