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https://news.sina.com.cn/w/2019-02-27/doc-ihrfqzka9567790.shtml
金正恩访越之时 这位领导人也罕见地迈出了国门
金正恩访越之时 这位领导人也罕见地迈出了国门
112
25日叙利亚总统突然出现在伊朗首都德黑兰，让国际社会很吃惊。
关心国际时事的朋友都知道，这些年来，号称“中东十字路口”的东地中海国家叙利亚兵荒马乱，内战不断，总统巴沙尔·阿萨德近10年也没怎么出访过——除了在2015年10月20日，为求救兵，他匆忙对俄罗斯进行过一次“工作访问”。
所以，本月25日他突然出现在伊朗首都德黑兰，让国际社会颇为吃惊。
一些媒体甚至发出了“阿萨德10年间首次出访”的“错码”——这当然是谬传，2015年阿萨德还是出访过一次的，而上次他访问伊朗也是2010年的事，算起来还不到10年。
一、阿萨德为啥这个时候出访伊朗？
不管怎样，这是叙利亚内战大体告一段落、反恐形势渐趋稳定后阿萨德的首次出访。
访问对象又是内战期间一直力挺自己、出钱出兵出力的伊朗，这必然引来广泛关注。
尽管访问细节并未全数公布，但伊朗方面的接待规格挺高：最高领袖哈梅内伊、总统鲁哈尼、伊朗革命卫队领导人苏莱曼尼，先后与阿萨德会晤。
双方共同强调了“40年鲜血凝成的盟约和友谊”，表达了“继续稳定双边密切关系”的态度。
但有句话说得好，“强调什么往往意味着什么地方有些麻烦”。
仗刚打完（其实还不算全完），阿萨德这边百废待兴万机待理，伊朗这边则和美国关系正僵，“伊朗核协定”谈判关键人物、外长扎里夫更是在2月25日（也就是阿萨德到访的同一天）辞职。
两边都处于并不清爽的当口，阿萨德搞这次高规格出访，郑重其事强调“关系、友谊”，难道这“关系、友谊”出了问题不成？
了解点历史的人都知道，伊朗和叙利亚阿萨德当局同属什叶派，前者正是打着“同派互助”的旗号对叙利亚助拳的。
二、伊朗是叙利亚的“贵人”，也想从叙利亚捞到“好处”
实话实说，若无伊朗这些年来的支持，内忧外患的阿萨德就算有俄罗斯这个“贵人”相助，也未必能挺过难关。
要知道俄罗斯毕竟离着远，而伊朗却可借道伊拉克什叶派控制区，给予大马士革当局更“瓷实”的支持。
问题在于，天下没有免费的午餐，波斯人是举世闻名的商业民族，当然也不会“白干活”——
他们朝思暮想的，是构建一个西起巴勒斯坦加沙、东到阿富汗乃至中亚的“什叶派之弧”，而叙利亚这个“十字路口”则正当要冲。
不仅如此，伊朗和以色列是地缘政治的死敌，在黎巴嫩扶植真主党和以色列不时“死磕”，只有确保叙利亚这条路“畅通无阻”，德黑兰和真主党间才不至于“断线”。
而随着美国从伊朗核协定“退群”，以色列又和沙特结成地缘政治上的反伊朗统一战线，伊朗迫切感到孤立，也希望能从战后重建的叙利亚捞到尽可能多的利益。
2017年底，伊朗武装部队参谋长巴盖里将军访问大马士革，提出一系列“友好帮助的回报”要求，包括叙向伊朗出租地中海之滨海军基地50年，在叙利亚领土部署伊朗空军，给予伊朗磷酸盐和铀矿等独家开采权等。
但这在阿萨德的不置可否和俄罗斯方面施压下不了了之。有消息称，不久前伊朗方面再次旧话重提，但又被阿萨德“磨”了过去。
三、阿萨德最近的日子并不难过
其实阿萨德最近的日子还是比较好过的：去年12月16日，苏丹总统巴希尔成为叙利亚“出事”以来首位到访大马士革的阿拉伯国家最高领导人；
12月28日，沙特和阿联酋相继表态，称“不反对”恢复叙利亚自2011年11月16日起就被冻结的阿盟会员资格。
这可是非同寻常的地缘政治大事。
要知道，当初正是沙特在阿盟等“圈内”带头反对，阿萨德当局才会被当成“异己”排斥孤立，陷入四面楚歌的境地；
也正是沙特推动阿盟在2013年3月6日承认阿萨德的国内政敌“全国联盟”（SNC）为“叙利亚唯一合法代表”。
俗话说“一国不容二主”，SNC是“合法代表”，阿萨德这个总统自然就“身份存疑”，近10年来他不敢、不便出国“溜达”，很大程度上也是这个原因。
▲阿萨德视察军队。图/新京报网
如今沙特先让和自己关系密切、和阿萨德当局也不算太坏的巴希尔“打前站”，再亲自发话，表明这个国家在“卡舒吉事件”和美国“不打招呼”宣布单方面从叙利亚撤军后，开始谋求“更灵活务实的外交”。
叙利亚当局和沙特虽然“不同派”，却是同族（都是阿拉伯人，而伊朗是波斯人），历史上也曾多次并肩作战（最突出的是海湾战争，叙利亚阿萨德军甚至开到沙特领土上助战）。
既然“打不倒”，不妨再重新成为朋友。就算不能多一个朋友，至少也能少一个对手不是？
四、阿萨德家族不会把命运系于单纯一方
阿萨德最近频频谈和解、讲重建，摆出一副“多元化”的姿态，这也很好理解：国内好不容易稳定下来，外来帮助当然“多多益善”。
伊朗的援助固然是雪中送炭，但“副作用”也着实不小，眼下“工作重心”转向“经济建设”，伊朗自己还被“孤立”着，经济状况也不过五十步笑百步。
既然其他“口儿”开始松动，素以务实著称的阿萨德家族当然不肯把命运系于单纯一方。
但话虽如此，阿萨德对伊朗也终究不能轻慢：国内并没真正、彻底太平无事，且中东素来是云谲波诡、地缘政治关系险恶之处。万一哪天再碰上个“山高水低”，伊朗人毕竟是个够得着、靠得住的帮手。
伊朗对此也心照不宣：目前自己最大的麻烦，莫过于“伊朗核问题”的僵局，和由此面临的又一轮国际孤立、禁运和制裁。
在自家外长辞职当天摆足姿态，热烈欢迎一下“四十年老朋友”阿萨德家族，伊朗也有“稳住阵脚”的意思。
对阿萨德而言，在战后访问伊朗或俄罗斯这两个内战期间的“靠山”固然令人瞩目，但更应格外关注他在这两国之外，将会把哪个国家当作战后出访的第一站——从巴希尔的到访和沙特的表态看，这一天或许不必等太久。
□陶短房（专栏作家）
责任编辑：张建利
When Kim Jong-un visited Vietnam, the leader also rarely took the country.
When Kim Jong-un visited Vietnam, the leader also rarely took the country.
112
On the 25th, the Syrian president suddenly appeared in the Iranian capital Tehran, which surprised the international community.
Friends who care about international affairs know that over the years, the Eastern Mediterranean countries known as the "Middle East Crossroads" have been ravaged by the Syrian army, and the civil war has continued. President Bashar al-Assad has not visited in the past 10 years - except in 2015. On the 20th, in a hurry for help, he rushed to a "work visit" to Russia.
Therefore, he suddenly appeared in the Iranian capital Tehran on the 25th of this month, which surprised the international community.
Some media even issued the "wrong code" of "Assad's first visit in 10 years" - this is of course a rumor. Assad has visited once in 2015, and his last visit to Iran was also in 2010. It’s less than 10 years.
1. Is Assad visiting Iran at this time?
In any case, this is the first visit of Assad after the Syrian civil war has come to an end and the counter-terrorism situation has stabilized.
The target audience is Iran, which has been supporting itself and contributing money to the military during the civil war. This will inevitably attract widespread attention.
Although the details of the visit were not fully announced, the Iranian reception specifications were quite high: Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, President Rohani, and Iranian Revolutionary Guard leader Sulaymani met with Assad.
The two sides jointly emphasized the "40-year-old covenant and friendship" and expressed the attitude of "continuing stability and close bilateral relations."
But there is a saying that is good, "emphasizing what often means something is a little troublesome."
After the squad has just finished playing (in fact, it is not all over), Assad’s side is waiting to be taken for granted. Iran’s relationship with the United States is deadlocked. The key figure of the "Iranian Nuclear Agreement" negotiations, Foreign Minister Zarif It was resigned on February 25th (that is, the same day that Assad visited).
Both sides are in a state of unclearness. Assad made this high-profile visit and solemnly emphasized "relationship, friendship". Is this "relationship, friendship" a problem?
Anyone who knows the history of the point knows that the Iranian and Syrian Assad authorities belong to the Shiites. The former is helping the Syrian box with the banner of "same mutual aid."
Second, Iran is the "elegant" of Syria and wants to get the "benefit" from Syria.
To tell the truth, without the support of Iran over the past few years, Assad, who has internal and external problems, may not be able to survive the difficulties even if he has the help of Russia.
It is necessary to know that Russia is far away, and Iran can use the Iraqi Shiite-controlled areas to give the Damascus authorities more "porcelain" support.
The problem is that there is no free lunch in the world, the Persians are world-famous business people, and of course they will not work "white" -
What they think about is to build a "Shiite arc" from Gaza in the west and Afghanistan to Central Asia in the east. The "crossroads" in Syria are just right.
Not only that, Iran and Israel are the deadly enemies of geopolitics. In Lebanon, Hezbollah and Israel are "dead" from time to time. Only by ensuring that the Syrian road is "unblocked", Tehran and Hezbollah will not be "broken."
With the "regression" of the United States from the Iranian nuclear agreement, Israel and Saudi Arabia have formed a geopolitical anti-Iranian united front. Iran is eager to feel isolated and hopes to recover as much interest as possible from Syria after the war.
At the end of 2017, the Chief of Staff of the Armed Forces of Iran, General Bargary, visited Damascus and proposed a series of “returns for friendly help”, including the 50-year lease of Iran’s coastal military base in Iran, the deployment of the Iranian Air Force in Syrian territory, and the granting of Iran’s phosphate. And exclusive mining rights such as uranium mines.
But this can't be done under Assad's irresponsibility and Russia's pressure. It is reported that the Iranian side once again revisited the old sayings, but was "grinded" by Assad.
Third, Assad’s recent days are not sad.
In fact, Assad’s recent days are still relatively good: on December 16, last year, Sudan’s President Bashir became the first Arab leader to visit Damascus since Syria’s “fault”;
On December 28th, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates made a statement, saying that they "do not oppose" the restoration of Syrian membership in Syria that has been frozen since November 16, 2011.
This is an extraordinary geopolitical event.
We must know that it was Saudi Arabia who took the lead in the "circle" such as the Arab League. The Assad authorities will be treated as "dissidents" to exclude isolation and fall into a situation of embattled;
It is also Saudi Arabia that promoted the Arab League on March 6, 2013 to recognize Assad’s domestic political enemy “National Alliance” (SNC) as “the only legal representative of Syria”.
As the saying goes, "A country cannot tolerate the two masters." SNC is a "legal representative." Assad, the president naturally has "identity doubts." In the past 10 years, he has not dared or inconvenienced to "go to the country," and this is largely the reason.
▲ Assad inspected the army. Figure / Beijing News Network ▲ Assad inspected the army. Figure / Beijing News Network
Now that Saudi Arabia has first made a close relationship with himself and the Assad authorities are not too bad, Bashir "before standing" and then personally speaking, indicating that the country announced unilaterally in the "Kashupi incident" and the United States "don't say hello". After withdrawing from Syria, he began to seek "more flexible and pragmatic diplomacy."
Although the Syrian authorities and Saudi Arabia are "different factions", they are the same ethnic group (both Arabs, and Iran is a Persian). They have fought side by side in history. The most prominent is the Gulf War. The Syrian Assad Army even drove to Saudi Arabia. Help in the territory).
Since "can't beat", you may wish to become friends again. Even if you can't have more than one friend, can you at least one opponent?
4. The Assad family will not tie their destiny to a simple side.
Assad recently talked about reconciliation, rebuilding, and posing a "diversified" attitude. This is also very understandable: the country is hard to stabilize, and the external help is of course "more good."
Iran’s aid is of course a slap in the snow, but the “side effects” are not too small. At present, the “work center of gravity” has turned to “economic construction”. Iran itself has been “isolated” and the economic situation is only 50 steps.
Since the other "mouths" began to loosen, the Assad family, which is known for its pragmatism, certainly refused to tie its fate to a simple one.
But even then, Assad can't be slow to Iran: the country is not really, completely peaceful, and the Middle East has always been a sinister place for geopolitical relations. In the event of a "high mountain and low water" one day, the Iranians are a reliable and reliable helper.
Iran is also unaware of this: At present, its biggest trouble is nothing more than the stalemate of the "Iranian nuclear issue" and the subsequent round of international isolation, embargo and sanctions.
On the day of the resignation of his own foreign minister, he warmly welcomed the "Forty-year old friend" Assad family, and Iran also has the meaning of "stable."
For Assad, the "backing" during the two civil wars during the post-war visit to Iran or Russia is remarkable, but it is especially important to pay attention to which country he will visit after the two countries. The first stop - from the visit of Bashir and Saudi Arabia's statement, this day may not have to wait too long.
□ Tao short room (column writer)
Editor in charge: Zhang Jianli
金正恩访越之时 这位领导人也罕见地迈出了国门
金正恩访越之时 这位领导人也罕见地迈出了国门
112
25日叙利亚总统突然出现在伊朗首都德黑兰，让国际社会很吃惊。
关心国际时事的朋友都知道，这些年来，号称“中东十字路口”的东地中海国家叙利亚兵荒马乱，内战不断，总统巴沙尔·阿萨德近10年也没怎么出访过——除了在2015年10月20日，为求救兵，他匆忙对俄罗斯进行过一次“工作访问”。
所以，本月25日他突然出现在伊朗首都德黑兰，让国际社会颇为吃惊。
一些媒体甚至发出了“阿萨德10年间首次出访”的“错码”——这当然是谬传，2015年阿萨德还是出访过一次的，而上次他访问伊朗也是2010年的事，算起来还不到10年。
一、阿萨德为啥这个时候出访伊朗？
不管怎样，这是叙利亚内战大体告一段落、反恐形势渐趋稳定后阿萨德的首次出访。
访问对象又是内战期间一直力挺自己、出钱出兵出力的伊朗，这必然引来广泛关注。
尽管访问细节并未全数公布，但伊朗方面的接待规格挺高：最高领袖哈梅内伊、总统鲁哈尼、伊朗革命卫队领导人苏莱曼尼，先后与阿萨德会晤。
双方共同强调了“40年鲜血凝成的盟约和友谊”，表达了“继续稳定双边密切关系”的态度。
但有句话说得好，“强调什么往往意味着什么地方有些麻烦”。
仗刚打完（其实还不算全完），阿萨德这边百废待兴万机待理，伊朗这边则和美国关系正僵，“伊朗核协定”谈判关键人物、外长扎里夫更是在2月25日（也就是阿萨德到访的同一天）辞职。
两边都处于并不清爽的当口，阿萨德搞这次高规格出访，郑重其事强调“关系、友谊”，难道这“关系、友谊”出了问题不成？
了解点历史的人都知道，伊朗和叙利亚阿萨德当局同属什叶派，前者正是打着“同派互助”的旗号对叙利亚助拳的。
二、伊朗是叙利亚的“贵人”，也想从叙利亚捞到“好处”
实话实说，若无伊朗这些年来的支持，内忧外患的阿萨德就算有俄罗斯这个“贵人”相助，也未必能挺过难关。
要知道俄罗斯毕竟离着远，而伊朗却可借道伊拉克什叶派控制区，给予大马士革当局更“瓷实”的支持。
问题在于，天下没有免费的午餐，波斯人是举世闻名的商业民族，当然也不会“白干活”——
他们朝思暮想的，是构建一个西起巴勒斯坦加沙、东到阿富汗乃至中亚的“什叶派之弧”，而叙利亚这个“十字路口”则正当要冲。
不仅如此，伊朗和以色列是地缘政治的死敌，在黎巴嫩扶植真主党和以色列不时“死磕”，只有确保叙利亚这条路“畅通无阻”，德黑兰和真主党间才不至于“断线”。
而随着美国从伊朗核协定“退群”，以色列又和沙特结成地缘政治上的反伊朗统一战线，伊朗迫切感到孤立，也希望能从战后重建的叙利亚捞到尽可能多的利益。
2017年底，伊朗武装部队参谋长巴盖里将军访问大马士革，提出一系列“友好帮助的回报”要求，包括叙向伊朗出租地中海之滨海军基地50年，在叙利亚领土部署伊朗空军，给予伊朗磷酸盐和铀矿等独家开采权等。
但这在阿萨德的不置可否和俄罗斯方面施压下不了了之。有消息称，不久前伊朗方面再次旧话重提，但又被阿萨德“磨”了过去。
三、阿萨德最近的日子并不难过
其实阿萨德最近的日子还是比较好过的：去年12月16日，苏丹总统巴希尔成为叙利亚“出事”以来首位到访大马士革的阿拉伯国家最高领导人；
12月28日，沙特和阿联酋相继表态，称“不反对”恢复叙利亚自2011年11月16日起就被冻结的阿盟会员资格。
这可是非同寻常的地缘政治大事。
要知道，当初正是沙特在阿盟等“圈内”带头反对，阿萨德当局才会被当成“异己”排斥孤立，陷入四面楚歌的境地；
也正是沙特推动阿盟在2013年3月6日承认阿萨德的国内政敌“全国联盟”（SNC）为“叙利亚唯一合法代表”。
俗话说“一国不容二主”，SNC是“合法代表”，阿萨德这个总统自然就“身份存疑”，近10年来他不敢、不便出国“溜达”，很大程度上也是这个原因。
如今沙特先让和自己关系密切、和阿萨德当局也不算太坏的巴希尔“打前站”，再亲自发话，表明这个国家在“卡舒吉事件”和美国“不打招呼”宣布单方面从叙利亚撤军后，开始谋求“更灵活务实的外交”。
叙利亚当局和沙特虽然“不同派”，却是同族（都是阿拉伯人，而伊朗是波斯人），历史上也曾多次并肩作战（最突出的是海湾战争，叙利亚阿萨德军甚至开到沙特领土上助战）。
既然“打不倒”，不妨再重新成为朋友。就算不能多一个朋友，至少也能少一个对手不是？
四、阿萨德家族不会把命运系于单纯一方
阿萨德最近频频谈和解、讲重建，摆出一副“多元化”的姿态，这也很好理解：国内好不容易稳定下来，外来帮助当然“多多益善”。
伊朗的援助固然是雪中送炭，但“副作用”也着实不小，眼下“工作重心”转向“经济建设”，伊朗自己还被“孤立”着，经济状况也不过五十步笑百步。
既然其他“口儿”开始松动，素以务实著称的阿萨德家族当然不肯把命运系于单纯一方。
但话虽如此，阿萨德对伊朗也终究不能轻慢：国内并没真正、彻底太平无事，且中东素来是云谲波诡、地缘政治关系险恶之处。万一哪天再碰上个“山高水低”，伊朗人毕竟是个够得着、靠得住的帮手。
伊朗对此也心照不宣：目前自己最大的麻烦，莫过于“伊朗核问题”的僵局，和由此面临的又一轮国际孤立、禁运和制裁。
在自家外长辞职当天摆足姿态，热烈欢迎一下“四十年老朋友”阿萨德家族，伊朗也有“稳住阵脚”的意思。
对阿萨德而言，在战后访问伊朗或俄罗斯这两个内战期间的“靠山”固然令人瞩目，但更应格外关注他在这两国之外，将会把哪个国家当作战后出访的第一站——从巴希尔的到访和沙特的表态看，这一天或许不必等太久。
□陶短房（专栏作家）
责任编辑：张建利
When Kim Jong-un visited Vietnam, the leader also rarely took the country.
When Kim Jong-un visited Vietnam, the leader also rarely took the country.
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On the 25th, the Syrian president suddenly appeared in the Iranian capital Tehran, which surprised the international community.
Friends who care about international affairs know that over the years, the Eastern Mediterranean countries known as the "Middle East Crossroads" have been ravaged by the Syrian army, and the civil war has continued. President Bashar al-Assad has not visited in the past 10 years - except in 2015. On the 20th, in a hurry for help, he rushed to a "work visit" to Russia.
Therefore, he suddenly appeared in the Iranian capital Tehran on the 25th of this month, which surprised the international community.
Some media even issued the "wrong code" of "Assad's first visit in 10 years" - this is of course a rumor. Assad has visited once in 2015, and his last visit to Iran was also in 2010. It’s less than 10 years.
1. Is Assad visiting Iran at this time?
In any case, this is the first visit of Assad after the Syrian civil war has come to an end and the counter-terrorism situation has stabilized.
The target audience is Iran, which has been supporting itself and contributing money to the military during the civil war. This will inevitably attract widespread attention.
Although the details of the visit were not fully announced, the Iranian reception specifications were quite high: Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, President Rohani, and Iranian Revolutionary Guard leader Sulaymani met with Assad.
The two sides jointly emphasized the "40-year-old covenant and friendship" and expressed the attitude of "continuing stability and close bilateral relations."
But there is a saying that is good, "emphasizing what often means something is a little troublesome."
After the squad has just finished playing (in fact, it is not all over), Assad’s side is waiting to be taken for granted. Iran’s relationship with the United States is deadlocked. The key figure of the "Iranian Nuclear Agreement" negotiations, Foreign Minister Zarif It was resigned on February 25th (that is, the same day that Assad visited).
Both sides are in a state of unclearness. Assad made this high-profile visit and solemnly emphasized "relationship, friendship". Is this "relationship, friendship" a problem?
Anyone who knows the history of the point knows that the Iranian and Syrian Assad authorities belong to the Shiites. The former is helping the Syrian box with the banner of "same mutual aid."
Second, Iran is the "elegant" of Syria and wants to get the "benefit" from Syria.
To tell the truth, without the support of Iran over the past few years, Assad, who has internal and external problems, may not be able to survive the difficulties even if he has the help of Russia.
It is necessary to know that Russia is far away, and Iran can use the Iraqi Shiite-controlled areas to give the Damascus authorities more "porcelain" support.
The problem is that there is no free lunch in the world, the Persians are world-famous business people, and of course they will not work "white" -
What they think about is to build a "Shiite arc" from Gaza in the west and Afghanistan to Central Asia in the east. The "crossroads" in Syria are just right.
Not only that, Iran and Israel are the deadly enemies of geopolitics. In Lebanon, Hezbollah and Israel are "dead" from time to time. Only by ensuring that the Syrian road is "unblocked", Tehran and Hezbollah will not be "broken."
With the "regression" of the United States from the Iranian nuclear agreement, Israel and Saudi Arabia have formed a geopolitical anti-Iranian united front. Iran is eager to feel isolated and hopes to recover as much interest as possible from Syria after the war.
At the end of 2017, the Chief of Staff of the Armed Forces of Iran, General Bargary, visited Damascus and proposed a series of “returns for friendly help”, including the 50-year lease of Iran’s coastal military base in Iran, the deployment of the Iranian Air Force in Syrian territory, and the granting of Iran’s phosphate. And exclusive mining rights such as uranium mines.
But this can't be done under Assad's irresponsibility and Russia's pressure. It is reported that the Iranian side once again revisited the old sayings, but was "grinded" by Assad.
Third, Assad’s recent days are not sad.
In fact, Assad’s recent days are still relatively good: on December 16, last year, Sudan’s President Bashir became the first Arab leader to visit Damascus since Syria’s “fault”;
On December 28th, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates made a statement, saying that they "do not oppose" the restoration of Syrian membership in Syria that has been frozen since November 16, 2011.
This is an extraordinary geopolitical event.
We must know that it was Saudi Arabia who took the lead in the "circle" such as the Arab League. The Assad authorities will be treated as "dissidents" to exclude isolation and fall into a situation of embattled;
It is also Saudi Arabia that promoted the Arab League on March 6, 2013 to recognize Assad’s domestic political enemy “National Alliance” (SNC) as “the only legal representative of Syria”.
As the saying goes, "A country cannot tolerate the two masters." SNC is a "legal representative." Assad, the president naturally has "identity doubts." In the past 10 years, he has not dared or inconvenienced to "go to the country," and this is largely the reason.
▲ Assad inspected the army. Figure / Beijing News Network ▲ Assad inspected the army. Figure / Beijing News Network
Now that Saudi Arabia has first made a close relationship with himself and the Assad authorities are not too bad, Bashir "before standing" and then personally speaking, indicating that the country announced unilaterally in the "Kashupi incident" and the United States "don't say hello". After withdrawing from Syria, he began to seek "more flexible and pragmatic diplomacy."
Although the Syrian authorities and Saudi Arabia are "different factions", they are the same ethnic group (both Arabs, and Iran is a Persian). They have fought side by side in history. The most prominent is the Gulf War. The Syrian Assad Army even drove to Saudi Arabia. Help in the territory).
Since "can't beat", you may wish to become friends again. Even if you can't have more than one friend, can you at least one opponent?
4. The Assad family will not tie their destiny to a simple side.
Assad recently talked about reconciliation, rebuilding, and posing a "diversified" attitude. This is also very understandable: the country is hard to stabilize, and the external help is of course "more good."
Iran’s aid is of course a slap in the snow, but the “side effects” are not too small. At present, the “work center of gravity” has turned to “economic construction”. Iran itself has been “isolated” and the economic situation is only 50 steps.
Since the other "mouths" began to loosen, the Assad family, which is known for its pragmatism, certainly refused to tie its fate to a simple one.
But even then, Assad can't be slow to Iran: the country is not really, completely peaceful, and the Middle East has always been a sinister place for geopolitical relations. In the event of a "high mountain and low water" one day, the Iranians are a reliable and reliable helper.
Iran is also unaware of this: At present, its biggest trouble is nothing more than the stalemate of the "Iranian nuclear issue" and the subsequent round of international isolation, embargo and sanctions.
On the day of the resignation of his own foreign minister, he warmly welcomed the "Forty-year old friend" Assad family, and Iran also has the meaning of "stable."
For Assad, the "backing" during the two civil wars during the post-war visit to Iran or Russia is remarkable, but it is especially important to pay attention to which country he will visit after the two countries. The first stop - from the visit of Bashir and Saudi Arabia's statement, this day may not have to wait too long.
□ Tao short room (column writer)
Editor in charge: Zhang Jianli
