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Desperate Despair Ang Moh Dotard Trump begging help from original Korea War states SAVE MY ASS!

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https://www.cnbc.com/2018/01/16/van...s-on-sanctions-as-koreas-explore-detente.html



Vancouver meeting focuses on sanctions as Koreas explore detente
  • Officials from 20 nations gather in Vancouver for Korea talks
  • Talks to focus on better implementation of N.Korea sanctions
  • China, N.Korea's main ally, and Russia not attending talks
  • Beijing sees meeting as example of 'Cold War' thinking
Published 2 Hours AgoReuters
104924028-GettyImages-879925232.530x298.jpg

AFP | Getty Images
North Korean soldiers stare at South Korean soldiers at the truce village of Panmunjom in the Demilitarized zone (DMZ) dividing the two Koreas on November 27, 2017.
A meeting of states that backed South Korea in the Korean war will look at ways to better implement sanctions to push North Korea to abandon its nuclear weapons, officials said, even as the North and South explore detente ahead of next month's Winter Olympics.

Foreign ministers and senior officials from 20 nations will hold a full-day meeting in Vancouver on Tuesday, hosted by the United States and Canada, looking to increase diplomatic and financial pressure on North Korea to give up development of nuclear missiles capable of hitting the United States, a program that has raised fears of a new war.

Canadian and U.S. officials say the meeting will discuss ways to ensure implementation of wide-ranging U.N. sanctions, including steps agreed last month to further limit Pyongyang's access to refined petroleum products, crude oil and industrial goods.

Brian Hook, the U.S. State Department's director of policy planning, said last week that participants, including U.S. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson, would probe how to boost maritime security around North Korea and options to interdict ships carrying prohibited goods in violation of sanctions.

The Vancouver meeting primarily groups nations that assisted South Korea in the 1950-53 Korean War, as well as South Korea and Japan. China and Russia, which backed the North in the war but have since agreed to U.N. sanctions on Pyongyang, will not be attending.

South Korea and the United States are technically still at war with the North because the 1950-53 Korean War ended with a truce, not a peace treaty.

Tensions easing?
The meeting was announced after North Korea tested its biggest ever intercontinental ballistic missile in late November, but now comes amid signs that tensions on the Korean peninsula are easing, at least temporarily.

North and South Korea held formal talks this month for the first time in two years and Pyongyang said it would send athletes across the border to the Pyeongchang Winter Olympics to be held in South Korea next month.

China, North Korea's main ally and principal trading partner, has backed successive rounds of U.N. sanctions, but has also urged dialogue to solve the crisis. It has reacted angrily to the Vancouver meeting as an example of "Cold War" thinking.

China's state media said Chinese President Xi Jinping, in a phone call with U.S. President Donald Trump, stressed that a hard-earned alleviation of tensions must continue.

"Maintaining international unity on the issue is extremely important," Xi said. China was ready to work with the United States to resolve the issue in an appropriate way, state broadcaster CCTV quoted the Chinese leader as saying.

China's special envoy for North Korea Kong Xuanyou, speaking in an interview with Phoenix Television on Monday, urged the United States to seize the opportunity to seek direct talks with North Korea.

China's state-run Global Times newspaper said the Vancouver meeting reflected Washington's desire to "highlight its dominant role in resolving the North Korean nuclear issue and cripple the clout of China and Russia."

"But the meeting will likely accomplish little," it said in an editorial. Diplomats say China's absence will limit what can be achieved, while North Korean leader Kim Jong Un has shown no sign of being willing to bow to pressure to give up weapons he sees as vital to his survival.

Sanctions 'gaps'
The White House on Friday welcomed news that China's North Korea imports plunged in December to their lowest in dollar terms since at least the start of 2014, but President Donald Trump accused Beijing last month of allowing oil into North Korea, a charge Beijing denied.

Western European security sources told Reuters last month that Russian tankers had supplied fuel to North Korea on at least three occasions in recent months by transferring cargoes at sea. Russia says it observes U.N. sanctions.

Eric Walsh, Canada's ambassador to South Korea, told a panel at the University of British Columbia that the uneven way sanctions were applied meant "there are a lot of gaps." "One of the things we want to do is look at how we can improve enforcement," he said.

U.S. officials say hawks in the Trump administration remain pessimistic that the North-South contacts will lead anywhere. Even so, debate within the U.S. administration over whether to give more active consideration to military options, such as a pre-emptive strike on a North Korean nuclear or missile site, has lost momentum ahead of the Olympics, the officials said.

Scott Snyder, director of the U.S.-Korea policy program at Washington's Council on Foreign Relations, said that if Pyongyang felt tougher sanctions constituted a blockade, it might interpret them as an act of war.

"If sanctions are going to be effective in achieving the objective of bringing about diplomacy, (they) have to be used not as a hammer but actually as a nutcracker or a scalpel," he told the university panel.

British Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson, who will be in Vancouver, said the international community had to stand united.

"Sanctions are biting but we need to maintain diplomatic pressure on Kim Jong Un's regime," he said in a statement.
 

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http://nationalpost.com/news/politi...n-north-korea-but-key-ally-japan-not-on-board


Canada and U.S. touting Vancouver meeting on North Korea, but key ally Japan is reluctant
Marie-Danielle Smith


December 19, 2017 6:27 PM EST

Filed under:
  • Canadian Politics
Share this Story





TOKYO — Canada and the United States are publicly discussing plans for a major meeting on North Korea in Vancouver next month, but key ally Japan doesn’t seem to have decided whether or not the meeting would be a good idea.

The planned summit, to be co-chaired by U.S. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson and Canadian Foreign Minister Chrystia Freeland, is a major topic as the two meet in Ottawa Tuesday.

“At this stage, we are not sure what kind of meeting it will be,” a Japanese government official told the National Post on Monday, questioning whether the talks could result in anything much different than diplomatic efforts in the past. “We have not made decisions.”

The meeting will be called the “United Nations Command Sending States Meeting,” according to a briefing by a U.S. State Department official Monday.

Countries that were members of the United Nations Command will be invited. The military grouping consisted of South Korea, the United States and 15 other countries, including Canada, that contributed to defending the south during the Korean War from 1950 to 1953.

ajw102-the-canadian-press1.jpg

Foreign Affairs Minister Chrystia Freeland speaks with U.S. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson before a meeting in Ottawa, Tuesday December 19, 2017. Adrian Wyld/Canadian Press / THE CANADIAN PRESS
“The meeting of the Vancouver Group is going to be another visible sign that the international community is acting in concert to speak to the government of North Korea and to say this is threatening us all and the pressure will increase until the behaviour changes,” Freeland said in a joint press conference with Tillerson Tuesday.

“Having said that, we are confident that this campaign of international pressure will lead to the best outcome for the whole world, I think the only outcome for the whole world, which is a diplomatic path to a resolution to this crisis.”

Tillerson confirmed original Korean War sending states are invited as well as others including Japan, India and Sweden. “What’s important for North Korea to know is that this pressure campaign will not abate, we will not be rolling any of it back, it will only intensify as time goes by,” he said.

Freeland’s press secretary Adam Austen said some invitations haven’t been responded to yet but “Japan and South Korea are in for sure.”
 

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Kim only want to nuke no body but Dotard. Who else need to be worried!?

Why we had to rescue Dotard?



https://www.cnbc.com/2018/01/09/nor...agree-to-resolve-issues-through-dialogue.html



North Korea says weapons are only aimed at the US, not China or Russia
Published 8:21 AM ET Tue, 9 Jan 2018Updated 8:39 AM ET Tue, 9 Jan 2018Reuters


104934991-J1UC6737-2.530x298.jpg

Handout: South Korean Ministry of Unification
Officials from South Korea and North Korea meet to discuss the North's participation in the 2018 Winter Olympics.
The discussion of North Korea's nuclear program and its weapons arsenal, which is solely aimed at the United States, would negatively impact inter-Korean ties, a North Korean official said on Tuesday while finishing up talks with the South.

"North Korea's weapons are only aimed at the United States, not our brethren, China or Russia," said Ri Son Gwon, head of North Korea's delegation at the first inter-Korean talks in more than two years.

Ri added that Pyongyang's nuclear program was not an issue between North and South Korea.

North Korea and South Korea on Tuesday agreed on negotiations to resolve problems and military talks aimed at averting accidental conflict, after their first official dialogue in more than two years, as Pyongyang's nuclear weapons program fuels tension.

In a joint statement after the 11-hour talks, the North pledged to send a large delegation to next month's Pyeongchang Winter Olympics in the South, but made a 'strong complaint' after Seoul proposed talks to denuclearize the Korean peninsula.

South Korea asked its neighbor to halt hostile acts that stoke tension on the peninsula, and in return, the North agreed that peace should be guaranteed in the region, the South's unification ministry said in a separate statement.

The talks had been closely watched by world leaders keen for any sign of a reduction in tension, as fears grow over the North's missile launches and development of nuclear weapons, in defiance of United Nations Security Council resolutions.

Earlier on Tuesday, Seoul said it was prepared to lift some sanctions temporarily so North Korean officials could visit the South for the Games. The North said its delegation would comprise athletes, high-ranking officials, a cheering squad, art performers as well as reporters and spectators.

South Korea has unilaterally banned several North Korean officials from entry in response to Pyongyang's ramped-up missile and nuclear tests, held despite international pressure.

However, some South Korean officials have said they see the Olympics as a possible opportunity for easing tension.

Foreign ministry spokesman Roh Kyu-deok said Seoul would consider whether it needed to take "prior steps", together with the U.N. Security Council and other relevant countries, to help the North Koreans visit for the Olympics.

Working talks will be held soon to work out the details of bringing the North Koreans to the Olympics, the statement said, with the exact schedule to be decided via documented exchanges.

Family reunion
At Tuesday's talks, the first since December 2015, Seoul proposed inter-Korean military discussions to reduce tension on the peninsula and a reunion of family members in time for February's Lunar New Year holiday, but the joint statement made no mention of the reunions.

The North has finished technical work to restore a military hotline with South Korea, Seoul said, with normal communications set to resume on Wednesday. It was not immediately clear what information would be transferred along the hotline.

The North cut communications in February 2016, following the South's decision to shut down a jointly run industrial park in the North.

North Korea also responded 'positively' to the South's proposal for athletes from both sides to march together at the Games' opening ceremony and other joint activities during the Winter Olympics, Seoul said.

Athletes of the two sides have not paraded together at international sports events since the 2007 Asian Winter Games in China, after relations chilled under nearly a decade of conservative rule in the South.

The United States, which has 28,500 troops stationed in South Korea as a legacy of the 1950-1953 Korean War, initially responded coolly to the idea of inter-Korean meetings, but U.S. President Donald Trump later called them "a good thing."

Trump has said he would like to see talks go beyond the Olympics. "At the appropriate time, we'll get involved," he said.

On Tuesday, China's foreign ministry said it was happy to see talks between North and South Korea and welcomed all positive steps. Russia echoed the sentiment, with a Kremlin spokesman saying, "This is exactly the kind of dialogue that we said was necessary."

by Taboola
MORE FROM CNBC
 

tun_dr_m

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Kim only want to nuke no body but Dotard. Who else need to be worried!?

Why we had to rescue Dotard?



https://www.cnbc.com/2018/01/09/nor...agree-to-resolve-issues-through-dialogue.html



North Korea says weapons are only aimed at the US, not China or Russia
Published 8:21 AM ET Tue, 9 Jan 2018Updated 8:39 AM ET Tue, 9 Jan 2018Reuters


104934991-J1UC6737-2.530x298.jpg

Handout: South Korean Ministry of Unification
Officials from South Korea and North Korea meet to discuss the North's participation in the 2018 Winter Olympics.
The discussion of North Korea's nuclear program and its weapons arsenal, which is solely aimed at the United States, would negatively impact inter-Korean ties, a North Korean official said on Tuesday while finishing up talks with the South.

"North Korea's weapons are only aimed at the United States, not our brethren, China or Russia," said Ri Son Gwon, head of North Korea's delegation at the first inter-Korean talks in more than two years.

Ri added that Pyongyang's nuclear program was not an issue between North and South Korea.

North Korea and South Korea on Tuesday agreed on negotiations to resolve problems and military talks aimed at averting accidental conflict, after their first official dialogue in more than two years, as Pyongyang's nuclear weapons program fuels tension.

In a joint statement after the 11-hour talks, the North pledged to send a large delegation to next month's Pyeongchang Winter Olympics in the South, but made a 'strong complaint' after Seoul proposed talks to denuclearize the Korean peninsula.

South Korea asked its neighbor to halt hostile acts that stoke tension on the peninsula, and in return, the North agreed that peace should be guaranteed in the region, the South's unification ministry said in a separate statement.

The talks had been closely watched by world leaders keen for any sign of a reduction in tension, as fears grow over the North's missile launches and development of nuclear weapons, in defiance of United Nations Security Council resolutions.

Earlier on Tuesday, Seoul said it was prepared to lift some sanctions temporarily so North Korean officials could visit the South for the Games. The North said its delegation would comprise athletes, high-ranking officials, a cheering squad, art performers as well as reporters and spectators.

South Korea has unilaterally banned several North Korean officials from entry in response to Pyongyang's ramped-up missile and nuclear tests, held despite international pressure.

However, some South Korean officials have said they see the Olympics as a possible opportunity for easing tension.

Foreign ministry spokesman Roh Kyu-deok said Seoul would consider whether it needed to take "prior steps", together with the U.N. Security Council and other relevant countries, to help the North Koreans visit for the Olympics.

Working talks will be held soon to work out the details of bringing the North Koreans to the Olympics, the statement said, with the exact schedule to be decided via documented exchanges.

Family reunion
At Tuesday's talks, the first since December 2015, Seoul proposed inter-Korean military discussions to reduce tension on the peninsula and a reunion of family members in time for February's Lunar New Year holiday, but the joint statement made no mention of the reunions.

The North has finished technical work to restore a military hotline with South Korea, Seoul said, with normal communications set to resume on Wednesday. It was not immediately clear what information would be transferred along the hotline.

The North cut communications in February 2016, following the South's decision to shut down a jointly run industrial park in the North.

North Korea also responded 'positively' to the South's proposal for athletes from both sides to march together at the Games' opening ceremony and other joint activities during the Winter Olympics, Seoul said.

Athletes of the two sides have not paraded together at international sports events since the 2007 Asian Winter Games in China, after relations chilled under nearly a decade of conservative rule in the South.

The United States, which has 28,500 troops stationed in South Korea as a legacy of the 1950-1953 Korean War, initially responded coolly to the idea of inter-Korean meetings, but U.S. President Donald Trump later called them "a good thing."

Trump has said he would like to see talks go beyond the Olympics. "At the appropriate time, we'll get involved," he said.

On Tuesday, China's foreign ministry said it was happy to see talks between North and South Korea and welcomed all positive steps. Russia echoed the sentiment, with a Kremlin spokesman saying, "This is exactly the kind of dialogue that we said was necessary."

by Taboola
MORE FROM CNBC



Kim Jong Nuke should offer a deal to the world:

Just help NK to nuke USA with 10 warheads detonated in USA. After which NK will dismantle all warheads from Hwasong ICBM, and put everything in a NUKE FOR PEACE MUSEUM in NK opened to public as Tourism Attraction with Actual nuke USA H-bombs and actual Hwasong ICBMs for display. Admission Tickets @RMB¥1000 and which 20% will be donated to UN. Surely will be #1 hot global tourism spot. 10X more lucrative than Disneyland.


stock-photo-light-bulb-idea-emoji-cartoon-d-rendering-421467907.jpg
 

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http://news.sina.com.cn/w/zx/2018-01-15/doc-ifyqqieu6730402.shtml

当年在朝鲜跟中国开战的17国 刚又被美国拉到一起
当年在朝鲜跟中国开战的17国 刚又被美国拉到一起

0
  原标题:当年在朝鲜跟中国开战的17国,刚又聚在一起……

  由美国、加拿大共同召集举办的“朝鲜半岛安全稳定外长会议”于当地时间星期一开始在温哥华举行。美加邀请的参会国划线范围有些奇怪,它们很多不是今天半岛局势的主要攸关方,而是上世纪50年代朝鲜战争期间在“联合国军”旗帜下跟随美国向半岛出兵的那些国家。那是个早被遗忘的国家圈子,华盛顿却突然又表现出想要让它复活的样子。

HtYh-fyqrewi4558823.jpg
▲“朝鲜半岛安全稳定外长会议”
  因为会议冠上了“半岛安全稳定”的名头,人们不好在外交层面向它迎头浇冷水,不过由于中俄朝三国未被邀请与会,国际舆论中几乎没有看好本次会议将会取得有效成果的声音,各种分析大多在猜测,美国搞这么一个会议的目的究竟是什么。

Ij9Q-fyqrewi4558944.jpg
▲路透社报道截图:“中国缺席讨论如何对朝鲜施压的加拿大会议”
  美加两国是在去年12月19日美国国务卿蒂勒森访问加拿大时突然宣布将召开这次会议的。华盛顿在半岛局势高度紧张的时候绕开就朝核问题经常打交道的“内圈国家”,把已经忘了自己六十几年前曾陪美国出兵半岛的“外围国家”聚到一起,显然不是为了一起反思那场战争的教训,而是“想了更多”。

-SKp-fyqrewi4558986.jpg
▲参会国家名单
  首先,华盛顿想向平壤施压,传递“我真的在准备动武”的信号。这些国家当年曾出兵半岛为美国军队壮威,别管派出的军队是多是少,它们都算参与了朝鲜战争。今天重新坐到一起,那些国家很可能没那个意思,但华盛顿可以对平壤说:它们随时准备跟随美军重回半岛。

  美国一直受到中俄促其与朝鲜开启谈判的压力,它要证明自己对朝鲜开展极限施压“是正确的”,也需要在安理会之外拉一个朋友圈,让其他国家为它的半岛政策站台。受邀开会的国家有些是美国的传统盟友,如英国、澳大利亚、新西兰等,也有埃塞俄比亚、哥伦比亚等对朝鲜半岛问题举哪只手应该都不在乎的不相关国家。这是个美国容易把控的外围圈子。

  安理会对美国来说太难调控了,华盛顿试图通过这次温哥华会议突出自己解决朝核问题的“领导作用”,削弱中俄的影响力。这次开会的也有二十来个国家,华盛顿可以宣称这些国家“代表了国际社会”,从而增加自己对朝极端强硬路线的合法性。

5NzS-fyqrewi4559011.jpg

  其实美国下力气攒这个会议,最后的效果很可能“假大空”。有关半岛问题的国际决定只有在联合国框架下达成的,才是合法且有效的。美对朝极限施压,没人能拦得住它。但如果最终搞出战争,甚至使用了核武器,那么无论做什么样的解释,以及之前得到过什么声援,华盛顿都脱不了责。

  美国召集这个会要给谁看呢?给平壤看,它现在软硬不吃。给中俄看,中俄更加重视安理会和联合国。给联合国看,联合国根本就没派代表参加这次会议。

  特朗普政府最有可能还是想把这个会开给美国国内看。华盛顿目前的半岛政策是近几届政府中最强硬的,美朝尖锐对立达到高潮。这孕育了大量风险,13日夏威夷误发导弹来袭警报引起严重虚惊。华盛顿现在需要日韩以外的更多国家公开为它的对朝政策点赞。

  朝韩借冬奥会契机戏剧性缓和关系,多少有点放了美加召集会议所需紧张环境的鸽子,带来了某种尴尬。更重要的是,这次会议的名分、目标都恍恍惚惚的,它的参加者名单、会议议程很长时间里缺少权威版本。这样的会议一般会“跟着感觉走”,召集者多说话,其他参会者打起精神来多鼓鼓掌就够了。

责任编辑:张建利
 

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http://www.wenxuecity.com/news/2018/01/15/6897709_print.html

当年在朝鲜跟中国开战的17国,刚又聚在一起(组图)
文章来源: 环球时报公号 于 2018-01-15 08:15:10 - 新闻取自各大新闻媒体,新闻内容并不代表本网立场!
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原标题:当年在朝鲜跟中国开战的17国,刚又聚在一起……

由美国、加拿大共同召集举办的“朝鲜半岛安全稳定外长会议”于当地时间星期一开始在温哥华举行。美加邀请的参会国划线范围有些奇怪,它们很多不是今天半岛局势的主要攸关方,而是上世纪50年代朝鲜战争期间在“联合国军”旗帜下跟随美国向半岛出兵的那些国家。那是个早被遗忘的国家圈子,华盛顿却突然又表现出想要让它复活的样子。

8BEA555E7A0911DAC27910BF1D4908ED2B7D3271_size27_w640_h337.jpeg

▲“朝鲜半岛安全稳定外长会议”

因为会议冠上了“半岛安全稳定”的名头,人们不好在外交层面向它迎头浇冷水,不过由于中俄朝三国未被邀请与会,国际舆论中几乎没有看好本次会议将会取得有效成果的声音,各种分析大多在猜测,美国搞这么一个会议的目的究竟是什么。

F3188009E71C68A370C89384CF996048EDA41FBC_size28_w591_h307.jpeg

▲路透社报道截图:“中国缺席讨论如何对朝鲜施压的加拿大会议”

美加两国是在去年12月19日美国国务卿蒂勒森访问加拿大时突然宣布将召开这次会议的。华盛顿在半岛局势高度紧张的时候绕开就朝核问题经常打交道的“内圈国家”,把已经忘了自己六十几年前曾陪美国出兵半岛的“外围国家”聚到一起,显然不是为了一起反思那场战争的教训,而是“想了更多”。

75B7FC23D67DE3CAA344487D3E1E8E623B1D8E46_size23_w425_h461.png

▲参会国家名单

首先,华盛顿想向平壤施压,传递“我真的在准备动武”的信号。这些国家当年曾出兵半岛为美国军队壮威,别管派出的军队是多是少,它们都算参与了朝鲜战争。今天重新坐到一起,那些国家很可能没那个意思,但华盛顿可以对平壤说:它们随时准备跟随美军重回半岛。

美国一直受到中俄促其与朝鲜开启谈判的压力,它要证明自己对朝鲜开展极限施压“是正确的”,也需要在安理会之外拉一个朋友圈,让其他国家为它的半岛政策站台。受邀开会的国家有些是美国的传统盟友,如英国、澳大利亚、新西兰等,也有埃塞俄比亚、哥伦比亚等对朝鲜半岛问题举哪只手应该都不在乎的不相关国家。这是个美国容易把控的外围圈子。

安理会对美国来说太难调控了,华盛顿试图通过这次温哥华会议突出自己解决朝核问题的“领导作用”,削弱中俄的影响力。这次开会的也有二十来个国家,华盛顿可以宣称这些国家“代表了国际社会”,从而增加自己对朝极端强硬路线的合法性。

8238941A83EE57FB36AD00C274A2D0D2089FFCAC_size26_w550_h366.jpeg


其实美国下力气攒这个会议,最后的效果很可能“假大空”。有关半岛问题的国际决定只有在联合国框架下达成的,才是合法且有效的。美对朝极限施压,没人能拦得住它。但如果最终搞出战争,甚至使用了核武器,那么无论做什么样的解释,以及之前得到过什么声援,华盛顿都脱不了责。

美国召集这个会要给谁看呢?给平壤看,它现在软硬不吃。给中俄看,中俄更加重视安理会和联合国。给联合国看,联合国根本就没派代表参加这次会议。

特朗普政府最有可能还是想把这个会开给美国国内看。华盛顿目前的半岛政策是近几届政府中最强硬的,美朝尖锐对立达到高潮。这孕育了大量风险,13日夏威夷误发导弹来袭警报引起严重虚惊。华盛顿现在需要日韩以外的更多国家公开为它的对朝政策点赞。

朝韩借冬奥会契机戏剧性缓和关系,多少有点放了美加召集会议所需紧张环境的鸽子,带来了某种尴尬。更重要的是,这次会议的名分、目标都恍恍惚惚的,它的参加者名单、会议议程很长时间里缺少权威版本。这样的会议一般会“跟着感觉走”,召集者多说话,其他参会者打起精神来多鼓鼓掌就够了。
 

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http://opinion.huanqiu.com/editorial/2018-01/11524662.html

社评:美国召集一个奇怪的圈子讨论朝核

2018-01-15 17:45:00 环球时报 分享
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由美国、加拿大共同召集举办的“朝鲜半岛安全稳定外长会议”于当地时间星期一开始在温哥华举行。美加邀请的参会国划线范围有些奇怪,它们很多不是今天半岛局势的主要攸关方,而是上世纪50年代朝鲜战争期间在“联合国军”旗帜下跟随美国向半岛出兵的那些国家。那是个早被遗忘的国家圈子,华盛顿却突然又表现出想要让它复活的样子。

因为会议冠上了“半岛安全稳定”的名头,人们不好在外交层面向它迎头浇冷水,不过由于中俄朝三国未被邀请与会,国际舆论中几乎没有看好本次会议将会取得有效成果的声音,各种分析大多在猜测,美国搞这么一个会议的目的究竟是什么。

美加两国是在去年12月19日美国国务卿蒂勒森访问加拿大时突然宣布将召开这次会议的。华盛顿在半岛局势高度紧张的时候绕开就朝核问题经常打交道的“内圈国家”,把已经忘了自己六十几年前曾陪美国出兵半岛的“外围国家”聚到一起,显然不是为了一起反思那场战争的教训,而是“想了更多”。

首先,华盛顿想向平壤施压,传递“我真的在准备动武”的信号。这些国家当年曾出兵半岛为美国军队壮威,别管派出的军队是多是少,它们都算参与了朝鲜战争。今天重新坐到一起,那些国家很可能没那个意思,但华盛顿可以对平壤说:它们随时准备跟随美军重回半岛。

美国一直受到中俄促其与朝鲜开启谈判的压力,它要证明自己对朝鲜开展极限施压“是正确的”,也需要在安理会之外拉一个朋友圈,让其他国家为它的半岛政策站台。受邀开会的国家有些是美国的传统盟友,如英国、澳大利亚、新西兰等,也有埃塞俄比亚、哥伦比亚等对朝鲜半岛问题举哪只手应该都不在乎的不相关国家。这是个美国容易把控的外围圈子。

安理会对美国来说太难调控了,华盛顿试图通过这次温哥华会议突出自己解决朝核问题的“领导作用”,削弱中俄的影响力。这次开会的也有二十来个国家,华盛顿可以宣称这些国家“代表了国际社会”,从而增加自己对朝极端强硬路线的合法性。

其实美国下力气攒这个会议,最后的效果很可能“假大空”。有关半岛问题的国际决定只有在联合国框架下达成的,才是合法且有效的。美对朝极限施压,没人能拦得住它。但如果最终搞出战争,甚至使用了核武器,那么无论做什么样的解释,以及之前得到过什么声援,华盛顿都脱不了责。

美国召集这个会要给谁看呢?给平壤看,它现在软硬不吃。给中俄看,中俄更加重视安理会和联合国。给联合国看,联合国根本就没派代表参加这次会议。

特朗普政府最有可能还是想把这个会开给美国国内看。华盛顿目前的半岛政策是近几届政府中最强硬的,美朝尖锐对立达到高潮。这孕育了大量风险,13日夏威夷误发导弹来袭警报引起严重虚惊。华盛顿现在需要日韩以外的更多国家公开为它的对朝政策点赞。

朝韩借冬奥会契机戏剧性缓和关系,多少有点放了美加召集会议所需紧张环境的鸽子,带来了某种尴尬。更重要的是,这次会议的名分、目标都恍恍惚惚的,它的参加者名单、会议议程很长时间里缺少权威版本。这样的会议一般会“跟着感觉走”,召集者多说话,其他参会者打起精神来多鼓鼓掌就够了。
责编:李林芝
 
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