Ass Prof Eugene Tan expects...

[Sir_Fcuk]

two-horse race in by-election

SINGAPORE: Despite the four-cornered fight in the Punggol East by-election, Assistant Professor Eugene Tan feels that it will ultimately boil down to a two-horse race between the People's Action Party and the Workers' Party.

Asst Prof Tan, who is also a Nominated MP, said: "Depending on how well the opposition supporters support Workers' Party, we could see the Reform Party and the Singapore Democratic Alliance (SDA) performing poorly, and I won't exclude the possibility that they could also lose their electoral deposits, as opposition voters try to pool their support behind who they regard as being the best opposition candidate in Punggol East."

http://news.insing.com/news/asst-prof-eugene-tan-expects-two-horse-race-in-by-election/id-996a3f00

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Wah..... like that also can beat GMS to become Singapore's top policktical observer! Bravo!

 

[Confuseous]

Quoting guys like Eugene Tan is a waste of time - hang around the coffee shops and you don't hear very different comments.

The only person who can outdo him - Gillian Koh; even my dog can bark better motherhood comments which the vegetable seller can articulate better.

 

[Travellor]

seriously you cannot expect these people to risk their ricebowl and just blare out all th bad things abiutbthe shortcimngs of hi country under he PAP right?

good enough that they are saying the obvious and havin the guts to try to be objective somewhat. i think Eugene is quite objective wihout openly declaring war on the gvt

 

[myfoot123]

seriously you cannot expect these people to risk their ricebowl and just blare out all th bad things abiutbthe shortcimngs of hi country under he PAP right?

good enough that they are saying the obvious and havin the guts to try to be objective somewhat. i think Eugene is quite objective wihout openly declaring war on the gvt

He fare better compared to Gillian Koh. If you see Gillian Koh face on CNA or poll day on TV, my advice is to switch off your TV.

 

[steffychun]

Eugene Tan is pro PAP

 

[batman1]

Won't be surprised next time CNA arranged foreign pundits to comment on local politics.

 

[Thick Face Black Heart]

Quoting guys like Eugene Tan is a waste of time - hang around the coffee shops and you don't hear very different comments.

The only person who can outdo him - Gillian Koh; even my dog can bark better motherhood comments which the vegetable seller can articulate better.

He can't even offer analysis that SBF bros and sis here can come up within a few seconds.

 

[steffychun]

Probably in the same league as Tey

 

[RunRoad]

Eugene Tan is pro PAP

And pretends to be neutral

 

[TuaGow]

no need to be a professor to make suck common knowledge ANALysis. anyone also know.

 

[aurvandil]

The current 4CF in Punggol East allows testing of an interesting hypothesis.

There is generally widespread agreement that KJ and DL are likely to lose deposit. It is how few votes each candidate will pull that is of interest.

Conventional wisdom is that both candidates are likely to poll 3% to 5%.

I hold the minority view that the publicity generated by SDP has significantly raised the issue of split Opposition votes and how the PAP could steal the election. Because of this, I expect most voters who desire an alternative to vote for the strongest Opposition candidate which in this case is WP's LL. My expectation is that DL and KJ are likely to poll about 1,000 votes or around 3% TOGETHER. WP therefore need to convert only about 2,300 swing voters to win Punggol East.

If my hypothesis is correct, this will have far reaching consequences for GE 2016. After the success in the Presidential Elections, the PAP is expected to use the split vote strategy to retain seats in the face of fading popularity and weakening demographics. If Singapore voters demonstrate that that they are able to vote strategically after awareness is raised on the dangers of a split Opposition vote, then we have a powerful new weapon against the PAP's last hope to stay in power.

 

[Fook Seng]

He fare better compared to Gillian Koh. If you see Gillian Koh face on CNA or poll day on TV, my advice is to switch off your TV.

She can still PLP when all the votes are in and polling has closed.

 

[ray_of_hope]

Won't be surprised next time CNA arranged foreign pundits to comment on local politics.

Will that be any better if the foreign pundits are heavily pro-PAP?

Someone like Michael Barr will never be invited to speak.

 

[streetsmart73]

Eugene Tan is pro PAP

hi there


1. guys, what can we expect from some dog leh?
2. dogs will never bite the hands that feed them

 

[giggity_shit]

Everything political they ask him for quote.... he might as well run in punggol as well

 

[GOD IS MY DOG]

everyone knows it's a 2 horse race what......................

they should be talking about whether SDA can get back deposit or not.......................i say not a chance...............

as for RP...................i'm not surprised even if they get ZERO votes.................if that really happen, i'll laugh my head off............

 

[andyfisher]

state media has as much credibility as a china whore saying her oyster is clean - ie zero

anyone who is not a declared or open oppo person and who appears on state media, be it tv or news paper.
more than half a chance, they support pappies,

why?
cos do you think pappy state media will want to offer views contrary to govt opinion? especially when it can have the veneer of credence from an 'expert'? of kos not la

so whenever they got analysts, I dont bother too much. its all farts out from their mouths, dont stick around cos it will smell bad.

 

[ray_of_hope]

Prof. Tan is very distinguished hor.

 

[myfoot123]

Most political analyse in Singapore are biased and faked. Those genuine and speak the truth ones were banned from msm or repartriated and never to enter Singapore again.

 

[steffychun]

Prof. Tan is very distinguished hor.

Yes with PAP polish