https://mil.news.sina.com.cn/zhengming/2020-07-20/doc-iivhvpwx6419483.shtml
美国第二波疫情疯狂来袭 能否彻底击垮特朗普？
美国第二波疫情疯狂来袭 能否彻底击垮特朗普？
61
来源：石江月
新冠确诊病例单日突破7万人？
你没看错，这就是美国。
美国华尔街日报7月13日称，美国11日单日新增确诊病例首次突破7万例，达到70096例。12日单日新增确诊病例为69430例。而且，就在11日，美国总统特朗普在视察军队一个医疗中心时，首次公开地戴上了口罩。
曾经，特朗普对口罩非常排斥，连副总统彭斯等人都在公开场合戴了口罩，但特朗普也不愿意戴。可以看出，现在特朗普也知道美国的疫情越来越严重。而疫情一直得不到控制，经济不起色，特朗普的连任梦也一点一点在“破灭”。
几个重要的指标，已经在传递出这样的信号。
可能单日新增10万？
如果没有新冠疫情，可能特朗普的连任是大概率事件。一方面，共和党内无意推出新的人选来替代他，民主党初选中露面的几个竞争者似乎都不是特朗普的对手，不是太老就是没有什么名气。
另一方面，特朗普把精力放在抓经济，跟其他国家甚至欧洲盟友也不惜打贸易战的姿态，获得了共和党基本盘的支持。美国国内虽然在特朗普的执政期间变得越来越分裂，但是特朗普的基本盘都是美国白人，他们才不在乎。
但是，人算不如天算，新冠疫情自3月在美国开始大面积感染以来，一切似乎像不受控制一样。在欧洲国家走出疫情高峰期后，美国COVID-19的疫情随着特朗普过早地要求“解封”，反而开始出现恶化。
美国时间7月11日，全美确诊病例已达到323万9707例，死亡病例达到13万4719例，这两项数据均高居全球之首。7月11日，美国单日新增确诊病例首次突破7万例，达到70096例。
要知道，在过去一个星期时间里，美国基本上单日新增确诊人数都在6.5万左右，太恐怖了！全美多州在“解封”后疫情反弹，亚利桑那州、佛罗里达州、得克萨斯州等8个州一周来都曾出现创新高的单日死亡病例数。
这真是第一波疫情还没结束，第二波疫情又来，叠加效应摧垮美国各州。如今，美国疫情呈现出三个特点：
第一，病例增速过快，比一个月前势头猛不少；第二，年轻群体感染率高，现在感染的好多是解封后那些参加各种集会、四处活动的年轻人；第三，除了原来的纽约州、加州和华盛顿州之外，西部和南部出现新的疫情“重灾区”涌现，且无症状传播加剧。
根据美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）的统计，美国自1月21日报告首例确诊病例，到累计病例数达到100万例经过了99天；从100万例增至200万例耗时43天；而从200万例增至300万例仅耗时28天。
那么从300万例到400万例，会不会在20天之内呢？
现在来看很可能是大概率事件。福奇是美国国立过敏症和传染病研究所所长，6月30日在国会出席听证会时他曾警告，如果不采取果断的措施，美国全国的日平均新增感染人数可能攀升到10万人。
现在的发展趋势能够印证，福奇的警告正在成为事实。多数专家指出，美国各地仓促重启经济，防控措施不到位，追踪、隔离密切接触者存在问题，疫情政治化等因素加速了疫情蔓延。
第二波疫情受害者
特朗普这几个月来一直在催促各地尽快重启经济，因为他将强有力的经济视为自己在2020年11月大选中争取连任的最有力支撑理由之一。
也正因为这个原因，共和党主政的州也就成为美国第二波疫情的“重灾区”。而这些州的很多民众本来是特朗普的支持者，但是他们中间越来越多的人对特朗普的抗疫政策和领导能力表示怀疑。
比如，亚利桑那、佛罗里达、得克萨斯和其他一些州的共和党州长很快解除了让人们留在家中的命令，结束了有关商业运营的许多限制。他们还听特朗普的话，拒绝要求民众戴口罩。他们不理会卫生专家有关草率的重新开放可能导致新一波感染的警告。
结果，到6月的第二周，亚利桑那州的新冠肺炎病例大幅增加，得克萨斯州的病例也在明显增加。然而，两州州长却不理会暂停重新开放的呼声，坚持说形势处于控制之下。如今，亚利桑那州和得克萨斯州的医院陷入危机。
这些州的民众听信特朗普政府建议，然后就成了第二波疫情的受害者。相比之下，7月13日，一度成为美国疫情中心的纽约市首次报告无新增新冠死亡病例。这显然让前者有被欺骗和愚弄的感觉。
此外，那些反封禁措施的示威活动不是草根阶层自发的。很多是由保守派政治活动人士进行组织和协调的。这些人中，有些同特朗普的选战有着密切联系，并部分得到了右翼亿万富翁的资助。
所以，美国南部一些州匆匆重新开放，这与其说是对民众要求的回应，不如说是共和党州长们在追随特朗普的领导行事。因此这些共和党州民众的反转，对特朗普的支持率才是致命的。
到目前为止，对手拜登已经能获得50%以上的选民支持了，而特朗普支持率已经掉到了百分之三十多的水平，比拜登低了十个百分点以上。
疫情丝毫没有“刹车”的迹象，并且黑人游行活动还在不断继续，虽然势头有所减弱，但是矛盾依旧存在，而特朗普政府对于这些事情的处理方式没有一个能让民众满意的！这才是特朗普支持率不断下降的原因。
过去一段时间，即便美国疫情十分严重，特朗普也拒绝戴口罩。比如，在今年5月5日美国疫情非常吃紧的时候，特朗普视察霍尼韦尔公司的N95口罩工厂，竟仍然拒绝佩戴口罩。
很多美国的报纸评论认为，一方面，特朗普的虚荣心肯定起了作用。他认为，戴口罩会让他看起来滑稽可笑，或者会弄坏他的妆容等等。另一方面，口罩也会提醒人们，“我们还没有控制住新冠病毒”，而特朗普希望民众忘记这个令人尴尬的事实。
不过，特朗普在当地时间11日抵达首都华盛顿郊外马里兰州的沃尔特·里德国家军事医疗中心（Walter Reed National Military Medical Center）探望美军受伤官兵时，首次公开佩戴了口罩。
这到底是否意味着特朗普承认美国疫情再度严重？似乎特朗普还在强撑。在启程前，特朗普对福克斯电视台说，他在访问国家军事医疗中心时会戴口罩，因为在医院戴口罩“非常合适”。
很明显，给了自己一个台阶。
拜登的三个优势
眼下距离美国大选投票日还剩下4个月的时间，新冠疫情、抗议示威、经济衰退、种族冲突等方面的危机都冲击着特朗普的连任之梦。他的挑战者、民主党总统参选人拜登之前很少“出招”，因为特朗普在应对疫情等问题上错漏频出，已经让拜登的选情呈现积极迹象。
第一个积极因素，就是拜登的民调大幅领先。
上文已经说了，特朗普的支持率最近一直落后拜登10个百分点左右。根据皮尤研究中心7月最新的民调显示，经历疫情、抗议、警察暴力、种族冲突和经济衰退等冲击后，美国民众对国家现状的满意度，已经由3月份的31%下跌至现在的12%。这已经非常低了。
而在总统候选人比拼中，特朗普的支持率比拜登低10个百分点。大约54%的注册选民支持拜登。
真实清晰政治（RCP）网站7月民调数据也体现这一趋势，拜登全国民调领先特朗普9个百分点。尤其关键的摇摆州，佛罗里达州（49%比42.6%）、威斯康辛州（48.5%比42%）、宾夕法尼亚州（48.7%比41.7%）和亚利桑那州（47.5%比44%）等，特朗普都落后于拜登。
第二个积极因素，是拜登的竞选募款超过了特朗普。
根据双方团队最新公布的数据，今年4至6月，拜登和民主党全国委员会（DNC）先后筹得6050万美元、8080万美元和1.41亿美元，特朗普和共和党方面先后筹得6170万美元、7400万美元和1.31亿美元。
可以看出，第二季度拜登募款总额超过2.82亿美元，而特朗普本季度筹集了2.66亿美元。
可以看出，拜登的募款力度正逐月增加，紧追特朗普，过去特朗普在这方面领先。而且，拜登5月募款额已经超过了前总统奥巴马和前国务卿希拉里同时期的水平。而随着奥巴马和希拉里等陆续加入网络募款队伍，拜登的募款总额将继续增加。
第三个积极因素，是特朗普与拜登展开“谁对中国更强硬”的游戏，最终很难见效。
新冠疫情爆发后，特朗普及其幕僚将矛头对准中国，并将病毒政治化，对中国进行意识形态化的攻击。在此期间，拜登并没有高调批评中国。但他“以彼之道还施彼身”，抱怨特朗普政府未能强力应对中国挑战，同时指控特朗普防疫失败是无能的表现。
在美国大选中，竞选人竞相对中国展示强硬，这个已经不是什么新鲜事，中国对此已经有了“免疫力”。而拜登展现更为强硬的对华姿态，目的就是为了应对特朗普团队对他“亲华”的指控，努力撕掉这一标签。
当然，对于拜登，我们也要留个心眼。按照拜登的外交政策顾问苏利文（Jake Sullivan）的话说，如果民主党上台，将拟定全新的对华政策路线图，团结一切可以团结的盟友力量，对抗中国。
眼下，特朗普将所有的筹码都压在最后的“电视对决”上。
随着投票日临近，拜登面临的走出“地下室”的压力也不断增大。在之后的竞选大舞台上，口才一般的拜登难免会再次尴尬“失言”。拜登曾多次因为言辞不当而遭到批评和同情。
四年前的对决中，特朗普的犀利言辞，已让能言善辩的希拉里·克林顿多次无言以对。拜登能在这样的舞台上击败特朗普吗？
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关键字 : 特朗普美国新冠肺炎
我要反馈
Can trump be completely defeated by the second wave of epidemic in the United States?
Can trump be completely defeated by the second wave of epidemic in the United States?
Sixty-one
Source: shijiangyue
More than 70000 new crown confirmed cases in a single day?
You're right. This is America.
According to the Wall Street Journal on July 13, the number of new confirmed cases in a single day on November 11 exceeded 70000 for the first time, reaching 70096. On the 12th, 69430 new cases were confirmed in a single day. Moreover, on the 11th, US President trump put on his mask for the first time while visiting a military medical center.
At one time, trump was very exclusive of masks. Even vice president burns and others wore masks in public, but trump was not willing to wear them. It can be seen that trump also knows that the epidemic situation in the United States is getting more and more serious. However, the epidemic situation has not been controlled and the economy has not improved, and Trump's dream of re-election has been "shattered".
Several important indicators are already transmitting such signals.
It is possible to add 100000 in one day?
If there is no new outbreak, Trump's re-election may be a high probability event. On the one hand, the Republican Party has no intention of introducing new candidates to replace him. It seems that none of the competitors who appear in the Democratic primary election are Trump's opponents, either too old or not well-known.
On the other hand, trump put his energy on the economy and even fought a trade war with other countries and even European allies, which won the support of the Republican Party's basic plate. Although the United States has become more and more divided during Trump's administration, Trump's basic plate is all white Americans, and they don't care.
However, the number of people is not as good as the sky. Since the outbreak began to infect a large area in the United States in March, everything seems to be out of control. After European countries came out of the epidemic peak, the epidemic situation of covid-19 in the United States began to deteriorate with Trump's premature request for "unsealing".
On July 11, us time, the number of confirmed cases and deaths in the United States reached 3.239707 and 134719 respectively, ranking first in the world. On July 11, the number of new confirmed cases in a single day in the United States exceeded 70000 for the first time, reaching 70096.
You know, in the past week, the number of newly diagnosed cases in the United States was about 65000 in a single day. It's terrible! Several states in the United States rebounded after the "unsealing". Eight states, including Arizona, Florida and Texas, have recorded a record high number of one-day deaths in the past week.
This is really not the end of the first wave of the epidemic, the second wave of the epidemic has come again, the superposition effect destroyed the states of the United States. Today, there are three characteristics of the epidemic in the United States
First, the growth rate of cases is too fast, which is much stronger than a month ago; second, the infection rate of young people is high, and now many of them are young people who participate in various gatherings and activities after the release of the ban; third, in addition to the original New York State, California and Washington state, new epidemic "severe disaster areas" have emerged in the West and south, and the asymptomatic transmission has intensified.
According to the statistics of CNN, it took 99 days for the United States to report the first confirmed case on January 21 to 1 million cases; it took 43 days to increase from 1 million cases to 2 million cases; and it only took 28 days to increase from 2 million cases to 3 million cases.
So from 3 million cases to 4 million cases, will it be within 20 days?
Now it's probably a high probability event. Fudge, director of the National Institute of allergy and infectious diseases, warned at a congressional hearing on June 30 that the average number of new infections in the United States could rise to 100000 per day if decisive measures were not taken.
Now the trend of development can confirm that fouch's warning is becoming a fact. Most experts pointed out that factors such as hasty economic restart, inadequate prevention and control measures, problems in tracking and isolating close contacts, and politicization of the epidemic have accelerated the spread of the epidemic.
Victims of the second wave of the epidemic
Trump has been urging economies around the world to restart as soon as possible in recent months, as he sees a strong economy as one of his strongest reasons to win re-election in November 2020.
It is for this reason that the Republican states have become the "hardest hit" of the second wave of the epidemic in the United States. Many people in these states were originally trump supporters, but more and more of them doubted Trump's anti epidemic policy and leadership.
For example, Republican governors in Arizona, Florida, Texas and other States quickly lifted orders to keep people at home, ending many restrictions on business operations. They also listened to trump and refused to ask people to wear masks. They ignored health experts' warnings that a hasty reopening could lead to a new wave of infections.
As a result, novel coronavirus pneumonia in Arizona increased significantly in the second week of June, and the number of cases in Texas increased significantly. However, the governors of the two states ignored the call for the suspension and reopening, insisting that the situation was under control. Today, hospitals in Arizona and Texas are in crisis.
People in these States took the trump administration's advice and became victims of the second wave. In contrast, on July 13, New York City, once the center of the U.S. epidemic, reported no new deaths for the first time. This obviously makes the former feel cheated and fooled.
美国第二波疫情疯狂来袭 能否彻底击垮特朗普？
美国第二波疫情疯狂来袭 能否彻底击垮特朗普？
61
来源：石江月
新冠确诊病例单日突破7万人？
你没看错，这就是美国。
美国华尔街日报7月13日称，美国11日单日新增确诊病例首次突破7万例，达到70096例。12日单日新增确诊病例为69430例。而且，就在11日，美国总统特朗普在视察军队一个医疗中心时，首次公开地戴上了口罩。
曾经，特朗普对口罩非常排斥，连副总统彭斯等人都在公开场合戴了口罩，但特朗普也不愿意戴。可以看出，现在特朗普也知道美国的疫情越来越严重。而疫情一直得不到控制，经济不起色，特朗普的连任梦也一点一点在“破灭”。
几个重要的指标，已经在传递出这样的信号。
可能单日新增10万？
如果没有新冠疫情，可能特朗普的连任是大概率事件。一方面，共和党内无意推出新的人选来替代他，民主党初选中露面的几个竞争者似乎都不是特朗普的对手，不是太老就是没有什么名气。
另一方面，特朗普把精力放在抓经济，跟其他国家甚至欧洲盟友也不惜打贸易战的姿态，获得了共和党基本盘的支持。美国国内虽然在特朗普的执政期间变得越来越分裂，但是特朗普的基本盘都是美国白人，他们才不在乎。
但是，人算不如天算，新冠疫情自3月在美国开始大面积感染以来，一切似乎像不受控制一样。在欧洲国家走出疫情高峰期后，美国COVID-19的疫情随着特朗普过早地要求“解封”，反而开始出现恶化。
美国时间7月11日，全美确诊病例已达到323万9707例，死亡病例达到13万4719例，这两项数据均高居全球之首。7月11日，美国单日新增确诊病例首次突破7万例，达到70096例。
要知道，在过去一个星期时间里，美国基本上单日新增确诊人数都在6.5万左右，太恐怖了！全美多州在“解封”后疫情反弹，亚利桑那州、佛罗里达州、得克萨斯州等8个州一周来都曾出现创新高的单日死亡病例数。
这真是第一波疫情还没结束，第二波疫情又来，叠加效应摧垮美国各州。如今，美国疫情呈现出三个特点：
第一，病例增速过快，比一个月前势头猛不少；第二，年轻群体感染率高，现在感染的好多是解封后那些参加各种集会、四处活动的年轻人；第三，除了原来的纽约州、加州和华盛顿州之外，西部和南部出现新的疫情“重灾区”涌现，且无症状传播加剧。
根据美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）的统计，美国自1月21日报告首例确诊病例，到累计病例数达到100万例经过了99天；从100万例增至200万例耗时43天；而从200万例增至300万例仅耗时28天。
那么从300万例到400万例，会不会在20天之内呢？
现在来看很可能是大概率事件。福奇是美国国立过敏症和传染病研究所所长，6月30日在国会出席听证会时他曾警告，如果不采取果断的措施，美国全国的日平均新增感染人数可能攀升到10万人。
现在的发展趋势能够印证，福奇的警告正在成为事实。多数专家指出，美国各地仓促重启经济，防控措施不到位，追踪、隔离密切接触者存在问题，疫情政治化等因素加速了疫情蔓延。
第二波疫情受害者
特朗普这几个月来一直在催促各地尽快重启经济，因为他将强有力的经济视为自己在2020年11月大选中争取连任的最有力支撑理由之一。
也正因为这个原因，共和党主政的州也就成为美国第二波疫情的“重灾区”。而这些州的很多民众本来是特朗普的支持者，但是他们中间越来越多的人对特朗普的抗疫政策和领导能力表示怀疑。
比如，亚利桑那、佛罗里达、得克萨斯和其他一些州的共和党州长很快解除了让人们留在家中的命令，结束了有关商业运营的许多限制。他们还听特朗普的话，拒绝要求民众戴口罩。他们不理会卫生专家有关草率的重新开放可能导致新一波感染的警告。
结果，到6月的第二周，亚利桑那州的新冠肺炎病例大幅增加，得克萨斯州的病例也在明显增加。然而，两州州长却不理会暂停重新开放的呼声，坚持说形势处于控制之下。如今，亚利桑那州和得克萨斯州的医院陷入危机。
这些州的民众听信特朗普政府建议，然后就成了第二波疫情的受害者。相比之下，7月13日，一度成为美国疫情中心的纽约市首次报告无新增新冠死亡病例。这显然让前者有被欺骗和愚弄的感觉。
此外，那些反封禁措施的示威活动不是草根阶层自发的。很多是由保守派政治活动人士进行组织和协调的。这些人中，有些同特朗普的选战有着密切联系，并部分得到了右翼亿万富翁的资助。
所以，美国南部一些州匆匆重新开放，这与其说是对民众要求的回应，不如说是共和党州长们在追随特朗普的领导行事。因此这些共和党州民众的反转，对特朗普的支持率才是致命的。
到目前为止，对手拜登已经能获得50%以上的选民支持了，而特朗普支持率已经掉到了百分之三十多的水平，比拜登低了十个百分点以上。
疫情丝毫没有“刹车”的迹象，并且黑人游行活动还在不断继续，虽然势头有所减弱，但是矛盾依旧存在，而特朗普政府对于这些事情的处理方式没有一个能让民众满意的！这才是特朗普支持率不断下降的原因。
过去一段时间，即便美国疫情十分严重，特朗普也拒绝戴口罩。比如，在今年5月5日美国疫情非常吃紧的时候，特朗普视察霍尼韦尔公司的N95口罩工厂，竟仍然拒绝佩戴口罩。
很多美国的报纸评论认为，一方面，特朗普的虚荣心肯定起了作用。他认为，戴口罩会让他看起来滑稽可笑，或者会弄坏他的妆容等等。另一方面，口罩也会提醒人们，“我们还没有控制住新冠病毒”，而特朗普希望民众忘记这个令人尴尬的事实。
不过，特朗普在当地时间11日抵达首都华盛顿郊外马里兰州的沃尔特·里德国家军事医疗中心（Walter Reed National Military Medical Center）探望美军受伤官兵时，首次公开佩戴了口罩。
这到底是否意味着特朗普承认美国疫情再度严重？似乎特朗普还在强撑。在启程前，特朗普对福克斯电视台说，他在访问国家军事医疗中心时会戴口罩，因为在医院戴口罩“非常合适”。
很明显，给了自己一个台阶。
拜登的三个优势
眼下距离美国大选投票日还剩下4个月的时间，新冠疫情、抗议示威、经济衰退、种族冲突等方面的危机都冲击着特朗普的连任之梦。他的挑战者、民主党总统参选人拜登之前很少“出招”，因为特朗普在应对疫情等问题上错漏频出，已经让拜登的选情呈现积极迹象。
第一个积极因素，就是拜登的民调大幅领先。
上文已经说了，特朗普的支持率最近一直落后拜登10个百分点左右。根据皮尤研究中心7月最新的民调显示，经历疫情、抗议、警察暴力、种族冲突和经济衰退等冲击后，美国民众对国家现状的满意度，已经由3月份的31%下跌至现在的12%。这已经非常低了。
而在总统候选人比拼中，特朗普的支持率比拜登低10个百分点。大约54%的注册选民支持拜登。
真实清晰政治（RCP）网站7月民调数据也体现这一趋势，拜登全国民调领先特朗普9个百分点。尤其关键的摇摆州，佛罗里达州（49%比42.6%）、威斯康辛州（48.5%比42%）、宾夕法尼亚州（48.7%比41.7%）和亚利桑那州（47.5%比44%）等，特朗普都落后于拜登。
第二个积极因素，是拜登的竞选募款超过了特朗普。
根据双方团队最新公布的数据，今年4至6月，拜登和民主党全国委员会（DNC）先后筹得6050万美元、8080万美元和1.41亿美元，特朗普和共和党方面先后筹得6170万美元、7400万美元和1.31亿美元。
可以看出，第二季度拜登募款总额超过2.82亿美元，而特朗普本季度筹集了2.66亿美元。
可以看出，拜登的募款力度正逐月增加，紧追特朗普，过去特朗普在这方面领先。而且，拜登5月募款额已经超过了前总统奥巴马和前国务卿希拉里同时期的水平。而随着奥巴马和希拉里等陆续加入网络募款队伍，拜登的募款总额将继续增加。
第三个积极因素，是特朗普与拜登展开“谁对中国更强硬”的游戏，最终很难见效。
新冠疫情爆发后，特朗普及其幕僚将矛头对准中国，并将病毒政治化，对中国进行意识形态化的攻击。在此期间，拜登并没有高调批评中国。但他“以彼之道还施彼身”，抱怨特朗普政府未能强力应对中国挑战，同时指控特朗普防疫失败是无能的表现。
在美国大选中，竞选人竞相对中国展示强硬，这个已经不是什么新鲜事，中国对此已经有了“免疫力”。而拜登展现更为强硬的对华姿态，目的就是为了应对特朗普团队对他“亲华”的指控，努力撕掉这一标签。
当然，对于拜登，我们也要留个心眼。按照拜登的外交政策顾问苏利文（Jake Sullivan）的话说，如果民主党上台，将拟定全新的对华政策路线图，团结一切可以团结的盟友力量，对抗中国。
眼下，特朗普将所有的筹码都压在最后的“电视对决”上。
随着投票日临近，拜登面临的走出“地下室”的压力也不断增大。在之后的竞选大舞台上，口才一般的拜登难免会再次尴尬“失言”。拜登曾多次因为言辞不当而遭到批评和同情。
四年前的对决中，特朗普的犀利言辞，已让能言善辩的希拉里·克林顿多次无言以对。拜登能在这样的舞台上击败特朗普吗？
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关键字 : 特朗普美国新冠肺炎
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Can trump be completely defeated by the second wave of epidemic in the United States?
Can trump be completely defeated by the second wave of epidemic in the United States?
Sixty-one
Source: shijiangyue
More than 70000 new crown confirmed cases in a single day?
You're right. This is America.
According to the Wall Street Journal on July 13, the number of new confirmed cases in a single day on November 11 exceeded 70000 for the first time, reaching 70096. On the 12th, 69430 new cases were confirmed in a single day. Moreover, on the 11th, US President trump put on his mask for the first time while visiting a military medical center.
At one time, trump was very exclusive of masks. Even vice president burns and others wore masks in public, but trump was not willing to wear them. It can be seen that trump also knows that the epidemic situation in the United States is getting more and more serious. However, the epidemic situation has not been controlled and the economy has not improved, and Trump's dream of re-election has been "shattered".
Several important indicators are already transmitting such signals.
It is possible to add 100000 in one day?
If there is no new outbreak, Trump's re-election may be a high probability event. On the one hand, the Republican Party has no intention of introducing new candidates to replace him. It seems that none of the competitors who appear in the Democratic primary election are Trump's opponents, either too old or not well-known.
On the other hand, trump put his energy on the economy and even fought a trade war with other countries and even European allies, which won the support of the Republican Party's basic plate. Although the United States has become more and more divided during Trump's administration, Trump's basic plate is all white Americans, and they don't care.
However, the number of people is not as good as the sky. Since the outbreak began to infect a large area in the United States in March, everything seems to be out of control. After European countries came out of the epidemic peak, the epidemic situation of covid-19 in the United States began to deteriorate with Trump's premature request for "unsealing".
On July 11, us time, the number of confirmed cases and deaths in the United States reached 3.239707 and 134719 respectively, ranking first in the world. On July 11, the number of new confirmed cases in a single day in the United States exceeded 70000 for the first time, reaching 70096.
You know, in the past week, the number of newly diagnosed cases in the United States was about 65000 in a single day. It's terrible! Several states in the United States rebounded after the "unsealing". Eight states, including Arizona, Florida and Texas, have recorded a record high number of one-day deaths in the past week.
This is really not the end of the first wave of the epidemic, the second wave of the epidemic has come again, the superposition effect destroyed the states of the United States. Today, there are three characteristics of the epidemic in the United States
First, the growth rate of cases is too fast, which is much stronger than a month ago; second, the infection rate of young people is high, and now many of them are young people who participate in various gatherings and activities after the release of the ban; third, in addition to the original New York State, California and Washington state, new epidemic "severe disaster areas" have emerged in the West and south, and the asymptomatic transmission has intensified.
According to the statistics of CNN, it took 99 days for the United States to report the first confirmed case on January 21 to 1 million cases; it took 43 days to increase from 1 million cases to 2 million cases; and it only took 28 days to increase from 2 million cases to 3 million cases.
So from 3 million cases to 4 million cases, will it be within 20 days?
Now it's probably a high probability event. Fudge, director of the National Institute of allergy and infectious diseases, warned at a congressional hearing on June 30 that the average number of new infections in the United States could rise to 100000 per day if decisive measures were not taken.
Now the trend of development can confirm that fouch's warning is becoming a fact. Most experts pointed out that factors such as hasty economic restart, inadequate prevention and control measures, problems in tracking and isolating close contacts, and politicization of the epidemic have accelerated the spread of the epidemic.
Victims of the second wave of the epidemic
Trump has been urging economies around the world to restart as soon as possible in recent months, as he sees a strong economy as one of his strongest reasons to win re-election in November 2020.
It is for this reason that the Republican states have become the "hardest hit" of the second wave of the epidemic in the United States. Many people in these states were originally trump supporters, but more and more of them doubted Trump's anti epidemic policy and leadership.
For example, Republican governors in Arizona, Florida, Texas and other States quickly lifted orders to keep people at home, ending many restrictions on business operations. They also listened to trump and refused to ask people to wear masks. They ignored health experts' warnings that a hasty reopening could lead to a new wave of infections.
As a result, novel coronavirus pneumonia in Arizona increased significantly in the second week of June, and the number of cases in Texas increased significantly. However, the governors of the two states ignored the call for the suspension and reopening, insisting that the situation was under control. Today, hospitals in Arizona and Texas are in crisis.
People in these States took the trump administration's advice and became victims of the second wave. In contrast, on July 13, New York City, once the center of the U.S. epidemic, reported no new deaths for the first time. This obviously makes the former feel cheated and fooled.
