https://tw.news.yahoo.com/夏珍專欄-民進黨打不贏韓國瑜-賴給中國憋死自己-225001280.html
夏珍專欄：民進黨打不贏韓國瑜，賴給中國憋死自己
風傳媒
4.1k 人追蹤
夏珍
2018年11月9日 上午6:50
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九合一選舉人氣王、國民黨高雄市長候選人韓國瑜「三山造勢」
第二場「旗山夜襲」，因為有了第一場「鳳山炸雷」，持平而論，沒有太多意外的「驚喜」或「驚嚇」，可以確定的是，韓流難擋之勢已成，不是民進黨輕易彈壓得下去，民進黨可能一肚子窩火，傾全黨之力怎麼可能打不贏這個「痞子禿頭」？但任何「怪現象」必有其成因，就像二０一四年柯文哲橫空出世，有個人特質的因素，當然也有大環境（民進黨執政不利）為舖墊。
政治基因突變，因為他是國民黨的「棄兵」
朋友形容柯文哲和韓國瑜都是「奇人」或「歧人」，在生物界叫「基因突變」，在數學上就是「奇異點」，沒有基因突變就沒有物種演化，沒有進化；沒有奇異點，物理沒有辦法解釋物理現象的反轉。問題來了：
政治上的奇異點是什麼呢？是神的祝福還是魔鬼的誘惑？
這樣的比喻，或許抬高了柯、韓，但無可諱言，台灣民主三十年之後，出現這麼異於政治常態的「政治人物」，帶給台灣的可能是改變的想望和興奮，但不能不承認背後的確可能有難以預期的風險，民進黨把這個「風險」歸結於中國因素，這恰恰犯了嚴重錯誤，遺憾的是，「中國因素」已經成為民進黨選舉慣性的「工具不理性」，有招沒招只剩這一招，去年打柯沒用，今年打韓怎麼可能有用？民進黨若還想不通，選舉最後兩周，就只能一路打到掛。
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20181108_3萬人+國旗海+手機燈海。國民黨高雄市長候選人韓國瑜第二場大造勢今晚在美濃區高美醫專登場，擠入超過3萬名支持者。（羅暐智攝）
國民黨高雄市長候選人韓國瑜第二場大造勢在美濃區高美醫專登場，擠入超過3萬名支持者。（羅暐智攝）
韓國瑜有什麼特殊？柯文哲號稱「政治素人」，一切跳脫藍綠思維之言行均可以「素人」之由解之；韓國瑜卻曾是四屆立委，還是鐵打的「黃復興」，肯定不是「政治素人」，他的「突變」因為他是國民黨的「棄兵」，而且，一棄十七年。二００一年不分區立委他在安全名單之外，除了極短的時代充任中和市副市長，形同離開政壇，二００七年爭取立委提名還被取消初選資格，理由是負面文宣。
長達十七年的時間裡，總統都換了三位，選舉造勢從群眾大會到網路社群，搶票關鍵從老人到爭取年輕世代；若非民進黨搶北農，沒有人知道他竟然成了和菜農最麻吉的北農總經理；若非過去十七年「相忘於江湖」，廢掉他一身熟悉的政治套路，他也不會一身孑然空降高雄，還能以自嘲為樂，不知道是否對當年負面文宣的反省，選舉迄今他從未對競爭對手口出惡言，他的政治語言早非當年的「鐵衛黃復興」。
抹黑塗黃扣紅都失效，要罵摩天輪想想「世堅情」
他是陸軍官校的職業軍人，為年金改革傷痕累累的軍公教把希望投射到他身上，就像支持警察出身的新北市長侯友宜一般；他是「菜販」和底層農漁民心思相通，只談賺大錢，這招在台北肯定沒用，就像民進黨動員文化人挺陳其邁，在高雄用處實在也不大；他肯定反台獨，但從不讓這三個字脫口而出，甚至基本不談國民黨嘮嘮叼叼掛在嘴邊的「九二共識」；他是國民黨提名候選人，但在造勢大會的呼籲是「這次選舉是高雄市民加上韓國瑜對民進黨投的不信任票！」
民進黨能拿他怎麼辦？不能像管碧玲罵丁守中一般罵他「沒知識兼沒衛生」，他好歹是政大碩士，台大治國三十年不過如此這般；柯一正導演說他是「王祿仔仙」，他的回應是：「別踩在我身上挺陳其邁。」他應該跟柯導說謝謝，因為柯一正挺陳的理由是陳其邁
「出淤泥而不染」，怎麼能不讓人聯想「淤泥」究竟何所指？因貪汙案保外就醫的民進黨前總統陳水扁感嘆，韓國瑜當選是逼他再度「北漂」，不知是助選還是反輔選？
名嘴指控他老婆在雲林辦學以每坪八元賤租台糖土地，先不論全台六十三處台糖租地興學，還有每坪一塊半的價碼，最尷尬的是，當年租地的是民進黨扁政府的台糖，如今是民進黨蔡政府的台糖，不論怎麼查辦，都是民進黨的事，莫怪民進黨以此打韓時都不忘帶上前提「一切合法」，這不是七傷拳而是烏龍膛炸了。
民進黨想抹黑他，結果有判決黑道背景前科的是自己的台北市黨部主委；民進黨要抹黃他，不談鬧出「招商陪睡」口舌風波的倒楣邱議瑩，就在韓國瑜被棄於政壇之外的十七年中，被狗仔隊拍到的緋聞留影綠遠多於藍，陳其邁要追打韓國瑜「愛情摩天輪」政見前，可能要先想想「世堅情」的經典版；至於民進黨永遠捨不得進化的抹紅絕招，韓國瑜已經在旗山造勢前臉書直播宣告，他的政治獻金絕對只有中華民國國民的捐款，而且，已達法定上限即將關帳，連抹金都不必了。
民進黨若能正常點，哪輪得韓流起風？
民進黨可能想不透為什麼今年打反中牌會失靈？第一，九合一是地方選舉，無涉國家方向，地方首長除了交流活動，基本沒有兩岸政策的主導權，何況此刻民進黨全面執政，就看看爭取連任的民進黨執政縣市，哪個首長蠢到跟打反中牌？只有北高兩市而已，台北市也只剩候選人姚文智喃喃自語，府院黨曾經聯手圍剿的「兩岸一家親」偃旗息鼓，所為者何不言可喻，這就是民進黨運用「中國因素」的「工具不理性」，「狼來了」喊二、三十年，能不失靈嗎？
第二，單一首長選舉決勝關鍵在中間選民，反中升高統獨對決唯一作用是鞏固基本盤，於開拓票源無益，陳水扁老拿當年三足鼎立選舉台北市長勝選為例，不論在今年的台北或高雄都完全不能比擬，當年是國民黨分裂，如今國民黨沒分裂，迸出來是號稱非藍非綠的柯文哲，丁守中反台獨不談統一，柯文哲自稱墨綠卻掛著「兩岸一家親」，姚文智高喊「反中保台」的下場就是沒人理，沒人理對民進黨還好一些，否則一個閃失，丁守中當選不打緊，柯文哲落選順勢選總統才叫麻煩。至於高雄則是兩強對決，就算民進黨自信在高雄執政二、三十年，高雄民意版圖獨（綠）大於藍，在反併吞遊行之後，總該更精準看清楚市民心聲，民進黨對經濟選民視而不見，能怪選戰愈打愈緊張嗎？
第三，也是最重要的，所有的「中國介入」─不論是中資或中國假新聞（消息），都是民進黨製造的虛象，沒嚇到選民卻嚇到自己。民意對民進黨的不滿，從能源政策、勞工政策、婚姻平權、轉型正義、甚至不知歸到哪兒的台大沒校長，都很難以藍綠截然劃分，隨便舉例，挺同反同的都有藍有綠，反勞基法二修的可能不藍不綠，連藍綠都定性不了，民進黨一刀切給中國，擺明了無賴卸責，民意怎麼可能埋單？遑論選舉最後兩周了，北京屁話不吭，包括對反併吞遊行，安靜地彷彿忘了台灣，也彷彿他們在放台灣選舉假，民進黨愈是聲嘶力竭愈顯荒謬，如此恐中豈不是讓北京看笑話？（推薦閱讀：
劉性仁觀點：韓國瑜與柯文哲區別，真義氣與假義氣的選擇）
韓流來襲擋不住，的確不是正常現象，但若民進黨能正常點，輪得到韓國瑜起風嗎？民主發展的順流與逆流，從來不是權力者界定，既取決於人民，還要時間驗證，
當民意寧可選擇「賭一次」，民進黨要警覺的可能不只是這次選舉的輸贏，而是大潮而時才能止、如何才能止？這份選後檢討報告，現在就可以起筆了。
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https://tw.news.yahoo.com/【yahoo論壇／陳少甫】國民黨奄奄一息-民進黨還是自-060007683.html
【Yahoo論壇／陳少甫】國民黨奄奄一息 民進黨還是自爆了
陳少甫
69 人追蹤
政事觀察站2018年11月9日 下午2:00
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圖片來源：中央社
九合一選舉進入倒數。雖然政治人物的宣傳車依然流竄於大街小巷，候選人在不同的場合依舊喊得聲嘶力竭，彷彿透過高分貝的噪音，就能使自己提高勝選的機率，但是除了極個別呈現僵局和氣氛詭譎的縣市外，多數縣市的選舉事實上早已經提前落幕，剩下的只是收拾檢討殘局。兩黨進入新一輪的權力內鬥。
台灣的媒體無可奈何地集中報導和選舉有關的新聞，但充其量，也只是在枝微末節上找些事，為讀者寫寫故事而已。從趨勢看，民進黨注定是會崩潰的，民進黨高層和在地方選舉的參選人或許心知肚明，但戲還沒落幕，政治人物必須頂著職業傷害的風險賣力演出，把膨風的氣鼓足到最後一刻。直到選舉結束。
比如蘇貞昌。年近七十三歲的老先生頂著晚節不保的風險披掛上陣，美其名叫為黨犧牲，實則誤判形勢見獵心喜，至死都摘不掉「連神明都敢騙」的標籤。但蘇貞昌是收穫滿滿的，他在這次選舉所累積的政治遺產，民進黨和新北市議員欠他的人情債，不久的將來，都將由女兒蘇巧慧完美的繼承。蘇家的陰影永遠壟罩新北，蘇貞昌敗選後，衝衝衝的子弟兵和家族勢力還在新北繁茂昌盛。
新北市民無須悲傷，以民進黨政二代的標準，蘇巧慧總是比陳致中好一些。同樣是含著金湯匙出生的順遂人生，身為新北市立委的蘇巧慧，至少沒有妮可。
在新北市以板橋來說，街頭巷弄大多是民進黨議員的布條、看板、旗幟，咆嘯著蘇貞昌衝衝衝和議員姓名的宣傳車，靠喇叭噪音來擾民。網路上不手軟地撒錢投放廣告，民進黨在選舉時展現出的雄厚財力，就像在提醒選民：不管老百姓生活過得好不好，他們反正過得很好；把票投給他，民進黨可以更加滋潤。
二十年前，蘇貞昌在台北縣喊著衝衝衝，二十年後，蘇貞昌還是在喊衝衝衝。他不累，新北市民都累了。宣傳車的廣播穿越時空般喃喃自語：大家好，我是蘇貞昌，衝衝衝。然而，沙啞的嗓音難掩老態，民進黨精緻的文宣，無法遮掩蘇貞昌的格格不入。這選舉，終究成為蘇巧慧繼承老爸遺產的奢華政治儀式。
假如瘋狂砸錢有用，國民黨也就不會輸了，台灣又怎麼可能出現政黨輪替？但事無絕對，民進黨的流氓行徑和無底線的下限，總存在讓人耳目一新的能力。
至於國民黨？也就這樣了。國民黨這幾年奄奄一息，在韓國瑜登場前，基本上呈現出一種近乎完美的不死不活模樣。回顧這兩三年發生的種種，簡直讓人懷疑這個黨給民眾如殭屍般的觀感，說不定是國民黨又一另類高端的競選策略。黨中央呈現透明狀進行自我消音的日子，立委諸公一盤散沙的艱辛，百年老店樹倒猢猻散的狼狽，永遠道貌岸然又銷聲匿跡，無力反對民進黨的所謂菁英。
別誤會，當然有些國民黨人在這兩三年裡很努力的發聲，比如許淑華，比如柯志恩，比如王育敏，比如馬政府時期的官員，哪怕只是幾篇媒體投書，至少也算曾經為這個社會發聲。台灣的老百姓在未來的日子裡，總是會從自己的記憶中用力回想，當民進黨倒行逆施的兩三年，這些自詡為精英的人都做過什麼？
話是這麼說，但國民黨如果不顯得如此無能，民進黨也就不會囂張到這般目中無百姓，結果輕易地在短短兩年內，瘋狂地走向集體自我毀滅的道路。如稻草人般的國民黨，實現了超越老莊無為思想的耀眼成就。瞧，民進黨竟自爆了。
唯有被民進黨以非法違憲的公權力殘酷追殺，才能讓處於瀕死狀態的國民黨以無招勝有招，搭配著近乎空殼形態的國民黨中央，以及宛如負面人形移動看板的過時大老，今天國民黨才可能以活死人的姿態，有效的抵銷兩三年前台灣社會四處瀰漫的反國民黨氛圍。民進黨今年玩起悲情牌仇恨牌，當然顯得乏力。
在韓國瑜造成旋風前，國民黨的表現依然是令人驚豔的。比方幾乎什麼事都沒做，民進黨自己就垮了，簡直是政治奇蹟。代表國民黨參選的候選人，最主要的議題主導能力是將民進黨加之他們身上的攻擊，仰仗民怨來製造出回擊。國民黨參選人基本上就站在那被民進黨一番暴擊，然後，民進黨重傷倒地不起。
國民黨原本完全沒有主導議題的能力，除非算上郝龍斌那句鏗鏘有力的「擊潰丁守中」的吶喊，以及陳學聖自得其樂的「我一直都在，只是沒有存在感。」
直到韓國瑜出現。民怨終於找到宣洩的出口，如海嘯般朝民進黨瘋狂撲去。國民黨方能搭上韓國瑜現象的便車，展現出還魂的假象，意外迴光返照。人算不如天算，政治和人的命運一樣，有著自身注定的命數，和永不遲到的現世報。
無論有沒有韓國瑜，國民黨早晚都會迴光返照的，韓國瑜的出現只是加速實現而已。但迴光返照往往出現在斷氣前，作為國民黨長期邊緣人的韓國瑜，為這個黨在缺氧窒息時補上關鍵一口氣，國民黨能否適時轉變，關係到黨的存亡。
韓國瑜現象的衝擊，影響最大的地區絕對不是雲林，這和他作為雲林的女婿不存在直接的連結；韓國瑜的影響，甚至外溢不到緊鄰高雄的台南市。但韓國瑜現象會在幾個都會區強力發酵，比如台北，比如新北和台中，原先呈現五五波的將更有機會勝出，意興闌珊的會出門投票，本該落選的將有可能意外翻盤。
別笑丁守中。如果柯文哲落選，丁丁記得要感謝小野。小野在媒體鏡頭前連續三次哽咽，嗚嗚嗚地眨著抹著自己的眼睛，卻看不見臉上任何一滴眼淚。小野自作多情地喊著：「你認識我嗎？你有沒有讀過書啊？」小野矯情地唸著他好想和柯文哲說「好想罵髒話，我們關起門來一起罵髒話好不好？」哎，文化人！
選舉快結束了，民進黨敗選在即，這個黨沒有小輸的選項，留給民進黨的只會是山崩地裂式的慘敗。老百姓關心的是：敗選後的民進黨，究竟該何去何從？
但有誰在乎呢？現實是民進黨的未來，老百姓並不在意，也不關心。老百姓的日子實在過得苦悶可憐，無法和民進黨得意忘形的高級實習生一起幸福共好。
投票日快到了，如果民主還值得珍惜，法治還值得守護，東廠當然該被消滅。如果人民注定只有一天當家做主的機會：別忘了，那天帶上證件，去投票吧。
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Xia Zhen column: The DPP won’t win South Korea’s Yu, and it’s going to kill China.
[Wind Media]
Wind media
4.1k person tracking
Xia Zhen
November 9, 2018, 6:50 am
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The nine-in-one election popular king, the KMT Kaohsiung mayor candidate South Korea Yu "Sanshan made the momentum" the second "Qishan night attack", because the first "Fengshan bombing thunder", flat, there is not much surprise "surprise Or "frightened", what is certain is that the trend of the Korean Wave has become unstoppable. It is not that the DPP is easily able to suppress it. The DPP may have a stomach, and how can it be impossible to win the game? Bald?" However, any "strange phenomenon" must have its causes, just as in 2010, Ke Wenzhe was born, there are factors of personal traits, and of course there is a big environment (the DPP is in power).
Political gene mutation, because he is the Kuomintang’s "abandonment"
Friends described Ke Wenzhe and South Korea Yu as "singular people" or "discriminating people". They are called "gene mutations" in the biological world. They are mathematically "singular points". Without genetic mutations, there is no species evolution, no evolution; no strange points. There is no way for physics to explain the reversal of physical phenomena. The question is: What is the singularity of politics? Is it the blessing of God or the temptation of the devil?
Such a metaphor may have raised Ke and Han, but there is no denying that after 30 years of Taiwan’s democracy, a "political figure" that is so different from the political normal will bring Taiwan’s hopes and excitement of change, but not I don’t admit that there may be unpredictable risks behind it. The DPP has attributed this "risk" to the Chinese factor. This is precisely a serious mistake. Unfortunately, the "China factor" has become the "instrumental irrationality" of the DPP’s election inertia. "There are no tricks left, but this is a trick. It was useless to play Ke last year. How could it be useful to play Korean this year?" If the DPP still can't figure it out, the last two weeks of the election will only be hanged all the way.
20181108_3 million people + flag sea + mobile phone lights sea. The KMT’s Kaohsiung mayor candidate, South Korea’s second major squad, debuted in the high-tech group in the Mino district tonight, crowding in more than 30,000 supporters. (Photo by Luo Yizhi)
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20181108_3 million people + flag sea + mobile phone lights sea. The KMT’s Kaohsiung mayor candidate, South Korea’s second major squad, debuted in the high-tech group in the Mino district tonight, crowding in more than 30,000 supporters. (Photo by Luo Yizhi)
The Kuomintang Kaohsiung mayor candidate, South Korea Yu, made a second appearance in the high-tech group in the Mino district, and crowded in more than 30,000 supporters. (Photo by Luo Yizhi)
What is special about Korean Yu? Ke Wenzhe is known as "Political Prime", and all the words and deeds of blue-green thinking can be solved by "anthropomorphism"; South Korea Yu was once a four-member legislator, or the "Yellow Renaissance" of ironclad, certainly not a "political person". His "mutation" is because he is the "abandonment" of the Kuomintang, and he has abandoned it for seventeen years. In 2001, he was not part of the standing committee. He was outside the safety list. In addition to the extremely short era, he served as the deputy mayor of Zhonghe City. He left the political arena. In 2007, he was nominated for the legislature and was disqualified from the primary election. The reason is negative. Wen Xuan.
In the seventeen-year period, the president has changed three, and the elections have changed from the mass meeting to the online community. The key to grab the ticket is from the old man to the younger generation. If the Democratic Progressive Party grabs the North Farmer, no one knows that he has become The general manager of Beinong, who is the most accustomed to the vegetable farmer; if he had not forgotten his familiar political routine in the past seventeen years, he would not be able to airborne Kaohsiung, but he could still laugh at himself. In the reflection of the negative propaganda of the year, he has never spoken out to the competitors so far. His political language is no longer the "Tie Wei Huang Fu".
Smearing the yellow and red buckles is ineffective, you must try to think about the "worldly feelings"
He is a professional soldier of the Army's official school. He projected his hopes on him for the brutal military reform of the annuity reform, just like Hou Youyi, the mayor of New Taipei who supported the police. He is the "vegetable seller" and the bottom farmer and fishermen. Making big money, this trick is definitely useless in Taipei, just as the DPP mobilizes cultural people to be Chen Qimai, and it is not very useful in Kaohsiung; he is definitely against Taiwan independence, but never let these three words blurt out, or even talk about the Kuomintang. "The 1992 Consensus" is a slogan; he is a candidate for the Kuomintang nomination, but the appeal at the rally is "This election is a vote of dissatisfaction from Kaohsiung citizens and South Korea's Yu to the DPP!"
What can the DPP do with him? He can't be like Guan Biling, who is not knowledgeable and has no health. He is a master's degree at the University of Political Science. It is only like this in the 30 years of the University of Taiwan. Director Ke Yizheng said that he is "Wang Luzai Xian". His response is: " Don't step on me, it's very good." He should say thank you to Ke, because Ke Yizheng's reason is that Chen Qimai is "out of the m&d and not dyed." How can you not think of "sludge"? Chen Shui-bian, the former president of the Democratic Progressive Party, who was hospitalized for corruption, lamented that the election of South Korea’s Yu was forced to re-elect the North, and did he know whether he was assisting or assisting?
The mouth accused his wife of renting a sugar land at a price of eight yuan per ping in Yunlin. First, regardless of the total of 63 Taiwanese sugar leases, there is a price of one and a half yuan per ping. The most embarrassing thing is that the land was rented in the same year. It is the Taiwan Sugar of the DPP's flat government. Now it is the Taiwanese government of the DPP's Cai government. No matter how it is handled, it is a matter of the DPP. It is no wonder that the DPP has not forgotten to bring the premise when it hits Korea. "This is not a seven-injury boxing but an oolong blast."
The DPP wants to discredit him. As a result, it is judged that the underworld background is the main party committee of the Taipei City Party Committee; the DPP wants to smear him, not to mention the "inviting business to accompany the sleep", the downturn of Qiu Yiying, in South Korea. In the seventeen years that Yu was abandoned outside the political arena, the anecdote photographed by the paparazzi was far more green than the blue. Chen Qimai had to chase the South Korean Yu "Love Ferris Wheel" before he saw the political opinion. As for the classic version of the DPP, as far as the Democratic Progressive Party is reluctant to evolve, the South Korean Yu has already announced in front of Qishan’s face-up book that his political contribution is absolutely only for the donation of the Republic of China, and that the legal limit has been reached soon. Turn off the account, even the gold is not necessary.
If the DPP can be normal, which round is the Korean wave?
The DPP may not understand why it will fail in the fight against the Chinese card this year. First, the nine-in-one election is a local election. There is no country-related direction. Apart from exchange activities, the local heads have basically no dominant power over cross-strait policies. Moreover, at this moment, the DPP is fully in power, so look at the DPP’s ruling counties and cities for re-election. Which head is stupid enough to fight against the middle card? Only the North High City and the Taipei City, only the candidate Yao Wenzhi whispered to himself, the "Family of the Two Sides" that the House of Representatives had joined forces, the flag of the two sides of the straits was squandered. What is said is that the DPP uses the "China factor". "The tool is irrational", "Wolf is coming" shouting for two or three decades, can you not fail?
Second, the single leader's election is the key to the middle of the electorate. The only role of the anti-China independence and independence confrontation is to consolidate the basic disk. It is not useful to open up the ticket. Chen Shui-bian has taken the example of the Taipei Mayor's victory in the three-year election, regardless of Taipei this year. Or Kaohsiung is completely incomparable. In the same year, the Kuomintang split. Now the Kuomintang has not split. It is called Ke Wenzhe, who is not called non-blue and green. Ding Shouzhong is not talking about reunification with Taiwan independence. Ke Wenzhe claims to be a green and hanged "cross-strait family", Yao Wenzhi shouted The end of "Anti-China Insurance Taiwan" is no one to care about. No one cares about the DPP. Otherwise, a mistake is lost. Ding Shouzhong’s election is not tight, and Ke Wenzhe’s election to the president is called trouble. As for Kaohsiung, it is a two-strong showdown. Even if the DPP is confident that Kaohsiung will be in power for two or three decades, the Kaohsiung public opinion map is more green than blue. After the anti-swallow parade, it is better to see the public’s voice more accurately. Turning a blind eye to the economic voters, can you blame the election for more and more tension?
Third, and most importantly, all "China's involvement" - whether it is Chinese-funded or Chinese fake news (messages) - is a virtual image created by the DPP. It scares the voters without scaring themselves. Public opinion is dissatisfied with the DPP. From the energy policy, labor policy, marriage equality, transformational justice, and even the headmaster of the National Taiwan University, it is difficult to divide the blue and green. There is a green, anti-labor law second repair may not be blue or green, even the blue and green are not qualitative, the DPP has given China a knife, and it has made a sense of rogue resignation. How can public opinion be paid? In the last two weeks of public opinion elections, Beijing’s fart is not awkward, including the anti-swallow parade, quietly as if you have forgotten Taiwan, and it seems that they are putting in Taiwan’s election leave. The DPP’s voice is more and more ridiculous, so it’s not so Beijing jokes? (Recommended reading: Liu Xingren's point of view: the difference between Korean Yu and Ke Wenzhe, the choice of true loyalty and false loyalty)
It’s not normal that the Korean Wave can’t stop it. But if the DPP can be normal, will it get the Korean Yufeng? The downstream and counter-current of democratic development has never been defined by power. It depends on the people and time to verify. When public opinion prefers to "gamble once," the DPP may be alert not only to the win or loss of this election, but to the tide. When can we stop, how can we stop? This post-election review report is now ready for writing.
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● Sima Liang’s point of view: Taiwan is old and poor, and the cold current has long come.
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[Yahoo Forum / Chen Shaoqi] The Kuomintang is dying. The DPP is still exploding.
Chen Shaoqi
69 people tracking
Political Affairs Observatory, November 9, 2018, 2:00 pm
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Image source: Central News Agency
The nine-in-one election entered the countdown. Although the propaganda cars of politicians still linger in the streets, the candidates are still shouting in different occasions, as if through the noise of high decibels, they can increase their chances of winning, but in addition to the deadlock and atmosphere. Outside the county and city, the elections of most counties and cities have already ended in advance, and the rest is just to clean up the review. The two parties entered a new round of power struggles.
The Taiwanese media has no choice but to focus on reporting and electing relevant news, but at best, it is only looking for something at the end of the festival to write stories for readers. From the trend point of view, the DPP is destined to collapse. The DPP’s top leaders and candidates for local elections may be well aware, but the play has not yet ended. Political figures must perform with the risk of occupational injuries. The swell of the air is enough to the last moment. Until the election is over.
For example, Su Shichang. The old man, who is nearly seventy-three years old, is on the runway with the risk of not being guaranteed in the evening. The name is called the sacrifice of the party. In fact, the situation of misjudgement is seen in the sacred heart, and the label of "even the gods dare to lie" can not be removed. . However, Su Shichang is full of harvest. The political legacy he accumulated in this election, the DPP and the New Taipei City Council owe him the debt of his people, and in the near future, his daughter Su Qiaohui will inherit perfectly. The shadow of the Su family will always cover the new North. After the defeat of Su Shichang, the rushing children and family forces are still flourishing in the New North.
New North citizens do not have to be sad. With the standards of the second generation of the Democratic Progressive Party, Su Qiaohui is always better than Chen Zhizhong. The same is the life of Shun Yu, born with a gold spoon. As a new North City legislator, Su Qiaohui, at least not Nicole.
In Banqiao in New Taipei City, most of the street lanes are the DPP members’ slats, billboards, and flags. They screamed at the propaganda car of Su Shichang’s name and the name of the legislator. The Internet does not arbitrarily scatter money to advertise. The DPP’s strong financial resources during the elections are like reminding voters: no matter how good the people live, they are doing well; they vote for him, the people. Entering the party can be more moist.
Twenty years ago, Su Shichang shouted in Taipei County. Twenty years later, Su Shichang was still shouting. He is not tired, and the citizens of New Taipei are tired. The broadcast of the propaganda car whispered through time and space: Hello everyone, I am Su Shichang, rushing. However, the hoarse voice is difficult to cover up the old state, and the DPP’s exquisite literary propaganda cannot hide Su Shichang’s incompatibility. This election will eventually become the luxury political ceremony for Su Qiaohui to inherit the father's legacy.
If the madness is useful, the Kuomintang will not lose. How can Taiwan’s political rotation occur? But there is no absolute thing. The DPP’s hooliganism and the bottom line of the bottom line always have a refreshing ability.
As for the Kuomintang? That's it. The Kuomintang has been dying in the past few years. Before the debut of South Korea, the Kuomintang basically showed a near-perfect appearance. Looking back at the two and three years of the incident, it is simply doubtful that this party gives the people a zombie-like look and feel. It may be another alternative high-end campaign strategy of the Kuomintang. The day when the Party Central Committee presented a transparent self-mute silence, the hardships of the ruling party and the scattered sands of the public, the shackles of the century-old shop and the shackles of the old shackles, and the eternal appearance of the dynasty disappeared, and they were unable to oppose the so-called elites of the DPP.
Don't misunderstand, of course, some Kuomintang people have worked hard in these two years, such as Xu Shuhua, such as Ke Zhien, such as Wang Yumin, such as officials of the Ma government, even if only a few media books, at least once again for this society. In the days to come, the people of Taiwan will always think hard from their own memories. When the Democratic Progressive Party went against the two or three years, what did these self-proclaimed elites do?
That is to say, but if the Kuomintang does not seem so incompetent, the DPP will not be arrogant to such people, and as a result, in a short period of two years, it will frantically move toward the path of collective self-destruction. The Kuomintang-like Kuomintang has achieved dazzling achievements beyond the inaction of Lao Zhuang. Hey, the DPP actually blew up.
Only the Democratic Progressive Party has been brutally chased by illegal and unconstitutional public power.
