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1997 - Asian Financial Crisis; 2008 - European Financial Crisis!

makapaaa

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
Iceland Seeks Loan From Russia, Pegs Currency (Update1)

By Tasneem Brogger
Oct. 7 (Bloomberg) -- Iceland sought a 4 billion-euro ($5.43 billion) loan from Russia, pegged the slumping krona to a basket of currencies and took control of its second-biggest bank to stem a collapse of the financial system.
Central bank Governor David Oddsson said an announcement earlier today in Reykjavik that the Russian loan had been agreed was incorrect and talks were ``ongoing.'' Russian Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin confirmed that ``we have a request from the Icelandic government'' and said Russia's reaction is ``positive.''
The global credit crunch has crippled Iceland's biggest banks, which have racked up foreign debts equivalent to as much as 12 times the size of the economy. The nation's current account gap swelled to the equivalent of 34 percent of gross domestic product in the second quarter, mainly because of the cost of debt payments.
``The commercial bank model there has failed,'' said Sunil Kapadia, an economist at UBS Ltd. in London. ``For such a leveraged economy as Iceland, it was clear this was going to happen, but the pace has been surprising.''
About 90 percent of the external debt was generated by the three biggest banks, Kaupthing Bank hf, Landsbanki Islands hf and Glitnir Bank hf. The government took control of Landsbanki today, following the nationalization of Glitnir on Sept. 29. It also loaned 500 million euros to Kaupthing and guaranteed domestic deposits.
`Disappointed'
Prime Minister Geir Haarde said at a press conference he was ``disappointed'' that ``we have not received the kind of support we requested from our friends.'' He declined to name countries Iceland may have approached for a loan, adding that the nation ``will absolutely not default on its foreign debt.''
International Monetary Fund spokesman William Murray confirmed that a mission had been sent to Iceland, declining to say how long it has been there or the substance of its discussions. The Washington-based lender sends missions at the request of host countries.
``We are increasingly convinced that the Icelandic authorities cannot resolve the situation without outside help,'' said Lars Christensen, senior currency strategist at Danske Bank A/S in Copenhagen. ``We therefore find it most likely that the crisis will have to be solved with the support of the IMF and perhaps some contribution from the Nordic governments.''
Currency Peg
The central bank said it pegged the krona against a basket of currencies at a rate equivalent to 130 per euro. According to Nordea Bank AB, the krona traded at 200 to the euro as of 11:39 a.m. in Reykjavik. That's 53 percent weaker than the peg implies.
``I'm deeply surprised -- this peg is not credible at all,'' said Christensen. ``A credible peg needs a credible set of measures to stabilize the economy and we haven't seen that yet.''
The yield on the 7 percent note due March 2010 dropped 50 basis points, or 0.5 of a percentage point, to 8.56 percent, its lowest in at least a year, as investors sold off other assets to seek the security of government-backed notes.
The credit crunch intensified across the world today. In Europe, U.K. lenders held talks with the government on emergency funding, and in Asia, Japan and Australia's central banks pumped more than $11 billion into markets to revive lending. The Reserve Bank of Australia also slashed its benchmark interest rate by a percentage point, twice as much as economists forecast.
`Worst Position'
Iceland's oversized bank industry means it's ``probably in the worst position in the developed world to cope with the ongoing credit crisis,'' Deutsche Bank AB economist Henrik Gullberg said before today's announcements.
The Financial Supervisory Authority said earlier today it had taken control of Landsbanki, a move that reflected the ``risk of default'' at the lender, according to Chamber of Commerce spokesman, Finnur Oddson.
Kaupthing said today it received a 500 million-euro loan from the central bank and that it hasn't been approached by the FSA.
``It seems they'll allow some banks to go bankrupt but that they've chosen Kaupthing to survive,'' Kapadia said.
The seizure in global credit markets is deepening on speculation central bank attempts to revive lending between financial institutions won't work, resulting in more bank failures.
The London interbank offered rate, or Libor, that banks charge each other for such loans rose 157 basis points to 3.94 percent today, the British Bankers' Association said.
To contact the reporters on this story: Tasneem Brogger in Copenhagen at [email protected];
Last Updated: October 7, 2008 10:21 EDT
 

makapaaa

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
RBS, British Banks in Discussions on Funding Plan (Update1)

By Ben Livesey and Poppy Trowbridge
data



Oct. 7 (Bloomberg) -- The U.K. government may invest at least 45 billion pounds ($79 billion) in three of the country's biggest banks, including Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc, to bolster capital depleted by mortgage-related losses, three people with knowledge of the situation said.
Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling and Bank of England Governor Mervyn King met late yesterday with RBS Chief Executive Officer Fred Goodwin and his counterparts at Barclays Plc and Lloyds TSB Group Plc to discuss the possible investment, said the people, who declined to be identified because the meeting was confidential.
RBS fell as much as 39 percent after Standard & Poor's cut the Edinburgh-based bank's credit rating for the first time in almost a decade, citing its deteriorating financial condition. The government has already bailed out Bradford & Bingley Plc and brokered the takeover of HBOS Plc in the past month on concern about the banks' ability to fund themselves. Darling said yesterday he will do ``whatever it takes'' to keep the financial system stable as capital markets remain frozen.
``The equity markets are saying RBS has the biggest problem but something needs to be done across the board,'' said Simon Maughan, a London-based analyst at MF Global Securities. ``Bond investor confidence in the banks is completely shot.''
Debt Repayments
RBS, Barclays, Lloyds TSB and the U.K.'s three other biggest banks need to repay as much as 54 billion pounds of debt by the end of March 2009, just as borrowing costs reach record highs.
The total, which includes bonds, convertible bonds and commercial paper, is triple the debt repaid in the same period a year earlier. RBS, the owner of NatWest, has about 11.5 billion pounds of obligations coming due in the next six months, while Barclays has 15.9 billion pounds maturing, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
``Barclays has not requested capital from the government and has no reason to do so,'' CEO John Varley said in a statement based on remarks from a speech in London today.
Edinburgh-based RBS traded down 23 percent at 114.2 pence at 12:55 p.m. in London trading, its lowest value in 13 years. HBOS, the country's largest mortgage lender, declined 14 percent and Lloyds TSB dropped 7 percent. Barclays fell 1.6 percent.
RBS Comments
``We have our feet on the ground,'' Varley said in a speech at a Merrill Lynch & Co. conference in London today. ``We understand very clearly that the environment is difficult, and that it's quite likely to get more difficult as economies in the world decelerate.''
``The outlook for 2009 is challenging,'' said Fred Goodwin at the same conference. ``We are delivering against our plans and targets.'' Goodwin made no reference to the bank's share price.
An official in Prime Minister Gordon Brown's office had no immediate comment. Last night, his official spokesman Michael Ellam echoed Darling in saying the government would not be giving details of what it is considering.
Asked if he could confirm that Darling had met Lloyds TSB CEO Eric Daniels, Fred Goodwin and John Varley last night, a Treasury spokesman said he could not.
``It would be irresponsible to speculate on the specifics of future responses,'' Darling told Parliament last night. ``Providing a running commentary could add to uncertainty. All practical options must remain open to us.''
Lloyds spokesman Mark Lidiard reiterated today that the bank will ``look at opportunities'' to raise capital and it continues to target a capital ratio of 6 percent to 7 percent. He declined to comment on a report by the British Broadcasting Corp. that the bank also took part in the government talks.
To contact the reporter on this story: Ben Livesey in London [email protected]
Last Updated: October 7, 2008 07:59 EDT
 

Merl Haggard

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
Citygroup ~ 16.

Merrill Lynch ~ 20.

UBS ~ 16.50.

Dow is 160 pts down from this morning opening gain of 130 pts.

Horseh liao!
 

ah_phah

Alfrescian
Loyal
2009-2011; global credit crunch.

soon, we will revert back to classic mode of transaction - barter trading.
 

Merl Haggard

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
Citygroup ~ 15.

Merrill Lynch ~ 18.

UBS ~ 16.

Dow closed 508 pts down from morning opening gain of 130 pts.

Horseh liao!
 

singveld

Alfrescian (Inf)
Asset
the problem is start by property bubble in USA

does singapore have property bubble ? yes

does asia like south korea and china have property bubble ? yes

but it has spread to EU, which have serious property bubble. and will spread to asia.

so it is a world problem.
 

zhihau

Super Moderator
SuperMod
Asset
the problem is start by property bubble in USA

does singapore have property bubble ? yes

does asia like south korea and china have property bubble ? yes

but it has spread to EU, which have serious property bubble. and will spread to asia.

so it is a world problem.

let us be reminded that there's another growing bubble down under :biggrin::biggrin::biggrin:
 

Hamlin

Alfrescian
Loyal
2009-2011; global credit crunch.

soon, we will revert back to classic mode of transaction - barter trading.

Well said... The entire financial system is being tested and no there's no sign things are clearing up. 2008 is a bad bad year... 2009 will be WORSE than 2008!!!!
 
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