Most countries seem to be close to peak so it should be back to normal soon.

[Leongsam]

Regardless of the scope or nature of the measures that are being taken to tackle Covid-19 none of them seem to have made much difference because countries that are carrying on with life in a normal manner are showing similar trends as those that have tried to implement draconian measures.

You can check out the various countries at https://www.covidtracker.com/

Choose the log scale because it best shows what stage the country is at in the infection cycle.

Singapore actually isn't doing that well because it prolonged the spread by introducing aggressive tracing and quarantine measures early in the cycle. Had the virus just been allowed to spread the peak would have arrived a lot earlier.

 

[nayr69sg]

Regardless of the scope or nature of the measures that are being taken to tackle Covid-19 none of them seem to have made much difference because countries that are carrying on with life in a normal manner are showing similar trends as those that have tried to implement draconian measures.

You can check out the various countries at https://www.covidtracker.com/

Choose the log scale because it best shows what stage the country is at in the infection cycle.

Singapore actually isn't doing that well because it prolonged the spread by introducing aggressive tracing and quarantine measures early in the cycle. Had the virus just been allowed to spread the peak would have arrived a lot earlier.

That is true.

If the majority of the world is done with infections cos all their populations have been exposed but Singapore is not then there will be travel advisories against Singapore.

 

[KuanTi01]

Kudos for optimism in such bleak times where almost everybody behaves like its doomsday. People hoarding toilet rolls and tissues really makes me sick!

 

[Leongsam]

That is true.

If the majority of the world is done with infections cos all their populations have been exposed but Singapore is not then there will be travel advisories against Singapore.

There was an article in one of the sinkie media outlets where the contact tracing process was described but I can't find it anymore and I can't remember which website it was from.

In the article the authorities stated that they tested as many contacts as the could and the results of the percentage positive was close to that magical 1% that I've been using over the last week.

My estimate is that there are at least 100,000 possibly a lot more that have been infected. The antibody test, if it is accurate, will be an eye opener.

 

[Leongsam]

Kudos for optimism in such bleak times where almost everybody behaves like its doomsday. People hoarding toilet rolls and tissues really makes me sick!

To be honest I'm trying to be neither optimistic nor pessimistic.

With my background both at work and at tertiary level I have found that in order to arrive at the correct conclusion one has to ignore the noise, the opinions and the proclamations and just concentrate solely on how the data is obtained and what the data is telling you after taking into consideration where the figures came from and how they were derived.

 

[nayr69sg]

To be honest I'm trying to be neither optimistic nor pessimistic.

With my background both at work and at tertiary level I have found that in order to arrive at the correct conclusion one has to ignore the noise, the opinions and the proclamations and just concentrate solely on how the data is obtained and what the data is telling you after taking into consideration where the figures came from and how they were derived.

Your line of work probably doesn't involve people much then.

 

[Leongsam]

Your line of work probably doesn't involve people much then.

Not when gathering data and formulating solutions.

However it involved people a lot when I had to present the information to a large room full of people in order to defend a technical decision that I had just made which involved writing off $50,000 worth of inventory.

I have to admit that there were times when the decision involved 90% data and 10% gut feel but a call would still have to be made. In these instances I'd have to use statistics to project the stark consequences of ignoring an issue the cause of which had not been 100% proven.

 

[KuanTi01]

To be honest I'm trying to be neither optimistic nor pessimistic.

With my background both at work and at tertiary level I have found that in order to arrive at the correct conclusion one has to ignore the noise, the opinions and the proclamations and just concentrate solely on how the data is obtained and what the data is telling you after taking into consideration where the figures came from and how they were derived.

Kudos! You are one mature cool dude. I too try to ignore all these noises, behaviorial antics and kiasuism.Being optimistic surely can't make one more sick or put one in a worse-off situation. On the other hand, being pessimistic can actually reduce body resistance and immunity against infection and not just the Covid-19. What the heck is death due to Covid-19 when your friend just passed away due to cancer. Many people die everyday due to all sorts of reasons.

 

[yinyang]

My personal take is that we should keep positive that what seems bleak now may improve (only question how long).

Meanwhile take a break with this tune

 

[Leongsam]

Interesting comparison :

Denmark : Lockdown

Sweden : Responsible social distancing

It will be even more interesting a week from now. Let's see how things go.

 

[Leongsam]

Just to add in case the log graph is misunderstood.

These graphs don't come down. When the infection has run its course it flattens out. Example take a look at China this is what it looks like when no new cases are reported.

So once you see the the gradient starting to tilt towards the horizontal axis it means that, barring any change in other parameters, the spread of the virus is coming to an end.

 

[eatshitndie]

the curve in sillycon valley is trending towards a peak end of may. tail end may be end of august when many develop antibodies or a working vaccine is mass produced. long curve. the curve for the sf bay area, including sillycon valley, is in red below.

 

[eatshitndie]

of all 50 states, minnesota bends it best like beckham!

 

[nirvarq]

Even whatsapp is under control Huat Ah !
https://www.8world.com/news/singapore/article/whatsapp-1093986