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In a recent town hall meeting, DPM Teo Chee Hean presented his argument that our low fertility rate today means that we need to have 20K-25K new citizens per year. You can and should read his speech and presentation in full here. For readers of this blog, you are probably familiar with the flaw in this argument - a shortfall of babies today can only be properly compensated by importing babies today or 25 year olds in 2037. ....not 20K adults which is what the PAP claims.
If you import a 30 year old man, say from Phillipines or China, and make him a citizen today, in 2050, he will be 78 years old and his addition will go to 2nd bar counting from the top. If you import 100,000, 30 yr old today, 100K will be added to this bar i.e it will make the profile worse in 2050 because there will be even more aged people.
I want to show you visually using DPM Teo's own presentation diagrams and data to show why his argument is wrong.
- http://singaporemind.blogspot.sg/2012/10/debunking-dpm-teos-immigration-argument.html
If you import a 30 year old man, say from Phillipines or China, and make him a citizen today, in 2050, he will be 78 years old and his addition will go to 2nd bar counting from the top. If you import 100,000, 30 yr old today, 100K will be added to this bar i.e it will make the profile worse in 2050 because there will be even more aged people.
I want to show you visually using DPM Teo's own presentation diagrams and data to show why his argument is wrong.
- http://singaporemind.blogspot.sg/2012/10/debunking-dpm-teos-immigration-argument.html