Predict GE 2025 results - vote your choice on the likely outcome

[sbfuncle]

New candidate lah...not LMW:

LMW should be back to West Coast GRC (now merge to become West Coast–Jurong West GRC).


" Progress Singapore Party (PSP) will contest Kebun Baru, Marymount and Pioneer Single Member Constituencies (SMCs). PSP chief Leong Mun Wai said Dr Ang Yong Guan who previously ran in Marymount SMC will not be contesting this time, and the party is still deciding on its slate of candidates"

I saw some clips of Bg gan welcuming LMW to fight in Mary mount.
KNN means chicken out now.

 

[sbfuncle]

https://www.theonlinecitizen.com/20...c-team-lee-hong-chuang-from-hougang-included/

Morale of the story.
Continue to suck pap cock and never give up. Your loyalty will be rewarded.
After decades of pushing him to death, finally he is leesurected.

 

[Hightech88]

https://www.theonlinecitizen.com/20...c-team-lee-hong-chuang-from-hougang-included/

Morale of the story.
Continue to suck pap cock and never give up. Your loyalty will be rewarded.
After decades of pushing him to death, finally he is leesurected.

Or else will need to find the secret code to break PAP's super majority in parliament.

 

[jurongkechil]

Can bet money?

 

[sbfuncle]

Or else will need to find the secret code to break PAP's super majority in parliament.

I will need a long long time to break a secret code.
It took me more than 10 years to break the sg pool one.
If I start to yan kiew on this, maybe after the next 3 erection, then the code can be ready. By then maybe I up lorry liao.

 

[NanoSpeed]

I will need a long long time to break a secret code.
It took me more than 10 years to break the sg pool one.
If I start to yan kiew on this, maybe after the next 3 erection, then the code can be ready. By then maybe I up lorry liao.

Then Oppositions who become the new Government will build a temple for you, maybe @ Jurong East.

 

[sbfuncle]

Then Oppositions who become the new Government will build a temple for you, maybe @ Jurong East.

Will my monument be pui by the crazy woman in jurong East?

 

[NanoSpeed]

Will my monument be pui by the crazy woman in jurong East?

You always tolong people win football bets, nobody will dare to pui you.

You become Singapore's version of HK's Wong Tai Sin.

 

[bigozt]

Very hard to beat GRC law of averages. No change

 

[zhihau]

Shall sinkies want to have more CECA Indians come here or stay united to get rid of them to protect our rice bowls?

The rise of PRC & India is inevitable, BRICS is there for good reasons.

 

[Hightech88]

I think they should be able to take back their deposit but that's about all, LOL.

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/singapore/ge2025-singapore-peoples-party-spp-manifesto-5074416

GE2025: Singapore People’s Party unveils manifesto calling for minimum wage, CECA review and reducing NS​

Singapore People's Party secretary general Steve Chia speaks to the media to launch SPP's manifesto, next to Toa Payoh Lorong 8 Market and Hawker Centre on Apr 19, 2025. (Photo: CNA/Wallace Woon)

SINGAPORE: The Singapore People's Party (SPP) unveiled its 16-page manifesto on Saturday (Apr 19), calling for a minimum wage policy and to lower the eligibility age for singles who can buy public housing to 30, among other reforms.

Launching the manifesto with the slogan "It Is Time", party secretary-general Steve Chia said: "We believe it's really time to take charge of a lot of the policies and proposals that SPP is going to propose, and hope to propose, if we are elected in this election."

During the event, SPP also revealed five potential candidates for Potong Pasir SMC and the four-member Bishan-Toa Payoh GRC, but did not confirm who will contest in which area.

They are: Mr Chia, party chairman Melvyn Chiu, operations executive Muhammad Norhakim, as well as Mr Williamson Lee and Mr Lim Rui Xian, who are both self-employed.

The party fought for the same two constituencies during the 2020 General Election.

This will be Mr Chia’s sixth time standing in a General Election. He was a Non-Constituency Member of Parliament from 2001 to 2006 – landing the seat after he contested Chua Chu Kang SMC under the Singapore Democratic Alliance’s banner.

Mr Lim, 37, previously volunteered with the National Solidarity Party (NSP) since 2015, and became an SPP member in March this year.

The self-employed owner of a cleaning company was recently spotted wearing NSP colours on a walkabout with The Coalition in Tampines in mid-March.

When asked about why Mr Lim moved from NSP to join SPP, Mr Chiu said: “We are in a coalition. The objective of The Coalition is so that we can have a better permutation of candidates to serve the different constituencies.”

Formed in 2023, The Coalition brought together NSP, SPP, Red Dot United (RDU) and the Singapore United Party, with the aim of fostering greater opposition unity and minimising electoral clashes.

RDU pulled out of The Coalition earlier this month, citing concerns about NSP’s intention to pursue a three-corner fight in Sembawang GRC with the Singapore Democratic Party.

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When asked about why he decided to join SPP, Mr Lim said the party does not "just oppose for the sake of opposing... They have a good structure for about how to improve the policy in Singapore."

Singapore People's Party's (SPP) potential candidates (from left) Melvyn Chiu, Lim Rui Xian, Muhammad Norhakim and Steve Chia interact with diners at the Toa Payoh Lorong 8 Market & Hawker Centre on Apr 19, 2025. (Photo: CNA/Wallace Woon)…see more

Mr Norhakim, 31, and Mr Lee, 46, also spoke in turn to introduce some of the party’s proposed policies. This will be Mr Norhakim’s first election.

After speaking to journalists, they interacted with and gave out hard copies of their manifesto to residents at Lorong 8 Toa Payoh Market and Hawker Centre.

The document features 40 policy proposals across nine themes to address “today’s evolving challenges”.

Among the recommendations are a review of the Comprehensive Economic Cooperation Agreement (CECA) between India and Singapore, reducing National Service to 18 months and phasing out ethnic quotas in public housing estates.

SPP also asked the government to amend the Constitution to allow the proportional representation of smaller opposition parties in parliament.

Here’s a look at SPP’s key proposals in its manifesto for the upcoming election:

COST OF LIVING​

Under the manifesto’s first theme of economic stability and fairness, the party noted that Singaporeans face rising costs of living with stagnant wages.

The party suggested that any increases in the Goods and Services Tax be frozen until Singapore’s cumulative budget deficit exceeds 3 per cent of government revenue for three consecutive years.

It called on the government to raise income tax on the top 2 per cent of earners and reintroduce estate duty for ultra-high-net-worth individuals “to fund equitable relief”. SPP also proposed tax reliefs and more vouchers for lower-income groups.

The party proposed a living wage policy to ensure that low-income workers and families can “meet basic needs”. It also recommended setting a minimum wage “to ensure dignity of living”.

JOBS​

For employment and job security, the opposition party called for the Tripartite Alliance for Fair and Progressive Employment Practices guidelines to be codified into law, mandating fair hiring and retrenchment benefits.

In its manifesto, the SPP asked the government to reassess the CECA agreement with India “to address labour inflow concerns”, and gradually reduce Special or Employment Pass quotas and dependency ratios in automatable sectors.

The party proposed enforcing higher local hiring quotas with a raised local qualifying salary, offering tax breaks to businesses prioritising Singaporean professionals, managers, executives and technicians.

The government should also abolish the statutory retirement age of 63 and offer tax incentives for companies hiring seniors aged past 70 who choose to keep working, the party said in its manifesto.

HOUSING AND GOVERNANCE​

SPP’s manifesto also covered a slew of housing policies in different areas.

The party wants the government to lower the minimum age for singles to apply for Build-to-Order or resale Housing and Development Board (HDB) flats to 30 years old.

The manifesto also put forward a suggestion for a five-year pilot to relax ethnic quotas in HDB estates to aid “minority flat owners in selling at fair market value”.

Parents with two or more children should get additional grants to help them upgrade to a larger flat, and those with three or more children should be allowed to purchase a private property without Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duty, the manifesto read.

On governance, SPP proposed implementing a freedom of information act, easing defamation laws and implementing a yearly 2 per cent reduction in every ministry’s budget “to cut unnecessary spending”.

Election years and dates should be fixed for a level playing field, and the Electoral Boundaries Review Committee should be removed from the Prime Minister’s Office to “establish an independent commission for free and fair elections”, the party said.

The manifesto also made recommendations in areas of education, healthcare and public transport, including reducing class sizes in school, expanding mental health resources, increasing travel subsidies for low income families and seniors, as well as lowering the voting age to 18.

 

[Hightech88]

It's time for Nostalgia...LOL

 

[birdie69]

The rise of PRC & India is inevitable, BRICS is there for good reasons.

Sindiapore was rejected to be a member of BRICS!

 

[zhihau]

Sindiapore was rejected to be a member of BRICS!

Chindiapore aka Sinkiestan was rejected after we lined up alongside those opposing the Russo-Ukraine war.

 

[Hightech88]

Grok AI's stunning analysis of possible scenarios for upcoming GE 2025 based on real-time data, news and ground sentiment.
Looks like PAP this time really hong kanz already:
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The Singapore General Election (GE) 2025, scheduled for May 3, 2025, marks Prime Minister Lawrence Wong’s first electoral test as PAP leader. With 97 seats across 18 Group Representation Constituencies (GRCs) and 15 Single Member Constituencies (SMCs), the election is shaping up to be fiercely contested, driven by boundary changes, opposition momentum, and voter sentiment on issues like cost of living and political pluralism. Below is a deep analysis of potential outcomes for the opposition—primarily the Workers’ Party (WP) and Progress Singapore Party (PSP)—focusing on GRC and SMC wins, PAP voteshare scenarios, and implications for PM Wong’s leadership.

Context and Key Factors​

The PAP has historically dominated, but its voteshare dropped to 61.24% in GE2020, with WP capturing Aljunied GRC, Sengkang GRC, and Hougang SMC [Web ID: 7]. Boundary changes for GE2025, including the creation of new GRCs like Punggol and Pasir Ris–Changi, and the reorganization of Jurong GRC into Jurong East–Bukit Batok and West Coast–Jurong West GRCs, have set the stage for intense battles [Web ID: 0]. Analysts note that East Coast GRC, with its educated middle-class voters, and Punggol GRC, with younger demographics, could be competitive [Web ID: 0]. Multi-cornered fights in up to 15 constituencies, including Tampines GRC and Jalan Kayu SMC, may split opposition votes, potentially favoring PAP [Web ID: 10].

Voter concerns include global uncertainty, cost of living, and a desire for more opposition voices, as PM Wong acknowledged [Web ID: 15]. The opposition, particularly WP and PSP, has been active—WP focusing on eastern regions like Tampines, and PSP targeting West Coast–Jurong West GRC despite redrawn boundaries [Web ID: 6] [Web ID: 10]. However, opposition coordination issues, such as Red Dot United’s (RDU) withdrawal from a coalition over multi-cornered fights, could weaken their challenge [Web ID: 9].

Scenario 1: Moderate Opposition Gains (PAP Voteshare: 58–60%)​

Likely Outcome: WP retains Aljunied GRC, Sengkang GRC, and Hougang SMC, and wins East Coast GRC, totaling three GRCs and one SMC (14 seats). PSP fails to win West Coast–Jurong West GRC, where it narrowly lost in 2020 (51.68% to PAP), due to boundary changes and multi-cornered fights [Web ID: 6]. No other SMCs flip, as smaller parties like SDP and RDU struggle against PAP incumbents in areas like Bukit Panjang and Jalan Kayu [Web ID: 0].

Analysis: East Coast GRC, which PAP won by a slim 53.39% in 2020, is vulnerable due to the inclusion of Joo Chiat, a former WP stronghold [Web ID: 4] [Web ID: 17]. WP’s consistent groundwork in the east, including Tampines, gives it an edge, but a four-way fight in Tampines GRC could split votes, favoring PAP [Web ID: 10]. PSP’s focus on West Coast–Jurong West is ambitious, but losing Telok Blangah to Tanjong Pagar GRC weakens its base [Web ID: 6]. A PAP voteshare of 58–60% reflects voter frustration with cost of living, but not enough to trigger major losses. PM Wong is unlikely to resign at this level, as it aligns with his expectation of not exceeding 65% [Web ID: 21].

Scenario 2: Strong Opposition Surge (PAP Voteshare: 55–57%)​

Likely Outcome: WP secures Aljunied, Sengkang, East Coast, and Punggol GRCs (four GRCs, 19 seats), plus Hougang SMC (total: 20 seats). PSP wins West Coast–Jurong West GRC (five seats), leveraging Tan Cheng Bock’s appeal despite boundary changes [Web ID: 6]. An SMC like Marymount flips to PSP, given its 44.96% showing in 2020 [Web ID: 7]. Total opposition seats: 26.

Analysis: Punggol GRC’s younger voters, as noted by analysts, may swing toward WP’s focus on diversity and checks on power [Web ID: 0]. PSP could capitalize on West Coast–Jurong West if multi-cornered fights are avoided, though its reduced candidate slate (potentially halving from 24 to 12 seats contested) limits broader gains [Web ID: 14]. A 55–57% voteshare for PAP signals a significant shift, losing four GRCs and a quarter of the Cabinet, as Wong warned [Web ID: 13]. This could pressure Wong’s leadership, but resignation is unlikely unless internal party dynamics shift, as the PAP still holds a majority.

Scenario 3: Opposition Breakthrough (PAP Voteshare: 52–54%)​

Likely Outcome: WP wins Aljunied, Sengkang, East Coast, Punggol, and Marine Parade–Braddell Heights GRCs (five GRCs, 24 seats), plus Hougang and Potong Pasir SMCs (total: 26 seats). PSP takes West Coast–Jurong West and Chua Chu Kang GRCs (nine seats), plus Marymount and Kebun Baru SMCs (total: 11 seats). Total opposition seats: 37.

Analysis: Marine Parade–Braddell Heights, with absorbed areas like Potong Pasir, could swing to WP if voters prioritize political pluralism [Web ID: 0]. PSP’s gains in Chua Chu Kang GRC are plausible if it fields a strong team, building on its 2020 performance [Web ID: 6]. A 52–54% voteshare for PAP is a historic low, reflecting deep discontent over economic issues and global uncertainty [Web ID: 15]. Losing five GRCs and multiple SMCs would severely weaken the PAP’s mandate, potentially prompting calls for Wong’s resignation, especially if the opposition nears 40 seats, threatening PAP’s supermajority.

PM Wong’s Resignation Threshold​

Wong has acknowledged that a voteshare below 65% is expected due to demands for diversity [Web ID: 21]. However, a drop below 55%, as in Scenario 3, with significant seat losses (e.g., 37 to opposition), could signal a crisis of confidence in his leadership. Historically, PAP leaders have not resigned over voteshare drops alone—Lee Hsien Loong stayed on after 61.24% in 2020 [Web ID: 7]. But losing a quarter of the Cabinet and facing internal party pressure, as Wong cautioned, might push him to step down, especially if the opposition forms a credible coalition threat [Web ID: 5] [Web ID: 13].

Conclusion
The opposition, led by WP and PSP, is poised to make gains, with WP likely to win 3–5 GRCs and 1–2 SMCs, and PSP potentially securing 1–2 GRCs and 1–2 SMCs in the best scenarios. PAP’s voteshare could range from 52–60%, with a drop below 55% risking Wong’s position. Economic concerns and boundary changes will be pivotal, but multi-cornered fights may temper opposition gains. The election will test Wong’s leadership and Singapore’s appetite for political change.
----------------------------

 

[Hightech88]

Updated based on real-time data on 22/4/2025 by Grok AI to include SDP chances.

Context and Opposition Landscape *​

GE 2025, scheduled for May 3, 2025, is shaping up to be highly contested, with 97 parliamentary seats across 14 GRCs and 15 SMCs, including new constituencies like Jalan Kayu SMC and Sembawang West SMC [Web ID: 0] [Web ID: 4]. The opposition has gained momentum since GE 2020, where PAP’s voteshare dropped to 61.24%, and WP secured 10 seats (Aljunied GRC, Sengkang GRC, and Hougang SMC) [Web ID: 9]. WP has introduced 14 new candidates, including high-caliber individuals like a senior counsel and a former diplomat, signaling a stronger slate [Web ID: 9] [Web ID: 12]. SDP is focusing on Sembawang GRC, Marsiling-Yew Tee GRC, Bukit Panjang SMC, and Sembawang West SMC, with Chee Soon Juan contesting the latter [Web ID: 18] [Web ID: 20]. PSP’s presence is less pronounced in the provided data, but they contested closely in West Coast GRC in 2020 (48.31%) and may target similar marginal seats.

PAP Voteshare Scenarios and Opposition Wins

Scenario 1: PAP Voteshare at 60–62% (Slight Decline, Baseline Scenario)

• Overall Outcome: A modest decline from GE 2020’s 61.24% reflects continued public desire for diversity but trust in PAP’s governance under PM Lawrence Wong. WP is likely to retain Aljunied GRC (50.5% in 2020) and Sengkang GRC (52.1%), and hold Hougang SMC (61.2%) [Web ID: 9]. Their stronger slate could see them win East Coast GRC, a close fight in 2020 (53.4% for PAP) [Web ID: 19], giving WP 3 GRCs and 1 SMC (16 seats total).
• SDP in Bukit Panjang and Sembawang West SMCs: SDP’s Paul Tambyah, who secured 46.27% in Bukit Panjang SMC in 2020, may capitalize on voter fatigue with PAP’s Liang Eng Hwa, potentially winning with a 2–3% swing (48–49% for PAP) [Web ID: 20]. In Sembawang West SMC, Chee Soon Juan faces PAP’s Poh Li San in a straight fight after NSP’s withdrawal [Web ID: 0] [Web ID: 13]. However, Chee’s historical struggles (e.g., 38.8% in Holland-Bukit Timah GRC in 2020) suggest a PAP win at 55–57%, though a strong campaign could narrow this to 52–53%.
• PSP Prospects: PSP might secure West Coast GRC if PAP’s voteshare dips below 52%, building on their 2020 performance, but this is less certain without recent data on their slate.
• Total Opposition Wins: WP: 3 GRCs, 1 SMC (16 seats); SDP: 1 SMC (Bukit Panjang); PSP: possibly 1 GRC (5 seats). Opposition total: 22–27 seats, leaving PAP with 70–75 seats.

Scenario 2: PAP Voteshare at 55–58% (Moderate Decline, Opposition Surge)

• Overall Outcome: A 3–6% drop from 2020 indicates growing dissatisfaction, possibly due to economic concerns or PAP’s perceived disconnect, as hinted by Red Dot United’s focus on jobs and wages [Web ID: 10]. WP could win 4 GRCs—retaining Aljunied and Sengkang, and capturing East Coast and potentially Nee Soon GRC (PAP won 61.9% in 2020) [Web ID: 10]. WP might also take Marine Parade GRC, a PAP stronghold, if voter sentiment shifts significantly. This gives WP 4 GRCs and Hougang SMC (21 seats).
• SDP in Bukit Panjang and Sembawang West SMCs: Bukit Panjang SMC is likely an SDP win with PAP at 45–47%. In Sembawang West SMC, Chee could edge out Poh Li San with a 50–51% vote, leveraging “opposition unity” after NSP’s withdrawal [Web ID: 0]. SDP might also challenge in Sembawang GRC, though a three-cornered fight with NSP and PAP reduces their chances [Web ID: 13].
• PSP Prospects: PSP could secure West Coast GRC and possibly another marginal GRC like Tanjong Pagar (PAP 63.1% in 2020) [Web ID: 23], totaling 2 GRCs (10 seats).
• Total Opposition Wins: WP: 4 GRCs, 1 SMC (21 seats); SDP: 2 SMCs (2 seats); PSP: 2 GRCs (10 seats). Opposition total: 33 seats, leaving PAP with 64 seats—a significant loss but still a majority.

Scenario 3: PAP Voteshare at 50–53% (Severe Decline, Critical Scenario)

• Overall Outcome: A 8–11% drop signals a major crisis for PAP, possibly due to economic downturns or governance failures. WP could win 5 GRCs—Aljunied, Sengkang, East Coast, Nee Soon, and Marine Parade—and retain Hougang SMC, totaling 26 seats. They might also take additional SMCs like Yio Chu Kang, where People’s Alliance for Reform is contesting [Web ID: 23].
• SDP in Bukit Panjang and Sembawang West SMCs: SDP secures both SMCs easily—Bukit Panjang at 53–55% for Tambyah, and Sembawang West at 52–54% for Chee. SDP might also win Marsiling-Yew Tee GRC, where PM Wong leads the PAP slate, a symbolic blow [Web ID: 20].
• PSP Prospects: PSP could win 3 GRCs—West Coast, Tanjong Pagar, and Jurong GRC (PAP 60% in 2020), totaling 15 seats.
• Total Opposition Wins: WP: 5 GRCs, 2 SMCs (28 seats); SDP: 1 GRC, 2 SMCs (7 seats); PSP: 3 GRCs (15 seats). Opposition total: 50 seats, leaving PAP with 47 seats, losing its majority—a historic upset.

PM Lawrence Wong’s Resignation Threshold

Lawrence Wong’s statement that PAP is unlikely to exceed 65% voteshare reflects an acceptance of growing opposition support [Web ID: 16]. However, a severe drop below 55%—particularly in Scenario 3 (50–53%)—would likely pressure him to resign. Losing a majority (47 seats) would be unprecedented, signaling a loss of mandate. Even in Scenario 2 (55–58%), losing key GRCs like Marsiling-Yew Tee (his own constituency) could lead to internal PAP calls for leadership change, though Wong might survive if PAP retains a strong majority (64 seats). Historically, PAP leaders like Goh Chok Tong stepped down after voteshare dips (e.g., 61% in 1991), suggesting 55% as a critical threshold for Wong’s tenure.

Conclusion

In GE 2025, the opposition could win 22–50 seats, depending on PAP’s voteshare:

• 60–62%: WP: 3 GRCs, 1 SMC; SDP: 1 SMC; PSP: 1 GRC (22–27 seats).
• 55–58%: WP: 4 GRCs, 1 SMC; SDP: 2 SMCs; PSP: 2 GRCs (33 seats).
• 50–53%: WP: 5 GRCs, 2 SMCs; SDP: 1 GRC, 2 SMCs; PSP: 3 GRCs (50 seats).

Bukit Panjang SMC is SDP’s to win in Scenarios 2 and 3, while Sembawang West SMC remains a tougher battle, likely staying with PAP unless voteshare drops below 53%. A PAP voteshare below 55% could force Wong’s resignation, especially if PAP loses its majority or key GRCs. The opposition’s success hinges on voter desire for diversity, as Wong predicted, and their ability to capitalize on PAP’s vulnerabilities.

--------------------

* Source: Based on real-time data as of 22/4/2025 by Grok AI

 

[zhihau]

I do believe that the only wildcards in this GE are the Gen Zs. Capture them and you can stand good chance of winning.

The pro-PAP stands at a minimum of 35% (inclusive of the new citizens), pro-opposition stands at around 35% +/-. For regular voters like you and I, we have made up their minds on our votes and we are unlikely to change our voting patterns.

 

[sbfuncle]

Seriously there are few oppies party I never even heard of..
They are there to disturb and spoil the process only.
Hor gao Gan lor

 

[Hightech88]

Hope she gets into parliament, she can speak mandarin damn well with a great unpretentious sincere personality unlike the ranjiao PAP new candidates...:

 

[Hightech88]