My guess 20 cases on Sunday
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[COVID-19 Virus] The Sinkies are fucked Thread.
- Thread starter zhihau
- Start date
Someone should create a thread on guesses for how many cases at end of each week.
May be "act of god" not covered? Surely their ass covered from these six sigma events.
KNN can use mathematical incremental probability to guess KNN
Eg numbers 3 5 7 10 is an incremental of 2 slowly to 3 then 4 .....
29jan wed = 10
30jan thu = 13
31jan fri = 16
1feb sat = 20
2feb sun = 24
KNN
Nope the increase is not a line. It is a curve.
let's see on Saturday what the number is.
She's the one who called me on my cellphone back in 2003 when I was on my way home from SGH. Told me to detour and check myself into TTSH.
Because you got infected with SARS, but managed to recover. She speaks very poor English but I am sure she is a good medical professional, yes?
thighland ranked higher than sinkisland in preparation and readiness for communicable diseases. one from 3rd world to 1st in that category, and the other from 1st to 3rd world.
I tested negative for SARS even though I was in close contact with Dr Chng and Dr Chao and the index patient. I was damn lucky!
I dunno about Prof Leo clinical skills. She might have been more a consultant for Public Health Measures. It is more administrative leadership role. Like General in Army. Ok move X number doctors here. Ok move patients here. Ok shut down airport. Ok quarantine these people. ok call Dr Nayr69sg and tell him to go to TTSH!
Infectious Disease specialists in singapore generally see in hospital those antibiotic resistant patients. Also HIV. Maybe sometimes exotic cases seen in foreigners or people who traveled overseas and brought back something.
Only when got SARS-like virus then they in the limelight.
They never interview Dr Hsu Li Yang? Or Dr Jenny Low? My classmates!
Unsung heroes. When and if I see any reports on your classmates, I will post to let you know.
actually the unsung heroes are those doctors and nurses who are NOT directly treating KNOWN cases.
because you never know who is infected or is a carrier. So they still have to wear all the gear
3000 are dead because the virus is extremely virulent compared to the Wuhan virus.
The more easily spread a virus is the more dangerous it becomes because chances of catching it are a lot higher.
As for the nCOV mortality rate the only reason it is higher is because it is a new virus and immunity levels are a lot lower. Once the virus becomes commonplace the mortality rate will drop significantly and it will become just another cold virus.
Correct. Unless the virus mutates again.
Back during SARS the suspicion was that the virus mutated hence the mortality rates dropped.
It makes sense for a virus to NOT kill its host. That way it can keep perpetuating. New host. Another host and so on. If it kills its host then it also dies.
The data from China is suspect. We have to see what happens with cases outside of China. So far it seems the virus is not that dangerous in terms of mortality at all outside China.
I suspect that the number of people infected is a lot higher but most of them just experience common cold symptoms or no symptoms at all and hence have not been included in the "confirmed cases" category.
This means that the mortality rate is a lot lower than the official number.
I had the sniffles last week and I took a Sudafed and felt better 48 hours later. It could have been the Wuhan virus as I had dinner with a friend who works at the airport and has to process thousands of Chinese tourists daily. He had a stuffy nose too.
Life goes on.
Good observation. I concur.
I am also having a bit of a cough. My brother in law came back from Singapore 2 weeks ago with bad cough sore throat muscle aches etc.
Just read this..
It proves my point that the infection rate is actually a lot higher and that in many people the virus is probably benign.
Genetic diversity has ensured that mankind has survived till today and it will continue to stand as in good stead for the foreseeable future.
*******
https://www.stuff.co.nz/world/asia/...ars-wuhan-coronavirus-could-spread-undetected
The case of a 10-year-old boy who was diagnosed with the Wuhan coronavirus even though he showed no symptoms is raising concern that people may be spreading the virus undetected by the front-line screening methods implemented to contain the epidemic.
The boy was part of a family who visited relatives in the central Chinese city over the New Year. While his parents and grandparents fell ill and were treated after they returned to their hometown, the 10-year-old appeared healthy and was only diagnosed with the virus after his parents insisted he too was tested, his doctors said, adding that he "was shedding virus without symptoms."
"You may have mild disease spreaders that would be feeding sort of a community outbreak and they don't go to hospital because they don't feel that bad," said Ralph Baric, professor of microbiology and immunology at the Gillings School of Global Public Health at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, who has studied coronaviruses for decades and warned about their threat before the 2003 SARS outbreak.
The boy's case, published January 24 in the Lancet medical journal, was the first to demonstrate person-to-person and health-care associated spread of the newly identified virus, dubbed 2019-nCoV.
It proves my point that the infection rate is actually a lot higher and that in many people the virus is probably benign.
Genetic diversity has ensured that mankind has survived till today and it will continue to stand as in good stead for the foreseeable future.
*******
https://www.stuff.co.nz/world/asia/...ars-wuhan-coronavirus-could-spread-undetected
The case of a 10-year-old boy who was diagnosed with the Wuhan coronavirus even though he showed no symptoms is raising concern that people may be spreading the virus undetected by the front-line screening methods implemented to contain the epidemic.
The boy was part of a family who visited relatives in the central Chinese city over the New Year. While his parents and grandparents fell ill and were treated after they returned to their hometown, the 10-year-old appeared healthy and was only diagnosed with the virus after his parents insisted he too was tested, his doctors said, adding that he "was shedding virus without symptoms."
"You may have mild disease spreaders that would be feeding sort of a community outbreak and they don't go to hospital because they don't feel that bad," said Ralph Baric, professor of microbiology and immunology at the Gillings School of Global Public Health at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, who has studied coronaviruses for decades and warned about their threat before the 2003 SARS outbreak.
The boy's case, published January 24 in the Lancet medical journal, was the first to demonstrate person-to-person and health-care associated spread of the newly identified virus, dubbed 2019-nCoV.
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