Best forecast team in the world - Election Department

[winnipegjets]

With only 100 count, it can predict with 100 percent accuracy, regardless of population, the outcome.

Yes, our Elections Department was able to predict with 100 percent accuracy the outcome of each precinct. And they did it with only 100 votes count, regardless of the population size.

Wow. We should package this out to sell to the world.

 

[hbk75]

With only 100 count, it can predict with 100 percent accuracy, regardless of population, the outcome.

Yes, our Elections Department was able to predict with 100 percent accuracy the outcome of each precinct. And they did it with only 100 votes count, regardless of the population size.

Wow. We should package this out to sell to the world.

i dun get you. the votes are already in the boxes and they will have to calculate all eventually for the final results.

 

[JHolmesJr]

Interested to see the analysis of foreign media....the results are poles apart from bbc analysis.

 

[tryharder]

It's 300 ballots. But I know what you mean. I was surprised over the attempt using such a small sample size. Yet, the deviation between the sample count and final results are so close. I am not a statistician to comment how it was done but it certainly is impressive.

With only 100 count, it can predict with 100 percent accuracy, regardless of population, the outcome.

Yes, our Elections Department was able to predict with 100 percent accuracy the outcome of each precinct. And they did it with only 100 votes count, regardless of the population size.

Wow. We should package this out to sell to the world.

 

[kopirui]

It's 300 ballots. But I know what you mean. I was surprised over the attempt using such a small sample size. Yet, the deviation between the sample count and final results are so close. I am not a statistician to comment how it was done but it certainly is impressive.

100 count from random 20 box
how to not accurate

if you flip the dice 20 times, you almost get 50% even nos 50 % odd nos

 

[hairylee]

Now you know the power of statistician.

 

[eErotica69]

If the sample poll were announce before poll closes, it will affect voters decision.

In this instance, it is after the poll closed. So it has no bearing on the final result.

 

[Seee3]

With only 100 count, it can predict with 100 percent accuracy, regardless of population, the outcome.

Yes, our Elections Department was able to predict with 100 percent accuracy the outcome of each precinct. And they did it with only 100 votes count, regardless of the population size.

Wow. We should package this out to sell to the world.

I think you have misunderstood. It is not 100 counts. Based on the write up from ST http://www.straitstimes.com/politic...ample-counts-of-how-votes-are-cast-on-sept-11, it is 100 ballot papers per polling station. There are 833 polling stations in total. That is, on average each GRC would have about 10 polling stations or more, so the sample size is about 1000. Below is extracted from the link above :

Here is how the process, to be conducted at the 163 counting centres, works:

- At the start of the counting process, a random bundle of 100 ballot papers will be selected for each of the 833 polling stations.

- A counting assistant will count the number of votes for each candidate, or group of candidates for a GRC, before the candidates and counting agents present.

- The votes will be added up, with weightage given to account for the difference in the number of votes cast at each polling station.

- A sample count will then be shown as a percentage of valid votes garnered by each candidate, or group of candidates.

- The assistant returning officer will then record the votes and share it with candidates and their agents.

- A sample count for the GRC or SMC will be released to the media and published on the ELD website.

 

[RandomNexus]

With only 100 count, it can predict with 100 percent accuracy, regardless of population, the outcome.

Yes, our Elections Department was able to predict with 100 percent accuracy the outcome of each precinct. And they did it with only 100 votes count, regardless of the population size.

Wow. We should package this out to sell to the world.

Marjohn and his likes was 100% inaccurate. Wow we should package this out to sell as a reverse signal to the world

 

[winnipegjets]

i dun get you. the votes are already in the boxes and they will have to calculate all eventually for the final results.

It is fraud ...how could the Elections Department predict with 100 percent accuracy with a 100-vote sample for ALL the constituencies? This is the world's first forecasting system that can predict with 100 percent accuracy with a such a small sample. Unbelievable.

 

[SgGoneWrong]

It is fraud ...how could the Elections Department predict with 100 percent accuracy with a 100-vote sample for ALL the constituencies? This is the world's first forecasting system that can predict with 100 percent accuracy with a such a small sample. Unbelievable.

Uniquely sg, just like how we legalised corruption and pay world highest salary to pinky. Pinky is indeed the world's best statistician, he deserves a noble prize for inventing 100 votes sample.

 

[xpo2015]

PAP cheated all the way from the beginning to the end. LKY has thought of it for a long time. The plan can make Lee Regime last for generations.