https://www.wsj.com/articles/north-korean-launch-site-is-being-built-back-up-again-11551845773
North Korean Launch Site Is Being Built Back Up Again
Disclosure comes in the wake of failed U.S.-North Korean summit in Hanoi last week
What's Next for U.S.-North Korea Negotiations?
The failure to reach a deal on denuclearization at last week's summit between President Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un raises a lot of questions about where things go from here. WSJ's Gerald F. Seib explains. Photo: Getty
By
Michael R. Gordon in Washington and
Timothy W. Martin in Seoul
Updated March 6, 2019 10:29 a.m. ET
North Korea is restoring a missile launch site it previously claimed to be dismantling as an overture to the U.S., according to newly released commercial satellite photos and people briefed on South Korean intelligence.
The move has sparked concerns that North Korea may be wavering on some of the gestures it made to demonstrate its willingness to denuclearize the Korean Peninsula.
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https://www.vox.com/2019/3/7/18254589/north-korea-rocket-site-launch-space-trump-vietnam
Why North Korea’s restored rocket site isn’t cause for worry — yet
“Little Rocket Man” may be living up to his Trump-given nickname.
By Alex Ward@AlexWardVox[email protected] Updated Mar 7, 2019, 1:25pm EST
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Commercial satellite imagery from March 2, 2019, shows renewed activity at Sohae, a space launch facility in North Korea. DigitalGlobe/38 North via Getty Images
North Korea is rebuilding a satellite launch site it promised to entirely dismantle, and may have increased activity at a major missile factory — both actions that are likely meant to be warning signs to the United States and South Korea.
Should these moves be a precursor to even more aggressive actions by Pyongyang, or anger President Donald Trump, then the US and North Korea could end up moving away from diplomacy and back on the path to war.
South Korean intelligence and respected analysts this week revealed commercial satellite imagery that shows that North Koreans have been rebuilding an engine test stand and launch pad at a space launch facility at Sohae since at least February 16, and that it’s likely now back at a normal operating level. That’s a big deal, since Pyongyang promised Seoul last September that it would “permanently dismantle” the site and started to take it down last year.
“They basically reassembled what they disassembled” after Trump met with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un in Singapore last year, Victor Cha, an expert at the Center for Strategic and International Studies and an early analyst of the images, said on Thursday to a Washington audience.
Hours earlier, South Korean media reported that there’s been extra movement at a missile factory known as Sanumdong, the same one that first produced the intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) that could reach the United States. South Korea’s spy chief, Suh Hoon, reportedly told lawmakers that he believed the increased activity there was missile-related.
This is all very troubling, especially since Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un just met in Vietnam for their second summit to curb nuclear tensions. Talks broke down, though, over the US demand that Pyongyang give up all of its weapons — nuclear, chemical, biological — in exchange for nearly full sanctions relief.
Trump is already upset with the news. “I would be very disappointed if that were happening,” he told reporters on Wednesday when asked about Sohae. “I would be very, very disappointed in Chairman Kim.” Trump, of course, could ask his own intelligence community if “that were happening,” but perhaps he’d rather wait to see if someone talks about it on TV.
Experts I spoke to all expressed some concern about these developments. But there’s good news: None of them are panicking, which means you shouldn’t be either.
Here’s why.
Why you shouldn’t freak out about North Korea — yet
First, North Korea was already in the process of improving its nuclear and missile programs, which didn’t stop when Trump and Kim engaged in diplomacy last month. In a sense, these developments aren’t that new, and are merely an extension of the nation’s recent efforts.
Second, and to reiterate, Sohae is a space launch site that’s not integral to its ballistic missile program. North Korea has never tested an ICBM from this location, although it has launched space rockets from there. It’s possible Pyongyang might test another one of those rockets in the coming weeks — which would certainly be provocative — but it wouldn’t be the same as testing a deadly missile that could hit America or its allies.
“A satellite launch is in a gray zone but would definitely create problems for the Trump administration,” MIT nuclear expert Vipin Narang told me. “It could put us in a pickle,” especially if North Korea hardliners like National Security Adviser John Bolton use the launch to push Trump toward ending nuclear negotiations.
Third, North Korea is likely sending a political message more than a militaristic one. The North has repeatedly expressed frustration that the US hasn’t lifted current sanctions so Pyongyang would stop its nuclear program. By increasing activity at Sohae and the missile factory, Kim may be trying to pressure Trump and South Korean President Moon Jae-in to kill the financial penalties in place, and revive the inter-Korean economic integration plan, says Stimson Center expert Jenny Town, one of the analysts who first observed the satellite imagery.
The question now is how Trump will react. Even though he spent much of 2017 threatening to rain down “fire and fury” on North Korea, he’s since spoken highly of Kim, said they “fell in love,” and talked openly about wanting to avoid war.
But if Kim continues these efforts, Trump’s patience could run out — and then we’re back on a very dangerous track.
https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/e...-restoring-part-of-missile-launch-site-yonhap
North Korea rebuilds part of missile site it promised Trump to dismantle
1 of 3
Video of North Korea rebuilds part of a missile site, Bolton warns of more sanctions
Published
Mar 6, 2019, 12:55 am SGT
Updated
Mar 6, 2019, 10:25 pm
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WASHINGTON (REUTERS) - North Korea has restored part of a missile launch site it began to dismantle after pledging to do so in a first summit with US President Donald Trump last year, South Korea’s Yonhap News Agency and two US think tanks reported on Tuesday (March 5).
Yonhap quoted lawmakers briefed by South Korea’s National Intelligence Service (NIS) as saying that the work was taking place at the Tongchang-ri launch site and involved replacing a roof and a door at the facility.
Satellite images seen by 38 North, a Washington-based North Korea project, showed that structures on the launch pad had been rebuilt sometime between Feb 16 and March 2, Jenny Town, managing editor at the project and an analyst at the Stimson Center think tank, told Reuters.
The Center for Strategic and International Studies released a report, also citing satellite imagery, that concluded North Korea is “pursuing a rapid rebuilding” at the site.
“Activity is evident at the vertical engine test stand and the launch pad’s rail-mounted rocket transfer structure,” the CSIS report said. “Significantly, the environmental shelters on the umbilical tower, which are normally closed, have been opened to show the launch pad.”
The news comes days after a second summit on denuclearisation between Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un broke down last week over differences on how far North Korea was willing to limit its nuclear programme and the degree of US willingness to ease sanctions on the country.
Trump told a news conference after an unprecedented first summit with Kim on June 12 in Singapore that the North Korean leader had promised that a major missile engine testing site would be destroyed very soon.
The Sohae Satellite Launching Station features what researchers of Beyond Parallel describe as the vertical engine stand partially rebuilt with two construction cranes, several vehicles and supplies laying on the ground in a commercial satellite image taken over Tongchang-ri, North Korea, on March 2, 2019. PHOTO: REUTERS
Trump did not identify the site, but a US official subsequently told Reuters it was the Sohae Satellite Launching Ground, which is located at Tongchang-ri.
The White House and the US State Department did not immediately respond to a request for comment on the Yonhap report.
Kim Jong Un also pledged at a summit with South Korean President Moon Jae-in in September to close Sohae and allow international experts to observe the dismantling of the missile engine-testing site and a launch pad.
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How the Trump-Kim summit in Hanoi failed: Big threats, big egos, bad bets
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Trump was right to walk away, say critics
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For South Korean leader Moon Jae-in, collapse of Trump-Kim talks is surprising setback
Signs that North Korea had begun acting on its pledge to Trump were detected in July, when a Washington think-tank said satellite images indicated work had begun at Sohae to dismantle a building used to assemble space-launch vehicles and a nearby rocket engine test stand used to develop liquid-fuel engines for ballistic missiles and space-launch vehicles.
However, subsequent images indicated North Korea had halted work to dismantle the missile engine test site in the first part of August.
The breakdown of the summit in Hanoi last week has raised questions about the future of US-North Korea dialogue.
US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said on Monday he was hopeful he would send a delegation to North Korea in the coming weeks, but added that he had had "no commitment yet."
While North Korea's official media said last week that Kim and Trump had decided at the summit to continue talks, its Vice-Foreign Minister Choe Son Hui struck a more negative tone, telling reporters Kim "might lose his willingness to pursue a deal" and questioning whether there was a need to continue.
US State Department spokesman Robert Palladino told a news briefing that the United States remains “in regular contact”with North Korea, but he declined to say whether they had been in contact since the summit.
Palladino said US Special Representative for North Korea Stephen Biegun, who led pre-summit negotiation efforts, planned to meet his South Korean and Japanese counterparts on Wednesday.
Yonhap also quoted lawmakers briefed by intelligence officials as saying that the five-megawatt reactor at North Korea's main nuclear site at Yongbyon, which produces weapons-grade plutonium used to build bombs, had not been operational since late last year, concurring with a report from the UN atomic watchdog.
Yonhap quoted the sources as saying there had been no sign of reprocessing of plutonium from the reactor and that underground tunnels of North Korea's main nuclear test site in Punggye-ri had remained shut down and unattended since their widely publicised destruction in May, which Pyongyang said was proof of its commitment to ending nuclear testing.
The fate of the Yongbyon nuclear complex and its possible dismantling was a central issue in the Hanoi summit.
Related Stories:
North Korean Launch Site Is Being Built Back Up Again
Disclosure comes in the wake of failed U.S.-North Korean summit in Hanoi last week
What's Next for U.S.-North Korea Negotiations?
The failure to reach a deal on denuclearization at last week's summit between President Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un raises a lot of questions about where things go from here. WSJ's Gerald F. Seib explains. Photo: Getty
By
Michael R. Gordon in Washington and
Timothy W. Martin in Seoul
Updated March 6, 2019 10:29 a.m. ET
North Korea is restoring a missile launch site it previously claimed to be dismantling as an overture to the U.S., according to newly released commercial satellite photos and people briefed on South Korean intelligence.
The move has sparked concerns that North Korea may be wavering on some of the gestures it made to demonstrate its willingness to denuclearize the Korean Peninsula.
The...
To Read the Full Story
Subscribe Sign In
https://www.vox.com/2019/3/7/18254589/north-korea-rocket-site-launch-space-trump-vietnam
Why North Korea’s restored rocket site isn’t cause for worry — yet
“Little Rocket Man” may be living up to his Trump-given nickname.
By Alex Ward@AlexWardVox[email protected] Updated Mar 7, 2019, 1:25pm EST
Share
North Korea is rebuilding a satellite launch site it promised to entirely dismantle, and may have increased activity at a major missile factory — both actions that are likely meant to be warning signs to the United States and South Korea.
Should these moves be a precursor to even more aggressive actions by Pyongyang, or anger President Donald Trump, then the US and North Korea could end up moving away from diplomacy and back on the path to war.
South Korean intelligence and respected analysts this week revealed commercial satellite imagery that shows that North Koreans have been rebuilding an engine test stand and launch pad at a space launch facility at Sohae since at least February 16, and that it’s likely now back at a normal operating level. That’s a big deal, since Pyongyang promised Seoul last September that it would “permanently dismantle” the site and started to take it down last year.
“They basically reassembled what they disassembled” after Trump met with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un in Singapore last year, Victor Cha, an expert at the Center for Strategic and International Studies and an early analyst of the images, said on Thursday to a Washington audience.
Hours earlier, South Korean media reported that there’s been extra movement at a missile factory known as Sanumdong, the same one that first produced the intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) that could reach the United States. South Korea’s spy chief, Suh Hoon, reportedly told lawmakers that he believed the increased activity there was missile-related.
This is all very troubling, especially since Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un just met in Vietnam for their second summit to curb nuclear tensions. Talks broke down, though, over the US demand that Pyongyang give up all of its weapons — nuclear, chemical, biological — in exchange for nearly full sanctions relief.
Trump is already upset with the news. “I would be very disappointed if that were happening,” he told reporters on Wednesday when asked about Sohae. “I would be very, very disappointed in Chairman Kim.” Trump, of course, could ask his own intelligence community if “that were happening,” but perhaps he’d rather wait to see if someone talks about it on TV.
Experts I spoke to all expressed some concern about these developments. But there’s good news: None of them are panicking, which means you shouldn’t be either.
Here’s why.
Why you shouldn’t freak out about North Korea — yet
First, North Korea was already in the process of improving its nuclear and missile programs, which didn’t stop when Trump and Kim engaged in diplomacy last month. In a sense, these developments aren’t that new, and are merely an extension of the nation’s recent efforts.
Second, and to reiterate, Sohae is a space launch site that’s not integral to its ballistic missile program. North Korea has never tested an ICBM from this location, although it has launched space rockets from there. It’s possible Pyongyang might test another one of those rockets in the coming weeks — which would certainly be provocative — but it wouldn’t be the same as testing a deadly missile that could hit America or its allies.
“A satellite launch is in a gray zone but would definitely create problems for the Trump administration,” MIT nuclear expert Vipin Narang told me. “It could put us in a pickle,” especially if North Korea hardliners like National Security Adviser John Bolton use the launch to push Trump toward ending nuclear negotiations.
Third, North Korea is likely sending a political message more than a militaristic one. The North has repeatedly expressed frustration that the US hasn’t lifted current sanctions so Pyongyang would stop its nuclear program. By increasing activity at Sohae and the missile factory, Kim may be trying to pressure Trump and South Korean President Moon Jae-in to kill the financial penalties in place, and revive the inter-Korean economic integration plan, says Stimson Center expert Jenny Town, one of the analysts who first observed the satellite imagery.
The question now is how Trump will react. Even though he spent much of 2017 threatening to rain down “fire and fury” on North Korea, he’s since spoken highly of Kim, said they “fell in love,” and talked openly about wanting to avoid war.
But if Kim continues these efforts, Trump’s patience could run out — and then we’re back on a very dangerous track.
https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/e...-restoring-part-of-missile-launch-site-yonhap
North Korea rebuilds part of missile site it promised Trump to dismantle
1 of 3
Video of North Korea rebuilds part of a missile site, Bolton warns of more sanctions
Published
Mar 6, 2019, 12:55 am SGT
Updated
Mar 6, 2019, 10:25 pm
Facebook Twitter Email
WASHINGTON (REUTERS) - North Korea has restored part of a missile launch site it began to dismantle after pledging to do so in a first summit with US President Donald Trump last year, South Korea’s Yonhap News Agency and two US think tanks reported on Tuesday (March 5).
Yonhap quoted lawmakers briefed by South Korea’s National Intelligence Service (NIS) as saying that the work was taking place at the Tongchang-ri launch site and involved replacing a roof and a door at the facility.
Satellite images seen by 38 North, a Washington-based North Korea project, showed that structures on the launch pad had been rebuilt sometime between Feb 16 and March 2, Jenny Town, managing editor at the project and an analyst at the Stimson Center think tank, told Reuters.
The Center for Strategic and International Studies released a report, also citing satellite imagery, that concluded North Korea is “pursuing a rapid rebuilding” at the site.
“Activity is evident at the vertical engine test stand and the launch pad’s rail-mounted rocket transfer structure,” the CSIS report said. “Significantly, the environmental shelters on the umbilical tower, which are normally closed, have been opened to show the launch pad.”
The news comes days after a second summit on denuclearisation between Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un broke down last week over differences on how far North Korea was willing to limit its nuclear programme and the degree of US willingness to ease sanctions on the country.
Trump told a news conference after an unprecedented first summit with Kim on June 12 in Singapore that the North Korean leader had promised that a major missile engine testing site would be destroyed very soon.
Trump did not identify the site, but a US official subsequently told Reuters it was the Sohae Satellite Launching Ground, which is located at Tongchang-ri.
The White House and the US State Department did not immediately respond to a request for comment on the Yonhap report.
Kim Jong Un also pledged at a summit with South Korean President Moon Jae-in in September to close Sohae and allow international experts to observe the dismantling of the missile engine-testing site and a launch pad.
Related Story
North Korean leader Kim Jong Un vows to meet US President Donald Trump again after summit collapse
Related Story
How the Trump-Kim summit in Hanoi failed: Big threats, big egos, bad bets
Related Story
Trump was right to walk away, say critics
Related Story
For South Korean leader Moon Jae-in, collapse of Trump-Kim talks is surprising setback
Signs that North Korea had begun acting on its pledge to Trump were detected in July, when a Washington think-tank said satellite images indicated work had begun at Sohae to dismantle a building used to assemble space-launch vehicles and a nearby rocket engine test stand used to develop liquid-fuel engines for ballistic missiles and space-launch vehicles.
However, subsequent images indicated North Korea had halted work to dismantle the missile engine test site in the first part of August.
The breakdown of the summit in Hanoi last week has raised questions about the future of US-North Korea dialogue.
US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said on Monday he was hopeful he would send a delegation to North Korea in the coming weeks, but added that he had had "no commitment yet."
While North Korea's official media said last week that Kim and Trump had decided at the summit to continue talks, its Vice-Foreign Minister Choe Son Hui struck a more negative tone, telling reporters Kim "might lose his willingness to pursue a deal" and questioning whether there was a need to continue.
US State Department spokesman Robert Palladino told a news briefing that the United States remains “in regular contact”with North Korea, but he declined to say whether they had been in contact since the summit.
Palladino said US Special Representative for North Korea Stephen Biegun, who led pre-summit negotiation efforts, planned to meet his South Korean and Japanese counterparts on Wednesday.
Yonhap also quoted lawmakers briefed by intelligence officials as saying that the five-megawatt reactor at North Korea's main nuclear site at Yongbyon, which produces weapons-grade plutonium used to build bombs, had not been operational since late last year, concurring with a report from the UN atomic watchdog.
Yonhap quoted the sources as saying there had been no sign of reprocessing of plutonium from the reactor and that underground tunnels of North Korea's main nuclear test site in Punggye-ri had remained shut down and unattended since their widely publicised destruction in May, which Pyongyang said was proof of its commitment to ending nuclear testing.
The fate of the Yongbyon nuclear complex and its possible dismantling was a central issue in the Hanoi summit.
Related Stories: