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ABNN Snake Modi copycat Chinese no 1st strike nuke stunt, also suggest that his nukes all failed!

Tony Tan

Alfrescian
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https://mil.news.sina.com.cn/jssd/2019-05-11/doc-ihvhiews1197832.shtml

莫迪:印度是唯一不首先用核武国家 遭侵略时也不例外

莫迪:印度是唯一不首先用核武国家 遭侵略时也不例外



331

5月4日,莫迪在参加一档电视节目的时候表示,印度是全球唯一坚定的奉行不先用核武器政策的国家。为了突出自己是认真严肃的,莫迪将“不首先使用核武器”和“唯一”两个关键词反复强调了一遍。
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此前,莫迪在表达对于巴基斯坦的立场时似乎有些发言不当。
当时他说印度已经停止了对于巴基斯坦的核威慑政策,可巴基斯坦每天却还是在叫嚣印度有核武器。于是莫迪表示,印度的核武器又不是用来放烟花看的。
这样的言论在印度国内随后引起了很大的争议,被很多媒体解读为未来印度未来可能使用核武器打击巴基斯坦的实锤。
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在发现自己的言论被对手故意误解利用之后之后,莫迪此次的发言显然是为了澄清自己言论不当。
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他表示自从1998年印度进行最后一次核试验之后,不率先使用核武器的政策就一直成了了印度奉行的基本底线和成文法律,即使任何一界印度政府上台,都不会对此作出改动。
实际上,此前的确曾传言印度安全顾问向莫迪提议,印度应该在不率先使用核武器的基本法律上加上一些限制条件:比如对于非核武器国家可以承诺不率先使用核武器,但对于向巴基斯坦这样的有核武器国家则不应该做限制,一旦遭到侵略,必要时应当率先使用。
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但是莫迪仍然坚定的表示,不会在自己的任期内做出任何核武器政策方面问题的修改。但这样的小插曲似乎也表示,至少在印度国内,还是有部分人对于莫迪奉行的不率先使用核武器的政策是存在异议的。
众所周知,前不久印度和巴基斯坦发生了小规模的局部热战。
起因为印度在的军营遭到了克什米尔游击队的重大打击,印度扬言报复,随后出动大批空军空袭了巴基斯坦支持的克什米尔游击队营地。而巴基斯坦空军则迅速迎战,在战斗当中击落了1架印度的米格-21,还俘虏了一名印度飞行员。
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正当全世界的目光都聚焦到了印巴的冲突是否会演化成1999年的卡吉尔战争,甚至是互相抛核武器的大战时,印巴之间却像说好了一样突然达成了和解。
巴基斯坦首先释放了善意,表示愿意归还俘虏,而印度也紧跟着表示不愿意继续扩大冲突,愿意就此收手。究其原因,是因为印度和巴基斯坦都是有核国家。
实际上,克什米尔的冲突由来已久,甚至远溯到英国殖民时期。当时大英帝国马上离开印度,随手就埋下了这颗定时炸弹。而克什米尔问题一直悬而未决,也导致双方因此不断地进行军备竞赛。
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军备竞赛同样发生在在核武器上。1998年,印度进行了5次核试验,巴基斯坦进行了6次,双方几乎是在同时被国际社会认可为有核国家。而现在,国际原子能机构认为印度和巴基斯坦至少都拥有110可左右的核弹,双方的核实力都足够彻底毁灭对方。
可想而知,一旦双方冲突加剧,必然都非常忌惮对方使用核武器攻击自己。
但对于这个问题,莫迪清醒异常。
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承诺不率先使用核武器,是因为莫迪明白:虽然在克什米尔问题上,巴基斯坦和印度的立场几乎水火不容,前者要求该地方自治,印度则认为该地一直是印度的传统领土。但该地区大小冲突已经持续了70多年,每年都有大量的平民因为冲突死亡。
克什米尔地区牵制了印度国内25万军队,每年巴基斯坦因为克什米尔地区花出去的钱,也严重消耗了其国内的大量社会资源,严重妨碍了其经济发展。
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但克什米尔的问题虽然目前谈不拢,却仍可以用让步的方式得到和解,而一旦使用核武器,那么就连最基本的生存都成了是一个问题,这无疑是为了小的利益,放弃了其他一切。
虽然印度在提及不率先使用使用核武器的时候,忘记了中国同样是奉行不率先使用核武器的国家,而且中国比印度发出宣言的时间更早。但是莫迪这番言论主要是为了突出印度自己不会率先使用。
从莫迪的话里不难看出,即便是爆发和巴基斯坦的战争,或者是巴基斯坦持续的“入侵”着米尔地区,只要对方不先使用核武,印度也是不会率先使用核武器的。(作者署名:利刃军事 利刃/WXZ)



Modi: India is the only one that is not the first to use nuclear weapons.
Modi: India is the only one that is not the first to use nuclear weapons.
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On May 4th, Modi said in a TV show that India is the only country in the world that is firmly committed to the policy of not using nuclear weapons first. In order to highlight that he is serious, Modi repeatedly emphasized the words "no first use of nuclear weapons" and "only".
Previously, Modi seemed to have made some mistakes when expressing his position on Pakistan. Previously, Modi seemed to have made some mistakes when expressing his position on Pakistan.

At that time, he said that India had stopped its nuclear deterrence policy against Pakistan, but Pakistan is still clamoring for India to have nuclear weapons every day. So Modi said that India’s nuclear weapons were not used to watch fireworks.

Such remarks have caused great controversy in India and have been interpreted by many media as the future of India's possible use of nuclear weapons to combat Pakistan.

After discovering that his speech was deliberately misunderstood by the opponent, Modi’s speech was obviously to clarify his inappropriate speech.

He said that since the last nuclear test in India in 1998, the policy of not using nuclear weapons has always become the basic bottom line and written law pursued by India. Even if any Indian government comes to power, it will not change it.

In fact, it has been previously rumored that the Indian security adviser proposed to Modi that India should impose some restrictions on the basic law of not using nuclear weapons first: for example, non-nuclear-weapon states can promise not to use nuclear weapons first, but for Pakistan. Nuclear-weapon states should not impose restrictions. Once they are aggressed, they should be used first when necessary.

However, Modi still firmly stated that he will not make any changes to the nuclear weapons policy during his term of office. But such an episode seems to indicate that, at least in India, there are still some people who disagree with Modi’s policy of not using nuclear weapons first.

As we all know, a small local heat war has occurred in India and Pakistan not long ago.

Since India’s military camp was hit by the Kashmir guerrillas, India threatened retaliation and then dispatched a large number of air forces to attack Pakistan-backed Kashmir guerrilla camps. The Pakistan Air Force quickly fought, knocking down an Indian MiG-21 in the battle and capturing an Indian pilot.

Just as the eyes of the whole world are focused on whether the conflict between India and Pakistan will evolve into the 1999 Kargil war, even when they fight each other for nuclear weapons, India and Pakistan suddenly reached a reconciliation as if they had said it.

Pakistan first released goodwill and expressed its willingness to return to prisoners. India also followed suit and expressed its reluctance to continue to expand the conflict and is willing to stop. The reason is because India and Pakistan are both nuclear states.

In fact, the conflict in Kashmir has been around for a long time, even as far back as the British colonial period. At that time, the British Empire immediately left India and buried the time bomb. The Kashmir issue has been pending and has led to an ongoing arms race between the two sides.

The arms race also takes place on nuclear weapons. In 1998, India conducted five nuclear tests and Pakistan conducted six times. The two sides were almost recognized by the international community as nuclear states. Now, the IAEA believes that India and Pakistan have at least 110 nuclear bombs, and the verification power of both sides is enough to completely destroy the other side.

It is conceivable that once the conflict between the two sides intensifies, it is inevitable that the other party will use the nuclear weapons to attack themselves.

But for this problem, Modi is awake.

Commitment not to take the lead in the use of nuclear weapons is because Modi understands that although the position of Pakistan and India on the Kashmir issue is almost incompatible, the former requires the local autonomy, while India believes that the place has always been the traditional territory of India. However, the size of the conflict in the region has lasted for more than 70 years, and a large number of civilians die every year because of conflict.

The Kashmir region has contained 250,000 troops in India. Every year, Pakistan’s money spent in Kashmir has also seriously consumed a large amount of its domestic social resources, which has seriously hampered its economic development.

However, although Kashmir’s problems are currently inconsistent, they can still be reconciled in a concession manner. Once nuclear weapons are used, even the most basic survival has become a problem. This is undoubtedly for the sake of small interests, giving up other all.

Although India mentioned that it does not take the lead in the use of nuclear weapons, it has forgotten that China is also pursuing a country that does not take the lead in using nuclear weapons, and that China is earlier than India’s declaration. But Modi’s remarks are mainly to highlight that India will not take the lead.

It is not difficult to see from Modi's words that even if the war broke out and the war in Pakistan, or Pakistan continued to "invade" the Mil area, as long as the other party does not use nuclear weapons first, India will not take the lead in using nuclear weapons. (Author's signature: sharp blade military blade / WXZ)
 
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