Do you guys think recession and financial crisis is arriving?

krafty

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First, Commodities like oil price crashed and all the way to $40 today, then eur/usd slammed to below 1.1000 at end of june 2015 and crashed to 1.05000 today. Now, gold fallen from its 1200 mark to 1030, sti fallen below its 3000 mark to 2880, s-reits having some difficulties soon when federal increase the rates. Companies were affected by these end up making losses, like sembcorp recently. And its going to be 2016. The last financial crisis is 2008 and 8 years would probably fits the cycle.
 
First, Commodities like oil price crashed and all the way to $40 today, then eur/usd slammed to below 1.1000 at end of june 2015 and crashed to 1.05000 today. Now, gold fallen from its 1200 mark to 1030, sti fallen below its 3000 mark to 2880, s-reits having some difficulties soon when federal increase the rates. Companies were affected by these end up making losses, like sembcorp recently. And its going to be 2016. The last financial crisis is 2008 and 8 years would probably fits the cycle.

Life goes on.
 
i thinking of buying some oil but dunno which etf to buy that doesnt have contango or tracking error and not sure how to invest in futures.

but a crash would be a good thing,good opportunity to buy up alot of good stocks and companies at a deep discount.
 
I am not affected by the world's market.. I am still getting my comfortable income.
 
First, Commodities like oil price crashed and all the way to $40 today, then eur/usd slammed to below 1.1000 at end of june 2015 and crashed to 1.05000 today. Now, gold fallen from its 1200 mark to 1030, sti fallen below its 3000 mark to 2880, s-reits having some difficulties soon when federal increase the rates. Companies were affected by these end up making losses, like sembcorp recently. And its going to be 2016. The last financial crisis is 2008 and 8 years would probably fits the cycle.

I don't think there will be a new financial crisis coming. The US policymakers have strengthened the financial health of banks and institutions. We are unlikely to see another US led financial crisis on the same scale as the 2008 global financial crisis. Europe is getting its act together with QE and lowering of interest rates to spur growth and inflation and with better regulation of debtor Eurozone countries, the Euro countries will start to see some growth in 2016. The major problem is China 's slowing down. China needs to increase its domestic consumption and devise new measures to stimulate the economy. They have started to do more in infrastructure spending.


What can happen in 2016 is possibly another 911 event. Of late, we have seen and heard of terror attacks in major cities in the world. This will get more and more as the ISIS militants start to spread the networks across the world. As long as the intelligence and security is able to check terrorism from reaching our shores and inflicting major damages to our cities, the world economy will be protected from major shocks.
 
I don't think there will be a new financial crisis coming. The US policymakers have strengthened the financial health of banks and institutions. We are unlikely to see another US led financial crisis on the same scale as the 2008 global financial crisis. Europe is getting its act together with QE and lowering of interest rates to spur growth and inflation and with better regulation of debtor Eurozone countries, the Euro countries will start to see some growth in 2016. The major problem is China 's slowing down. China needs to increase its domestic consumption and devise new measures to stimulate the economy. They have started to do more in infrastructure spending.


What can happen in 2016 is possibly another 911 event. Of late, we have seen and heard of terror attacks in major cities in the world. This will get more and more as the ISIS militants start to spread the networks across the world. As long as the intelligence and security is able to check terrorism from reaching our shores and inflicting major damages to our cities, the world economy will be protected from major shocks.

somehow, i think FED will hike rate this december but cut back to 0% next year amidst global slowdown.
 
somehow, i think FED will hike rate this december but cut back to 0% next year amidst global slowdown.

Sometimes, the way to get out of a slowdown is a war... I am afraid the terrorists are playing the war games with Russia, France, UK and US now. And this could be an impetus for boosting one country's economy. If the major countries are not careful, they may end up turning against one another. Turkey and Russia is one example to note.
 
Sometimes, the way to get out of a slowdown is a war... I am afraid the terrorists are playing the war games with Russia, France, UK and US now. And this could be an impetus for boosting one country's economy. If the major countries are not careful, they may end up turning against one another. Turkey and Russia is one example to note.

if russia and turkey goes to war, it will show the world how stupid they are. every good leader is striving for prosperity for their countries, not pulling themselves down into the rut. putin is a happy man cos now he is ally with western europe for standing up against ISIS which means no more sanction against russia in time to come.

STANFORD – Russian President Vladimir Putin’s intervention in the Syrian conflict has been welcomed by some as a moment for the Kremlin to “come in from the cold.” Russia’s conflict with the Islamic State, the argument goes, has aligned the country’s interests with those of the West. Even Turkey’s downing of a Russian warplane does not seem not to have deflated this optimism.
Read more at https://www.project-syndicate.org/c...y-paul-r--gregory-2015-12#aExilIgVAwc05lzd.99
 
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I don't think there will be a new financial crisis coming. The US policymakers have strengthened the financial health of banks and institutions. We are unlikely to see another US led financial crisis on the same scale as the 2008 global financial crisis. Europe is getting its act together with QE and lowering of interest rates to spur growth and inflation and with better regulation of debtor Eurozone countries, the Euro countries will start to see some growth in 2016. The major problem is China 's slowing down. China needs to increase its domestic consumption and devise new measures to stimulate the economy. They have started to do more in infrastructure spending.


What can happen in 2016 is possibly another 911 event. Of late, we have seen and heard of terror attacks in major cities in the world. This will get more and more as the ISIS militants start to spread the networks across the world. As long as the intelligence and security is able to check terrorism from reaching our shores and inflicting major damages to our cities, the world economy will be protected from major shocks.

if things are so good why is the s&p stalling?it keeps trying to break 2100 and failing for the past 9 months,funny thing is it was growing uncontrollably never stopping literally never touching the 50ma the past 6 years when america was supposedly in "recession" and they were pumping ridiculous amounts of liquidity into it,now it doesnt know what to do.sonofabitch,make the damn thing crash and do something decisive so i can buy some cheap american shares.the last three attempts to crash was a fake.now the US stock market is like a bloated african with stomach butolism that doesnt want to go to hospital cause he dont want to wake up the senior doctors at 6am.worst thing a stock market can do is stay stagnant while it recovers.

since stocks look overpriced,the only thing now to invest in is oil and maybe gold when it dips below $800.
 
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Confidence. It is all you need for an uncertain future. With the PAP, there is nothing to worry about. :cool:
 
I don't think there will be a new financial crisis coming. The US policymakers have strengthened the financial health of banks and institutions. We are unlikely to see another US led financial crisis on the same scale as the 2008 global financial crisis. Europe is getting its act together with QE and lowering of interest rates to spur growth and inflation and with better regulation of debtor Eurozone countries, the Euro countries will start to see some growth in 2016. The major problem is China 's slowing down. China needs to increase its domestic consumption and devise new measures to stimulate the economy. They have started to do more in infrastructure spending.


What can happen in 2016 is possibly another 911 event. Of late, we have seen and heard of terror attacks in major cities in the world. This will get more and more as the ISIS militants start to spread the networks across the world. As long as the intelligence and security is able to check terrorism from reaching our shores and inflicting major damages to our cities, the world economy will be protected from major shocks.

us recession liao and euro also. now is asia time liao. what do you think when us started printed money and lend u generously? creating a debts trap for the emerging markets. they will hike rates and make asia go bust just like in 1997.
 
First, Commodities like oil price crashed and all the way to $40 today, then eur/usd slammed to below 1.1000 at end of june 2015 and crashed to 1.05000 today. Now, gold fallen from its 1200 mark to 1030, sti fallen below its 3000 mark to 2880, s-reits having some difficulties soon when federal increase the rates. Companies were affected by these end up making losses, like sembcorp recently. And its going to be 2016. The last financial crisis is 2008 and 8 years would probably fits the cycle.

when everybody is expecting it to happen...maybe it won't happen.
 
us recession liao and euro also. now is asia time liao. what do you think when us started printed money and lend u generously? creating a debts trap for the emerging markets. they will hike rates and make asia go bust just like in 1997.

Thats why another crash is necessary,US already printed too much last 6 years,the market is bloated,they need to release the excess liquidity before printing again,dunno why they so afraid of recession,paul vocker was the last Fed chairman to raise rates and he raised it to sixteen percent.there was recession for years but its the right thing to do.it made the economy healthy again and economic boom for the next decade.the tight monetary policies forced congress and the government to take drastic measures and balance the budget.
 
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i thinking of buying some oil but dunno which etf to buy that doesnt have contango or tracking error and not sure how to invest in futures.

but a crash would be a good thing,good opportunity to buy up alot of good stocks and companies at a deep discount.

ASX:OOO ??? if not just go grab WPL.
 
Thats why another crash is necessary,US already printed too much last 6 years,the market is bloated,they need to release the excess liquidity before printing again,dunno why they so afraid of recession,paul vocker was the last Fed chairman to raise rates and he raised it to sixteen percent.there was recession for years but its the right thing to do.it made the economy healthy again and economic boom for the next decade.the tight monetary policies forced congress and the government to take drastic measures and balance the budget.

paul volcker raised rates to very high was due to usd losing reserve status after un pegging it against gold. french protested against usd. but now china seems like will over take usa as the biggest economy putting usd at risk. us might have to hike rates to crash china.
 
First, Commodities like oil price crashed and all the way to $40 today, then eur/usd slammed to below 1.1000 at end of june 2015 and crashed to 1.05000 today. Now, gold fallen from its 1200 mark to 1030, sti fallen below its 3000 mark to 2880, s-reits having some difficulties soon when federal increase the rates. Companies were affected by these end up making losses, like sembcorp recently. And its going to be 2016. The last financial crisis is 2008 and 8 years would probably fits the cycle.

The short answer is Yes, be afraid , be very afraid. Having said that, opportunities abound whenever there is a crisis.
 
as hedge funds and merchant banks get bigger and bigger, there can be no stability. They profit the most during volatility. If you ban these people, then i think the world can grow on a sustainable basis.
 
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