PRC's public defiance that they will not cede a single inch of land to others and prepared to fight a bloody battle against its enemies is absurd and laughable. just compare the maps of the PRC and the ROC, and it's clear that the PRC had ceded away so much lands to others. how much land had the PRC ceded to the Russians ? the PRC's China sovereignty must be defended at all costs depend on whether they feel like it or not, just a tool to deceive the gullible Chinese people, feel sorry for the real Chinese nationalists or patriots whatever.
习近平&中国同胞,千万坚持武统!反对和平统一! New Year Day Ceremony of Peaceful Unification Taiwan, Strongly Objecting! War!
- Thread starter tun_dr_m
- Start date
- Joined
- Nov 29, 2016
- Messages
- 5,674
- Points
- 63
It is the Ultimate Success and Survival way, Ultimately worthwhile, if you used Nuke all can be done within 1 hour only. Ultimately FAST! Resources all had already long been spent to make nuke as idiots suckers just dare no use them, all these resources were wasted. We just RECYCLE THEM and make them useful! Very healthy and green and saving the PLANNET. Huat Ah!
- Joined
- Aug 11, 2008
- Messages
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Lesbian Tsai defied the call from Xi for Peaceful Reunification. Time to turn out the PLA without further warnings. Seal off the Taiwan Island air and sea. Missile anything that moves. Challenge any countries interested to interfere with the Unification War for Taiwan. Send your coffins over ASAP.
- Joined
- Sep 22, 2008
- Messages
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- Points
- 113
Singapore is a ally of taiwan. It will come to their rescue. PLA no chance cannot fight orang asli army in taiwan in deep jungle warfare. It will be a massacre.
- Joined
- Aug 28, 2011
- Messages
- 3,990
- Points
- 63
No jungle in Taiwan to need Vietnam Era warfare. This bomb info released just before New Year, level radius 1km leaves no living things. Fuel Air Explosive Thermobaric. It filled up entire bomb bay of heavy strategic bomber. Divine Chinese bomb will turn jungle into desert instantly.
- Joined
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- Messages
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- Points
- 48
Taiwanese show host anticipating the Unification Day to arrive.
https://mil.news.sina.com.cn/china/2019-01-04/doc-ihqfskcn3877231.shtml
台湾名嘴：我们真的来得及看见统一这一天
台湾名嘴：我们真的来得及看见统一这一天
2,568
黄智贤
（作者：黄智贤 台湾政治评论家、《夜问打权》主持人）
和平统一的开始
1
昨天，是历史上必然标注的一天。
是划时代的开始。
习近平昨天，在1979年的告台湾同胞书40周年纪念上，重磅告台湾同胞。
看完整场演说，长期关注两岸的人，必然心情激动。
必定了解，这是一个新时代的开始。
会落泪，是因为相信，我们真的来得及看见统一这一天。
2
这是一个宣告，一个宣誓，一个保证。
宣告是再次向全世界宣告，两岸都是中国领土，请尊重中国。
我们的分裂，这历史的创伤，将从今开始愈合。
这个伤口，不会留到下一代。
这是一个宣誓。
向自己和同胞宣誓，而不是渺不可知的未来，将正式积极，推进和平统一。
这更是一个保证。
告诉台湾人，你的顾虑和恐惧，我都知道。
统一之后，不但不会失去，反而是长治久安的开始。
统一的方案，都可以讨论。
3
九二共识，不管是大陆的文件，还是台湾自己的文件。
内容都是，两岸都是中国的一部分，而且要共同追求统一。
追求统一，更记载在“中华民国宪法”里。
台湾凭什么，可以不追求统一？
不追求统一，叫什么“中华民国”？
4
追求统一既然是宪法所定，管你政客蓝白绿，都绕不开，躲不了这个
要追求统一，你不要和平统一，难道喜欢武力统一？
所以，习近平就直接直球对决。
不愿意统一的，闪一边去。
当然，这在台湾的内部现实，是重磅的一击。
因为政客只活在一次又一次选举，只活在自己的权力游戏里。
但，那重要吗？
政客有政客的目的。
我们，作为人民，看清楚大势，追求的，是中华民族的振兴。
和百姓的安身立命。
5
政客听到一国两制，莫不打哆嗦。
一国两制，本来就是为台湾量身订做的特殊安排与设计。
统一之后，你不喜欢一国两制？
那一国一制，也可以。
国民党几乎要崩溃了。
我想，2020谁当选，于统一大业，已经毫不相干。
6
这一篇2019年版的《告台湾同胞书》，是一个政策宣告。
气势磅礴，展现了习近平的格局，气度和决心。
让人感动。
是的。
我们会迎接统一。
以及统一后的中华复兴。
Taiwan's famous mouth: We really have time to see the day of reunification
Taiwan's famous mouth: We really have time to see the day of reunification
2,568
Huang Zhixian Huang Zhixian
(Author: Ben Wong Taiwan's political commentator, "the night asked to play right" host)
The beginning of peaceful reunification
1
Yesterday was a day that must be marked in history.
It is the beginning of an epoch.
Xi Jinping yesterday, on the commemoration of the 40th anniversary of the Taiwan compatriots in 1979, told Taiwan compatriots.
Looking at the full speech, people who have long been concerned about the two sides of the strait will be excited.
It must be understood that this is the beginning of a new era.
I will cry because I believe that we really have time to see the day of reunification.
twenty two
This is a declaration, an oath, a guarantee.
The announcement is to announce to the world again that both sides of the strait are Chinese territory, please respect China.
Our division, the trauma of this history, will heal from now on.
This wound will not stay in the next generation.
This is an oath.
To swear to yourself and your compatriots, not to blame the unknown, will be formally active and promote peaceful reunification.
This is a guarantee.
Tell the Taiwanese, I know your concerns and fears.
After reunification, not only will it not be lost, but it will be the beginning of long-term stability.
A unified plan can be discussed.
3
The 1992 consensus, whether it is a document from the mainland or a document of Taiwan itself.
The content is that both sides of the strait are part of China, and they must pursue unity together.
The pursuit of unity is recorded in the Constitution of the Republic of China.
Why can Taiwan not pursue unity?
Do not pursue reunification, what is the "Republic of China"?
4
Since the pursuit of unity is fixed by the Constitution, you can’t get rid of this politician’s blue, white and green.
To pursue unity, do you not want peaceful reunification, do you like military unity?
Therefore, Xi Jinping directly confronted the ball.
Do not want to be unified, go to the side.
Of course, this internal reality in Taiwan is a heavy blow.
Because politicians only live in elections again and again, they only live in their own power games.
But is that important?
Politicians have the purpose of politicians.
We, as the people, see the general trend and pursue the revitalization of the Chinese nation.
And the people's life is settled.
5
Politicians hear one country, two systems, and do not fight.
One country, two systems, was originally a special arrangement and design tailored for Taiwan.
After reunification, don't you like one country, two systems?
That country can also be one system.
The Kuomintang is almost going to collapse.
I think that whoever is elected in 2020 will not be related to the cause of reunification.
6
This 2019 edition of the Taiwan Compatriots Book is a policy announcement.
Magnificent, showing the pattern, tolerance and determination of Xi Jinping.
Touching people.
Yes.
We will meet the unification.
And the reunification of the Chinese renaissance.
https://mil.news.sina.com.cn/china/2019-01-04/doc-ihqfskcn3877231.shtml
台湾名嘴：我们真的来得及看见统一这一天
台湾名嘴：我们真的来得及看见统一这一天
2,568
（作者：黄智贤 台湾政治评论家、《夜问打权》主持人）
和平统一的开始
1
昨天，是历史上必然标注的一天。
是划时代的开始。
习近平昨天，在1979年的告台湾同胞书40周年纪念上，重磅告台湾同胞。
看完整场演说，长期关注两岸的人，必然心情激动。
必定了解，这是一个新时代的开始。
会落泪，是因为相信，我们真的来得及看见统一这一天。
这是一个宣告，一个宣誓，一个保证。
宣告是再次向全世界宣告，两岸都是中国领土，请尊重中国。
我们的分裂，这历史的创伤，将从今开始愈合。
这个伤口，不会留到下一代。
这是一个宣誓。
向自己和同胞宣誓，而不是渺不可知的未来，将正式积极，推进和平统一。
这更是一个保证。
告诉台湾人，你的顾虑和恐惧，我都知道。
统一之后，不但不会失去，反而是长治久安的开始。
统一的方案，都可以讨论。
3
九二共识，不管是大陆的文件，还是台湾自己的文件。
内容都是，两岸都是中国的一部分，而且要共同追求统一。
追求统一，更记载在“中华民国宪法”里。
台湾凭什么，可以不追求统一？
不追求统一，叫什么“中华民国”？
4
追求统一既然是宪法所定，管你政客蓝白绿，都绕不开，躲不了这个
要追求统一，你不要和平统一，难道喜欢武力统一？
所以，习近平就直接直球对决。
不愿意统一的，闪一边去。
当然，这在台湾的内部现实，是重磅的一击。
因为政客只活在一次又一次选举，只活在自己的权力游戏里。
但，那重要吗？
政客有政客的目的。
我们，作为人民，看清楚大势，追求的，是中华民族的振兴。
和百姓的安身立命。
5
政客听到一国两制，莫不打哆嗦。
一国两制，本来就是为台湾量身订做的特殊安排与设计。
统一之后，你不喜欢一国两制？
那一国一制，也可以。
国民党几乎要崩溃了。
我想，2020谁当选，于统一大业，已经毫不相干。
6
这一篇2019年版的《告台湾同胞书》，是一个政策宣告。
气势磅礴，展现了习近平的格局，气度和决心。
让人感动。
是的。
我们会迎接统一。
以及统一后的中华复兴。
Taiwan's famous mouth: We really have time to see the day of reunification
Taiwan's famous mouth: We really have time to see the day of reunification
2,568
Huang Zhixian Huang Zhixian
(Author: Ben Wong Taiwan's political commentator, "the night asked to play right" host)
The beginning of peaceful reunification
1
Yesterday was a day that must be marked in history.
It is the beginning of an epoch.
Xi Jinping yesterday, on the commemoration of the 40th anniversary of the Taiwan compatriots in 1979, told Taiwan compatriots.
Looking at the full speech, people who have long been concerned about the two sides of the strait will be excited.
It must be understood that this is the beginning of a new era.
I will cry because I believe that we really have time to see the day of reunification.
twenty two
This is a declaration, an oath, a guarantee.
The announcement is to announce to the world again that both sides of the strait are Chinese territory, please respect China.
Our division, the trauma of this history, will heal from now on.
This wound will not stay in the next generation.
This is an oath.
To swear to yourself and your compatriots, not to blame the unknown, will be formally active and promote peaceful reunification.
This is a guarantee.
Tell the Taiwanese, I know your concerns and fears.
After reunification, not only will it not be lost, but it will be the beginning of long-term stability.
A unified plan can be discussed.
3
The 1992 consensus, whether it is a document from the mainland or a document of Taiwan itself.
The content is that both sides of the strait are part of China, and they must pursue unity together.
The pursuit of unity is recorded in the Constitution of the Republic of China.
Why can Taiwan not pursue unity?
Do not pursue reunification, what is the "Republic of China"?
4
Since the pursuit of unity is fixed by the Constitution, you can’t get rid of this politician’s blue, white and green.
To pursue unity, do you not want peaceful reunification, do you like military unity?
Therefore, Xi Jinping directly confronted the ball.
Do not want to be unified, go to the side.
Of course, this internal reality in Taiwan is a heavy blow.
Because politicians only live in elections again and again, they only live in their own power games.
But is that important?
Politicians have the purpose of politicians.
We, as the people, see the general trend and pursue the revitalization of the Chinese nation.
And the people's life is settled.
5
Politicians hear one country, two systems, and do not fight.
One country, two systems, was originally a special arrangement and design tailored for Taiwan.
After reunification, don't you like one country, two systems?
That country can also be one system.
The Kuomintang is almost going to collapse.
I think that whoever is elected in 2020 will not be related to the cause of reunification.
6
This 2019 edition of the Taiwan Compatriots Book is a policy announcement.
Magnificent, showing the pattern, tolerance and determination of Xi Jinping.
Touching people.
Yes.
We will meet the unification.
And the reunification of the Chinese renaissance.
- Joined
- Feb 20, 2010
- Messages
- 2,818
- Points
- 48
Taiwanese youth: Delay no further! Unification Now!
https://mil.news.sina.com.cn/china/2019-01-04/doc-ihqhqcis2934945.shtml
台湾青年：我们也很心急 统一不能再这么拖下去了
台湾青年：我们也很心急 统一不能再这么拖下去了
4,391
原标题：王炳忠：我们也很心急，统一不能再这么拖下去了
[文/观察者网专栏作者 王炳忠]
1
应观察者网之邀，请我谈谈对1月2日大陆纪念《告台湾同胞书》40周年大会的感想，动笔前的一刻，脸书又收到一名台大法律系网友的讯息，咒骂我是“滞台支那人”、“太平洋没加盖，要做中国人自己去”、“以为真的会和平统一，做梦”。。。。。。。一堆不堪入目的字眼，倒是最后一句说得有些道理，“和平”统一，可能吗？
也许你会说，像这种非理性的网友，哪里没有？何以特别举例？但记录显示，她曾在三年多年不断联系我，还曾来信向我示好，声称“这社会的声音应该更多元，希望我们都能让台湾更好”，却只因我公开发文肯定习近平“告台湾同胞书”40周年纪念讲话，就让她崩溃至此。
尤其是涌入我脸书的大批“绿卫兵”部队，更是集体歇斯底里，而且忽然都成了“中华民国”的捍卫尖兵。他们一下“你们不能代表台湾”，一下又“中国独裁侵害人权”，例子无非是不知哪儿炮制出的“维族集中营”，还有不断鬼扯根本不会传人的“猪瘟”将如何“感染”台湾人。。。。。。
以上种种，只说明两个事实：第一，这些人长年挟带优越感的所谓“台湾是多元社会”，其实一点也不“多元”。第二，习近平主席的演讲，谈不上什么“封锁”，更别说是“武力”，却已让岛内独派抓狂，蔡英文也不得不回应了！
2
当然，除了独派与蔡英文的激动，我听到更多的是一般台湾人对此展开热议，包括将来会是“和统”或“武统”的猜测。虽然主流媒体刻意压低了报导，不愿意“为对岸宣传”，但现在毕竟不是四十年前，两岸信息封锁的年代，是再也回不去了。
台湾民众开始讨论“和统”或“武统”，其实就是开始“谈统”，这实在本应是大陆早该做的事！什么事？就是大陆必须率先“打开天窗说亮话”，明白告诉台湾人谈统的重要，统一是不能回避的问题！而且，统一离我们并不遥远，不会是一代又一代拖延下去，就在你我有生之年，我们都将会看见。
习近平主席选在《告台湾同胞书》四十周年纪念会的重要讲话，正展现过去没有过的统一决心。也许一些朋友质疑，大陆从来都说统啊！但是，过去近十年的对台表述及做法，却让“务实的台湾人”判定“大陆没有要统”，只要用“九二共识”打混，而且还是“不统不独”的“九二共识”，大陆照样对台让利。
那么，在岛内宣扬必须面对统一、谈论统一的统派，岂不成了人人嘲笑的傻蛋了？“大陆都不谈统，你们谈什么呢？”
我一直说，台湾人是很务实的，因为民进党不认“九二共识”，两岸交流明显倒退，大家才会心知肚明，只有认同“九二共识”，“货才出得去，人才进得来”。那么，讲明白谈判统一的重要，台湾人也才知道，不能当作“统一”问题不存在，也才会产生对一国两制“台湾方案”的讨论。
3
于是蔡英文说，这是“分化台湾”的手段，要用三大“防护网”压制。但民进党自己标榜的，不就是多元社会？习近平主席倡议，坚持“九二共识”、反对“台独”的各政党、各界别都能推举代表来谈，听取对统一前制度安排的多元意见，这不正是倾听多元吗？
蔡英文也首次明确否定“九二共识”，撕毁了“未完成的答卷”。她的理由是，因为习近平主席的讲话，证实了多年来他们认为“九二共识”会落入“北京定义的一个中国、一国两制”的顾虑。
然而，民进党同时发表的声明，要求大陆正视“台湾是主权国家，名字叫中华民国”，不正也证实了海内外中国人的共同顾虑，那便是民进党和蔡英文所谓的“中华民国”，就是“台独”借壳的遮xiu布，用“中华民国”的挡箭牌来保护“台独”的神主牌？
蔡英文自创的“中华民国台湾”，当然也是如此。时至今日，竟直接透过台湾当局的“外交部”，向“国际社会”诉说对习近平主席讲话的回应，“中华民国台湾”忽而与“中国”对立，忽而又是“台湾是主权国家，未受中国管辖”，既是“务实台独”，又同时敲了“台独”的丧钟。
为什么？只因既是“台独”，怎又与“中华民国”这一中国政权牵扯不清？既不承认同属一中，却还要靠“一中”有无各表、如何表述大作文章，不正自己将从未出世的“台独”堕胎吗？
4
自国民党退守台湾后，台湾当局的历任领导人，尤其自蒋经国起，就都要同时给华府和北京交答卷。蒋经国为了国民党政权在台湾延续，认定不能和中共谈判，否则将失去统治正当性，却又向美国妥协，允许以“台独”作为党纲的民进党成立。他唯一向大陆的妥协，是在人伦亲情的压力下允许大陆探亲，而他也随即撒手人寰。
现在人人都说李登辉是国民党的叛徒，但一定程度上说，李登辉确实继承了蒋经国“革新保台”的偏安路线。只是“本土化”后的国民党，“三民主义统一中国”变成完全没灵魂的口号，最终也从国民党的论述消失，而江山也就这样拱手让人。
曾经让国民党重返执政的马英九，从过去的“终极统一”，在任时“不统、不独、不武”，卸任后“不排斥统一”，投机性昭然若揭。如今面对习近平讲话，又是“马办”称“谈统条件不成熟”，又是躲在幕后的“国民党内人士”放话说“两岸应该竞争出最适合中国人的制度”，甚至还有刚从美国回来的国民党“立委”，自欺欺人说“没什么新东西”。但我们就问中国国民党一句话：“从马英九执政加上这几年在野，你们到底说过中国人几次呢？”
还有，什么时候以国家统一为目标的“中华民国宪法”，变成“马办”所言只是“不排斥统一”呢？
5
这种话我已听了无数次，什么要我加入国民党、新党要回国民党、国民党已和大陆在谈和平协议。。。。。。那些对我说这话的人，甚至将此美其名为“曲线救国”。我真不敢想象，要是当时混入了国民党的大酱缸，2014年“太阳花”事件时，岛内还有哪个年轻人能出来发出反对之声？
这个道理很简单。如果大陆长期不积极直接对台湾人民说明主张，一切都通过岛内“不统不独”的政客及买办，甚至还自我限缩说是“不干预岛内事务”，结果放任台湾表面“不统不独”，实则“务实台独”，事态已严重到侵蚀中国的领土主权完整，难道还不“干预”吗？
如此一来，岛内陷入恶性循环，想夺得政权者绝口不提统一，对大陆则骗称“要先选上”，等选上后只要能忽悠得过，大陆也就“与之交流”，红利全落入这群政客、买办集团，黑锅由大陆来背，还因为长久没人谈统，自然也不会形成“谈统民意”。如果还要继续接受“选举结果”，那何不干脆接受“台独”？
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我和多位统派学者，都曾向大陆对台智库反映这一情况，并以台湾民间都说“没有九二共识，地也没动，山也没摇”，来表达多数人不认为大陆真要求统。结果，竟还得到对方称“所谓地动山摇可能只是北方口语，不是真的会如何”，甚至回以“那就让大陆再多见见你们嘛”的奚落。
我们这些怀抱中国心的岛内爱国人士，不是计较领导人见我们几次面，而是统一真不能再这样拖延下去。我们不是帮助谁统谁，而是我们不甘继续被政客协同美日压榨，看着庞大军购拖垮经济，内斗内耗困死台湾。
回首台湾人从马关条约沦于日寇五十一年，又卷入国共内战与大陆对峙，现在大陆繁荣富强，我们为何不能加入中国复兴的行列？这是我们发自内心的呼声！更是我们在台湾的中国人应有的权利！
大陆如自认代表正统中国，怎能不担负起领导国家统一的责任？部分智库戏谑的回应，伤透了我们的心，如今习主席发出统一的号召，我们当然积极响应，也鼓励所有认同自己是中国人的台湾各界人士，一起加入一国两制“台湾方案”的讨论。
有人说，“一国两制”已是负面词汇，应该要换个提法。那“九二共识”、“一个中国”也被说是标签化，怎么办？说“两国论”最没争议？我们要正面请教，那些反对“一国两制”的人，你们究竟是反对“一国”，还是“两制”？如是反对“一国”，那就是“台独”分裂，没有得谈。如是反对“两制”，那是希望大陆的制度来统一台湾？还是妄想台湾的“民主”统一大陆，说了自己都很心虚？
2015年9·3阅兵，王炳忠在观礼台上
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习主席的讲话，当然是开启了从“反独”进到“促统”的新时代，但隐忧仍在，而且不小。
因为过去不够耕耘直接和台湾民众的对话和沟通，现在纵使通过与台湾某党派、团体或人士协商，提出两岸在统一前和平稳定的制度方案，或能“出口转内销”使其迅速成为意见领袖，得到民意支持，扭转“想选上就不能谈统”的死循环，但时间上来得及吗？
从这样的政党、团体、人士选上“民代”，进到“立法机构”，有足够的人数形成党团，个个还要信仰坚定，愿意在岛内正面谈统，乃至夺得大位。。。。。。在台湾已长年“去中国化”、外加美国干预的现实土壤里，就算能够生根茁壮、开花结果，可预见的是必须经历一段阵痛期。
就算能经得住磨练，不为短线操作而投机取巧，真正在台宣扬统一理念，但美国也不会闲着，定会使尽浑身解数唆使、威胁蔡英文及任何竞选领导人的候选人不可“亲中（大陆）”，而面临党内逼gong及连任危机的蔡英文，也必然会为美国利用，乃至出现狗急跳墙。
正如伪满洲国听信日本关东军的蛊惑一样，甘为日本分裂中国的鹰犬，直到沦为战犯。金灿荣教授的警语不是不会发生：“时间在大陆这一边，但台独和美国右翼不愿等，他们都急着搞事儿，逼着我们不得不做出反应。”
唯一可能快速化解危机的，就是有希望夺回政权的国民党担起责任，提出以统一为目标的和平发展机制，就如刚刚过去的九合一大选，美国明摆着支持民进党，但最后国民党大胜，美国也就认，又忙着派人拉拢与国民党关系。一旦国民党真的和大陆谈和平协议，美国固然会亟力阻挠，但最后成了，也就认了。
然而，一向不擅于对抗“台独”“政治正确”的国民党，敢吗？马英九因卸任前突如其来的“习马会”，就被美国人视作“叛徒”。（去年随新党郁慕明主席访美，更有美国前对台官员嫌马不够强调“中国威胁”，是骗子。）面对现实已存在的“天然独”养分，国民党不怕挑战后便选不上吗？
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最后，还有靠“两岸一家亲”与民进党区隔，但也因此受“独派”批斗的柯文哲。
柯文哲的投机性，或可提出比两大党灵活的政治提法，但也仅止于此。他不会主动引导民意谈统，但会很“务实”地把许多真相揭穿，尤其是塞在国民党和统派嘴里绝对会被说“卖台”的话，在他口中就自然得到不少“豁免”。
就像他曾说过的，如果武统真发生，那就先抵抗，“打不过，再投降”。
这也许就是台湾最后的宿命。不是说台湾岛内没有“统派”民意，而是“去中国化”毒素太深，大陆又信奉“不干预岛内事务”。如我在写这篇文章前，和朋友到熟悉的火锅店吃饭，老板儿子小我一岁，看了习主席讲话，告诉我：“中国和台湾真的是最亲近的两个‘国家’。美国一向自私自利，如果真要选择，我会选自己兄弟中国。”
虽然他表述的是“两国论”，但其实是“隐性统派”。我们自应对他循循善诱，但赶得上危机感日深的“台独”势力吗？
周边怀抱中国认同的台湾青年，十之八九都已移居大陆。就在返家的出租车上，又听到播放流行音乐的DJ，竟也不忘洗脑一段“台独”思想，说“我们是中华民国人或台湾人，本来就不是中国人”，所以“谁管什么中国人不打中国人”，“大陆不尊重我们不做中国人的选择，证明两岸一家亲是假的”。
这就是我这些年和同龄或年纪更小的台湾青年交流，深刻体会到的沉重悲哀。他们已在台湾二十余年的教育下，没有了中国人的同胞亲情，没有了中华儿女的文化认同，什么“每逢佳节倍思亲”、“历尽劫波兄弟在”的情感，他们都毫无共鸣。
剩下的，只有赤裸裸的现实利益，却又因长年对西方霸权的迷信，甚至对现实还产生“拒绝相信”或误判。令我不禁想起，2014年曾以统派代表身份和习主席座谈时，习主席便特别指出：“一旦教科书继续毒害台湾年轻人，以后孔夫子、关老爷都变外国人了！”
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所以，在听完习主席讲话的振奋后，我们所面对的，仍是“浮云蔽白日”的台湾社会，仍是“道狭草木长”的台湾政局。媒体与各党谈论的，依旧是如何忽悠大陆，安抚美国，再讲些营销策略骗人之类的话。于是，自私自利的政客，有脸自称他们“爱台”，还倒过来指控我们“卖台”。毁弃“一中宪法”大搞“台独”的，更反过来用“国家安全”的大帽子，整肃我们这些爱国人士。
如今我们这些坚持“九二共识”、反对“台独”的新党青年军，以及中华统一促进党的总裁张安乐先生，都已经被蔡英文当局“限制出境”，不得离开台湾。其他多数的岛内政党及政客，但想求点功利，无不阉然媚世，顺从“台独”建立的“政治正确”发言。如此偏安败亡的景象，真是青史一幕幕，而今略有体会！
台湾人自两蒋时期被要求“保密防谍”、“反共复国”、“不接触、不谈判、不妥协”，到民进党又继续威胁“任何人不得与大陆进行政治协商”，并祭出“三大防护网”随时伺候。虽然处在这重重的压力下，但我仍要从心底吶喊：“尽最大力量促进以和平方式完成国家统一的正义事业，毕一生之力投身统一后的建设工作！”
我王炳忠，生于1987年两岸冰融新时代的台湾人，两岸统一的青年政治工作者，誓做顶天立地的男子汉，堂堂正正的中国人！
“冬来岭上一枝梅，叶落枯枝总不摧，探得阳春消息近，依然还我作花魁！”与所有岛内怀抱中国心的爱国人士共勉。
（2019年1月3日，凌晨四点，台北。）
Taiwanese youth: We are also very anxious. Unity can no longer be dragged on.
Taiwanese youth: We are also very anxious. Unity can no longer be dragged on.
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Original title: Wang Bingzhong: We are also very anxious, and unity can no longer be dragged on.
[Text / Observer Network columnist Wang Bingzhong]
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At the invitation of the Observer Network, please tell me about the impression of the 40th anniversary of the commemoration of the Taiwan Compatriots on January 2nd. At the moment before the slogan, Facebook received a message from a netizen of the National Taiwan University Law Department, cursing I am "the one who is stagnation of Taiwan", "the Pacific has not been stamped, and the Chinese have to go by themselves", "I thought it would be peacefully unified and dreamed." . . . . . . A bunch of unsightly words, but the last sentence is somewhat reasonable. Is it possible to "peace"?
Maybe you will say, like this irrational netizen, where is it? Why is it a special example? However, the records show that she has been in contact with me for more than three years. She has also written to me, claiming that "the voice of this society should be more yuan, I hope we can make Taiwan better", but only because I openly affirmed The commemorative speech of Xi Jinping’s 40th Anniversary of "Taiwan Compatriots" caused her to collapse.
In particular, the large number of "Green Guard" troops that flooded into my Facebook book were collectively hysterical, and suddenly they became the defenders of the "Republic of China." They said, "You can't represent Taiwan," and "China's dictatorship violates human rights." The example is nothing more than the "Uighur concentration camp" that I did not know where to make it, and how the "swine cockroaches" that will continue to sneak out will not "infect". Taiwanese. . . . . .
All of the above, only two facts are said: First, the so-called "Taiwan is a pluralistic society" that these people have a sense of superiority for many years is actually not "diverse". Second, President Xi Jinping’s speech can’t talk about “blockade”, let alone “force”, but it has already made the island’s independence mad, and Tsai Ing-wen has to respond!
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Of course, in addition to the excitement of the independence and Tsai Ing-wen, I have heard more about the general Taiwanese people's hot debate on this, including the speculation that the future will be "harmony" or "wutong." Although the mainstream media deliberately lowered the report and did not want to "promote for the other side", but now it is not 40 years ago, the era of cross-strait information blockade is no longer able to go back.
The people of Taiwan began to discuss "harmony" or "wutong". In fact, it is the beginning of "talking about the system". This is really what the mainland should have done! what's up? It is the mainland that must take the lead in "opening the skylight and telling the story", understand the importance of telling Taiwanese people to talk about unity, and unity is a problem that cannot be avoided! Moreover, unity is not far away from us. It will not be delayed from generation to generation. It will be seen in the years of your life.
President Xi Jinping’s important speech at the commemoration of the 40th Anniversary of the Taiwan Compatriots is showing the unification of the past. Perhaps some friends have questioned that the mainland has always said that it is unified! However, in the past ten years, the practice of Taiwan’s representation has made the “pragmatic Taiwanese” judge that “the mainland does not have to be unified”, as long as it is mixed with the “92 Consensus”, and it’s still “not unified or not alone”. Consensus", the mainland still gives way to Taiwan.
Then, on the island, it is necessary to face the unity and talk about the unity of unity. Is it a fool who everyone laughs at? "The mainland does not talk about the system. What are you talking about?"
I have always said that the Taiwanese are very pragmatic because the DPP does not recognize the "92 Consensus" and cross-strait exchanges are clearly regressing. Everyone will know well. Only by agreeing with the "92 Consensus", "the goods can only go out." Talents come in." Then, to understand the importance of negotiating reunification, the Taiwanese only know that the issue of "unification" cannot exist and that there will be a discussion on the "Taiwan Plan" of one country, two systems.
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So Tsai Ing-wen said that this is a means of "differentiating Taiwan" and it must be suppressed by three "protective nets". But the DPP’s own advertised is not a pluralistic society? President Xi Jinping advocated that all political parties and all political parties that adhere to the "1992 Consensus" and oppose "Taiwan independence" can vote for representatives and listen to the diversified opinions on the institutional arrangements before reunification. Isn't this just listening to pluralism?
For the first time, Tsai Ing-wen also clearly denied the "92 Consensus" and tore up the "unfinished answer sheet." Her reason is that because of President Xi Jinping’s speech, they confirmed that they believed that the "92 Consensus" would fall into the "one China, one country, two systems" definition of Beijing.
However, the DPP’s simultaneous statement demanded that the mainland face up to the fact that "Taiwan is a sovereign state and its name is the Republic of China." This also confirms the common concerns of the Chinese at home and abroad. That is, the DPP and Tsai Ing-wen "The Republic of China" is the "Taiwan independence" back cover of the xiu cloth, with the "Republic of China" shield to protect the "Taiwan independence" God's main card?
Of course, the "Republic of China Taiwan" created by Tsai Ing-wen is also true. To this day, he directly told the "international community" through the "Ministry of Foreign Affairs" of the Taiwan authorities that he responded to President Xi Jinping’s speech. "The Republic of China Taiwan" suddenly opposes "China" and suddenly "Taiwan is a sovereign state." Not subject to Chinese jurisdiction, it is not only "pragmatic Taiwan independence" but also the death knell of "Taiwan independence."
Why? Just because it is "Taiwan independence", how can it be unclear about the Chinese regime of the "Republic of China"? I don’t recognize the same affiliation, but I still have to rely on “one China” to have a table, how to express a big essay, or not to abort the “Taiwan independence” that I have never been born before?
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Since the Kuomintang’s retreat to Taiwan, the successive leaders of the Taiwan authorities, especially since Chiang Ching-kuo, have to send copies to both Washington and Beijing. In order to continue the Kuomintang regime in Taiwan, Chiang Ching-kuo decided that he could not negotiate with the CCP. Otherwise, he would lose his legitimacy, but he would compromise with the United States and allow the DPP to be established as a party program with "Taiwan independence." His only compromise to the mainland was to allow the mainland to visit relatives under the pressure of the family's affection, and he immediately let go.
Everyone now says that Lee Teng-hui is a traitor to the Kuomintang, but to a certain extent, Lee Teng-hui has indeed inherited the Chiang Kai-shek's "innovation and protection of Taiwan". Only after the "localization" of the Kuomintang, "Three People's Principles of Unifying China" became a slogan that completely lacked souls, and eventually disappeared from the Kuomintang's discourse, and Jiangshan also made such a hand.
Ma Ying-jeou, who once returned the Kuomintang to the ruling, from the "ultimate reunification" of the past, "not unified, not alone, not martial" when he was in office, and "does not reject reunification" after leaving office, speculatively clear. Nowadays, in the face of Xi Jinping’s speech, it is also the “Ma Office” that “the conditions of the ruling is not mature”, and the “KMT’s insiders” who are hiding behind the scenes say that “the two sides should compete for the most suitable system for the Chinese” and even The Kuomintang "legislators" who have just returned from the United States have deceived themselves and said "nothing new." But we asked the Chinese Nationalist Party: "From Ma Ying-jeou's administration plus the past few years, how many times have you spoken about the Chinese?"
Also, when is the "Republic of China Constitution" aimed at national unity, and what is said to be "the Ma Office" is just "not to exclude reunification"?
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I have heard this kind of words countless times. What should I join the Kuomintang and the New Party must return to the Kuomintang. The Kuomintang has already negotiated a peace agreement with the mainland. . . . . . Those who said this to me even called this "curve to save the country." I really can't imagine that if the Kuomintang's miso tank was mixed in at the time, when the "Sun Flower" event in 2014, which young man on the island could come out to make a voice of opposition?
The reason is simple. If the mainland does not actively and directly explain to the people of Taiwan for a long time, everything will pass through the politicians and compradors on the island that are "not unified and not independent", and even self-restricted and said that it is "not interfering with the affairs of the island". As a result, the Taiwanese surface is "not unified." "In fact, "practical Taiwan independence", the situation has been serious enough to erode China's territorial sovereignty, is it still not "intervention"?
As a result, the island is in a vicious circle. Those who want to win the political power do not mention reunification. For the mainland, they deceive that they must "choose first". If they can be fooled after the election, the mainland will "communicate with it". The dividends all fell into this group of politicians and comprador groups. The black pot was backed by the mainland, and because no one talked about it for a long time, naturally, it would not form a "talking to the public." If you still want to continue to accept the "election results," why not simply accept "Taiwan independence"?
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I and a number of unified scholars have all reflected this situation to the mainland think tanks, and Taiwanese folks have said that "there is no 92 consensus, the land has not moved, and the mountains have not shaken" to express that most people do not think of the mainland. Really demanding. As a result, I was even told by the other party that "the so-called earth moving mountain shake may be just a spoken English in the north, not really what it will be", and even returning to the fall of "then let the mainland see you more often".
The patriots on the island who embrace China's heart are not counting on the leaders to see us several times, but the reunification cannot really be delayed. We are not helping anyone, but we are not willing to continue to be crushed by politicians in the United States and Japan, watching the huge military purchases drag the economy, and infighting Taiwan.
Looking back at the Taiwanese people from the Treaty of Shimonoseki in the fifty-one days of the Japanese, they were involved in the civil war between the Kuomintang and the Communist Party and confronted the mainland. Now that the mainland is prosperous and strong, why can we not join the ranks of China's rejuvenation? This is our voice from the heart! It is the right of Chinese people in Taiwan!
If the mainland believes that it is orthodox China, how can it not shoulder the responsibility of leading the country? The response of some think tanks has broken our hearts. Now President Xi has issued a unified call. Of course, we are actively responding. We also encourage all Taiwanese people who identify themselves to be Chinese to join the discussion on the "Taiwan Plan" of the one country, two systems.
Some people say that "one country, two systems" is already a negative vocabulary and should be replaced by a new one. The "92 Consensus" and "One China" are also said to be tabulated. What should I do? It is most controversial to say that the "two-state theory"? We must consult positively. Those who oppose "one country, two systems", are you against "one country" or "two systems"? If it is against "one country," it is a "Taiwan independence" split and there is no need to talk about it. If it is against the "two systems," is it hope that the mainland system will unify Taiwan? Still thinking about Taiwan’s "democracy" unifying the mainland, saying that he is very guilty?
At the 9·3 military parade in 2015, Wang Bingzhong was on the viewing platform at the 9th March of the 9th, and Wang Bingzhong was on the viewing platform.
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President Xi’s speech, of course, has opened a new era of “anti-independence” to “promoting reunification”, but the hidden worry is still there, and not small.
Because in the past, it was not enough to directly engage in dialogue and communication with the Taiwanese people. Even now, through consultations with a certain party, group or person in Taiwan, the system of peace and stability before the reunification of the two sides of the strait can be proposed, or it can be “exported to domestic sales” to quickly become an opinion leader. With the support of the public, and to reverse the infinite loop of "I can't talk about the choice", but is it time to get it?
From such political parties, groups, and people, they choose the "people's generation" and enter the "legislative body." There are enough people to form a party group. Everyone must be faithful and willing to talk on the island and even win a big position. . . . . . In the real soil where Taiwan has been "de-sinuated" for a long time, plus the intervention of the United States, even if it can take root and blossom, it is foreseeable that it must go through a period of pain.
Even if you can withstand the tempering, not for the short-term operation and opportunistic, and truly promote the concept of unity in Taiwan, but the United States will not be idle, it will definitely try to do everything possible to threaten Tsai Ing-wen and any candidate for the election leader. "Pro-China (Mainland)", and Tsai Ing-wen, who faces a crisis in the party and re-election, will inevitably be used by the United States, and even a dog jumps.
Just as the Puppet Manchukuo listened to the enchantment of the Japanese Kwantung Army, it was the Japanese eagle dog that split China, until it became a war criminal. Professor Jin Canrong’s warnings will not happen: “Time is on the mainland side, but Taiwan independence and the US right wing are not willing to wait. They are anxious to do things and force us to react.”
The only thing that can quickly resolve the crisis is that the Kuomintang, which hopes to regain power, assumes responsibility and proposes a peaceful development mechanism with the goal of reunification. Just like the recent nine-in-one election, the United States clearly supports the DPP, but in the end the KMT wins. The United States also recognizes and is busy sending people to draw up relations with the Kuomintang. Once the Kuomintang really talks with the mainland on a peace agreement, the United States will certainly resist it, but in the end it will become recognized.
However, the Kuomintang, which has always been not good at confronting "Taiwan independence" and "political correctness", dare it? Ma Ying-jeou was regarded as a "traitor" by the Americans because of his sudden "Horse Club". (Last year, with the new party’s President Yu Muming’s visit to the United States, there are more American former Taiwan officials who are not enough to emphasize the “China threat” and are liar.) In the face of the existing “naturally unique” nutrients, the Kuomintang will not be able to choose after the challenge. ?
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Finally, there is also Ke Wenzhe who is separated from the Democratic Progressive Party by the "cross-strait family" but is also subject to "independence".
Ke Wenzhe's speculativeness may suggest a more flexible political formulation than the two major parties, but it does not stop there. He will not take the initiative to guide the public to talk about the system, but he will expose many truths in a "pragmatic" manner. In particular, if he is said to be "selling Taiwan" in the Kuomintang and the reunification, he will naturally get a lot of "in his mouth." Exemption."
As he once said, if the martial arts really happen, then resist first, "can't beat, then surrender."
This may be Taiwan’s last fate. It is not that there is no "unification" of public opinion on the island of Taiwan, but that the "de-Chinaization" is too deep, and the mainland believes in "not interfering with the affairs of the island." For example, before I wrote this article, I went to a familiar hot pot restaurant to eat with my friends. The boss’s son, I was one year old, and read President Xi’s speech and told me: “China and Taiwan are really the two closest 'countries’. The United States has always been selfish. If you really want to choose, I will choose my brother China."
Although he expressed the "two-state theory," it is actually a "hidden sect." We have responded to his enthusiasm, but have been able to catch up with the "Taiwan independence" forces that have a deep sense of crisis?
Taiwan’s youth, who embrace China’s identity, have moved to the mainland in nine out of ten. Just on the taxi back home, I heard the DJ playing pop music, and I did not forget to brainwash a "Taiwan independence" thought, saying "we are Chinese people or Taiwanese, not originally Chinese," so "Who Regardless of what Chinese people do not fight Chinese people, "the mainland does not respect our choice of not to be Chinese, and prove that a family member on both sides of the strait is a fake."
This is the heavy sorrow that I have experienced in exchanges with young Taiwanese of the same age or younger age. They have been in Taiwan for more than 20 years of education, without the Chinese people’s family ties, without the cultural identity of the Chinese children, what are the emotions of “everything is going to be a good time” and “the brothers who are robbing the waves”, they are all No resonance.
The rest, only naked real interests, but because of the long-term superstition of Western hegemony, and even the reality of "rejection to believe" or misjudgment. I can't help but think that when I discussed with President Xi in the capacity of the representative in 2014, President Xi specifically pointed out: "Once the textbooks continue to poison young Taiwanese, Confucius and Guanzhong will become foreigners!"
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Therefore, after listening to the excitement of President Xi’s speech, what we are facing is still the “Taiwanese society” that is “cloudy and white” and is still the political situation in Taiwan. What the media talks with the various parties is still how to fool the mainland, appease the United States, and then talk about marketing strategies to deceive people. Thus, self-serving politicians have their faces calling themselves "love Taiwan"
https://mil.news.sina.com.cn/china/2019-01-04/doc-ihqhqcis2934945.shtml
台湾青年：我们也很心急 统一不能再这么拖下去了
台湾青年：我们也很心急 统一不能再这么拖下去了
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原标题：王炳忠：我们也很心急，统一不能再这么拖下去了
[文/观察者网专栏作者 王炳忠]
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应观察者网之邀，请我谈谈对1月2日大陆纪念《告台湾同胞书》40周年大会的感想，动笔前的一刻，脸书又收到一名台大法律系网友的讯息，咒骂我是“滞台支那人”、“太平洋没加盖，要做中国人自己去”、“以为真的会和平统一，做梦”。。。。。。。一堆不堪入目的字眼，倒是最后一句说得有些道理，“和平”统一，可能吗？
也许你会说，像这种非理性的网友，哪里没有？何以特别举例？但记录显示，她曾在三年多年不断联系我，还曾来信向我示好，声称“这社会的声音应该更多元，希望我们都能让台湾更好”，却只因我公开发文肯定习近平“告台湾同胞书”40周年纪念讲话，就让她崩溃至此。
尤其是涌入我脸书的大批“绿卫兵”部队，更是集体歇斯底里，而且忽然都成了“中华民国”的捍卫尖兵。他们一下“你们不能代表台湾”，一下又“中国独裁侵害人权”，例子无非是不知哪儿炮制出的“维族集中营”，还有不断鬼扯根本不会传人的“猪瘟”将如何“感染”台湾人。。。。。。
以上种种，只说明两个事实：第一，这些人长年挟带优越感的所谓“台湾是多元社会”，其实一点也不“多元”。第二，习近平主席的演讲，谈不上什么“封锁”，更别说是“武力”，却已让岛内独派抓狂，蔡英文也不得不回应了！
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当然，除了独派与蔡英文的激动，我听到更多的是一般台湾人对此展开热议，包括将来会是“和统”或“武统”的猜测。虽然主流媒体刻意压低了报导，不愿意“为对岸宣传”，但现在毕竟不是四十年前，两岸信息封锁的年代，是再也回不去了。
台湾民众开始讨论“和统”或“武统”，其实就是开始“谈统”，这实在本应是大陆早该做的事！什么事？就是大陆必须率先“打开天窗说亮话”，明白告诉台湾人谈统的重要，统一是不能回避的问题！而且，统一离我们并不遥远，不会是一代又一代拖延下去，就在你我有生之年，我们都将会看见。
习近平主席选在《告台湾同胞书》四十周年纪念会的重要讲话，正展现过去没有过的统一决心。也许一些朋友质疑，大陆从来都说统啊！但是，过去近十年的对台表述及做法，却让“务实的台湾人”判定“大陆没有要统”，只要用“九二共识”打混，而且还是“不统不独”的“九二共识”，大陆照样对台让利。
那么，在岛内宣扬必须面对统一、谈论统一的统派，岂不成了人人嘲笑的傻蛋了？“大陆都不谈统，你们谈什么呢？”
我一直说，台湾人是很务实的，因为民进党不认“九二共识”，两岸交流明显倒退，大家才会心知肚明，只有认同“九二共识”，“货才出得去，人才进得来”。那么，讲明白谈判统一的重要，台湾人也才知道，不能当作“统一”问题不存在，也才会产生对一国两制“台湾方案”的讨论。
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于是蔡英文说，这是“分化台湾”的手段，要用三大“防护网”压制。但民进党自己标榜的，不就是多元社会？习近平主席倡议，坚持“九二共识”、反对“台独”的各政党、各界别都能推举代表来谈，听取对统一前制度安排的多元意见，这不正是倾听多元吗？
蔡英文也首次明确否定“九二共识”，撕毁了“未完成的答卷”。她的理由是，因为习近平主席的讲话，证实了多年来他们认为“九二共识”会落入“北京定义的一个中国、一国两制”的顾虑。
然而，民进党同时发表的声明，要求大陆正视“台湾是主权国家，名字叫中华民国”，不正也证实了海内外中国人的共同顾虑，那便是民进党和蔡英文所谓的“中华民国”，就是“台独”借壳的遮xiu布，用“中华民国”的挡箭牌来保护“台独”的神主牌？
蔡英文自创的“中华民国台湾”，当然也是如此。时至今日，竟直接透过台湾当局的“外交部”，向“国际社会”诉说对习近平主席讲话的回应，“中华民国台湾”忽而与“中国”对立，忽而又是“台湾是主权国家，未受中国管辖”，既是“务实台独”，又同时敲了“台独”的丧钟。
为什么？只因既是“台独”，怎又与“中华民国”这一中国政权牵扯不清？既不承认同属一中，却还要靠“一中”有无各表、如何表述大作文章，不正自己将从未出世的“台独”堕胎吗？
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自国民党退守台湾后，台湾当局的历任领导人，尤其自蒋经国起，就都要同时给华府和北京交答卷。蒋经国为了国民党政权在台湾延续，认定不能和中共谈判，否则将失去统治正当性，却又向美国妥协，允许以“台独”作为党纲的民进党成立。他唯一向大陆的妥协，是在人伦亲情的压力下允许大陆探亲，而他也随即撒手人寰。
现在人人都说李登辉是国民党的叛徒，但一定程度上说，李登辉确实继承了蒋经国“革新保台”的偏安路线。只是“本土化”后的国民党，“三民主义统一中国”变成完全没灵魂的口号，最终也从国民党的论述消失，而江山也就这样拱手让人。
曾经让国民党重返执政的马英九，从过去的“终极统一”，在任时“不统、不独、不武”，卸任后“不排斥统一”，投机性昭然若揭。如今面对习近平讲话，又是“马办”称“谈统条件不成熟”，又是躲在幕后的“国民党内人士”放话说“两岸应该竞争出最适合中国人的制度”，甚至还有刚从美国回来的国民党“立委”，自欺欺人说“没什么新东西”。但我们就问中国国民党一句话：“从马英九执政加上这几年在野，你们到底说过中国人几次呢？”
还有，什么时候以国家统一为目标的“中华民国宪法”，变成“马办”所言只是“不排斥统一”呢？
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这种话我已听了无数次，什么要我加入国民党、新党要回国民党、国民党已和大陆在谈和平协议。。。。。。那些对我说这话的人，甚至将此美其名为“曲线救国”。我真不敢想象，要是当时混入了国民党的大酱缸，2014年“太阳花”事件时，岛内还有哪个年轻人能出来发出反对之声？
这个道理很简单。如果大陆长期不积极直接对台湾人民说明主张，一切都通过岛内“不统不独”的政客及买办，甚至还自我限缩说是“不干预岛内事务”，结果放任台湾表面“不统不独”，实则“务实台独”，事态已严重到侵蚀中国的领土主权完整，难道还不“干预”吗？
如此一来，岛内陷入恶性循环，想夺得政权者绝口不提统一，对大陆则骗称“要先选上”，等选上后只要能忽悠得过，大陆也就“与之交流”，红利全落入这群政客、买办集团，黑锅由大陆来背，还因为长久没人谈统，自然也不会形成“谈统民意”。如果还要继续接受“选举结果”，那何不干脆接受“台独”？
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我和多位统派学者，都曾向大陆对台智库反映这一情况，并以台湾民间都说“没有九二共识，地也没动，山也没摇”，来表达多数人不认为大陆真要求统。结果，竟还得到对方称“所谓地动山摇可能只是北方口语，不是真的会如何”，甚至回以“那就让大陆再多见见你们嘛”的奚落。
我们这些怀抱中国心的岛内爱国人士，不是计较领导人见我们几次面，而是统一真不能再这样拖延下去。我们不是帮助谁统谁，而是我们不甘继续被政客协同美日压榨，看着庞大军购拖垮经济，内斗内耗困死台湾。
回首台湾人从马关条约沦于日寇五十一年，又卷入国共内战与大陆对峙，现在大陆繁荣富强，我们为何不能加入中国复兴的行列？这是我们发自内心的呼声！更是我们在台湾的中国人应有的权利！
大陆如自认代表正统中国，怎能不担负起领导国家统一的责任？部分智库戏谑的回应，伤透了我们的心，如今习主席发出统一的号召，我们当然积极响应，也鼓励所有认同自己是中国人的台湾各界人士，一起加入一国两制“台湾方案”的讨论。
有人说，“一国两制”已是负面词汇，应该要换个提法。那“九二共识”、“一个中国”也被说是标签化，怎么办？说“两国论”最没争议？我们要正面请教，那些反对“一国两制”的人，你们究竟是反对“一国”，还是“两制”？如是反对“一国”，那就是“台独”分裂，没有得谈。如是反对“两制”，那是希望大陆的制度来统一台湾？还是妄想台湾的“民主”统一大陆，说了自己都很心虚？
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习主席的讲话，当然是开启了从“反独”进到“促统”的新时代，但隐忧仍在，而且不小。
因为过去不够耕耘直接和台湾民众的对话和沟通，现在纵使通过与台湾某党派、团体或人士协商，提出两岸在统一前和平稳定的制度方案，或能“出口转内销”使其迅速成为意见领袖，得到民意支持，扭转“想选上就不能谈统”的死循环，但时间上来得及吗？
从这样的政党、团体、人士选上“民代”，进到“立法机构”，有足够的人数形成党团，个个还要信仰坚定，愿意在岛内正面谈统，乃至夺得大位。。。。。。在台湾已长年“去中国化”、外加美国干预的现实土壤里，就算能够生根茁壮、开花结果，可预见的是必须经历一段阵痛期。
就算能经得住磨练，不为短线操作而投机取巧，真正在台宣扬统一理念，但美国也不会闲着，定会使尽浑身解数唆使、威胁蔡英文及任何竞选领导人的候选人不可“亲中（大陆）”，而面临党内逼gong及连任危机的蔡英文，也必然会为美国利用，乃至出现狗急跳墙。
正如伪满洲国听信日本关东军的蛊惑一样，甘为日本分裂中国的鹰犬，直到沦为战犯。金灿荣教授的警语不是不会发生：“时间在大陆这一边，但台独和美国右翼不愿等，他们都急着搞事儿，逼着我们不得不做出反应。”
唯一可能快速化解危机的，就是有希望夺回政权的国民党担起责任，提出以统一为目标的和平发展机制，就如刚刚过去的九合一大选，美国明摆着支持民进党，但最后国民党大胜，美国也就认，又忙着派人拉拢与国民党关系。一旦国民党真的和大陆谈和平协议，美国固然会亟力阻挠，但最后成了，也就认了。
然而，一向不擅于对抗“台独”“政治正确”的国民党，敢吗？马英九因卸任前突如其来的“习马会”，就被美国人视作“叛徒”。（去年随新党郁慕明主席访美，更有美国前对台官员嫌马不够强调“中国威胁”，是骗子。）面对现实已存在的“天然独”养分，国民党不怕挑战后便选不上吗？
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最后，还有靠“两岸一家亲”与民进党区隔，但也因此受“独派”批斗的柯文哲。
柯文哲的投机性，或可提出比两大党灵活的政治提法，但也仅止于此。他不会主动引导民意谈统，但会很“务实”地把许多真相揭穿，尤其是塞在国民党和统派嘴里绝对会被说“卖台”的话，在他口中就自然得到不少“豁免”。
就像他曾说过的，如果武统真发生，那就先抵抗，“打不过，再投降”。
这也许就是台湾最后的宿命。不是说台湾岛内没有“统派”民意，而是“去中国化”毒素太深，大陆又信奉“不干预岛内事务”。如我在写这篇文章前，和朋友到熟悉的火锅店吃饭，老板儿子小我一岁，看了习主席讲话，告诉我：“中国和台湾真的是最亲近的两个‘国家’。美国一向自私自利，如果真要选择，我会选自己兄弟中国。”
虽然他表述的是“两国论”，但其实是“隐性统派”。我们自应对他循循善诱，但赶得上危机感日深的“台独”势力吗？
周边怀抱中国认同的台湾青年，十之八九都已移居大陆。就在返家的出租车上，又听到播放流行音乐的DJ，竟也不忘洗脑一段“台独”思想，说“我们是中华民国人或台湾人，本来就不是中国人”，所以“谁管什么中国人不打中国人”，“大陆不尊重我们不做中国人的选择，证明两岸一家亲是假的”。
这就是我这些年和同龄或年纪更小的台湾青年交流，深刻体会到的沉重悲哀。他们已在台湾二十余年的教育下，没有了中国人的同胞亲情，没有了中华儿女的文化认同，什么“每逢佳节倍思亲”、“历尽劫波兄弟在”的情感，他们都毫无共鸣。
剩下的，只有赤裸裸的现实利益，却又因长年对西方霸权的迷信，甚至对现实还产生“拒绝相信”或误判。令我不禁想起，2014年曾以统派代表身份和习主席座谈时，习主席便特别指出：“一旦教科书继续毒害台湾年轻人，以后孔夫子、关老爷都变外国人了！”
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所以，在听完习主席讲话的振奋后，我们所面对的，仍是“浮云蔽白日”的台湾社会，仍是“道狭草木长”的台湾政局。媒体与各党谈论的，依旧是如何忽悠大陆，安抚美国，再讲些营销策略骗人之类的话。于是，自私自利的政客，有脸自称他们“爱台”，还倒过来指控我们“卖台”。毁弃“一中宪法”大搞“台独”的，更反过来用“国家安全”的大帽子，整肃我们这些爱国人士。
如今我们这些坚持“九二共识”、反对“台独”的新党青年军，以及中华统一促进党的总裁张安乐先生，都已经被蔡英文当局“限制出境”，不得离开台湾。其他多数的岛内政党及政客，但想求点功利，无不阉然媚世，顺从“台独”建立的“政治正确”发言。如此偏安败亡的景象，真是青史一幕幕，而今略有体会！
台湾人自两蒋时期被要求“保密防谍”、“反共复国”、“不接触、不谈判、不妥协”，到民进党又继续威胁“任何人不得与大陆进行政治协商”，并祭出“三大防护网”随时伺候。虽然处在这重重的压力下，但我仍要从心底吶喊：“尽最大力量促进以和平方式完成国家统一的正义事业，毕一生之力投身统一后的建设工作！”
我王炳忠，生于1987年两岸冰融新时代的台湾人，两岸统一的青年政治工作者，誓做顶天立地的男子汉，堂堂正正的中国人！
“冬来岭上一枝梅，叶落枯枝总不摧，探得阳春消息近，依然还我作花魁！”与所有岛内怀抱中国心的爱国人士共勉。
（2019年1月3日，凌晨四点，台北。）
Taiwanese youth: We are also very anxious. Unity can no longer be dragged on.
Taiwanese youth: We are also very anxious. Unity can no longer be dragged on.
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Original title: Wang Bingzhong: We are also very anxious, and unity can no longer be dragged on.
[Text / Observer Network columnist Wang Bingzhong]
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At the invitation of the Observer Network, please tell me about the impression of the 40th anniversary of the commemoration of the Taiwan Compatriots on January 2nd. At the moment before the slogan, Facebook received a message from a netizen of the National Taiwan University Law Department, cursing I am "the one who is stagnation of Taiwan", "the Pacific has not been stamped, and the Chinese have to go by themselves", "I thought it would be peacefully unified and dreamed." . . . . . . A bunch of unsightly words, but the last sentence is somewhat reasonable. Is it possible to "peace"?
Maybe you will say, like this irrational netizen, where is it? Why is it a special example? However, the records show that she has been in contact with me for more than three years. She has also written to me, claiming that "the voice of this society should be more yuan, I hope we can make Taiwan better", but only because I openly affirmed The commemorative speech of Xi Jinping’s 40th Anniversary of "Taiwan Compatriots" caused her to collapse.
In particular, the large number of "Green Guard" troops that flooded into my Facebook book were collectively hysterical, and suddenly they became the defenders of the "Republic of China." They said, "You can't represent Taiwan," and "China's dictatorship violates human rights." The example is nothing more than the "Uighur concentration camp" that I did not know where to make it, and how the "swine cockroaches" that will continue to sneak out will not "infect". Taiwanese. . . . . .
All of the above, only two facts are said: First, the so-called "Taiwan is a pluralistic society" that these people have a sense of superiority for many years is actually not "diverse". Second, President Xi Jinping’s speech can’t talk about “blockade”, let alone “force”, but it has already made the island’s independence mad, and Tsai Ing-wen has to respond!
2
Of course, in addition to the excitement of the independence and Tsai Ing-wen, I have heard more about the general Taiwanese people's hot debate on this, including the speculation that the future will be "harmony" or "wutong." Although the mainstream media deliberately lowered the report and did not want to "promote for the other side", but now it is not 40 years ago, the era of cross-strait information blockade is no longer able to go back.
The people of Taiwan began to discuss "harmony" or "wutong". In fact, it is the beginning of "talking about the system". This is really what the mainland should have done! what's up? It is the mainland that must take the lead in "opening the skylight and telling the story", understand the importance of telling Taiwanese people to talk about unity, and unity is a problem that cannot be avoided! Moreover, unity is not far away from us. It will not be delayed from generation to generation. It will be seen in the years of your life.
President Xi Jinping’s important speech at the commemoration of the 40th Anniversary of the Taiwan Compatriots is showing the unification of the past. Perhaps some friends have questioned that the mainland has always said that it is unified! However, in the past ten years, the practice of Taiwan’s representation has made the “pragmatic Taiwanese” judge that “the mainland does not have to be unified”, as long as it is mixed with the “92 Consensus”, and it’s still “not unified or not alone”. Consensus", the mainland still gives way to Taiwan.
Then, on the island, it is necessary to face the unity and talk about the unity of unity. Is it a fool who everyone laughs at? "The mainland does not talk about the system. What are you talking about?"
I have always said that the Taiwanese are very pragmatic because the DPP does not recognize the "92 Consensus" and cross-strait exchanges are clearly regressing. Everyone will know well. Only by agreeing with the "92 Consensus", "the goods can only go out." Talents come in." Then, to understand the importance of negotiating reunification, the Taiwanese only know that the issue of "unification" cannot exist and that there will be a discussion on the "Taiwan Plan" of one country, two systems.
3
So Tsai Ing-wen said that this is a means of "differentiating Taiwan" and it must be suppressed by three "protective nets". But the DPP’s own advertised is not a pluralistic society? President Xi Jinping advocated that all political parties and all political parties that adhere to the "1992 Consensus" and oppose "Taiwan independence" can vote for representatives and listen to the diversified opinions on the institutional arrangements before reunification. Isn't this just listening to pluralism?
For the first time, Tsai Ing-wen also clearly denied the "92 Consensus" and tore up the "unfinished answer sheet." Her reason is that because of President Xi Jinping’s speech, they confirmed that they believed that the "92 Consensus" would fall into the "one China, one country, two systems" definition of Beijing.
However, the DPP’s simultaneous statement demanded that the mainland face up to the fact that "Taiwan is a sovereign state and its name is the Republic of China." This also confirms the common concerns of the Chinese at home and abroad. That is, the DPP and Tsai Ing-wen "The Republic of China" is the "Taiwan independence" back cover of the xiu cloth, with the "Republic of China" shield to protect the "Taiwan independence" God's main card?
Of course, the "Republic of China Taiwan" created by Tsai Ing-wen is also true. To this day, he directly told the "international community" through the "Ministry of Foreign Affairs" of the Taiwan authorities that he responded to President Xi Jinping’s speech. "The Republic of China Taiwan" suddenly opposes "China" and suddenly "Taiwan is a sovereign state." Not subject to Chinese jurisdiction, it is not only "pragmatic Taiwan independence" but also the death knell of "Taiwan independence."
Why? Just because it is "Taiwan independence", how can it be unclear about the Chinese regime of the "Republic of China"? I don’t recognize the same affiliation, but I still have to rely on “one China” to have a table, how to express a big essay, or not to abort the “Taiwan independence” that I have never been born before?
4
Since the Kuomintang’s retreat to Taiwan, the successive leaders of the Taiwan authorities, especially since Chiang Ching-kuo, have to send copies to both Washington and Beijing. In order to continue the Kuomintang regime in Taiwan, Chiang Ching-kuo decided that he could not negotiate with the CCP. Otherwise, he would lose his legitimacy, but he would compromise with the United States and allow the DPP to be established as a party program with "Taiwan independence." His only compromise to the mainland was to allow the mainland to visit relatives under the pressure of the family's affection, and he immediately let go.
Everyone now says that Lee Teng-hui is a traitor to the Kuomintang, but to a certain extent, Lee Teng-hui has indeed inherited the Chiang Kai-shek's "innovation and protection of Taiwan". Only after the "localization" of the Kuomintang, "Three People's Principles of Unifying China" became a slogan that completely lacked souls, and eventually disappeared from the Kuomintang's discourse, and Jiangshan also made such a hand.
Ma Ying-jeou, who once returned the Kuomintang to the ruling, from the "ultimate reunification" of the past, "not unified, not alone, not martial" when he was in office, and "does not reject reunification" after leaving office, speculatively clear. Nowadays, in the face of Xi Jinping’s speech, it is also the “Ma Office” that “the conditions of the ruling is not mature”, and the “KMT’s insiders” who are hiding behind the scenes say that “the two sides should compete for the most suitable system for the Chinese” and even The Kuomintang "legislators" who have just returned from the United States have deceived themselves and said "nothing new." But we asked the Chinese Nationalist Party: "From Ma Ying-jeou's administration plus the past few years, how many times have you spoken about the Chinese?"
Also, when is the "Republic of China Constitution" aimed at national unity, and what is said to be "the Ma Office" is just "not to exclude reunification"?
5
I have heard this kind of words countless times. What should I join the Kuomintang and the New Party must return to the Kuomintang. The Kuomintang has already negotiated a peace agreement with the mainland. . . . . . Those who said this to me even called this "curve to save the country." I really can't imagine that if the Kuomintang's miso tank was mixed in at the time, when the "Sun Flower" event in 2014, which young man on the island could come out to make a voice of opposition?
The reason is simple. If the mainland does not actively and directly explain to the people of Taiwan for a long time, everything will pass through the politicians and compradors on the island that are "not unified and not independent", and even self-restricted and said that it is "not interfering with the affairs of the island". As a result, the Taiwanese surface is "not unified." "In fact, "practical Taiwan independence", the situation has been serious enough to erode China's territorial sovereignty, is it still not "intervention"?
As a result, the island is in a vicious circle. Those who want to win the political power do not mention reunification. For the mainland, they deceive that they must "choose first". If they can be fooled after the election, the mainland will "communicate with it". The dividends all fell into this group of politicians and comprador groups. The black pot was backed by the mainland, and because no one talked about it for a long time, naturally, it would not form a "talking to the public." If you still want to continue to accept the "election results," why not simply accept "Taiwan independence"?
6
I and a number of unified scholars have all reflected this situation to the mainland think tanks, and Taiwanese folks have said that "there is no 92 consensus, the land has not moved, and the mountains have not shaken" to express that most people do not think of the mainland. Really demanding. As a result, I was even told by the other party that "the so-called earth moving mountain shake may be just a spoken English in the north, not really what it will be", and even returning to the fall of "then let the mainland see you more often".
The patriots on the island who embrace China's heart are not counting on the leaders to see us several times, but the reunification cannot really be delayed. We are not helping anyone, but we are not willing to continue to be crushed by politicians in the United States and Japan, watching the huge military purchases drag the economy, and infighting Taiwan.
Looking back at the Taiwanese people from the Treaty of Shimonoseki in the fifty-one days of the Japanese, they were involved in the civil war between the Kuomintang and the Communist Party and confronted the mainland. Now that the mainland is prosperous and strong, why can we not join the ranks of China's rejuvenation? This is our voice from the heart! It is the right of Chinese people in Taiwan!
If the mainland believes that it is orthodox China, how can it not shoulder the responsibility of leading the country? The response of some think tanks has broken our hearts. Now President Xi has issued a unified call. Of course, we are actively responding. We also encourage all Taiwanese people who identify themselves to be Chinese to join the discussion on the "Taiwan Plan" of the one country, two systems.
Some people say that "one country, two systems" is already a negative vocabulary and should be replaced by a new one. The "92 Consensus" and "One China" are also said to be tabulated. What should I do? It is most controversial to say that the "two-state theory"? We must consult positively. Those who oppose "one country, two systems", are you against "one country" or "two systems"? If it is against "one country," it is a "Taiwan independence" split and there is no need to talk about it. If it is against the "two systems," is it hope that the mainland system will unify Taiwan? Still thinking about Taiwan’s "democracy" unifying the mainland, saying that he is very guilty?
At the 9·3 military parade in 2015, Wang Bingzhong was on the viewing platform at the 9th March of the 9th, and Wang Bingzhong was on the viewing platform.
7
President Xi’s speech, of course, has opened a new era of “anti-independence” to “promoting reunification”, but the hidden worry is still there, and not small.
Because in the past, it was not enough to directly engage in dialogue and communication with the Taiwanese people. Even now, through consultations with a certain party, group or person in Taiwan, the system of peace and stability before the reunification of the two sides of the strait can be proposed, or it can be “exported to domestic sales” to quickly become an opinion leader. With the support of the public, and to reverse the infinite loop of "I can't talk about the choice", but is it time to get it?
From such political parties, groups, and people, they choose the "people's generation" and enter the "legislative body." There are enough people to form a party group. Everyone must be faithful and willing to talk on the island and even win a big position. . . . . . In the real soil where Taiwan has been "de-sinuated" for a long time, plus the intervention of the United States, even if it can take root and blossom, it is foreseeable that it must go through a period of pain.
Even if you can withstand the tempering, not for the short-term operation and opportunistic, and truly promote the concept of unity in Taiwan, but the United States will not be idle, it will definitely try to do everything possible to threaten Tsai Ing-wen and any candidate for the election leader. "Pro-China (Mainland)", and Tsai Ing-wen, who faces a crisis in the party and re-election, will inevitably be used by the United States, and even a dog jumps.
Just as the Puppet Manchukuo listened to the enchantment of the Japanese Kwantung Army, it was the Japanese eagle dog that split China, until it became a war criminal. Professor Jin Canrong’s warnings will not happen: “Time is on the mainland side, but Taiwan independence and the US right wing are not willing to wait. They are anxious to do things and force us to react.”
The only thing that can quickly resolve the crisis is that the Kuomintang, which hopes to regain power, assumes responsibility and proposes a peaceful development mechanism with the goal of reunification. Just like the recent nine-in-one election, the United States clearly supports the DPP, but in the end the KMT wins. The United States also recognizes and is busy sending people to draw up relations with the Kuomintang. Once the Kuomintang really talks with the mainland on a peace agreement, the United States will certainly resist it, but in the end it will become recognized.
However, the Kuomintang, which has always been not good at confronting "Taiwan independence" and "political correctness", dare it? Ma Ying-jeou was regarded as a "traitor" by the Americans because of his sudden "Horse Club". (Last year, with the new party’s President Yu Muming’s visit to the United States, there are more American former Taiwan officials who are not enough to emphasize the “China threat” and are liar.) In the face of the existing “naturally unique” nutrients, the Kuomintang will not be able to choose after the challenge. ?
8
Finally, there is also Ke Wenzhe who is separated from the Democratic Progressive Party by the "cross-strait family" but is also subject to "independence".
Ke Wenzhe's speculativeness may suggest a more flexible political formulation than the two major parties, but it does not stop there. He will not take the initiative to guide the public to talk about the system, but he will expose many truths in a "pragmatic" manner. In particular, if he is said to be "selling Taiwan" in the Kuomintang and the reunification, he will naturally get a lot of "in his mouth." Exemption."
As he once said, if the martial arts really happen, then resist first, "can't beat, then surrender."
This may be Taiwan’s last fate. It is not that there is no "unification" of public opinion on the island of Taiwan, but that the "de-Chinaization" is too deep, and the mainland believes in "not interfering with the affairs of the island." For example, before I wrote this article, I went to a familiar hot pot restaurant to eat with my friends. The boss’s son, I was one year old, and read President Xi’s speech and told me: “China and Taiwan are really the two closest 'countries’. The United States has always been selfish. If you really want to choose, I will choose my brother China."
Although he expressed the "two-state theory," it is actually a "hidden sect." We have responded to his enthusiasm, but have been able to catch up with the "Taiwan independence" forces that have a deep sense of crisis?
Taiwan’s youth, who embrace China’s identity, have moved to the mainland in nine out of ten. Just on the taxi back home, I heard the DJ playing pop music, and I did not forget to brainwash a "Taiwan independence" thought, saying "we are Chinese people or Taiwanese, not originally Chinese," so "Who Regardless of what Chinese people do not fight Chinese people, "the mainland does not respect our choice of not to be Chinese, and prove that a family member on both sides of the strait is a fake."
This is the heavy sorrow that I have experienced in exchanges with young Taiwanese of the same age or younger age. They have been in Taiwan for more than 20 years of education, without the Chinese people’s family ties, without the cultural identity of the Chinese children, what are the emotions of “everything is going to be a good time” and “the brothers who are robbing the waves”, they are all No resonance.
The rest, only naked real interests, but because of the long-term superstition of Western hegemony, and even the reality of "rejection to believe" or misjudgment. I can't help but think that when I discussed with President Xi in the capacity of the representative in 2014, President Xi specifically pointed out: "Once the textbooks continue to poison young Taiwanese, Confucius and Guanzhong will become foreigners!"
9
Therefore, after listening to the excitement of President Xi’s speech, what we are facing is still the “Taiwanese society” that is “cloudy and white” and is still the political situation in Taiwan. What the media talks with the various parties is still how to fool the mainland, appease the United States, and then talk about marketing strategies to deceive people. Thus, self-serving politicians have their faces calling themselves "love Taiwan"
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Ah tiong land should also claim all the places the Ming treasure ships visited...n claim mudland n singkieland as ah tiong land territory because the Malacca sultanate accepted Ming dynasty overlordship.
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Taiwan president calls for international support to defend democracy
AsiaTaiwan president calls for international support to defend democracy
image: data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAAAAACH5BAEKAAEALAAAAAABAAEAAAICTAEAOw==
Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen announces her resignation as chairwoman of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) after local elections in Taipei, Taiwan November 24, 2018. REUTERS/Ann Wang/Files
05 Jan 2019 11:32AM(Updated: 05 Jan 2019 12:28PM)
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TAIPEI: Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen called on Saturday (Jan 5) for international support to defend the self-ruled island's democracy and way of life in the face of renewed threats from China.
Tsai's comments came days after Chinese President Xi Jinping said nobody could change the fact that Taiwan was part of China, and that people on both sides of the Taiwan Strait should seek "reunification".
"We hope that the international community takes it seriously and can voice support and help us," Tsai told reporters in Taipei, referring to threats by China to use force to bring Taiwan under its control.
If the international community did not support a democratic country that was under threat, "we might have to ask which country might be next?" Tsai added.
READ: Xi says nobody can change the fact that Taiwan is part of China
Taiwan is China's most sensitive issue and is claimed by Beijing as its sacred territory. Xi has stepped up pressure on the democratic island since Tsai from the pro-independence Democratic Progressive Party became president in 2016.
Advertisement
President Xi said on Wednesday that China reserves the right to use force to bring Taiwan under its control but will strive to achieve peaceful "reunification" with the island.
READ: Commentary: The most dangerous security threats in 2019
In response, Tsai has said the island would not accept a "one country, two systems" political arrangement with China, while stressing all cross-Strait negotiations needed to be carried out on a government-to-government basis.
Tsai on Saturday also urged China to have a "correct understanding" of what Taiwanese think and said actions such as political bullying were unhelpful in cross-strait relations.
(Reporting by Yimou Lee; Editing by Anne Marie Roantree and Jacqueline Wong)
Source: Reuters
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image: data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAAAAACH5BAEKAAEALAAAAAABAAEAAAICTAEAOw==
Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen announces her resignation as chairwoman of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) after local elections in Taipei, Taiwan November 24, 2018. REUTERS/Ann Wang/Files
05 Jan 2019 11:32AM(Updated: 05 Jan 2019 12:28PM)
Share this content
TAIPEI: Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen called on Saturday (Jan 5) for international support to defend the self-ruled island's democracy and way of life in the face of renewed threats from China.
Tsai's comments came days after Chinese President Xi Jinping said nobody could change the fact that Taiwan was part of China, and that people on both sides of the Taiwan Strait should seek "reunification".
"We hope that the international community takes it seriously and can voice support and help us," Tsai told reporters in Taipei, referring to threats by China to use force to bring Taiwan under its control.
If the international community did not support a democratic country that was under threat, "we might have to ask which country might be next?" Tsai added.
READ: Xi says nobody can change the fact that Taiwan is part of China
Taiwan is China's most sensitive issue and is claimed by Beijing as its sacred territory. Xi has stepped up pressure on the democratic island since Tsai from the pro-independence Democratic Progressive Party became president in 2016.
Advertisement
President Xi said on Wednesday that China reserves the right to use force to bring Taiwan under its control but will strive to achieve peaceful "reunification" with the island.
READ: Commentary: The most dangerous security threats in 2019
In response, Tsai has said the island would not accept a "one country, two systems" political arrangement with China, while stressing all cross-Strait negotiations needed to be carried out on a government-to-government basis.
Tsai on Saturday also urged China to have a "correct understanding" of what Taiwanese think and said actions such as political bullying were unhelpful in cross-strait relations.
(Reporting by Yimou Lee; Editing by Anne Marie Roantree and Jacqueline Wong)
Source: Reuters
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Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen announces her resignation as chairwoman of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) after local elections in Taipei, Taiwan November 24, 2018. REUTERS/Ann Wang/Files
05 Jan 2019 11:32AM(Updated: 05 Jan 2019 12:28PM)
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TAIPEI: Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen called on Saturday (Jan 5) for international support to defend the self-ruled island's democracy and way of life in the face of renewed threats from China.
Tsai's comments came days after Chinese President Xi Jinping said nobody could change the fact that Taiwan was part of China, and that people on both sides of the Taiwan Strait should seek "reunification".
"We hope that the international community takes it seriously and can voice support and help us," Tsai told reporters in Taipei, referring to threats by China to use force to bring Taiwan under its control.
If the international community did not support a democratic country that was under threat, "we might have to ask which country might be next?" Tsai added.
READ: Xi says nobody can change the fact that Taiwan is part of China
Taiwan is China's most sensitive issue and is claimed by Beijing as its sacred territory. Xi has stepped up pressure on the democratic island since Tsai from the pro-independence Democratic Progressive Party became president in 2016.
Advertisement
President Xi said on Wednesday that China reserves the right to use force to bring Taiwan under its control but will strive to achieve peaceful "reunification" with the island.
READ: Commentary: The most dangerous security threats in 2019
In response, Tsai has said the island would not accept a "one country, two systems" political arrangement with China, while stressing all cross-Strait negotiations needed to be carried out on a government-to-government basis.
Tsai on Saturday also urged China to have a "correct understanding" of what Taiwanese think and said actions such as political bullying were unhelpful in cross-strait relations.
(Reporting by Yimou Lee; Editing by Anne Marie Roantree and Jacqueline Wong)
Source: Reuters
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More stories for you
- Taiwan tells China to use peaceful means to resolve differences
Toggle share menu- Taiwan president Tsai Ing-wen resigns as chair of ruling DPP after losses in local polls
Toggle share menu- Taiwan president defiant after China calls for reunification
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Stupid Democracy Dreamers can die and pile up their corpses and PLA tanks will roll over their corpses. They will die in vain and be forgotten. Taiwan will be rinsed in blood and ruled by power. That will never change and stay the same as 5000 years of Chinese history. Today's China should apply the traditional Chinese method of conquering globally. Beat Genghis Khan to carnage death toll figures and territory size. Carnage billions and take entire globe. Control all global resources.
I mean MAGA!
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And yet till now ah tiong land just talk n do nothing.
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Taiwanese are expecting massive fiery carnage soon.
https://tw.news.yahoo.com/多維觀點-軍備競賽隱約增溫-台海將成怒火之海-233001539.html
多維觀點》軍備競賽隱約增溫，台海將成怒火之海？
風傳媒
5.3k 人追蹤
陳稚寰 萬敏婉
2019年1月6日 上午7:30
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日本於2018年12月18日正式通過新版《防衛計劃大綱》，2019年國防預算首度超過國內生產毛額（GDP）的1%，刷新歷史紀錄，未來五年的國防預算將提升到27.47兆日圓。其中最令外界關注的，是有「248公尺全通式甲板」、排水量將近20,000噸的「出雲」號直升機護衛艦，將改造成能提供F-35B匿蹤戰機起降的船艦，成為貨真價實的「航空母艦」。根據估計，改造後的「出雲」號，起碼可以提供10架到16架F-35B型戰機進行存儲、起降作業。而日本防衛省準備向美國採購的F-35B型戰機，數量可能將近50架，加上原採購的F-35A戰機，未來系列機種數量將高達105架。由此，日本將成為美國之外，操作此型戰機數量最多的國家，揭開了西太平洋另一波「軍備競賽」的高潮。
當前東亞情勢隨著中國大陸海權崛起、美國的印太戰略和「亞太再保證」政策的提出，正逐步進入緊張態勢。2018年9月30日美國「迪凱特」號與中國大陸「蘭州」號神盾級飛彈驅逐艦一度在南海緊張對峙，險些引發衝突，就是西太平洋軍備競賽與對峙的前哨戰。假使日本軍事武備大幅升級後，加上2020年的修憲，將「解禁自衛隊」，未來在中日間歷史情結未獲實際解決下，兩國要如何面對可能帶來的摩擦，甚至升溫的軍事衝突？
利益導向下 川普鬆手安倍搶進
2018年以來，美國曾多次派出艦艇，以「航行自由」（FON）戰略，在各爭議海域通行，例如2018年11月26日巡洋艦「千斯洛斯維爾」號行經南海西沙群島海域，以及10月23日在台灣選舉局勢升高時，高調以巡洋艦、驅逐艦通過台灣海峽等。但不論如何，因為中國崛起已經超出美國獨力應付的能力範圍，美軍必須將棒子漸漸交到日本手上，培養日本成為「亞太代言人」。從歐巴馬（Barack Obama）時代的「重返亞洲」戰略，讓日本首相安倍晉三成為「戰後第一位在美國國會演講的日本首相」，美國也持續支持日本「國家正常化」的戰略，加上川普（Donald Trump）時代頻繁要求日本「負起應有的責任」，除了要「傾銷軍火」以外，最終目的就是在美軍逐漸將主力退出西太平洋的緩衝時期，將由日本負擔起「美國老二」的角色。
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2019年1月2日，美國總統川普（Donald Trump）召開內閣會議。（AP）
美國總統川普（Donald Trump）。（AP）
事實上，日本早就有想要朝著「正常化國家」發展的需求。2015年日本通過國內法《安保法案》，象徵「集體自衛權鬆綁」，政府可隨時動員自衛隊至海外為他國兵力進行後勤補給，這有別於以往派遣自衛隊須徵求國會同意。此外，日本首相安倍晉三將於2020年修憲，試圖讓自衛隊掛在憲法架構內，成為一支「真正的軍隊」，而非目前「面臨侵略還不能自衛抵抗」的「警察部隊」狀況。此次的《防衛計劃大綱》與五年期《中期防衛計劃》，進一步強化日本防衛能力以及在太平洋的作戰能力，除了採購大量美國軍火外，作為美國在亞太地區抵抗中國大陸崛起的角色，已經相當明確。
新防衛計劃大綱注重的是「多領域作戰能力」，日本認為，只有海、陸、空三軍，已不能讓日本因應當前國際情勢的威脅，還須拓展太空與防範網路攻擊的編制與單位。儘管「出雲」號早已被國際視為「準航母」，但日本仍避開敏感的「航母」字眼，將它定調為「多功能搭載直升機護衛艦」。而新防衛計劃大綱將購入大量裝備，儼然架空日本憲法第九條「專守防衛」理念，而「出雲」號將強化自衛隊的遠洋戰鬥力。如提升自衛隊執行任務能力，以及深化與美軍在印太地區的合作關係。
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2018年11月，巴布亞紐幾內亞APEC峰會，日本首相安倍晉三（AP）
日本首相安倍晉三。（AP）
日本這番大張旗鼓的軍事擴張，對美國來說可謂樂觀其成。第一，美國全球傾銷軍火，日本為採購大戶，彌補了美中貿易戰的損失；第二，川普的商人本性不願無償付出，因此美國在日駐軍協同防衛的費用，希望由日本一同分擔，日本擴軍便是減輕美國的重擔；第三，北韓核問題趨緩，讓美國的著力點逐漸變弱，而且美國的國際影響力正在下降，日本正好可以填補美國離開亞洲所遺留的權力真空區。至於中國大陸官方則並未持反對立場，但外交部發言人華春瑩仍希望日本遵守專守防衛，有利於區域的穩定和平。
經濟與軍事密切相連的關係
自前中國大陸國家主席胡錦濤在「十八大」宣告「中國式海權來臨」，「遼寧」號的出現以及南海爭議問題，都象徵著中國大陸已從陸地走向海洋。如今日本積極擴軍，東北亞的緊張態勢恐將升級，同時，中國大陸與美國正處在懸而未決的貿易爭端之下，川普實施的保護主義帶動了貿易保護風潮，對當前世界經濟的持續發展恐帶來不利影響。經濟與軍事之間看似無關，實際上卻是緊密相連。
經濟學家米蘭諾維奇（Branko Milanovic）指出，經濟問題為引發戰爭的因素；倫敦政經學院教授布羅貝瑞（Stephen Broadberry）也以一次大戰為例，指英、法、俄等協約國在1914年11月的國內生產毛額（GDP）為德國、奧匈帝國、鄂圖曼帝國、保加利亞的三倍，懸殊過大的經濟力，終釀成歐洲大戰。
至於二戰時期的法西斯、納粹等極權民族主義之所以向外侵略，以及日本軍國主義為何會趁勢抬頭向海外掠奪，都離不開經濟因素。當原有的平衡結構無法包容地緣與經濟利益的變化，大國之間以戰爭衝突的方式來形成新的平衡就實屬必然。以此觀之，經濟衝突有可能改變國家行為，造成軍事衝突，甚至成為世界大戰的原因。在此考量下，假若美中貿易戰導致國際強權間的摩擦上升，或者中日因為某些誤判而擦槍走火，台海都可能是「被動」點燃戰事的火藥庫。
台灣該如何前行
當美國在南海「反覆實現」其自由航行的主張時，曾多次選擇「行經台海」之後轉赴南海或進入太平洋的道路。例如2018年7月美國航母「馬斯廷」號與「班福德」號特地「繞道」行經台灣海峽。10月九合一大選前的敏感時刻，再有2艘美國軍艦自鵝鑾鼻海域由南向北航經台灣海峽。11月28日大選結束後，美國「斯托克戴爾」驅逐艦也曾航經台海。顯見台海已成為美國宣揚「航行自由」，同時向中國大陸表態的一個重要「工具場域」。
而美國參議院在2018年12月19日通過《亞洲再保證倡議法案》，更直接呼籲川普將對台軍售定期化，更鼓勵美國高層官員訪台交流，此舉當然再度觸發北京的敏感點，也讓台海的溫度猶如悶燒鍋，持續匯集引爆能量。
而一旦西太平洋軍備競賽提升到了臨界點，抑或是中美之間的衝突升高，在民族主義高漲的台海區域，這個被歐美各大智庫形容為「全球最危險的火藥庫」被點燃，使得現在還算穩定的台海變成怒火之海，人們也不應感到有意外。
對台灣而言，這當然是極大的風險。因為歷史原因，台灣和美、日保持著密切聯繫，過去也以自由中國的身份加入美日體系，和中國大陸形成對峙之勢。但同樣也因為歷史和地緣原因，隨著中國大陸在改革開放中崛起，又使台灣失去了和對岸對峙的實力資本。身處大國博弈的叢林，在軍備競賽已經隱隱浮現的情勢下，台灣如何自處，這些都考驗著台灣政治人物的智慧。
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20190104-《多維TW》月刊038期。（多維觀點提供）
《多維TW》月刊038期。（多維觀點提供）
https://tw.news.yahoo.com/蔡總統-期待各政黨拒絕-國兩制-不要再講九二共識-231533174.html
蔡總統：期待各政黨拒絕一國兩制 不要再講九二共識
聯合新聞網
8.8k 人追蹤
記者林敬殷／台北報導
2019年1月6日 上午7:15
大陸國家主席習近平提出一國兩制台灣方案，總統蔡英文昨天在與外國媒體茶敘中強調，她期待台灣所有政黨，都應清楚說出「我們拒絕一國兩制」，也不要再講「九二共識」。
蔡總統表示，九二共識這樣的名詞已經被北京定義為「一國兩制」，不再有模糊的空間，台灣面對國際社會，應該要送出一致、清楚的訊息。
她在習談話後表示，台灣絕不會接受「一國兩制」，絕大多數民意也堅決反對「一國兩制」，這也是「台灣共識」。後更進一步指出，只要她當總統的一天，絕對會擋住所有壓力，台灣不會接受九二共識、一國兩制。
蔡總統昨天與駐台外國媒體茶敘時更說，習近平的談話觸及了台灣兩個很基本的核心利益，身為總統，她一定要站出來說清楚。
蔡總統表示，第一個核心利益，就是習主席所謂「九二共識」是「一個中國」、「一國兩制」的說法，同時還要強加「一國兩制台灣方案」在台灣身上；第二個核心利益，是企圖繞過台灣的民主機制，尤其是民選的政府，直接跟所謂各黨派進行政治協商，這是不尊重我們的民主機制與政府體制，分化台灣內部。
蔡總統說，在過去兩年多來，台灣秉持不挑釁、不製造麻煩的態度來處理兩岸關係，可是中國卻是做相反的事情，讓國際社會感到有所警覺。不管是在國際上操作改台灣名稱的事情，或軍機、軍艦繞台等等武力威脅，甚至透過假訊息介入台灣民主選舉等等，都讓大家看見，中國才是兩岸穩定、區域穩定最大的變數。
蔡總統表示，在這種情況下，期待台灣所有的政黨，都應該清楚說出「我們拒絕一國兩制」，說出人民的心聲。不要打折，也不要再講「九二共識」，因為這個名詞已經被北京定義為「一國兩制」，不再有模糊的空間。
蔡總統也指出，政府不反對兩岸互動，也願意坐下來談，但台灣是民主國家，必須有人民的授權跟監督。她並呼籲中國政府，應該回到人民共同利益的問題上。如果北京當局在豬瘟防治跟台灣、區域國家合作，會是累積善意很好的開始。
她說，中國應該學著用「民主的視角」來看待台灣，這也是為什麼她期待中國邁開民主的腳步，這樣才會知道台灣人是怎麼想的，同時台灣也期待中國踏出人權的腳步。
更多udn報導
Taiwanese are expecting massive fiery carnage soon.
https://tw.news.yahoo.com/多維觀點-軍備% E7%AB%B6%E8%B3%BD%E9%9A%B1%E7%B4%84%E5%A2%9E%E6%BA%AB-%E5%8F%B0%E6%B5%B7%E5 %B0%87%E6%88%90%E6%80%92%E7%81%AB%E4%B9%8B%E6%B5%B7-233001539.html
The multi-dimensional view of the arms race is faintly warming, and the Taiwan Strait will become a sea of anger?
[Wind Media]
Wind media
5.3k person tracking
Chen Zhiyu Wan Minwei
January 6, 2019, 7:30 am
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Japan officially adopted the new version of the "Defense Program Outline" on December 18, 2018. In 2019, the defense budget exceeded 1% of gross domestic product (GDP) for the first time, setting a new record. The defense budget for the next five years will increase to 27.47 trillion. Japanese yen. Among them, the "Bus" helicopter frigate with a "248-meter full-profile deck" and a displacement of nearly 20,000 tons will be transformed into a ship that can provide F-35B stealth and take-off and take-off. "aircraft carrier". According to estimates, the modified "Izumo" number can provide at least 10 to 16 F-35B fighters for storage and take-off and landing operations. The number of F-35B fighters that the Japanese Defense Ministry is preparing to purchase from the United States may be nearly 50. Together with the original F-35A fighters, the number of future models will reach 105. As a result, Japan will become the country with the largest number of fighters operating outside the United States, opening the climax of another wave of "arms race" in the Western Pacific.
The current East Asian situation is gradually entering a tense situation with the rise of China's mainland sea power, the US-Indian strategy and the "Asia-Pacific reassurance" policy. On September 30, 2018, the US "Dicket" and the Chinese "Lanzhou" Aegis-class missile destroyer once confronted each other in the South China Sea. They almost caused conflicts, which was the Western Pacific Armament Race and confrontational outpost. If the Japanese military military equipment is greatly upgraded, and with the constitutional amendment in 2020, the "self-defense force will be lifted". In the future, if the historical complex between China and Japan is not actually resolved, how can the two countries face the frictions that may be brought about, or even heat up the military? conflict?
Under the guidance of interests, Chuan Pusong’s hand Abe grabbed
Since 2018, the United States has repeatedly dispatched ships to use the "Font Freedom" (FON) strategy to travel in disputed waters. For example, on November 26, 2018, the cruiser "Thousands of Los Angeles" traveled through the Seas of the South China Sea, and 10 On the 23rd, when the election situation in Taiwan rose, high-profile cruisers and destroyers passed through the Taiwan Strait. But no matter what, because China’s rise has exceeded the scope of the United States’ ability to cope alone, the US military must gradually hand over the stick to Japan and train Japan to become an “Asia-Pacific spokesperson”. From the "Return to Asia" strategy of Barack Obama era, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe became the first Japanese prime minister to speak in the US Congress after the war. The United States also continued to support Japan's "national normalization." The strategy, coupled with the Donald Trump era, frequently asked Japan to "take the responsibility it deserves". In addition to "dumping the arms," the ultimate goal is to be burdened by Japan when the US military gradually withdraws its main force from the Western Pacific. The role of the American second child.
On January 2, 2019, US President Donald Trump held a cabinet meeting. (AP)
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On January 2, 2019, US President Donald Trump held a cabinet meeting. (AP)
US President Donald Trump. (AP)
In fact, Japan has long had a desire to develop towards a "normalized country." In 2015, Japan passed the domestic law "Security Act", which symbolizes "the loosening of collective self-defense rights." The government can mobilize the Self-Defense Forces to logistically replenish the troops of other countries at any time. This is different from the previous request for the Self-Defense Forces to seek congressional consent. In addition, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe will be constitutionally revised in 2020 to try to make the Self-Defense Forces hang in the constitutional structure and become a "real army" rather than the "police force" that is currently "incapable of defending against self-defense." The "Defense Program Outline" and the five-year "Medium-term Defence Plan" further strengthen Japan's defense capabilities and its capabilities in the Pacific. In addition to purchasing a large amount of US arms, the role of the United States in resisting the rise of China in the Asia-Pacific region has already been Quite clear.
The new defense plan outline focuses on "multi-field combat capabilities." Japan believes that only the three armies of the sea, land, and air can no longer allow Japan to expand its space and prevent cyberattacks from the current international situation. Although the "Izumo" has long been regarded as a "quasi-carrier" by the international community, Japan has avoided the sensitive "aircraft carrier" and has set it as a "multi-function helicopter frigate." The new defense plan outline will purchase a large amount of equipment, which will suddenly erect the ninth article of the Japanese Constitution, "special defense," and the "Izumo" will strengthen the self-defense force's oceanic combat capability. Such as upgrading the self-defense team's ability to perform tasks, and deepening the cooperative relationship with the US military in the Indo-Pacific region.
November 2018, Papua New Guinea APEC Summit, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe (AP)
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November 2018, Papua New Guinea APEC Summit, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe (AP)
Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe. (AP)
Japan’s aggressive military expansion is optimistic for the United States. First, the United States global dumping of arms, Japan as a major purchaser, to make up for the loss of the US-China trade war; Second, Trump's merchants are not willing to pay for free, so the United States in the Japanese garrison defense defense costs, hope to be shared by Japan Japan’s expansion is to alleviate the burden of the United States. Third, the North Korean nuclear issue has slowed down, the United States’ focus has gradually weakened, and the United States’ international influence is declining. Japan can just fill the power vacuum zone left by the United States to leave Asia. . As for mainland China officials, they have not held an opposition position, but Foreign Ministry spokesperson Hua Chunying still hopes that Japan will abide by special defense and contribute to regional stability and peace.
Close relationship between economy and military
Since the former Chinese President Hu Jintao announced at the "18th National Congress" that "Chinese-style sea power is coming", the emergence of "Liaoning" and the disputes in the South China Sea symbolize that China has moved from land to sea. Now that Japan is actively expanding its military, the tension in Northeast Asia is likely to escalate. At the same time, China and the United States are in an unresolved trade dispute. The protectionism implemented by Trump has driven the wave of trade protection and threatened the continued development of the current world economy. Bringing adverse effects. The seemingly unrelated relationship between the economy and the military is actually closely linked.
Economist Branko Milanovic pointed out that economic issues are the cause of war; Stephen Broadberry, a professor at London School of Economics and Political Science, also took a big battle as an example, referring to the Principality of Britain, France and Russia. In November 1914, the gross domestic product (GDP) was three times that of Germany, the Austro-Hungarian Empire, the Ottoman Empire, and Bulgaria. The disparity in economic power eventually led to the European War.
As for the external aggression of totalitarian nationalism such as fascism and Nazis during the Second World War, and why Japanese militarism will rush to plunder overseas, it is inseparable from economic factors. When the original balance structure cannot accommodate changes in geopolitical and economic interests, it is inevitable that large countries will form a new balance by means of war conflict. From this perspective, economic conflicts may change state behavior, cause military conflicts, and even become the cause of the world war. Under this consideration, if the US-China trade war leads to an increase in friction between international powers, or if China and Japan are wiped out by some misjudgments, the Taiwan Strait may be a "passive" igniting gunpowder.
How should Taiwan move forward?
When the United States "reacted" its idea of free navigation in the South China Sea, it repeatedly chose to "walk through the Taiwan Strait" and then transfer to the South China Sea or into the Pacific Ocean. For example, in July 2018, the US aircraft carriers "Mastin" and "Banford" specially "bypass" through the Taiwan Strait. At the sensitive moment before the election in October, there were two more US warships flying from the south to the north through the Taiwan Strait. After the election on November 28th, the US "Stokedale" destroyer also sailed through the Taiwan Strait. It is obvious that the Taiwan Strait has become an important "tool field" for the United States to promote "freedom of navigation" and to express its position in mainland China.
The US Senate passed the Asian Reassurance Initiative Act on December 19, 2018, and more directly called on Trump to regularize arms sales to Taiwan. It also encouraged senior US officials to visit Taiwan. This move of course triggered Beijing's sensitive points. It also makes the temperature of the Taiwan Strait like a smoldering pot, and continues to collect the detonating energy.
And once the Western Pacific Arms Race has risen to the tipping point, or the conflict between China and the United States has risen, in the Taiwanese region where nationalism is rising, this is described by the major think tanks in Europe and America as "the most dangerous gunpowder in the world". Now that the stable Taiwan Strait has turned into a sea of anger, people should not feel surprised.
For Taiwan, this is of course a great risk. For historical reasons, Taiwan has maintained close ties with the United States and Japan. In the past, it joined the US-Japan system as a free China and formed a confrontation with the Chinese mainland. But also because of historical and geopolitical reasons, with the rise of China's reform and opening up, Taiwan has lost its powerful capital against the other side. In the jungle of the big country game, under the looming situation of the arms race, how Taiwan is self-sufficient, these have tested the wisdom of Taiwanese political figures.
20190104 - "Multidimensional TW" monthly issue 038. (multidimensional view provided)
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20190104 - "Multidimensional TW" monthly issue 038. (multidimensional view provided)
"Multidimensional TW" monthly issue 038. (multidimensional view provided)
https://tw.news.yahoo.com/蔡總統-期待各% E6%94%BF%E9%BB%A8%E6%8B%92%E7%B5%95-%E5%9C%8B%E5%85%A9%E5%88%B6-%E4%B8%8D% E8%A6%81%E5%86%8D%E8%AC%9B%E4%B9%9D%E4%BA%8C%E5%85%B1%E8%AD%98-231533174.html
President Cai: I look forward to the rejection of one country, two systems by all political parties.
[Joint News Network]
United News Network
8.8k person tracking
Reporter Lin Jingyin / Taipei Report
January 6, 2019, 7:15 am
President Xi Jinping of the mainland has proposed a one-two-two Taiwan plan. President Tsai Ing-wen emphasized in a tea conversation with foreign media yesterday that she expects all political parties in Taiwan to clearly state "we refuse one country, two systems" and not to talk about "92 consensus."
President Cai said that the term "92" has been defined by Beijing as "one country, two systems". There is no longer any vague space. Taiwan should send a consistent and clear message to the international community.
After the conversation, she said that Taiwan will never accept "one country, two systems". The vast majority of public opinion also resolutely opposes "one country, two systems". This is also the "Taiwan consensus." Later, I pointed out that as long as she is the president's day, it will definitely block all pressures. Taiwan will not accept the 1992 consensus and one country, two systems.
President Cai and the foreign media in Taiwan yesterday said that Xi Jinping’s talk touched on two very basic core interests of Taiwan. As president, she must stand up and make it clear.
President Cai said that the first core interest is that President Xi’s so-called "92 Consensus" is "one China" and "one country, two systems". At the same time, it is necessary to impose the "one country, two systems Taiwan program" on Taiwan; the second core interest, It is an attempt to bypass Taiwan's democratic mechanism, especially the democratically elected government, and conduct political consultations directly with the so-called parties. This is not to respect our democratic mechanism and government system, and to divide Taiwan.
President Cai said that in the past two years or so, Taiwan has handled cross-strait relations with a provocative and non-problematic attitude. However, China has done the opposite and has alerted the international community. Whether it is the operation of changing the name of Taiwan in the international arena, or the threat of military forces, warships, and other military forces, even through the false information involved in Taiwan’s democratic elections, etc., let everyone see that China is the biggest variable in cross-strait stability and regional stability. .
President Cai said that under such circumstances, it is expected that all political parties in Taiwan should clearly state "we refuse one country, two systems" and speak out the voice of the people. Don't discount, and don't talk about the "92 Consensus" because the term has been defined by Beijing as "one country, two systems" and there is no longer any ambiguity.
President Cai also pointed out that the government does not oppose cross-strait interaction and is willing to sit down and talk, but Taiwan is a democratic country and must have the authorization and supervision of the people. She also called on the Chinese government to return to the issue of the common interests of the people. If the Beijing authorities cooperate with Taiwan and regional countries in the prevention and control of swine fever, it will be a good start to accumulate goodwill.
She said that China should learn to look at Taiwan from a "democratic perspective". This is why she expects China to step into democracy. Only then will she know what Taiwanese think, and Taiwan also expects China to step out of human rights. .
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https://tw.news.yahoo.com/多維觀點-軍備競賽隱約增溫-台海將成怒火之海-233001539.html
多維觀點》軍備競賽隱約增溫，台海將成怒火之海？
風傳媒
5.3k 人追蹤
陳稚寰 萬敏婉
2019年1月6日 上午7:30
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日本於2018年12月18日正式通過新版《防衛計劃大綱》，2019年國防預算首度超過國內生產毛額（GDP）的1%，刷新歷史紀錄，未來五年的國防預算將提升到27.47兆日圓。其中最令外界關注的，是有「248公尺全通式甲板」、排水量將近20,000噸的「出雲」號直升機護衛艦，將改造成能提供F-35B匿蹤戰機起降的船艦，成為貨真價實的「航空母艦」。根據估計，改造後的「出雲」號，起碼可以提供10架到16架F-35B型戰機進行存儲、起降作業。而日本防衛省準備向美國採購的F-35B型戰機，數量可能將近50架，加上原採購的F-35A戰機，未來系列機種數量將高達105架。由此，日本將成為美國之外，操作此型戰機數量最多的國家，揭開了西太平洋另一波「軍備競賽」的高潮。
當前東亞情勢隨著中國大陸海權崛起、美國的印太戰略和「亞太再保證」政策的提出，正逐步進入緊張態勢。2018年9月30日美國「迪凱特」號與中國大陸「蘭州」號神盾級飛彈驅逐艦一度在南海緊張對峙，險些引發衝突，就是西太平洋軍備競賽與對峙的前哨戰。假使日本軍事武備大幅升級後，加上2020年的修憲，將「解禁自衛隊」，未來在中日間歷史情結未獲實際解決下，兩國要如何面對可能帶來的摩擦，甚至升溫的軍事衝突？
利益導向下 川普鬆手安倍搶進
2018年以來，美國曾多次派出艦艇，以「航行自由」（FON）戰略，在各爭議海域通行，例如2018年11月26日巡洋艦「千斯洛斯維爾」號行經南海西沙群島海域，以及10月23日在台灣選舉局勢升高時，高調以巡洋艦、驅逐艦通過台灣海峽等。但不論如何，因為中國崛起已經超出美國獨力應付的能力範圍，美軍必須將棒子漸漸交到日本手上，培養日本成為「亞太代言人」。從歐巴馬（Barack Obama）時代的「重返亞洲」戰略，讓日本首相安倍晉三成為「戰後第一位在美國國會演講的日本首相」，美國也持續支持日本「國家正常化」的戰略，加上川普（Donald Trump）時代頻繁要求日本「負起應有的責任」，除了要「傾銷軍火」以外，最終目的就是在美軍逐漸將主力退出西太平洋的緩衝時期，將由日本負擔起「美國老二」的角色。
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2019年1月2日，美國總統川普（Donald Trump）召開內閣會議。（AP）
美國總統川普（Donald Trump）。（AP）
事實上，日本早就有想要朝著「正常化國家」發展的需求。2015年日本通過國內法《安保法案》，象徵「集體自衛權鬆綁」，政府可隨時動員自衛隊至海外為他國兵力進行後勤補給，這有別於以往派遣自衛隊須徵求國會同意。此外，日本首相安倍晉三將於2020年修憲，試圖讓自衛隊掛在憲法架構內，成為一支「真正的軍隊」，而非目前「面臨侵略還不能自衛抵抗」的「警察部隊」狀況。此次的《防衛計劃大綱》與五年期《中期防衛計劃》，進一步強化日本防衛能力以及在太平洋的作戰能力，除了採購大量美國軍火外，作為美國在亞太地區抵抗中國大陸崛起的角色，已經相當明確。
新防衛計劃大綱注重的是「多領域作戰能力」，日本認為，只有海、陸、空三軍，已不能讓日本因應當前國際情勢的威脅，還須拓展太空與防範網路攻擊的編制與單位。儘管「出雲」號早已被國際視為「準航母」，但日本仍避開敏感的「航母」字眼，將它定調為「多功能搭載直升機護衛艦」。而新防衛計劃大綱將購入大量裝備，儼然架空日本憲法第九條「專守防衛」理念，而「出雲」號將強化自衛隊的遠洋戰鬥力。如提升自衛隊執行任務能力，以及深化與美軍在印太地區的合作關係。
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2018年11月，巴布亞紐幾內亞APEC峰會，日本首相安倍晉三（AP）
日本首相安倍晉三。（AP）
日本這番大張旗鼓的軍事擴張，對美國來說可謂樂觀其成。第一，美國全球傾銷軍火，日本為採購大戶，彌補了美中貿易戰的損失；第二，川普的商人本性不願無償付出，因此美國在日駐軍協同防衛的費用，希望由日本一同分擔，日本擴軍便是減輕美國的重擔；第三，北韓核問題趨緩，讓美國的著力點逐漸變弱，而且美國的國際影響力正在下降，日本正好可以填補美國離開亞洲所遺留的權力真空區。至於中國大陸官方則並未持反對立場，但外交部發言人華春瑩仍希望日本遵守專守防衛，有利於區域的穩定和平。
經濟與軍事密切相連的關係
自前中國大陸國家主席胡錦濤在「十八大」宣告「中國式海權來臨」，「遼寧」號的出現以及南海爭議問題，都象徵著中國大陸已從陸地走向海洋。如今日本積極擴軍，東北亞的緊張態勢恐將升級，同時，中國大陸與美國正處在懸而未決的貿易爭端之下，川普實施的保護主義帶動了貿易保護風潮，對當前世界經濟的持續發展恐帶來不利影響。經濟與軍事之間看似無關，實際上卻是緊密相連。
經濟學家米蘭諾維奇（Branko Milanovic）指出，經濟問題為引發戰爭的因素；倫敦政經學院教授布羅貝瑞（Stephen Broadberry）也以一次大戰為例，指英、法、俄等協約國在1914年11月的國內生產毛額（GDP）為德國、奧匈帝國、鄂圖曼帝國、保加利亞的三倍，懸殊過大的經濟力，終釀成歐洲大戰。
至於二戰時期的法西斯、納粹等極權民族主義之所以向外侵略，以及日本軍國主義為何會趁勢抬頭向海外掠奪，都離不開經濟因素。當原有的平衡結構無法包容地緣與經濟利益的變化，大國之間以戰爭衝突的方式來形成新的平衡就實屬必然。以此觀之，經濟衝突有可能改變國家行為，造成軍事衝突，甚至成為世界大戰的原因。在此考量下，假若美中貿易戰導致國際強權間的摩擦上升，或者中日因為某些誤判而擦槍走火，台海都可能是「被動」點燃戰事的火藥庫。
台灣該如何前行
當美國在南海「反覆實現」其自由航行的主張時，曾多次選擇「行經台海」之後轉赴南海或進入太平洋的道路。例如2018年7月美國航母「馬斯廷」號與「班福德」號特地「繞道」行經台灣海峽。10月九合一大選前的敏感時刻，再有2艘美國軍艦自鵝鑾鼻海域由南向北航經台灣海峽。11月28日大選結束後，美國「斯托克戴爾」驅逐艦也曾航經台海。顯見台海已成為美國宣揚「航行自由」，同時向中國大陸表態的一個重要「工具場域」。
而美國參議院在2018年12月19日通過《亞洲再保證倡議法案》，更直接呼籲川普將對台軍售定期化，更鼓勵美國高層官員訪台交流，此舉當然再度觸發北京的敏感點，也讓台海的溫度猶如悶燒鍋，持續匯集引爆能量。
而一旦西太平洋軍備競賽提升到了臨界點，抑或是中美之間的衝突升高，在民族主義高漲的台海區域，這個被歐美各大智庫形容為「全球最危險的火藥庫」被點燃，使得現在還算穩定的台海變成怒火之海，人們也不應感到有意外。
對台灣而言，這當然是極大的風險。因為歷史原因，台灣和美、日保持著密切聯繫，過去也以自由中國的身份加入美日體系，和中國大陸形成對峙之勢。但同樣也因為歷史和地緣原因，隨著中國大陸在改革開放中崛起，又使台灣失去了和對岸對峙的實力資本。身處大國博弈的叢林，在軍備競賽已經隱隱浮現的情勢下，台灣如何自處，這些都考驗著台灣政治人物的智慧。
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20190104-《多維TW》月刊038期。（多維觀點提供）
《多維TW》月刊038期。（多維觀點提供）
https://tw.news.yahoo.com/蔡總統-期待各政黨拒絕-國兩制-不要再講九二共識-231533174.html
蔡總統：期待各政黨拒絕一國兩制 不要再講九二共識
聯合新聞網
8.8k 人追蹤
記者林敬殷／台北報導
2019年1月6日 上午7:15
大陸國家主席習近平提出一國兩制台灣方案，總統蔡英文昨天在與外國媒體茶敘中強調，她期待台灣所有政黨，都應清楚說出「我們拒絕一國兩制」，也不要再講「九二共識」。
蔡總統表示，九二共識這樣的名詞已經被北京定義為「一國兩制」，不再有模糊的空間，台灣面對國際社會，應該要送出一致、清楚的訊息。
她在習談話後表示，台灣絕不會接受「一國兩制」，絕大多數民意也堅決反對「一國兩制」，這也是「台灣共識」。後更進一步指出，只要她當總統的一天，絕對會擋住所有壓力，台灣不會接受九二共識、一國兩制。
蔡總統昨天與駐台外國媒體茶敘時更說，習近平的談話觸及了台灣兩個很基本的核心利益，身為總統，她一定要站出來說清楚。
蔡總統表示，第一個核心利益，就是習主席所謂「九二共識」是「一個中國」、「一國兩制」的說法，同時還要強加「一國兩制台灣方案」在台灣身上；第二個核心利益，是企圖繞過台灣的民主機制，尤其是民選的政府，直接跟所謂各黨派進行政治協商，這是不尊重我們的民主機制與政府體制，分化台灣內部。
蔡總統說，在過去兩年多來，台灣秉持不挑釁、不製造麻煩的態度來處理兩岸關係，可是中國卻是做相反的事情，讓國際社會感到有所警覺。不管是在國際上操作改台灣名稱的事情，或軍機、軍艦繞台等等武力威脅，甚至透過假訊息介入台灣民主選舉等等，都讓大家看見，中國才是兩岸穩定、區域穩定最大的變數。
蔡總統表示，在這種情況下，期待台灣所有的政黨，都應該清楚說出「我們拒絕一國兩制」，說出人民的心聲。不要打折，也不要再講「九二共識」，因為這個名詞已經被北京定義為「一國兩制」，不再有模糊的空間。
蔡總統也指出，政府不反對兩岸互動，也願意坐下來談，但台灣是民主國家，必須有人民的授權跟監督。她並呼籲中國政府，應該回到人民共同利益的問題上。如果北京當局在豬瘟防治跟台灣、區域國家合作，會是累積善意很好的開始。
她說，中國應該學著用「民主的視角」來看待台灣，這也是為什麼她期待中國邁開民主的腳步，這樣才會知道台灣人是怎麼想的，同時台灣也期待中國踏出人權的腳步。
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Taiwanese are expecting massive fiery carnage soon.
https://tw.news.yahoo.com/多維觀點-軍備% E7%AB%B6%E8%B3%BD%E9%9A%B1%E7%B4%84%E5%A2%9E%E6%BA%AB-%E5%8F%B0%E6%B5%B7%E5 %B0%87%E6%88%90%E6%80%92%E7%81%AB%E4%B9%8B%E6%B5%B7-233001539.html
The multi-dimensional view of the arms race is faintly warming, and the Taiwan Strait will become a sea of anger?
[Wind Media]
Wind media
5.3k person tracking
Chen Zhiyu Wan Minwei
January 6, 2019, 7:30 am
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Japan officially adopted the new version of the "Defense Program Outline" on December 18, 2018. In 2019, the defense budget exceeded 1% of gross domestic product (GDP) for the first time, setting a new record. The defense budget for the next five years will increase to 27.47 trillion. Japanese yen. Among them, the "Bus" helicopter frigate with a "248-meter full-profile deck" and a displacement of nearly 20,000 tons will be transformed into a ship that can provide F-35B stealth and take-off and take-off. "aircraft carrier". According to estimates, the modified "Izumo" number can provide at least 10 to 16 F-35B fighters for storage and take-off and landing operations. The number of F-35B fighters that the Japanese Defense Ministry is preparing to purchase from the United States may be nearly 50. Together with the original F-35A fighters, the number of future models will reach 105. As a result, Japan will become the country with the largest number of fighters operating outside the United States, opening the climax of another wave of "arms race" in the Western Pacific.
The current East Asian situation is gradually entering a tense situation with the rise of China's mainland sea power, the US-Indian strategy and the "Asia-Pacific reassurance" policy. On September 30, 2018, the US "Dicket" and the Chinese "Lanzhou" Aegis-class missile destroyer once confronted each other in the South China Sea. They almost caused conflicts, which was the Western Pacific Armament Race and confrontational outpost. If the Japanese military military equipment is greatly upgraded, and with the constitutional amendment in 2020, the "self-defense force will be lifted". In the future, if the historical complex between China and Japan is not actually resolved, how can the two countries face the frictions that may be brought about, or even heat up the military? conflict?
Under the guidance of interests, Chuan Pusong’s hand Abe grabbed
Since 2018, the United States has repeatedly dispatched ships to use the "Font Freedom" (FON) strategy to travel in disputed waters. For example, on November 26, 2018, the cruiser "Thousands of Los Angeles" traveled through the Seas of the South China Sea, and 10 On the 23rd, when the election situation in Taiwan rose, high-profile cruisers and destroyers passed through the Taiwan Strait. But no matter what, because China’s rise has exceeded the scope of the United States’ ability to cope alone, the US military must gradually hand over the stick to Japan and train Japan to become an “Asia-Pacific spokesperson”. From the "Return to Asia" strategy of Barack Obama era, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe became the first Japanese prime minister to speak in the US Congress after the war. The United States also continued to support Japan's "national normalization." The strategy, coupled with the Donald Trump era, frequently asked Japan to "take the responsibility it deserves". In addition to "dumping the arms," the ultimate goal is to be burdened by Japan when the US military gradually withdraws its main force from the Western Pacific. The role of the American second child.
On January 2, 2019, US President Donald Trump held a cabinet meeting. (AP)
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On January 2, 2019, US President Donald Trump held a cabinet meeting. (AP)
US President Donald Trump. (AP)
In fact, Japan has long had a desire to develop towards a "normalized country." In 2015, Japan passed the domestic law "Security Act", which symbolizes "the loosening of collective self-defense rights." The government can mobilize the Self-Defense Forces to logistically replenish the troops of other countries at any time. This is different from the previous request for the Self-Defense Forces to seek congressional consent. In addition, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe will be constitutionally revised in 2020 to try to make the Self-Defense Forces hang in the constitutional structure and become a "real army" rather than the "police force" that is currently "incapable of defending against self-defense." The "Defense Program Outline" and the five-year "Medium-term Defence Plan" further strengthen Japan's defense capabilities and its capabilities in the Pacific. In addition to purchasing a large amount of US arms, the role of the United States in resisting the rise of China in the Asia-Pacific region has already been Quite clear.
The new defense plan outline focuses on "multi-field combat capabilities." Japan believes that only the three armies of the sea, land, and air can no longer allow Japan to expand its space and prevent cyberattacks from the current international situation. Although the "Izumo" has long been regarded as a "quasi-carrier" by the international community, Japan has avoided the sensitive "aircraft carrier" and has set it as a "multi-function helicopter frigate." The new defense plan outline will purchase a large amount of equipment, which will suddenly erect the ninth article of the Japanese Constitution, "special defense," and the "Izumo" will strengthen the self-defense force's oceanic combat capability. Such as upgrading the self-defense team's ability to perform tasks, and deepening the cooperative relationship with the US military in the Indo-Pacific region.
November 2018, Papua New Guinea APEC Summit, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe (AP)
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November 2018, Papua New Guinea APEC Summit, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe (AP)
Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe. (AP)
Japan’s aggressive military expansion is optimistic for the United States. First, the United States global dumping of arms, Japan as a major purchaser, to make up for the loss of the US-China trade war; Second, Trump's merchants are not willing to pay for free, so the United States in the Japanese garrison defense defense costs, hope to be shared by Japan Japan’s expansion is to alleviate the burden of the United States. Third, the North Korean nuclear issue has slowed down, the United States’ focus has gradually weakened, and the United States’ international influence is declining. Japan can just fill the power vacuum zone left by the United States to leave Asia. . As for mainland China officials, they have not held an opposition position, but Foreign Ministry spokesperson Hua Chunying still hopes that Japan will abide by special defense and contribute to regional stability and peace.
Close relationship between economy and military
Since the former Chinese President Hu Jintao announced at the "18th National Congress" that "Chinese-style sea power is coming", the emergence of "Liaoning" and the disputes in the South China Sea symbolize that China has moved from land to sea. Now that Japan is actively expanding its military, the tension in Northeast Asia is likely to escalate. At the same time, China and the United States are in an unresolved trade dispute. The protectionism implemented by Trump has driven the wave of trade protection and threatened the continued development of the current world economy. Bringing adverse effects. The seemingly unrelated relationship between the economy and the military is actually closely linked.
Economist Branko Milanovic pointed out that economic issues are the cause of war; Stephen Broadberry, a professor at London School of Economics and Political Science, also took a big battle as an example, referring to the Principality of Britain, France and Russia. In November 1914, the gross domestic product (GDP) was three times that of Germany, the Austro-Hungarian Empire, the Ottoman Empire, and Bulgaria. The disparity in economic power eventually led to the European War.
As for the external aggression of totalitarian nationalism such as fascism and Nazis during the Second World War, and why Japanese militarism will rush to plunder overseas, it is inseparable from economic factors. When the original balance structure cannot accommodate changes in geopolitical and economic interests, it is inevitable that large countries will form a new balance by means of war conflict. From this perspective, economic conflicts may change state behavior, cause military conflicts, and even become the cause of the world war. Under this consideration, if the US-China trade war leads to an increase in friction between international powers, or if China and Japan are wiped out by some misjudgments, the Taiwan Strait may be a "passive" igniting gunpowder.
How should Taiwan move forward?
When the United States "reacted" its idea of free navigation in the South China Sea, it repeatedly chose to "walk through the Taiwan Strait" and then transfer to the South China Sea or into the Pacific Ocean. For example, in July 2018, the US aircraft carriers "Mastin" and "Banford" specially "bypass" through the Taiwan Strait. At the sensitive moment before the election in October, there were two more US warships flying from the south to the north through the Taiwan Strait. After the election on November 28th, the US "Stokedale" destroyer also sailed through the Taiwan Strait. It is obvious that the Taiwan Strait has become an important "tool field" for the United States to promote "freedom of navigation" and to express its position in mainland China.
The US Senate passed the Asian Reassurance Initiative Act on December 19, 2018, and more directly called on Trump to regularize arms sales to Taiwan. It also encouraged senior US officials to visit Taiwan. This move of course triggered Beijing's sensitive points. It also makes the temperature of the Taiwan Strait like a smoldering pot, and continues to collect the detonating energy.
And once the Western Pacific Arms Race has risen to the tipping point, or the conflict between China and the United States has risen, in the Taiwanese region where nationalism is rising, this is described by the major think tanks in Europe and America as "the most dangerous gunpowder in the world". Now that the stable Taiwan Strait has turned into a sea of anger, people should not feel surprised.
For Taiwan, this is of course a great risk. For historical reasons, Taiwan has maintained close ties with the United States and Japan. In the past, it joined the US-Japan system as a free China and formed a confrontation with the Chinese mainland. But also because of historical and geopolitical reasons, with the rise of China's reform and opening up, Taiwan has lost its powerful capital against the other side. In the jungle of the big country game, under the looming situation of the arms race, how Taiwan is self-sufficient, these have tested the wisdom of Taiwanese political figures.
20190104 - "Multidimensional TW" monthly issue 038. (multidimensional view provided)
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20190104 - "Multidimensional TW" monthly issue 038. (multidimensional view provided)
"Multidimensional TW" monthly issue 038. (multidimensional view provided)
https://tw.news.yahoo.com/蔡總統-期待各% E6%94%BF%E9%BB%A8%E6%8B%92%E7%B5%95-%E5%9C%8B%E5%85%A9%E5%88%B6-%E4%B8%8D% E8%A6%81%E5%86%8D%E8%AC%9B%E4%B9%9D%E4%BA%8C%E5%85%B1%E8%AD%98-231533174.html
President Cai: I look forward to the rejection of one country, two systems by all political parties.
[Joint News Network]
United News Network
8.8k person tracking
Reporter Lin Jingyin / Taipei Report
January 6, 2019, 7:15 am
President Xi Jinping of the mainland has proposed a one-two-two Taiwan plan. President Tsai Ing-wen emphasized in a tea conversation with foreign media yesterday that she expects all political parties in Taiwan to clearly state "we refuse one country, two systems" and not to talk about "92 consensus."
President Cai said that the term "92" has been defined by Beijing as "one country, two systems". There is no longer any vague space. Taiwan should send a consistent and clear message to the international community.
After the conversation, she said that Taiwan will never accept "one country, two systems". The vast majority of public opinion also resolutely opposes "one country, two systems". This is also the "Taiwan consensus." Later, I pointed out that as long as she is the president's day, it will definitely block all pressures. Taiwan will not accept the 1992 consensus and one country, two systems.
President Cai and the foreign media in Taiwan yesterday said that Xi Jinping’s talk touched on two very basic core interests of Taiwan. As president, she must stand up and make it clear.
President Cai said that the first core interest is that President Xi’s so-called "92 Consensus" is "one China" and "one country, two systems". At the same time, it is necessary to impose the "one country, two systems Taiwan program" on Taiwan; the second core interest, It is an attempt to bypass Taiwan's democratic mechanism, especially the democratically elected government, and conduct political consultations directly with the so-called parties. This is not to respect our democratic mechanism and government system, and to divide Taiwan.
President Cai said that in the past two years or so, Taiwan has handled cross-strait relations with a provocative and non-problematic attitude. However, China has done the opposite and has alerted the international community. Whether it is the operation of changing the name of Taiwan in the international arena, or the threat of military forces, warships, and other military forces, even through the false information involved in Taiwan’s democratic elections, etc., let everyone see that China is the biggest variable in cross-strait stability and regional stability. .
President Cai said that under such circumstances, it is expected that all political parties in Taiwan should clearly state "we refuse one country, two systems" and speak out the voice of the people. Don't discount, and don't talk about the "92 Consensus" because the term has been defined by Beijing as "one country, two systems" and there is no longer any ambiguity.
President Cai also pointed out that the government does not oppose cross-strait interaction and is willing to sit down and talk, but Taiwan is a democratic country and must have the authorization and supervision of the people. She also called on the Chinese government to return to the issue of the common interests of the people. If the Beijing authorities cooperate with Taiwan and regional countries in the prevention and control of swine fever, it will be a good start to accumulate goodwill.
She said that China should learn to look at Taiwan from a "democratic perspective". This is why she expects China to step into democracy. Only then will she know what Taiwanese think, and Taiwan also expects China to step out of human rights. .
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HOOT AH! 讲多了没有用! 杀多些效果美好!
http://www.asiaone.com/china/xi-jinping-calls-chinas-army-be-battle-ready
Xi Jinping calls on China's army to be battle-ready
PHOTO: AFP
Reuters
Jan 05, 2019
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SHANGHAI - China's armed forces must strengthen their sense of urgency and do everything they can to prepare for battle, President Xi Jinping told a meeting of top brass on Friday (Jan 4).
China is keen to beef up its armed forces amid territorial disputes in the South China Sea and escalating tension with the United States over issues ranging from trade to the status of Taiwan.
The official Xinhua news agency said Xi told a meeting of the top military authority that China faced increasing risks and challenges, and the armed forces must work to secure its security and development needs.
Xi, who is also chairman of the Central Military Commission, said the armed forces must devise strategies for the new era and take on responsibilities for preparing and waging war.
Read also
Xi Jinping says China 'must be, will be' reunified with Taiwan
"The world is facing a period of major changes never seen in a century, and China is still in an important period of strategic opportunity for development," he was quoted as saying.
He said the armed forces needed to be able to respond quickly to emergencies, needed to upgrade their joint operations capabilities and nurture new types of combat forces.
Xi's comments followed his remarks on Wednesday that China still reserved the right to use force to achieve "reunification" with Taiwan and prevent the island's independence.
Xi's Taiwan speech came just days after US President Donald Trump signed the Asia Reassurance Initiative Act into law, reaffirming the US commitment to the island's security.
http://www.asiaone.com/china/xi-jinping-calls-chinas-army-be-battle-ready
Xi Jinping calls on China's army to be battle-ready
PHOTO: AFP
Reuters
Jan 05, 2019
Facebook Twitter Google+
SHANGHAI - China's armed forces must strengthen their sense of urgency and do everything they can to prepare for battle, President Xi Jinping told a meeting of top brass on Friday (Jan 4).
China is keen to beef up its armed forces amid territorial disputes in the South China Sea and escalating tension with the United States over issues ranging from trade to the status of Taiwan.
The official Xinhua news agency said Xi told a meeting of the top military authority that China faced increasing risks and challenges, and the armed forces must work to secure its security and development needs.
Xi, who is also chairman of the Central Military Commission, said the armed forces must devise strategies for the new era and take on responsibilities for preparing and waging war.
Read also
Xi Jinping says China 'must be, will be' reunified with Taiwan
"The world is facing a period of major changes never seen in a century, and China is still in an important period of strategic opportunity for development," he was quoted as saying.
He said the armed forces needed to be able to respond quickly to emergencies, needed to upgrade their joint operations capabilities and nurture new types of combat forces.
Xi's comments followed his remarks on Wednesday that China still reserved the right to use force to achieve "reunification" with Taiwan and prevent the island's independence.
Xi's Taiwan speech came just days after US President Donald Trump signed the Asia Reassurance Initiative Act into law, reaffirming the US commitment to the island's security.
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Taiwan Ex VP Annette Lu say No Peaceful Unification Now, War! Missiles Pse!
https://tw.news.yahoo.com/「沒有九二共識、維持現狀了」-呂秀蓮提華獨、台-053153550.html
「沒有九二共識、維持現狀了」 呂秀蓮提華獨、台獨一家親
Yahoo奇摩（即時新聞）
18.8k 人追蹤
2019年1月6日 下午1:31
前副總統呂秀蓮今天說，已經完全沒有九二共識，同樣的道理，維持現狀也不可能；呂秀蓮說，她主張的不是兩岸一家親，是「華獨、台獨」一家親，大家應該共同面對新的局勢。
中國國家主席習近平2日在「告台灣同胞書」發表40週年紀念會上提出5項對台原則，包括攜手推動民族復興，實現和平統一目標；探索「兩制」台灣方案，豐富和平統一實踐；堅持一個中國原則，維護和平統一前景；深化兩岸融合發展，夯實和平統一基礎；實現同胞心靈契合，增進和平統一認同。
總統蔡英文昨天與外媒茶敘指出，期待台灣所有政黨，都應清楚說出「我們拒絕一國兩制」，也不要再講「九二共識」。
呂秀蓮今天出席「關鍵2019，築夢台灣」餐會，她說，習近平的談話很重要，代表「已經完全沒有九二共識了，九二共識就是告一個段落，但同樣的道理，維持現狀也不可能」。
呂秀蓮認為，「習五條講出來，還有什麼維持現狀可言，所以蔡總統其實已經用行動不再維持現狀了」，九二共識過去講的，現在已經不存在了。
呂秀蓮認為，「現在只有一中兩制，本來講和平統一，但他也不排除武力，也就沒有和平統一啦！」一個中國、然後一國兩制，合起來就叫「一中兩制」，在「一中兩制」之下，台灣要共同因應。
呂秀蓮說，台灣只有三條路，一個就是接受中國的「一中兩制」，而這個一個中國絕對是中華人民共和國；國民黨不願意接受中華人民共和國，主張中華民國，她認為這是兩個中國，兩個中國就是「華獨」；民進黨希望變成台灣，所以是一中一台，是「台獨」；目前只有一中、華獨、台獨三個選擇。
呂秀蓮認為，若講兩岸一家親就是中華民國被中華人民共和國併吞，她主張的不是兩岸一家親，是「華獨、台獨一家親」，大家應該共同面對新的局勢。
另外，對於民進黨主席今天進行補選，呂秀蓮說，她已經脫離民進黨，「我祝福他們」，有兩個人競選，絕對比一個人競選好，誰當選就照競選承諾，好好改造民進黨，「民進黨如果不改造的話，人民會改造它的」。
"There is no 1992 consensus and the status quo is maintained." Lu Xiulian promotes independence and Taiwan independence.
[Yahoo Chimo (instant news)]
Yahoo Chimo (instant news)
18.8k person tracking
January 6, 2019 1:31 PM
Former Vice President Annette Lu said today that there is no consensus at all. The same is true. It is impossible to maintain the status quo. Annette Lu said that she is not a family member of the two sides of the Taiwan Strait. She is a "Chinese independence, Taiwan independence" family. The new situation.
On the 2nd, Chinese President Xi Jinping put forward five principles for Taiwan on the 40th anniversary of the "Report to Taiwan Compatriots", including jointly promoting national rejuvenation and achieving the goal of peaceful reunification; exploring the "two-system" Taiwan program and enriching the practice of peaceful reunification; Adhere to the one-China principle, safeguard the prospects for peaceful reunification; deepen the integration and development of the two sides of the strait, consolidate the foundation of peaceful reunification; realize the spiritual integration of compatriots, and enhance the peaceful and unified identity.
President Tsai Ing-wen and the foreign media tea said yesterday that it is expected that all political parties in Taiwan should clearly state "we refuse one country, two systems" and do not talk about the "92 consensus."
Annette Lu attended the "Key 2019, Dreaming Taiwan" dinner today. She said that Xi Jinping’s remarks are very important. He said that "there is no consensus on the 92nd. The 1992 consensus is a paragraph, but the same reason, the status quo is not maintained. may".
Annette Lu said that "Xi's article 5 speaks about what remains to be maintained, so President Cai has actually used action to no longer maintain the status quo." The 1992 consensus has not existed in the past.
Annette Lu said, "There is only one, two systems, and this is peaceful and unified. But he does not rule out force, and there is no peaceful reunification!" One China, then one country, two systems, together, is called "one China, two systems," Under the one-two system, Taiwan must respond together.
Annette Lu said that Taiwan has only three roads, one is to accept China's "one China, two systems", and this one China is absolutely the People's Republic of China; the Kuomintang is unwilling to accept the People's Republic of China and advocate the Republic of China, she thinks this is two China, The two Chinas are "China independence"; the DPP hopes to become Taiwan, so it is one China, one Taiwan, and "Taiwan independence." At present, there are only three choices: China, China and Taiwan.
Annette Lu believes that if a family member on both sides of the strait is the Republic of China, the Republic of China is swallowed up by the People's Republic of China. She does not advocate a family member on both sides of the strait. It is a "Chinese independence, Taiwan independence family" and everyone should face the new situation together.
In addition, for the DPP chairman to make a by-election today, Annette Lu said that she has already left the DPP. "I bless them." There are two people running for the election. It is definitely better than one person. If you are elected, you will make a commitment to change the people. Party, "If the DPP does not reform, the people will transform it."
https://tw.news.yahoo.com/「沒有九二共識、維持現狀了」-呂秀蓮提華獨、台-053153550.html
「沒有九二共識、維持現狀了」 呂秀蓮提華獨、台獨一家親
Yahoo奇摩（即時新聞）
18.8k 人追蹤
2019年1月6日 下午1:31
前副總統呂秀蓮今天說，已經完全沒有九二共識，同樣的道理，維持現狀也不可能；呂秀蓮說，她主張的不是兩岸一家親，是「華獨、台獨」一家親，大家應該共同面對新的局勢。
中國國家主席習近平2日在「告台灣同胞書」發表40週年紀念會上提出5項對台原則，包括攜手推動民族復興，實現和平統一目標；探索「兩制」台灣方案，豐富和平統一實踐；堅持一個中國原則，維護和平統一前景；深化兩岸融合發展，夯實和平統一基礎；實現同胞心靈契合，增進和平統一認同。
總統蔡英文昨天與外媒茶敘指出，期待台灣所有政黨，都應清楚說出「我們拒絕一國兩制」，也不要再講「九二共識」。
呂秀蓮今天出席「關鍵2019，築夢台灣」餐會，她說，習近平的談話很重要，代表「已經完全沒有九二共識了，九二共識就是告一個段落，但同樣的道理，維持現狀也不可能」。
呂秀蓮認為，「習五條講出來，還有什麼維持現狀可言，所以蔡總統其實已經用行動不再維持現狀了」，九二共識過去講的，現在已經不存在了。
呂秀蓮認為，「現在只有一中兩制，本來講和平統一，但他也不排除武力，也就沒有和平統一啦！」一個中國、然後一國兩制，合起來就叫「一中兩制」，在「一中兩制」之下，台灣要共同因應。
呂秀蓮說，台灣只有三條路，一個就是接受中國的「一中兩制」，而這個一個中國絕對是中華人民共和國；國民黨不願意接受中華人民共和國，主張中華民國，她認為這是兩個中國，兩個中國就是「華獨」；民進黨希望變成台灣，所以是一中一台，是「台獨」；目前只有一中、華獨、台獨三個選擇。
呂秀蓮認為，若講兩岸一家親就是中華民國被中華人民共和國併吞，她主張的不是兩岸一家親，是「華獨、台獨一家親」，大家應該共同面對新的局勢。
另外，對於民進黨主席今天進行補選，呂秀蓮說，她已經脫離民進黨，「我祝福他們」，有兩個人競選，絕對比一個人競選好，誰當選就照競選承諾，好好改造民進黨，「民進黨如果不改造的話，人民會改造它的」。
"There is no 1992 consensus and the status quo is maintained." Lu Xiulian promotes independence and Taiwan independence.
[Yahoo Chimo (instant news)]
Yahoo Chimo (instant news)
18.8k person tracking
January 6, 2019 1:31 PM
Former Vice President Annette Lu said today that there is no consensus at all. The same is true. It is impossible to maintain the status quo. Annette Lu said that she is not a family member of the two sides of the Taiwan Strait. She is a "Chinese independence, Taiwan independence" family. The new situation.
On the 2nd, Chinese President Xi Jinping put forward five principles for Taiwan on the 40th anniversary of the "Report to Taiwan Compatriots", including jointly promoting national rejuvenation and achieving the goal of peaceful reunification; exploring the "two-system" Taiwan program and enriching the practice of peaceful reunification; Adhere to the one-China principle, safeguard the prospects for peaceful reunification; deepen the integration and development of the two sides of the strait, consolidate the foundation of peaceful reunification; realize the spiritual integration of compatriots, and enhance the peaceful and unified identity.
President Tsai Ing-wen and the foreign media tea said yesterday that it is expected that all political parties in Taiwan should clearly state "we refuse one country, two systems" and do not talk about the "92 consensus."
Annette Lu attended the "Key 2019, Dreaming Taiwan" dinner today. She said that Xi Jinping’s remarks are very important. He said that "there is no consensus on the 92nd. The 1992 consensus is a paragraph, but the same reason, the status quo is not maintained. may".
Annette Lu said that "Xi's article 5 speaks about what remains to be maintained, so President Cai has actually used action to no longer maintain the status quo." The 1992 consensus has not existed in the past.
Annette Lu said, "There is only one, two systems, and this is peaceful and unified. But he does not rule out force, and there is no peaceful reunification!" One China, then one country, two systems, together, is called "one China, two systems," Under the one-two system, Taiwan must respond together.
Annette Lu said that Taiwan has only three roads, one is to accept China's "one China, two systems", and this one China is absolutely the People's Republic of China; the Kuomintang is unwilling to accept the People's Republic of China and advocate the Republic of China, she thinks this is two China, The two Chinas are "China independence"; the DPP hopes to become Taiwan, so it is one China, one Taiwan, and "Taiwan independence." At present, there are only three choices: China, China and Taiwan.
Annette Lu believes that if a family member on both sides of the strait is the Republic of China, the Republic of China is swallowed up by the People's Republic of China. She does not advocate a family member on both sides of the strait. It is a "Chinese independence, Taiwan independence family" and everyone should face the new situation together.
In addition, for the DPP chairman to make a by-election today, Annette Lu said that she has already left the DPP. "I bless them." There are two people running for the election. It is definitely better than one person. If you are elected, you will make a commitment to change the people. Party, "If the DPP does not reform, the people will transform it."
You must be so delusional to think that the PLA army don't train in dense jungles. PRC has plenty of rough and dense forested terrain to train and hone their fighting skills. All the orang asli will become orang mati in double-quick time. Singapore army has no balls to help Taiwan despite being an ally.
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敬酒不吃吃罚酒! Chinese media changed their page titles now to ARMED UNIFICATION 武统!
https://mil.news.sina.com.cn/china/2019-01-07/doc-ihqfskcn4673179.shtml
时刻准备武力解放台湾的解放军 今年该忙啥？
时刻准备武力解放台湾的解放军 今年该忙啥？
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木罂夜半飞渡军：我军“野马”气垫船如何在台湾海峡狂飙1/24
查看原图图集模式
8月7日，网上曝出了一张国内某造船厂正在建造中的726A型气垫登陆艇的照片。在照片中，我们可以清晰地看到在该造船厂港池内共停放着10艘726A型气垫登陆艇。从目前的情势看来，已经服役与正在建造的726/A型登陆艇数量已经远远超过了071型登陆舰所需的数量。在071型登陆舰数量有限、075型两栖攻击舰尚未开始船坞建造的时候，为何中国要维持726A型的高速量产？726A型对解放军有何其他重要意义？本期《出鞘》，我们就来谈谈726A型气垫登陆艇的问题。（查看完整内容搜索微信公众号：sinamilnews）
原标题：一周军评：时刻准备武力解放台湾的解放军，今年该忙啥
本周，在中国大陆隆重纪念《告台湾同胞书》发表40周年的同时，解放军也正式开展了新年度的全军实战化训练。对于解放军来说，在习主席重提“不放弃使用武力”解决台湾问题的同时开展新一年的实战化训练，毫无疑问有着相当重要的意义；而恰好在去年年底到今年年初，围绕着新一财年的军费预算与采购建案，台军的各类武器装备现代化也成为了对岸的话题之一。
解放军的新年打算
海峡两岸的军事力量对比在今天早已倒向大陆一方，但时至今日，解放军面对这场极有可能招致境外势力介入干涉的仗，依然没有能够轻易获得全胜的自信与底气。面对新的一年，解放军要做的事情，仍然很多很多。
准确的讲，是太多了
从仪式的角度看，新中国历史上逢9的建国整数年，由于同时也是解放军海军、空军建军的整数年，纪念仪式毫无疑问会比平常年份隆重许多。今年是新中国成立70周年，也是中国人民解放军海军和空军成立70周年，因此尽管目前仍然没有正式宣布，但是大规模的现代化阅兵式和海军阅舰式作为“标准动作”，已经是各界意料之中的庆祝活动。
从解放军新质战斗力的角度来说，2019年对于中国海军毫无疑问是关键的一年。这种关键自然不是因为重大的海上仪式性活动会传递什么特殊信号，而是对于中国海军而言，海军水面舰艇体系里那几件在过去几年里军迷和媒体们热议，外国和外军关注的核心装备，在2019年将真正从船厂完全交付给海军，成为海军新一代装备体系的真正核心。
图源：东方ic 国产航母
这之中最大号的当然是首艘国产航空母舰了。2018年，这艘国产航母已经进行了4次试航，并且已经显而易见地开始进行与航空作业设备有关的相应测试了。如果一切顺利，那么明年这艘航母应该就能交付海军正式入列，让中国海军的航母战斗力“翻一番”，使中国海军在“世界第二”的争夺中更加具有说服力。
两艘航空母舰相比一艘航空母舰，对于一支海军来说其意义远不止于统计学意义上的增加，而意味着一国航母战斗力的飞跃性增长。一个只有一艘航母的国家，由于其航母注定有需要进坞维修的间歇，海军战斗力在这一时期毫无疑问将出现显著xia降（例如现在的法国、俄罗斯和中国海军），而双航母虽然不能从根本上全面消灭这种“无航母”状态，却能让中国海军在未来的大多数时候能够拥有随时可用的航母战斗群。
对于将来的中国人来说，问上一句“我们的航母在哪里”也许将不再只是一个美好的梦想。
另一方面，双航母编队的战斗力也要远远超过单航母战斗群。两类编队的展开范围基本相同，但双航母编队的舰载机数量和出动/回收能力却能够成倍增加。很多在单航母状态需要精妙平衡的作战方案也能够通过配合运用达到更强的战斗力。对于中国海军来说，在两艘航母的情况xia，“红色一航战”将不再只是单纯的自吹自擂。
甚至“fleet problem”也不再是一个遥远的词汇
与此同时，辽宁舰的维修和“回到现役”也是一件大事，尽管中国海军首支舰载机部队此前已经和该舰有了好几年的协同训练的经验，但辽宁舰的这次维修的范围因为不仅仅局限于“除除锈、补补漆”的小打小闹，而是一次相当全面的现代化升级和更新。
无论是飞行甲板上划线的更新，还是舰岛上被彻底更换和扩大的航空舰桥突出部，这些设备既不是基于从俄罗斯获得的航母资料或者设计图纸，也不是设计人员们在纯粹的图纸和模型上“虚拟”出来的结果，而是中国海军舰载机航空兵在经年累月的实践中总结出来的改进意见。
甚至连舰岛侧面刷上的舷号“16”，也不是如同苏联当年所做那样，是船厂“想当然”画上去，并会被高层官员看做“资本主义的一套”而被全面废除的“灵机一动”，而是海军在实战化的演习和训练中总结出来的真知灼见。当辽宁舰回到海军现役之后，该舰与舰载航空兵的再次汇合显然值得期待。在恢复性训练之后，经过现代化改进后的辽宁舰毫无疑问会让中国海军的战斗力更上一层楼。
当然除了航母，中国海军的目标战斗舰艇055型导弹驱逐舰也有望加入海军。作为中国海军的新一代水面战斗舰艇的核心，055型导弹驱逐舰不仅是外界最初设想的舰队防空核心，也将像“基洛夫”或者“光荣”级导弹巡洋舰那样承担起编队反舰作战的重任。与逐渐改进而来的052D导弹驱逐舰不同，055型导弹驱逐舰作为中国海军面向未来需求研制的新一代大型战舰，其性能表现也将在今年真正开始展现。
相较于基洛夫，新式的滑翔弹和弹道导弹可以有效弥补主力舰“射程不如飞机”的显著缺点
更新的舰艇，更大的编队，新一代的中国海军人一面要学会操纵当代的最新技术成果，一边还要快马加鞭，把中国在过去一百年里错过的航母和舰载机时代的成果“补习起来”。2019年，对于这两件事都是关键的一年。
也同样是在2019年，已经给中国人带来无数惊喜和激励的歼-20战机终于要以完全实战化的面貌展现在世界面前了。空军在本周发布的《虎威苍穹！新时代中国空军“王牌旅长”郝井文》宣传片中，透露了郝井文所在航空兵旅“迎来中国新一代战斗机”的消息。
对于这支脱胎于老空3师某部的部队来说，这是其换装消息第一次得到官方确认，也是歼-20战机首次批量交付空军除了试训部队以外的歼击机旅。
空军“王海大队”旅长郝井文
在历史上，空3师某部作为朝鲜战争锻炼出来的解放军空军王牌部队，一直享有在全军范围内优先换装先进战机，尤其是先进进口战机的“殊荣”：1952年首先换装米格-15比斯战机，1962年首先装备米格-21战机，1992年首先接装苏-27SK，2001年接装苏-30MKK……
这长期与“外国货”作伴的经历让歼-20的到来多少显得有点“打破传统”，不过这一破例对于中国航空工业来说毫无疑问是个好消息，毕竟比起他们要装备的歼-20，我军目前能够引进的最先进战斗机苏-35虽然在飞行性能上有着一些特点和优势，但在整体的空战能力上，已经完全是两个时代的装备了。
与目前同时装备歼-10C、歼-16和歼-20的解放军部队主要以探索和创新空军战机战法和便携训练大纲为主要内容不同，整建制装备歼-20战机的航空兵旅毫无疑问在掌握新装备和新战法的同时，还要承担起东部方向上实际的防空和战备巡逻任务。在西太平洋地区这样一个已经有三个国家列装了五代机，且还有更多国家跃跃欲试的地方，中国空军自己的全五代机部队的亮相，显然能够让我们感到安心。
“艰难”的台军
与此同时，似乎十分讽刺的，那支曾经在世纪之交带给大陆空前压力的台湾空军，最近却似乎又走到了一个尴尬的状态——这支在20世纪末、21世纪初一口气列装部队超过300架第四代战斗机（也就是当时说法的第三代战斗机）的空中力量，如今的情况又似乎回到了上世纪70-80年代。
一直用到1998年的F-104
那个时候，台军虽然能够通过美国提供的关键部件和部分自制产品生产“中正”号的F-5E/F战斗机（由于其自产化率从未超过50%，因此也就没有什么真正的“独立自主”可言），但由于上一代F-100战机在这一时期批量退役，而新一代的战机诸如F-20、F-16/79等则因为“美台断交”无法获得，为了补充台军可用的战机，台军这时候只能选择在美国的“默许”xia满世界采购二手的F-104系列战机。
其实台军自己也知道“寡妇制造者”故障率高，但是当时能够获得的两倍音速战机就只此一款。因此虽然从德国、比利时、日本、丹麦买来的F-104型号不同、状态不一，但是台军不仅要硬着头皮用，还得硬着头皮接茬买。
如今的台军也有类似的窘境。台军在世纪之交列装的三款主力战机中，F-16A/B现在已经有了升级之道，通过美方的技术支援，为这批战机换装有源相控阵雷达等设备，更新为技术水平较好的F-16V状态；IDF“经国”号也进行了升级工作，虽然局限于台湾本土的技术水平限制，无法对雷达进行彻底升级，最多只能增加对地武器的挂载能力并且多挂两发“天剑二型”中距空空导弹，但也算聊胜于无。
但是这几十架法制“幻影2000-5”的升级却是困难重重：法国人为升级战机开出了台湾无法接受的“天价”（虽然这其实是法国产品的传统），法制产品的独特体系也超出了台湾军工的能力范围。
新年飞跃新竹的幻影-2000战机。96年需要“3打1”的“幻象2000”，如今……
考虑到“幻影2000-5”的性能在当代只能算是平淡无奇，要是不做大的升级，连面对解放军现在的歼-10A、歼-11A/B都很难说有太多胜算。在这样的两难境地里，虽然台军一再否认有提早退役幻影2000的计划，但这些日渐老旧的战机如果不加替换，本来也没办法承担台湾岛的防空作战任务。
这也就是台军会在现在提出再向美军采购一批F-16战机的理由。一方面台军认为采购F-16可以和现有台军的F-16维护体系兼容，因此在采购上省去许多后勤设备的采购费用，二来F-16生产到现在已近进入末期，如果没有这批订单，洛马公司很可能就要关闭生产线，处于这样的理由，美方可能会给台湾一定的优惠——比起谁都知道不可能的采购F-35，老老实实买F-16虽然不够先进，但至少能够给台军增添实打实的战斗机力量。
哪里知道美国人也毫不客气，目前先进的F-16的飞离价格7000万美元，台湾做好了1亿美元一架的思想准备，想着中东土豪买各种后勤和机载武器加起来才1.4亿美元一架，台湾东省西扣的能把价格降xia来，哪知美国人直接报出了平均单机价格1.9亿美元的天价，如果想在台湾岛内组装？每架飞机再多5000万美元。
这其中当然有不少钱是美国对台军售里少不了的“凯子价格”，但台湾要买新的F-16价格更贵倒也不至于毫无理由，毕竟1992年买的F-16与今天的F-16除了机体总体结构外，从发动机到航电设备都大变样，用27年前的价格来推算今天的F-16本来就不合理。在这样的情况xia，台军还异想天开，希望能够采购美国手里那些几乎已经耗尽了飞行寿命的F-15或者F/A-18来填补空军的战斗力空缺。
F-35大量入列以后，美国空军近年来退役了大量F-15C
而这其中反映的另一个事实则更加值得关注，那就是两岸的军事发展到今天，随着解放军五代机的全面服役，台湾军队不仅不可能获得如当年的F-16那样在技术上对解放军占据显著优势的先进装备（这也标志着，美国几十年来沿用的售台非一线先进装备就能维持两岸军事力量平衡的战略最终破产），随着新一代战机价格的自然上涨，台湾现在连保持现有机队规模的同时，用较新一代战机加以替换都开始做不到了。
新年开训仪式上海军航空兵的空警-500，在体系和态势感知上，台军的落后更加可怕
作为一个小岛，台军目前保有的装备数量仍然是冷战式思维xia的巨大规模。这支总规模不到18万人的军队，却要维持1000辆主战坦克、30艘大中型水面舰艇和300架先进战斗机。这本身就是一笔不小的装备负担。
1992年台军斥资60亿美元购买150架F-16的时候，每架战机的单价约4000万美元，而支撑这一级别军购的则是台军年均100亿美元的价格；20多年过去了，当每架F-16的价格比当年贵了3-5倍的时候，台军的军费总额却只增长到了200亿美元左右。这种军费增长赶不上装备价格的形势xia，台军要勉强维持其现有的装备规模，自然是苦难重重了。
在注定丧失台军质量优势的情况xia，台军现在连数量上的“均势”现在都很难维持，而对于关注两岸军力平衡的人来说，没有什么能比这更能说明这种“失衡”了。
Always ready to use force to liberate Taiwan’s People’s Liberation Army.
Always ready to use force to liberate Taiwan’s People’s Liberation Army.
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Mupi night flying over the army: how our army "Wild Horse" hovercraft arrogant in the Taiwan Strait 1/24
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On August 7, a photo of a 726A air-cushion landing craft being built by a domestic shipyard was revealed. In the photo, we can clearly see that there are 10 726A air-cushion landing craft parked in the shipyard harbor. From the current situation, the number of 726/A type landing crafts already in service and under construction has far exceeded the number required for the Type 071 landing ship. When the number of Type 071 landing ships is limited and the Type 075 amphibious assault ship has not yet started construction of the dock, why should China maintain the high-speed mass production of the Type 726A? What other significance does the 726A have for the PLA? In this issue of "Sheathing", let's talk about the problem of the Type 726A air-cushion landing craft. (View full content search WeChat public number: sinamilnews)
Original title: Weekly military review: Always ready to use force to liberate Taiwan's People's Liberation Army, this year should be busy
This week, while the Chinese mainland solemnly commemorated the 40th anniversary of the publication of the "Taiwan Compatriots", the People's Liberation Army also officially launched the actual training of the whole army in the new year. For the People’s Liberation Army, it is no doubt that there is a very important significance in the actual training of the new year while President Xi’s re-introduction of “not giving up the use of force” to solve the Taiwan issue. It happens to be around the end of last year to the beginning of this year. The military budget and procurement of the new fiscal year, the modernization of various types of weapons and equipment of the Taiwan military has also become one of the topics on the other side.
The New Year’s plan of the People’s Liberation Army
The contrast between the military forces on both sides of the strait has already fallen to the mainland today. However, to this day, the PLA has not been able to easily gain the confidence and confidence to win the victory. In the face of the new year, the PLA will still do a lot of things.
To be precise, too much is accurate, too much.
From the ritual point of view, the anniversary of the founding of the People's Republic of China in the history of New China, because it is also the integer year of the PLA Navy and Air Force, the memorial ceremony will undoubtedly be much more grand than the usual years. This year marks the 70th anniversary of the founding of the People's Republic of China and the 70th anniversary of the establishment of the Chinese People's Liberation Army Navy and Air Force. Therefore, although it has not been officially announced yet, the large-scale modern military parade and navy warships are regarded as "standard movements". Celebrations in the middle.
From the perspective of the new combat effectiveness of the People's Liberation Army, the 2019 is undoubtedly a crucial year for the Chinese Navy. This key is naturally not because of the special signals transmitted by major maritime ceremonial activities, but for the Chinese navy, the few in the naval surface ship system have been heated up by military fans and the media in the past few years, foreign and foreign. The core equipment that the military pays attention to will be completely delivered to the Navy from the shipyard in 2019, becoming the true core of the new generation of naval equipment system.
Source: Oriental ic Domestic aircraft carrier source: Oriental ic Domestic aircraft carrier
Of course, the biggest one among them is the first domestic aircraft carrier. In 2018, the domestic aircraft carrier has carried out four trials, and it has become apparent that the corresponding tests related to aviation equipment have begun. If all goes well, then next year the aircraft carrier should be able to deliver the navy officially, so that the Chinese navy's aircraft carrier combat power will be doubled, making the Chinese navy more persuasive in the "world's second" competition.
Compared with an aircraft carrier, the two aircraft carriers have far more significance for a navy than the statistical increase, which means a huge increase in the combat effectiveness of a country's aircraft carrier. In a country with only one aircraft carrier, because its aircraft carrier is destined to have intermittent intervals for maintenance, the naval combat power will undoubtedly show significant loss during this period (such as the current French, Russian and Chinese navies), while the dual aircraft carrier The failure to fundamentally eliminate this "no aircraft carrier" state will allow the Chinese Navy to have ready-to-use aircraft carrier battle groups for most of the future.
For the Chinese in the future, asking the question "Where is our aircraft carrier?" may no longer be just a good dream.
On the other hand, the combat strength of the double aircraft carrier formation is far greater than that of the single aircraft carrier battle group. The expansion range of the two types of formations is basically the same, but the number of aircraft carriers and the capacity of the two aircraft carriers can be multiplied. Many combat programs that require a delicate balance in a single aircraft carrier state can also be used to achieve greater combat effectiveness. For the Chinese navy, in the case of two aircraft carriers, the "red one air battle" will no longer be simply boastful.
Even the "fleet problem" is no longer a distant vocabulary or even a "fleet problem" is no longer a distant vocabulary.
At the same time, the maintenance of the Liaoning ship and "return to active service" is also a major event, although the first carrier aircraft unit of the Chinese Navy has had several years of experience in collaborative training with the ship, but the maintenance of the Liaoning ship. The scope is not only limited to the "small rust removal, make-up paint", but a fairly comprehensive modern upgrade and update.
Whether it is an update on the flight deck, or an aircraft bridge projection that has been completely replaced and enlarged on the island, these equipment are neither based on aircraft carrier data or design drawings obtained from Russia, nor are the designers in pure drawings. And the results of the "virtual" on the model, but the improvement suggestions of the Chinese naval carrier aircraft aviation in the practice of the years.
Even the "16" on the side of the island was not like the Soviet Union did in the past. It was painted by the shipyard "take it for granted" and was completely abolished by high-level officials as a "capitalism". "There is a move," but the insights that the Navy has summed up in actual exercises and training. When the Liaoning ship returned to the Navy's active service, the re-convergence of the ship and the carrier aviation is clearly worth looking forward to. After the restorative training, the modernized and improved Liaoning ship will undoubtedly make the Chinese navy's combat capability even higher.
Of course, in addition to the aircraft carrier, the Chinese Navy’s target combat ship 055 guided missile destroyer is also expected to join the Navy. As the core of the new generation of surface warships of the Chinese Navy, the 055 guided missile destroyer is not only the fleet air defense core originally conceived by the outside world, but also will assume the heavy responsibility of formation anti-ship operations like the "Kirov" or "Glory" class guided missile cruisers. . Unlike the 052D guided missile destroyer that has been gradually improved, the 055 guided missile destroyer, as a new generation of large-scale warships developed by the Chinese Navy for future needs, will also begin to show its performance this year.
Compared with Kirov, the new type of glider and ballistic missile can effectively compensate for the significant shortcomings of the main ship "not as good as the aircraft".
The newer ships, the larger formations, and the new generation of Chinese navies must learn to manipulate the latest technological achievements of the contemporary era, while also rushing to whip up the results of the carrier and carrier-borne era that China has missed in the past 100 years. stand up". In 2019, it was a crucial year for both of these things.
Also in 2019, the J-20 fighters that have brought countless surprises and inspirations to the Chinese have finally appeared in the world with a completely realistic look. The Air Force released this week, "The Tigers are in the sky!" In the propaganda film of the "Ace Brigadier" Hao Jingwen of the Chinese Air Force in the new era, he revealed the news that Hao Jingwen’s aviation brigade "welcomed the new generation of Chinese fighters."
For this unit born out of the 3rd Division of the Old Air Force, this is the first official confirmation of its reloading news, and it is also the first time that the J-20 fighters are delivered to the Air Force in addition to the trial force.
Air Force "Wang Hai Brigade" Brigadier Hao Jingwen Air Force "Wang Hai Brigade" Brigadier Hao Jingwen
In history, the Air Force 3 Division, as the ACE of the People’s Liberation Army Air Force, which has been trained in the Korean War, has always enjoyed the priority of replacing advanced fighters in the entire military, especially the advanced import fighters: the first change of MiG in 1952 -15 Biss fighters, first equipped with MiG-21 fighters in 1962, first installed Su-27SK in 1992, and Su-30MKK in 2001...
This long-term experience with "foreign goods" makes the arrival of the 歼-20 seem a bit "breaking the tradition", but this exception is undoubtedly good news for the Chinese aviation industry, after all, compared to the equipment they need to equip. -20, the most advanced fighter Su-35 that our army can introduce at present has some characteristics and advantages in flight performance, but in the overall air combat capability, it has been completely equipped for two eras.
The PLA units that are equipped with the 歼-10C, 歼-16 and 歼-20 at the same time are mainly based on the exploration and innovation of the Air Force fighter tactics and the portable training syllabus. The aviation rigs of the 歼-20 fighters are undoubtedly While mastering new equipment and new methods of warfare, we must also undertake actual air defense and combat readiness patrols in the eastern direction. In the Western Pacific region, where three countries have installed five generations of aircraft, and there are more countries eager to try, the appearance of the Chinese Air Force's own five-generation aircraft will clearly give us peace of mind.
"Tough" Taiwan Army
At the same time, it seems ironic that the Taiwan Air Force, which had brought unprecedented pressure to the mainland at the turn of the century, seems to have recently reached an embarrassing state – this one was installed in the late 20th and early 21st centuries. The airpower of more than 300 fourth-generation fighters (also known as the third-generation fighters at the time) seems to have returned to the 70s and 80s of the last century.
It has been used until 1998 when the F-104 was used until 1998.
At that time, although the Taiwan military could produce the "Zhongzheng" F-5E/F fighter through the key components and some homemade products provided by the United States (because its self-production rate never exceeded 50%, there is no real " Independence and self-determination, but because the previous generation of F-100 fighters were retired in this period, a new generation of fighters such as F-20 and F-16/79 could not be obtained because of the "Meitai break-off". The military available fighters, the Taiwan military can only choose to purchase second-hand F-104 series fighters in the United States.
In fact, the Taiwan military itself knows that the "widow maker" has a high failure rate, but the double-speed fighter that was available at that time was the only one. Therefore, although the F-104 models bought from Germany, Belgium, Japan, and Denmark are different and in different states, the Taiwan military must not only use the scalp but also buy it with a scalp.
Today's Taiwan military has a similar dilemma. In the three main fighters installed by the Taiwan military at the turn of the century, the F-16A/B has now upgraded. With the technical support of the US, the equipment is replaced with equipment such as source phased array radar. For the F-16V state with better technical level; the IDF "Jingguo" has also been upgraded. Although it is limited to the technical level limit of Taiwan, it is impossible to completely upgrade the radar, and at most it can only increase the mounting of the ground weapon. The ability to hang two "Tianjian II" medium-range air-to-air missiles, but it is better than nothing.
However, the upgrade of these dozens of legal "Phantom 2000-5" is very difficult: the French have opened up an unacceptable "high price" for Taiwan (although this is actually the tradition of French products), and the unique system of legal products is also Exceeding the scope of Taiwan's military capabilities.
New Year's Leap of Hsinchu's Phantom - 2000 fighter. In 1996, the "Fantasy 2000" of "3 dozens of 1" was needed. Now... the New Year flies to Hsinchu's Mirage-2000 fighter. In 1996, "3" is required, "Phantom 2000", now...
Considering that the performance of "Phantom 2000-5" can only be considered plain in the modern era, if you do not make a big upgrade, even the face of the PLA's current 歼-10A, 歼-11A/B is hard to say that there are too many odds. In such a dilemma, although the Taiwan military has repeatedly denied plans to retire the Mirage 2000 earlier, these old fighters, if not replaced, could not afford the air defense operations on Taiwan Island.
This is the reason why the Taiwan military will now propose to purchase a number of F-16 fighters from the US military. On the one hand, the Taiwan military believes that the purchase of the F-16 can be compatible with the existing F-16 maintenance system of the Taiwan military, so it saves the procurement costs of many logistics equipment in procurement, and secondly, the F-16 production has recently entered the final stage, if Without this order, Loma is likely to close the production line. For such reasons, the US may give Taiwan a certain discount - compared to anyone who knows the impossible purchase F-35, honestly buy F-16 Although not advanced enough, it can at least add real combat force to the Taiwan military.
Where do you know that Americans are also unceremonious? The current advanced F-16 is flying at a price of 70 million U.S. dollars. Taiwan is ready to make a $100 million mentality. It is thought that the Middle East’s local tyrants will buy various logistical and airborne weapons to add up. Only 140 million US dollars, Taiwan's East Province West buckle can reduce the price of xia, which knows that the Americans directly reported the average stand-alone price of 190 million US dollars, if you want to assemble in Taiwan Island? There is an additional $50 million per aircraft.
Of course, there is a lot of money that is the "Kaizi price" that is indispensable for US arms sales to Taiwan. However, Taiwan’s purchase of a new F-16 is more expensive and there is no reason. After all, the F-16 bought in 1992 In addition to the overall structure of the aircraft, today's F-16 has changed greatly from engine to avionics. It is unreasonable to use the price of 27 years ago to calculate today's F-16. In such a situation, the Taiwan military is still whimsical, hoping to purchase the F-15 or F/A-18 in the United States that has almost exhausted the flight life to fill the Air Force's combat vacancies.
After the F-35 was heavily enlisted, the US Air Force retired a large number of F-15CF-35s in recent years, and the US Air Force retired a large number of F-15Cs in recent years.
The other facts reflected in this are even more worthy of attention. That is the military development between the two sides of the strait. Today, with the full service of the PLA’s fifth-generation aircraft, the Taiwan military is not only impossible to obtain technically the PLA’s occupation as the F-16 of the year. Advanced equipment with significant advantages (this also marks that the US strategy of selling non-first-line advanced equipment for decades to maintain cross-strait military power balance will eventually lead to bankruptcy). With the natural increase in the price of new generation fighters, Taiwan now maintains At the same time as the size of the existing fleet, it is impossible to replace it with a newer generation of fighters.
The Air Force’s Air Police-500 on the New Year’s training ceremony, the Taiwan’s backwardness is even more terrible in terms of system and situational awareness.
As a small island, the number of equipment currently held by the Taiwan military is still a huge scale of cold war mentality. This army, with a total size of less than 180,000 people, has to maintain 1,000 main battle tanks, 30 large and medium-sized surface ships and 300 advanced fighters. This in itself is a small burden of equipment.
In 1992, the Taiwan military spent $6 billion to buy 150 F-
https://mil.news.sina.com.cn/china/2019-01-07/doc-ihqfskcn4673179.shtml
时刻准备武力解放台湾的解放军 今年该忙啥？
时刻准备武力解放台湾的解放军 今年该忙啥？
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木罂夜半飞渡军：我军“野马”气垫船如何在台湾海峡狂飙1/24
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8月7日，网上曝出了一张国内某造船厂正在建造中的726A型气垫登陆艇的照片。在照片中，我们可以清晰地看到在该造船厂港池内共停放着10艘726A型气垫登陆艇。从目前的情势看来，已经服役与正在建造的726/A型登陆艇数量已经远远超过了071型登陆舰所需的数量。在071型登陆舰数量有限、075型两栖攻击舰尚未开始船坞建造的时候，为何中国要维持726A型的高速量产？726A型对解放军有何其他重要意义？本期《出鞘》，我们就来谈谈726A型气垫登陆艇的问题。（查看完整内容搜索微信公众号：sinamilnews）
原标题：一周军评：时刻准备武力解放台湾的解放军，今年该忙啥
本周，在中国大陆隆重纪念《告台湾同胞书》发表40周年的同时，解放军也正式开展了新年度的全军实战化训练。对于解放军来说，在习主席重提“不放弃使用武力”解决台湾问题的同时开展新一年的实战化训练，毫无疑问有着相当重要的意义；而恰好在去年年底到今年年初，围绕着新一财年的军费预算与采购建案，台军的各类武器装备现代化也成为了对岸的话题之一。
海峡两岸的军事力量对比在今天早已倒向大陆一方，但时至今日，解放军面对这场极有可能招致境外势力介入干涉的仗，依然没有能够轻易获得全胜的自信与底气。面对新的一年，解放军要做的事情，仍然很多很多。
从仪式的角度看，新中国历史上逢9的建国整数年，由于同时也是解放军海军、空军建军的整数年，纪念仪式毫无疑问会比平常年份隆重许多。今年是新中国成立70周年，也是中国人民解放军海军和空军成立70周年，因此尽管目前仍然没有正式宣布，但是大规模的现代化阅兵式和海军阅舰式作为“标准动作”，已经是各界意料之中的庆祝活动。
从解放军新质战斗力的角度来说，2019年对于中国海军毫无疑问是关键的一年。这种关键自然不是因为重大的海上仪式性活动会传递什么特殊信号，而是对于中国海军而言，海军水面舰艇体系里那几件在过去几年里军迷和媒体们热议，外国和外军关注的核心装备，在2019年将真正从船厂完全交付给海军，成为海军新一代装备体系的真正核心。
这之中最大号的当然是首艘国产航空母舰了。2018年，这艘国产航母已经进行了4次试航，并且已经显而易见地开始进行与航空作业设备有关的相应测试了。如果一切顺利，那么明年这艘航母应该就能交付海军正式入列，让中国海军的航母战斗力“翻一番”，使中国海军在“世界第二”的争夺中更加具有说服力。
两艘航空母舰相比一艘航空母舰，对于一支海军来说其意义远不止于统计学意义上的增加，而意味着一国航母战斗力的飞跃性增长。一个只有一艘航母的国家，由于其航母注定有需要进坞维修的间歇，海军战斗力在这一时期毫无疑问将出现显著xia降（例如现在的法国、俄罗斯和中国海军），而双航母虽然不能从根本上全面消灭这种“无航母”状态，却能让中国海军在未来的大多数时候能够拥有随时可用的航母战斗群。
对于将来的中国人来说，问上一句“我们的航母在哪里”也许将不再只是一个美好的梦想。
另一方面，双航母编队的战斗力也要远远超过单航母战斗群。两类编队的展开范围基本相同，但双航母编队的舰载机数量和出动/回收能力却能够成倍增加。很多在单航母状态需要精妙平衡的作战方案也能够通过配合运用达到更强的战斗力。对于中国海军来说，在两艘航母的情况xia，“红色一航战”将不再只是单纯的自吹自擂。
与此同时，辽宁舰的维修和“回到现役”也是一件大事，尽管中国海军首支舰载机部队此前已经和该舰有了好几年的协同训练的经验，但辽宁舰的这次维修的范围因为不仅仅局限于“除除锈、补补漆”的小打小闹，而是一次相当全面的现代化升级和更新。
无论是飞行甲板上划线的更新，还是舰岛上被彻底更换和扩大的航空舰桥突出部，这些设备既不是基于从俄罗斯获得的航母资料或者设计图纸，也不是设计人员们在纯粹的图纸和模型上“虚拟”出来的结果，而是中国海军舰载机航空兵在经年累月的实践中总结出来的改进意见。
甚至连舰岛侧面刷上的舷号“16”，也不是如同苏联当年所做那样，是船厂“想当然”画上去，并会被高层官员看做“资本主义的一套”而被全面废除的“灵机一动”，而是海军在实战化的演习和训练中总结出来的真知灼见。当辽宁舰回到海军现役之后，该舰与舰载航空兵的再次汇合显然值得期待。在恢复性训练之后，经过现代化改进后的辽宁舰毫无疑问会让中国海军的战斗力更上一层楼。
当然除了航母，中国海军的目标战斗舰艇055型导弹驱逐舰也有望加入海军。作为中国海军的新一代水面战斗舰艇的核心，055型导弹驱逐舰不仅是外界最初设想的舰队防空核心，也将像“基洛夫”或者“光荣”级导弹巡洋舰那样承担起编队反舰作战的重任。与逐渐改进而来的052D导弹驱逐舰不同，055型导弹驱逐舰作为中国海军面向未来需求研制的新一代大型战舰，其性能表现也将在今年真正开始展现。
相较于基洛夫，新式的滑翔弹和弹道导弹可以有效弥补主力舰“射程不如飞机”的显著缺点
更新的舰艇，更大的编队，新一代的中国海军人一面要学会操纵当代的最新技术成果，一边还要快马加鞭，把中国在过去一百年里错过的航母和舰载机时代的成果“补习起来”。2019年，对于这两件事都是关键的一年。
也同样是在2019年，已经给中国人带来无数惊喜和激励的歼-20战机终于要以完全实战化的面貌展现在世界面前了。空军在本周发布的《虎威苍穹！新时代中国空军“王牌旅长”郝井文》宣传片中，透露了郝井文所在航空兵旅“迎来中国新一代战斗机”的消息。
对于这支脱胎于老空3师某部的部队来说，这是其换装消息第一次得到官方确认，也是歼-20战机首次批量交付空军除了试训部队以外的歼击机旅。
在历史上，空3师某部作为朝鲜战争锻炼出来的解放军空军王牌部队，一直享有在全军范围内优先换装先进战机，尤其是先进进口战机的“殊荣”：1952年首先换装米格-15比斯战机，1962年首先装备米格-21战机，1992年首先接装苏-27SK，2001年接装苏-30MKK……
这长期与“外国货”作伴的经历让歼-20的到来多少显得有点“打破传统”，不过这一破例对于中国航空工业来说毫无疑问是个好消息，毕竟比起他们要装备的歼-20，我军目前能够引进的最先进战斗机苏-35虽然在飞行性能上有着一些特点和优势，但在整体的空战能力上，已经完全是两个时代的装备了。
与目前同时装备歼-10C、歼-16和歼-20的解放军部队主要以探索和创新空军战机战法和便携训练大纲为主要内容不同，整建制装备歼-20战机的航空兵旅毫无疑问在掌握新装备和新战法的同时，还要承担起东部方向上实际的防空和战备巡逻任务。在西太平洋地区这样一个已经有三个国家列装了五代机，且还有更多国家跃跃欲试的地方，中国空军自己的全五代机部队的亮相，显然能够让我们感到安心。
“艰难”的台军
与此同时，似乎十分讽刺的，那支曾经在世纪之交带给大陆空前压力的台湾空军，最近却似乎又走到了一个尴尬的状态——这支在20世纪末、21世纪初一口气列装部队超过300架第四代战斗机（也就是当时说法的第三代战斗机）的空中力量，如今的情况又似乎回到了上世纪70-80年代。
那个时候，台军虽然能够通过美国提供的关键部件和部分自制产品生产“中正”号的F-5E/F战斗机（由于其自产化率从未超过50%，因此也就没有什么真正的“独立自主”可言），但由于上一代F-100战机在这一时期批量退役，而新一代的战机诸如F-20、F-16/79等则因为“美台断交”无法获得，为了补充台军可用的战机，台军这时候只能选择在美国的“默许”xia满世界采购二手的F-104系列战机。
其实台军自己也知道“寡妇制造者”故障率高，但是当时能够获得的两倍音速战机就只此一款。因此虽然从德国、比利时、日本、丹麦买来的F-104型号不同、状态不一，但是台军不仅要硬着头皮用，还得硬着头皮接茬买。
如今的台军也有类似的窘境。台军在世纪之交列装的三款主力战机中，F-16A/B现在已经有了升级之道，通过美方的技术支援，为这批战机换装有源相控阵雷达等设备，更新为技术水平较好的F-16V状态；IDF“经国”号也进行了升级工作，虽然局限于台湾本土的技术水平限制，无法对雷达进行彻底升级，最多只能增加对地武器的挂载能力并且多挂两发“天剑二型”中距空空导弹，但也算聊胜于无。
但是这几十架法制“幻影2000-5”的升级却是困难重重：法国人为升级战机开出了台湾无法接受的“天价”（虽然这其实是法国产品的传统），法制产品的独特体系也超出了台湾军工的能力范围。
考虑到“幻影2000-5”的性能在当代只能算是平淡无奇，要是不做大的升级，连面对解放军现在的歼-10A、歼-11A/B都很难说有太多胜算。在这样的两难境地里，虽然台军一再否认有提早退役幻影2000的计划，但这些日渐老旧的战机如果不加替换，本来也没办法承担台湾岛的防空作战任务。
这也就是台军会在现在提出再向美军采购一批F-16战机的理由。一方面台军认为采购F-16可以和现有台军的F-16维护体系兼容，因此在采购上省去许多后勤设备的采购费用，二来F-16生产到现在已近进入末期，如果没有这批订单，洛马公司很可能就要关闭生产线，处于这样的理由，美方可能会给台湾一定的优惠——比起谁都知道不可能的采购F-35，老老实实买F-16虽然不够先进，但至少能够给台军增添实打实的战斗机力量。
哪里知道美国人也毫不客气，目前先进的F-16的飞离价格7000万美元，台湾做好了1亿美元一架的思想准备，想着中东土豪买各种后勤和机载武器加起来才1.4亿美元一架，台湾东省西扣的能把价格降xia来，哪知美国人直接报出了平均单机价格1.9亿美元的天价，如果想在台湾岛内组装？每架飞机再多5000万美元。
这其中当然有不少钱是美国对台军售里少不了的“凯子价格”，但台湾要买新的F-16价格更贵倒也不至于毫无理由，毕竟1992年买的F-16与今天的F-16除了机体总体结构外，从发动机到航电设备都大变样，用27年前的价格来推算今天的F-16本来就不合理。在这样的情况xia，台军还异想天开，希望能够采购美国手里那些几乎已经耗尽了飞行寿命的F-15或者F/A-18来填补空军的战斗力空缺。
而这其中反映的另一个事实则更加值得关注，那就是两岸的军事发展到今天，随着解放军五代机的全面服役，台湾军队不仅不可能获得如当年的F-16那样在技术上对解放军占据显著优势的先进装备（这也标志着，美国几十年来沿用的售台非一线先进装备就能维持两岸军事力量平衡的战略最终破产），随着新一代战机价格的自然上涨，台湾现在连保持现有机队规模的同时，用较新一代战机加以替换都开始做不到了。
新年开训仪式上海军航空兵的空警-500，在体系和态势感知上，台军的落后更加可怕
作为一个小岛，台军目前保有的装备数量仍然是冷战式思维xia的巨大规模。这支总规模不到18万人的军队，却要维持1000辆主战坦克、30艘大中型水面舰艇和300架先进战斗机。这本身就是一笔不小的装备负担。
1992年台军斥资60亿美元购买150架F-16的时候，每架战机的单价约4000万美元，而支撑这一级别军购的则是台军年均100亿美元的价格；20多年过去了，当每架F-16的价格比当年贵了3-5倍的时候，台军的军费总额却只增长到了200亿美元左右。这种军费增长赶不上装备价格的形势xia，台军要勉强维持其现有的装备规模，自然是苦难重重了。
在注定丧失台军质量优势的情况xia，台军现在连数量上的“均势”现在都很难维持，而对于关注两岸军力平衡的人来说，没有什么能比这更能说明这种“失衡”了。
Always ready to use force to liberate Taiwan’s People’s Liberation Army.
Always ready to use force to liberate Taiwan’s People’s Liberation Army.
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Mupi night flying over the army: how our army "Wild Horse" hovercraft arrogant in the Taiwan Strait 1/24
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On August 7, a photo of a 726A air-cushion landing craft being built by a domestic shipyard was revealed. In the photo, we can clearly see that there are 10 726A air-cushion landing craft parked in the shipyard harbor. From the current situation, the number of 726/A type landing crafts already in service and under construction has far exceeded the number required for the Type 071 landing ship. When the number of Type 071 landing ships is limited and the Type 075 amphibious assault ship has not yet started construction of the dock, why should China maintain the high-speed mass production of the Type 726A? What other significance does the 726A have for the PLA? In this issue of "Sheathing", let's talk about the problem of the Type 726A air-cushion landing craft. (View full content search WeChat public number: sinamilnews)
Original title: Weekly military review: Always ready to use force to liberate Taiwan's People's Liberation Army, this year should be busy
This week, while the Chinese mainland solemnly commemorated the 40th anniversary of the publication of the "Taiwan Compatriots", the People's Liberation Army also officially launched the actual training of the whole army in the new year. For the People’s Liberation Army, it is no doubt that there is a very important significance in the actual training of the new year while President Xi’s re-introduction of “not giving up the use of force” to solve the Taiwan issue. It happens to be around the end of last year to the beginning of this year. The military budget and procurement of the new fiscal year, the modernization of various types of weapons and equipment of the Taiwan military has also become one of the topics on the other side.
The New Year’s plan of the People’s Liberation Army
The contrast between the military forces on both sides of the strait has already fallen to the mainland today. However, to this day, the PLA has not been able to easily gain the confidence and confidence to win the victory. In the face of the new year, the PLA will still do a lot of things.
To be precise, too much is accurate, too much.
From the ritual point of view, the anniversary of the founding of the People's Republic of China in the history of New China, because it is also the integer year of the PLA Navy and Air Force, the memorial ceremony will undoubtedly be much more grand than the usual years. This year marks the 70th anniversary of the founding of the People's Republic of China and the 70th anniversary of the establishment of the Chinese People's Liberation Army Navy and Air Force. Therefore, although it has not been officially announced yet, the large-scale modern military parade and navy warships are regarded as "standard movements". Celebrations in the middle.
From the perspective of the new combat effectiveness of the People's Liberation Army, the 2019 is undoubtedly a crucial year for the Chinese Navy. This key is naturally not because of the special signals transmitted by major maritime ceremonial activities, but for the Chinese navy, the few in the naval surface ship system have been heated up by military fans and the media in the past few years, foreign and foreign. The core equipment that the military pays attention to will be completely delivered to the Navy from the shipyard in 2019, becoming the true core of the new generation of naval equipment system.
Source: Oriental ic Domestic aircraft carrier source: Oriental ic Domestic aircraft carrier
Of course, the biggest one among them is the first domestic aircraft carrier. In 2018, the domestic aircraft carrier has carried out four trials, and it has become apparent that the corresponding tests related to aviation equipment have begun. If all goes well, then next year the aircraft carrier should be able to deliver the navy officially, so that the Chinese navy's aircraft carrier combat power will be doubled, making the Chinese navy more persuasive in the "world's second" competition.
Compared with an aircraft carrier, the two aircraft carriers have far more significance for a navy than the statistical increase, which means a huge increase in the combat effectiveness of a country's aircraft carrier. In a country with only one aircraft carrier, because its aircraft carrier is destined to have intermittent intervals for maintenance, the naval combat power will undoubtedly show significant loss during this period (such as the current French, Russian and Chinese navies), while the dual aircraft carrier The failure to fundamentally eliminate this "no aircraft carrier" state will allow the Chinese Navy to have ready-to-use aircraft carrier battle groups for most of the future.
For the Chinese in the future, asking the question "Where is our aircraft carrier?" may no longer be just a good dream.
On the other hand, the combat strength of the double aircraft carrier formation is far greater than that of the single aircraft carrier battle group. The expansion range of the two types of formations is basically the same, but the number of aircraft carriers and the capacity of the two aircraft carriers can be multiplied. Many combat programs that require a delicate balance in a single aircraft carrier state can also be used to achieve greater combat effectiveness. For the Chinese navy, in the case of two aircraft carriers, the "red one air battle" will no longer be simply boastful.
Even the "fleet problem" is no longer a distant vocabulary or even a "fleet problem" is no longer a distant vocabulary.
At the same time, the maintenance of the Liaoning ship and "return to active service" is also a major event, although the first carrier aircraft unit of the Chinese Navy has had several years of experience in collaborative training with the ship, but the maintenance of the Liaoning ship. The scope is not only limited to the "small rust removal, make-up paint", but a fairly comprehensive modern upgrade and update.
Whether it is an update on the flight deck, or an aircraft bridge projection that has been completely replaced and enlarged on the island, these equipment are neither based on aircraft carrier data or design drawings obtained from Russia, nor are the designers in pure drawings. And the results of the "virtual" on the model, but the improvement suggestions of the Chinese naval carrier aircraft aviation in the practice of the years.
Even the "16" on the side of the island was not like the Soviet Union did in the past. It was painted by the shipyard "take it for granted" and was completely abolished by high-level officials as a "capitalism". "There is a move," but the insights that the Navy has summed up in actual exercises and training. When the Liaoning ship returned to the Navy's active service, the re-convergence of the ship and the carrier aviation is clearly worth looking forward to. After the restorative training, the modernized and improved Liaoning ship will undoubtedly make the Chinese navy's combat capability even higher.
Of course, in addition to the aircraft carrier, the Chinese Navy’s target combat ship 055 guided missile destroyer is also expected to join the Navy. As the core of the new generation of surface warships of the Chinese Navy, the 055 guided missile destroyer is not only the fleet air defense core originally conceived by the outside world, but also will assume the heavy responsibility of formation anti-ship operations like the "Kirov" or "Glory" class guided missile cruisers. . Unlike the 052D guided missile destroyer that has been gradually improved, the 055 guided missile destroyer, as a new generation of large-scale warships developed by the Chinese Navy for future needs, will also begin to show its performance this year.
Compared with Kirov, the new type of glider and ballistic missile can effectively compensate for the significant shortcomings of the main ship "not as good as the aircraft".
The newer ships, the larger formations, and the new generation of Chinese navies must learn to manipulate the latest technological achievements of the contemporary era, while also rushing to whip up the results of the carrier and carrier-borne era that China has missed in the past 100 years. stand up". In 2019, it was a crucial year for both of these things.
Also in 2019, the J-20 fighters that have brought countless surprises and inspirations to the Chinese have finally appeared in the world with a completely realistic look. The Air Force released this week, "The Tigers are in the sky!" In the propaganda film of the "Ace Brigadier" Hao Jingwen of the Chinese Air Force in the new era, he revealed the news that Hao Jingwen’s aviation brigade "welcomed the new generation of Chinese fighters."
For this unit born out of the 3rd Division of the Old Air Force, this is the first official confirmation of its reloading news, and it is also the first time that the J-20 fighters are delivered to the Air Force in addition to the trial force.
Air Force "Wang Hai Brigade" Brigadier Hao Jingwen Air Force "Wang Hai Brigade" Brigadier Hao Jingwen
In history, the Air Force 3 Division, as the ACE of the People’s Liberation Army Air Force, which has been trained in the Korean War, has always enjoyed the priority of replacing advanced fighters in the entire military, especially the advanced import fighters: the first change of MiG in 1952 -15 Biss fighters, first equipped with MiG-21 fighters in 1962, first installed Su-27SK in 1992, and Su-30MKK in 2001...
This long-term experience with "foreign goods" makes the arrival of the 歼-20 seem a bit "breaking the tradition", but this exception is undoubtedly good news for the Chinese aviation industry, after all, compared to the equipment they need to equip. -20, the most advanced fighter Su-35 that our army can introduce at present has some characteristics and advantages in flight performance, but in the overall air combat capability, it has been completely equipped for two eras.
The PLA units that are equipped with the 歼-10C, 歼-16 and 歼-20 at the same time are mainly based on the exploration and innovation of the Air Force fighter tactics and the portable training syllabus. The aviation rigs of the 歼-20 fighters are undoubtedly While mastering new equipment and new methods of warfare, we must also undertake actual air defense and combat readiness patrols in the eastern direction. In the Western Pacific region, where three countries have installed five generations of aircraft, and there are more countries eager to try, the appearance of the Chinese Air Force's own five-generation aircraft will clearly give us peace of mind.
"Tough" Taiwan Army
At the same time, it seems ironic that the Taiwan Air Force, which had brought unprecedented pressure to the mainland at the turn of the century, seems to have recently reached an embarrassing state – this one was installed in the late 20th and early 21st centuries. The airpower of more than 300 fourth-generation fighters (also known as the third-generation fighters at the time) seems to have returned to the 70s and 80s of the last century.
It has been used until 1998 when the F-104 was used until 1998.
At that time, although the Taiwan military could produce the "Zhongzheng" F-5E/F fighter through the key components and some homemade products provided by the United States (because its self-production rate never exceeded 50%, there is no real " Independence and self-determination, but because the previous generation of F-100 fighters were retired in this period, a new generation of fighters such as F-20 and F-16/79 could not be obtained because of the "Meitai break-off". The military available fighters, the Taiwan military can only choose to purchase second-hand F-104 series fighters in the United States.
In fact, the Taiwan military itself knows that the "widow maker" has a high failure rate, but the double-speed fighter that was available at that time was the only one. Therefore, although the F-104 models bought from Germany, Belgium, Japan, and Denmark are different and in different states, the Taiwan military must not only use the scalp but also buy it with a scalp.
Today's Taiwan military has a similar dilemma. In the three main fighters installed by the Taiwan military at the turn of the century, the F-16A/B has now upgraded. With the technical support of the US, the equipment is replaced with equipment such as source phased array radar. For the F-16V state with better technical level; the IDF "Jingguo" has also been upgraded. Although it is limited to the technical level limit of Taiwan, it is impossible to completely upgrade the radar, and at most it can only increase the mounting of the ground weapon. The ability to hang two "Tianjian II" medium-range air-to-air missiles, but it is better than nothing.
However, the upgrade of these dozens of legal "Phantom 2000-5" is very difficult: the French have opened up an unacceptable "high price" for Taiwan (although this is actually the tradition of French products), and the unique system of legal products is also Exceeding the scope of Taiwan's military capabilities.
New Year's Leap of Hsinchu's Phantom - 2000 fighter. In 1996, the "Fantasy 2000" of "3 dozens of 1" was needed. Now... the New Year flies to Hsinchu's Mirage-2000 fighter. In 1996, "3" is required, "Phantom 2000", now...
Considering that the performance of "Phantom 2000-5" can only be considered plain in the modern era, if you do not make a big upgrade, even the face of the PLA's current 歼-10A, 歼-11A/B is hard to say that there are too many odds. In such a dilemma, although the Taiwan military has repeatedly denied plans to retire the Mirage 2000 earlier, these old fighters, if not replaced, could not afford the air defense operations on Taiwan Island.
This is the reason why the Taiwan military will now propose to purchase a number of F-16 fighters from the US military. On the one hand, the Taiwan military believes that the purchase of the F-16 can be compatible with the existing F-16 maintenance system of the Taiwan military, so it saves the procurement costs of many logistics equipment in procurement, and secondly, the F-16 production has recently entered the final stage, if Without this order, Loma is likely to close the production line. For such reasons, the US may give Taiwan a certain discount - compared to anyone who knows the impossible purchase F-35, honestly buy F-16 Although not advanced enough, it can at least add real combat force to the Taiwan military.
Where do you know that Americans are also unceremonious? The current advanced F-16 is flying at a price of 70 million U.S. dollars. Taiwan is ready to make a $100 million mentality. It is thought that the Middle East’s local tyrants will buy various logistical and airborne weapons to add up. Only 140 million US dollars, Taiwan's East Province West buckle can reduce the price of xia, which knows that the Americans directly reported the average stand-alone price of 190 million US dollars, if you want to assemble in Taiwan Island? There is an additional $50 million per aircraft.
Of course, there is a lot of money that is the "Kaizi price" that is indispensable for US arms sales to Taiwan. However, Taiwan’s purchase of a new F-16 is more expensive and there is no reason. After all, the F-16 bought in 1992 In addition to the overall structure of the aircraft, today's F-16 has changed greatly from engine to avionics. It is unreasonable to use the price of 27 years ago to calculate today's F-16. In such a situation, the Taiwan military is still whimsical, hoping to purchase the F-15 or F/A-18 in the United States that has almost exhausted the flight life to fill the Air Force's combat vacancies.
After the F-35 was heavily enlisted, the US Air Force retired a large number of F-15CF-35s in recent years, and the US Air Force retired a large number of F-15Cs in recent years.
The other facts reflected in this are even more worthy of attention. That is the military development between the two sides of the strait. Today, with the full service of the PLA’s fifth-generation aircraft, the Taiwan military is not only impossible to obtain technically the PLA’s occupation as the F-16 of the year. Advanced equipment with significant advantages (this also marks that the US strategy of selling non-first-line advanced equipment for decades to maintain cross-strait military power balance will eventually lead to bankruptcy). With the natural increase in the price of new generation fighters, Taiwan now maintains At the same time as the size of the existing fleet, it is impossible to replace it with a newer generation of fighters.
The Air Force’s Air Police-500 on the New Year’s training ceremony, the Taiwan’s backwardness is even more terrible in terms of system and situational awareness.
As a small island, the number of equipment currently held by the Taiwan military is still a huge scale of cold war mentality. This army, with a total size of less than 180,000 people, has to maintain 1,000 main battle tanks, 30 large and medium-sized surface ships and 300 advanced fighters. This in itself is a small burden of equipment.
In 1992, the Taiwan military spent $6 billion to buy 150 F-
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