Serious Based on statistics, it will take 4 months to test dorm residents?

[Confuseous]

http://mysingaporenews.blogspot.com...ign=Feed:+MySingaporeNews+(My+Singapore+News)

From what was reported in the news, here are some numbers that were reported, foreign workers about 300,000, number of test taken daily between 2,000 to 2,500 and the number tested positive about 1,000 daily in the last 4 consecutive days.

Assuming 2,000 tests were administered on the foreign workers daily, to complete testing 300,000 workers would take 150 days or 5 months, or another 4 months given about one month is over.

With 1,000 positive cases out of 2,000/2,500, it means easily 40% of the tested workers were infected. Extrapolate this to the 300,000 FWs, Singapore can expect an eventual number of infected cases from this group to be around 120,000. This number sure looks frightening and high. Be conservative, say 20% is infected, then the number we are looking forward to is 60,000 when all the FWs are tested in 4 months time.

Another big group that is not in the radar yet is the foreign maids. So far so good, have not heard of any maids being infected. There are something like 250,000 maids here, my guesstimate. Assuming 10% is infected, that is another 25,000 potential confirmed cases.

 

[A Singaporean]

On track to 40000. Majulah Singapura.

 

[Confuseous]

Labourious Minister should provide daily updates on the number of tests
conducted each day

 

[eatshitndie]

if the deep nasal swab or deep throat every bangla, it will require 52-man years.

 

[syed putra]

Only reason why foreign workers are found to have the virus is because they are tested.
Sinkie on the other hand are not tested. So who knows how many have gotten the virus. Using random test in new york as a example, maybe 20% may have it already.

 

[Confuseous]

Only reason why foreign workers are found to have the virus is because they are tested.
Sinkie on the other hand are not tested. So who knows how many have gotten the virus. Using random test in new york as a example, maybe 20% may have it already.

Exactly. That is why taking a few more months to COMPLETE the tests is disappointing.

 

[Leongsam]

http://mysingaporenews.blogspot.com/2020/04/covid19-statistically-speaking-singapore.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed:+MySingaporeNews+(My+Singapore+News)

From what was reported in the news, here are some numbers that were reported, foreign workers about 300,000, number of test taken daily between 2,000 to 2,500 and the number tested positive about 1,000 daily in the last 4 consecutive days.

Assuming 2,000 tests were administered on the foreign workers daily, to complete testing 300,000 workers would take 150 days or 5 months, or another 4 months given about one month is over.

With 1,000 positive cases out of 2,000/2,500, it means easily 40% of the tested workers were infected. Extrapolate this to the 300,000 FWs, Singapore can expect an eventual number of infected cases from this group to be around 120,000. This number sure looks frightening and high. Be conservative, say 20% is infected, then the number we are looking forward to is 60,000 when all the FWs are tested in 4 months time.

Another big group that is not in the radar yet is the foreign maids. So far so good, have not heard of any maids being infected. There are something like 250,000 maids here, my guesstimate. Assuming 10% is infected, that is another 25,000 potential confirmed cases.

Why bother testing? We don't test the whole population for influenza every time the flu season peaks.

Just treat those who turn up at hospitals because they are unwell and the rest of us can go about our merry lives.

As you have already mentioned the actual number infected is in the hundred thousand range or higher. Even if the death toll reaches 100 we're still talking about a mortality rate of less 0.1% which puts the mortality in the same range as flu.

We don't shut down the economy because of flu so why are we doing so because of Covid-19?