Can the PAP be ousted in 2016?

[griffin]

Yesterday, The Real Singapore facebook posed a question if PAP can be ousted in the next elections. Among the various comments, one caught my attention. It paints a pessimistic view but there appears to be some truth. Looks like Opposition will face a tough climb in 2016. The post is reproduced below.
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To answer this question we must first find out who will vote for PAP in 2016. In my view the PAP vote bank will be from:

a) New citizens (an act of gratitude)
b) Business operators, eg restaurant owners (direct beneficiaries of immigrant influx)
c) A significant portion of property owning Singaporeans (About 80% of Singaporeans live in HDB flats - source: www.hdb.gov.sg/fi10/fi10320p.nsf/w/HDBWinsUNAward. Of the remaining 20% lets assume 10% are Singaporeans. So broadly 90% of Singaporeans are tied to property. With astronomical property prices that are directly attributed to PAP policies, will they vote for PAP or the Opposition? Think rationally in the context of property values dipping when a non-PAP government takes the mantle of leadership.

Considering the above, there is a strong possibility that PAP will have no problem in continuing its reign into 2016 and beyond. Some may argue that in 2011, there was a 60-40 division of votes, and the subsequent two by- elections was an indicator of a PAP slide. True. But the 6.9 mil has altered the dynamics of PAP’s vote catching strategy. PAP has done its sums and is confident of a return in 2016, albeit it might concede a few seats to the Opposition.

Source:https://www.facebook.com/therealsingapore?hc_location=stream

 

[zhihau]

obtaining 30 seats would be a nice target.

 

[The_Hypocrite]

More a fantasy. If can deny pap 2/3 majority i happy oreadi. Eveb happier of the next president is not a pappie dog like the current n previous ones.

 

[Poomer]

I believe in three conditions that will work in favour of more opposition.

1) Demise of LKY
This might provoke a split in the PAP. Also, Singaporeans hasn't really taken to his son. It'll be interesting how many people will put their trust in him when LKY is gone.Then again, if he die a few months before elections, the sympathy votes for his son might even improve on PAP's results in 2011's GE.
2) Financial crisis
Singaporeans have become a pretty cynical lot under the current government. The government tells us that Singapore is progressing, and they made $30 billion last year. But what many local Singaporeans get are rising prices and stagnant wages, so people are starting to distrust the government. So imagine one fine day, when the shit hits the fan, who are they gonna blame?
3) More Foreigners
Things are already getting out of hand, sure they can slowdown foreigner growth figures, but this island is still crowded as hell. You know it's pretty bad when many are in agreement with the statement, 'NS for Singaporeans, Jobs for foreigners'. At this rate, sooner or later, a right-wing nationalist party will be created. And they were be damn popular.

 

[Kuailan]

At this rate Papaya gahmen is going by 2016 there's nothing much left!!

all the white maggots will crawl under ground!!

Look at the Shitty Times papers today ERP (Everyday Rob People) still not
enough increase $6.00 for one jab!! by time you reach your office in Shentonway
you lost count how much you have already paid for the Everyday Rob People gantry!!

 

[laksaboy]

The only way the PAP can be 'ousted' is for an ideological split to occur within the party.

 

[zhihau]

The only way the PAP can be 'ousted' is for an ideological split to occur within the party.

Barisan Socialis came forth, not surprised at all if there would be a split within the PAP with the demise of LKY.

 

[Leongsam]

The PAP will regain all lost ground plus more come 2016.

The reason is simple.. people have short memories. Just look how quickly the uproar over 6.9 million has died down.

Come election year, a few sweeteners, some nice motherhood statements and all will be well.

 

[zhihau]

he PAP will regain all lost ground plus more come 2016.

The reason is simple.. people have short memories. Just look how quickly the uproar over 6.9 million has died down.

Come election year, a few sweeteners, some nice motherhood statements and all will be well.

by introducing more Parliamentary seats?

 

[god_zeus]

NO NEED TO VOTE THEM OUT
WHEN usa BECOME BANKRUPT
The Delta force will come in and deliver ' the package' to obama
the monies in the GIC and Temasek
thats why obama paiseh to come here

<iframe width="560" height="315" src="//www.youtube.com/embed/qrQHLr_MB80" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

The only way the PAP can be 'ousted' is for an ideological split to occur within the party.

 

[Sideswipe]

the old days when the pap can win 95% seats and 60%+ popular votes are well and truly over. the pap will lose more seats but not the election in 2016.

 

[singveld]

i can say they will still be in power after 2016. with 100% certainty.

 

[STUCK_HERE]

Can don't ask this stupid question again? The answer is NO. Wait till you see the number of Likes when any of the MP say anything.

 

[tonychat]

Another sinkie wait for 2016..freaking useless.

 

[tonychat]

As long as sinkies remain ball-less, PAP will remain in power... Zeddy knows very well what is ball-less. He is the type of ball-less low life who keep PAP in power

 

[tanwahtiu]

1. Voting does not depend on property prices, without or without PAP property prices will not fall.

2. With increasing costs of business from government taxes and COE more business people finding hard to surivive and more likely to get rid of PAP>

3. New citizens are not fool they can judge for themselves the sentiment from the locals and overtime will see the more reasons to replace PAP.

Yesterday, The Real Singapore facebook posed a question if PAP can be ousted in the next elections. Among the various comments, one caught my attention. It paints a pessimistic view but there appears to be some truth. Looks like Opposition will face a tough climb in 2016. The post is reproduced below.
========================================

 

[Char_Azn]

The PAP will lose if a good opposition proves to be better. Anyone who thinks the current opposition is better should be labotomized

 

[Cristiano Ronaldo]

The PAP will lose if a good opposition proves to be better. Anyone who things the current opposition is better should be labotomized

Char Siew.. Your North Korea thread is calling u for updates.

 

[JeanGrey]

let the gyrphons lead the way

s i c

 

[Char_Azn]

Char Siew.. Your North Korea thread is calling u for updates.

Just did. Anyone who thinks those pictures can be considered a poor country are really frogs in the well. I suggest U start by visiting India